Core Viewpoint - Guangdong's tourism and economic performance during the New Year holiday indicates a strong start for 2026, which is crucial for the province's role in national economic stability and growth [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Performance - During the 2026 New Year holiday, Guangdong received 17.875 million tourists, with a daily year-on-year growth of 34.8%, generating tourism revenue of 9.98 billion yuan, a daily year-on-year increase of 39.8% [2]. - In the first eleven months of 2025, Guangdong's industrial added value above designated size grew by 3.2% year-on-year, with manufacturing increasing by 3.4% and automotive manufacturing by 9.9% [3]. - The province has established nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters, with the AI core industry accounting for about one-third of the national total, and the digital economy ranking first in the country [3]. Group 2: Innovation and Technology - Guangdong's innovation capabilities are strong, with the "Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou" innovation cluster ranking first globally in the innovation index according to the World Intellectual Property Organization [4]. - The province is focusing on new mechanisms for technology innovation transformation, enhancing the matching of innovative product supply and market demand [4]. - The launch of the world's first self-navigating mobile aquaculture platform in Zhuhai showcases Guangdong's advancements in integrating AI and robotics into traditional industries [5]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Logistics - Baiyun Airport's third-phase cargo facilities will support the construction of a national logistics hub, while Huizhou Airport has opened its first all-cargo route to enhance logistics efficiency for high-value industries [5]. - In 2025, Guangdong's airports handled over 180 million passengers, ranking first among all provinces, and Guangzhou Metro's total passenger volume exceeded 14 million on December 31, 2025, setting a new record [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Guangdong is in a transitional phase, moving from old to new economic drivers, which presents both challenges and opportunities for various industries [6]. - The province aims to implement a new round of high-quality development actions for key industrial chains, focusing on revitalizing traditional industries and accelerating the cultivation of new industries [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes Guangdong's strong economic performance and its role in driving national growth, particularly in the context of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][6] - During the New Year's holiday in 2026, Guangdong received 17.875 million tourists, with a daily average year-on-year growth of 34.8%, generating tourism revenue of 9.98 billion yuan, a daily average year-on-year growth of 39.8% [1] - Guangdong's industrial output value increased by 3.2% year-on-year in the first eleven months of 2025, with manufacturing growing by 3.4% and automotive manufacturing by 9.9% [2] Group 2 - The province has established nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters, with the artificial intelligence core industry accounting for about one-third of the national total, and the digital economy ranking first in the country [2] - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is recognized as one of China's three major international innovation centers, with the "Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou" innovation cluster ranking first globally in innovation index [3] - Guangdong's airport throughput exceeded 180 million passengers in 2025, ranking first among all provinces, and the Guangzhou Metro set a new record with over 14 million passengers on December 31, 2025 [3][4] Group 3 - The province is focusing on new technologies and industries, with notable performances in areas such as AI and robotics, exemplified by the world's first robot climbing challenge held in Guangzhou [4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests seizing the high ground in AI industry applications, indicating Guangdong's advantages in both industry and development potential [4] - Despite challenges such as complex global trade dynamics and the transition from old to new economic drivers, Guangdong is positioned to leverage these challenges into new opportunities [5]

全球市场的目光已投向新的一年。2026年，中国股市能否延续涨势？金价还有多少上行空间？AI投资 热潮能否持续？四大国际投行给出了自己的判断。 摩根士丹利：国内有望迎来更积极的财政政策 摩根士丹利中国首席经济学家邢自强认为，2026年作为"十五五"规划开局之年，财政和房地产政策将持 续发力，发挥托底作用。 当前，三大积极变化带来信心。首先，政策更灵活，财政货币协调支持消费。其次，企业展现强大韧性 和创新力，尤其在AI、智能驾驶、电池、生物制药等领域形成全球竞争力。第三，资金活跃度提升， 海外资金对中国资产兴趣回升，以保险、银行资管为代表的机构投资者以及散户入市迹象增强。 在科技等关键领域，美国强在算力与基础研究投入，中国则在人才、基础设施、数据与应用场景上优势 明显，两者各有侧重，均构成了未来增长的重要动力。 展望2026年，邢自强认为，中国出口有望保持相对坚挺，更关键的变量在于内需政策，预计2026年财政 政策有望比2025年更积极。 瑞银：看好中国股市持续上行 瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室(CIO)认为，经历了表现亮眼的一年后，中国市场的涨势有望在2026年延 续，先进制造业和科技自立自强成为新的增长引擎。市 ...

Core Insights - Guangdong's tourism and cultural data indicate strong popularity, with 17.875 million visitors during the New Year holiday, a year-on-year increase of 34.8%, and tourism revenue reaching 9.98 billion yuan, up 39.8% year-on-year [2] - The province's economic performance in 2025 showed resilience, with industrial added value increasing by 3.2% year-on-year, and manufacturing growth at 3.4%, particularly in the automotive sector, which grew by 9.9% [3] - Guangdong has established nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters, with the AI core industry accounting for about one-third of the national total, and the digital economy leading the country [3] - The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is recognized as a major international innovation center, with the "Shenzhen-Hong Kong-Guangzhou" innovation cluster ranking first globally in innovation index [4] - Guangdong's airport throughput exceeded 180 million passengers in 2025, leading the nation, and the province is enhancing logistics efficiency through new cargo routes and airport facilities [5] Economic Performance - In 2025, Guangdong's industrial added value increased by 3.2%, with manufacturing and high-tech products like drones and industrial robots showing double-digit growth [3] - The province's modern industrial system is stable, with traditional and emerging industries developing in coordination, supporting steady economic growth [3] Innovation and Technology - Guangdong is fostering a robust innovation ecosystem, with strong capabilities and willingness to innovate, particularly in AI and robotics [4][6] - The province is actively exploring new mechanisms for technology innovation and market demand matching, enhancing the conversion of innovation results into practical applications [4] Tourism and Cultural Impact - The tourism sector is a significant contributor to Guangdong's economy, with substantial visitor numbers and revenue during peak holiday periods, indicating a strong consumer base [2][5] - The province's cultural offerings are expected to diversify further, enhancing consumption structure and boosting domestic demand [5] Future Outlook - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the need for Guangdong to maintain momentum in economic growth and innovation, with a focus on high-quality development and the cultivation of new industries [6] - The province faces challenges in transitioning from old to new economic drivers, but this period also presents opportunities for growth and innovation [6]

A H 股市场周度观察（12 月第 5 周） 证券研究报告/策略定期报告 2026 年 01 月 03 日 执业证书编号：S0740519080003 Email：xuchi@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740520120003 Email：zhangwy01@zts.com.cn 是结构性切换？》2025-08-10 2、《A H 股市场周度观察（8 月第 1 周）》2025-08-04 内容目录 | A H 股市场周度观察（12月第 5 周） . | | --- | | 一、Ａ股: | | 二、港股： | | 风险捉示 … | 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 - 2 - 3、《7 月政治局会议对市场影响几 何？》2025-08-03 分析师：徐驰 报告摘要 一、A 股： 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 分析师：张文宇 【市场走势】本周 A 股市场表现分化，主要宽基指数涨跌不一。上证指数微涨 0.13%， 但深证成指、创业板指和北证 50 均有所下跌，其中北证 50 跌幅最大，下跌 1.55%。 风格指数方面，中盘价值和小盘成长表现较好。行业方面，综合金融、石油石化和国 防军工领涨，而商贸零 ...

Group 1 - The core concept of "new quality productivity" is emerging as a significant development path in China, validated by various sectors including solar energy, electric vehicles, and digital technology [2][6][14] - China is becoming indispensable in the global green transition, providing cost-effective solar panels, electric vehicles, and key green technologies, which are crucial for achieving global sustainability goals [5][7][10] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of green and digital economies, aiming to position China as a leading industrial and technological power [6][14] Group 2 - China has established a leading position in key green industries, particularly in solar energy and electric vehicle production, with companies like Tongwei and CATL setting global benchmarks [7][8] - Guangdong province is highlighted as a hub for digital and green economies, showcasing significant advancements in technology and sustainable practices [9][8] - The integration of green technologies with digital economies in regions like the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area is expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive sustainable growth [8][9] Group 3 - The concept of "green mountains and clear waters are as valuable as mountains of gold and silver" reflects China's commitment to balancing ecological preservation with economic prosperity, offering a model for other developing nations [10] - There is a call for increased collaboration between Europe and China, particularly in sharing green technologies, which could create jobs and enhance technological capabilities in Europe [11][12] - The future of global cooperation is seen as essential for addressing major challenges such as climate change and economic development, emphasizing the need for dialogue and partnership [12][13]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 券商新一年度首月"金股"组合日前陆续出炉。 Wind数据显示，截至2026年1月3日中国证券报记者发稿时，已有151只标的入围券商2026年1月"金 股"组合，港股标的数量占比超三成。中际旭创、腾讯控股分别成为最受关注的A股、港股标的。电 子、机械设备、汽车等行业"金股"分布较为密集。 对于1月市场前景，业内机构认为，A股进入关键数据验证期，波动可能加大，风格倾向阶段性再平 衡，配置上看好具备战略稀缺性的上游资源品板块、部分内需板块以及产业趋势明确、业绩能见度高的 细分领域龙头；港股未来有望继续震荡上行，配置上可关注科技成长及高股息占优的"哑铃"策略。 逾150只"金股"获看好 从多家券商发布的2026年1月"金股"组合看，中际旭创投资价值仍获看好，截至2026年1月3日中国证券 报记者发稿时，其获得光大证券、华泰证券、中国银河、开源证券、国联民生5家券商推荐。2025年12 月25日，中际旭创盘中股价创历史新高，虽然年末小幅回落，但当月涨幅仍超18%，2025年全年涨幅近 400%。 开源证券认为，中际旭创作为全球光模块龙头企业，领先 ...

来源：蒙格斯报告 探索前沿、研判趋势、赋能实践 于不确定性中锚定发展确定性 以理性洞察穿透时代迷雾 把握经济发展的核心脉搏 从DeepSeek的横空出世到AI泡沫风险防控 从美国关税冲突博弈到地缘政治解构 从资本市场起伏到消费活力提振 蒙格斯智库专家学者们 AI浪潮重塑产业生态 地缘博弈交织经贸变局 解构AI浪潮驱动的产业变革路径 拆解关税冲突背后的经贸博弈逻辑 预判资本市场波动趋势 探寻提振消费活力的有效路径 引领读者洞悉复杂变局 与不确定性交织下的财经核心脉络 感知时代转型进程中的强劲发展动能 为致敬过去一年的丰硕思想成果 蒙格斯特别推出年度重磅企划 "蒙格斯2025年度阅读量TOP10文章"以及 第七届"蒙格斯智库年度作家"评奖 致敬每一份智慧洞见与深度思考 展望崭新的2026年 期待专家学者们在前沿领域持续深耕细作 创作出更多映照时代的思想华章 房地产曾是中国经济高速发展的重要引擎，其金融化属性催生了行业繁荣，却也暗藏投机泡沫与高空置 率的隐忧——城镇住房空置率持续攀升，租售失衡导致刚需难满足、资源浪费等多重困境。当"堵"式调 控难破僵局，"租售并举"成为破题关键。文章聚焦房地产金融化的核心矛盾，探索 ...

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