Group 1 - The British pound remains stable against the US dollar, with a post-market rate of 1.3577 [1] - US President Trump announced the signing of a trade agreement with UK Prime Minister Starmer, indicating a "very good" relationship between the US and the UK [1] - Iran expresses a desire to reach a nuclear agreement [1]

金十数据6月17日讯，美国总统特朗普在七国集团峰会期间会见了加拿大总理卡尼，双方讨论放宽钢铝 和汽车等关键行业的关税，特朗普表示，与加拿大达成贸易协议是"可以实现的"。尽管特朗普倾向于简 单的关税，但他对卡尼更复杂的提议持开放态度。 特朗普：与加拿大达成贸易协议是"可以实现的" ...

英国首相斯塔默：今天将与美国总统特朗普就贸易协议进行会谈。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - For financial futures and options, the overall market is affected by overseas and domestic factors. The stock index futures are expected to continue adjusting in the short - term and move in a range in the medium - term, while the bond futures are expected to be strong in the medium - term [1][2]. - For commodity futures and options, different varieties in the metal and new energy materials sector have different trends. Copper is expected to move in a range, while industrial silicon, polycrystalline silicon, and lithium carbonate are expected to be weak [4][6][8][11]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Financial Futures and Options Stock Index Futures - **Varieties**: IF, IH, IC, IM [1] - **Intraday View**: Continued adjustment [1] - **Medium - term View**: Range - bound, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index operating in the range of [3800, 3950] [1] - **Reference Strategy**: Hold the sold MO2506 - P - 5800 out - of - the - money put option, and short - sell IM2506 on rallies [1] - **Core Logic**: Overseas, the initial Sino - US trade agreement and the Middle East conflict have mixed impacts; domestically, the fundamental data is weak, and the market lacks a continuous upward main line [1] Bond Futures - **Varieties**: TS, TF, T, TL [2] - **Intraday View**: Short - term bonds fluctuate narrowly, and long - term bonds are strong [2] - **Medium - term View**: Strong [2] - **Reference Strategy**: Hold long positions in T2509 or TL2509 [2] - **Core Logic**: Overseas, the Middle East conflict boosts the domestic bond market; in terms of funds, the central bank's operation is beneficial to long - term bonds; fundamentally, the financial data and price levels support the loose expectation [3] Commodity Futures and Options Metal and New Energy Materials Sector - Copper - **Intraday View**: 78000 - 79100 [4] - **Medium - term View**: 60000 - 90000 [4] - **Reference Strategy**: Adopt a shock - operation strategy [4] - **Core Logic**: Macroscopically, the Israel - Iran conflict affects the market; in terms of supply, the production plan of a copper mine is reduced, while Yunnan Copper's production increases; in terms of demand, the wire and cable and copper rod industries have different trends; in terms of inventory, LME and SHFE have different inventory changes. The Sino - US tariff negotiation results are crucial for the future copper price [4][5] Metal and New Energy Materials Sector - Industrial Silicon - **Intraday View**: Weak operation in the range of 7300 - 7400 [6] - **Medium - term View**: Under pressure in the range of 7000 - 8500 [6] - **Reference Strategy**: Sell SI2507 - C - 9000 and short - sell futures [6] - **Core Logic**: Both supply and demand have decreased, and the inventory is at a high level [6][7] Metal and New Energy Materials Sector - Polycrystalline Silicon - **Intraday View**: Weak operation in the range of 33000 - 34000 [8] - **Medium - term View**: Low - level operation in the range of 30000 - 40000 [8] - **Reference Strategy**: Hold the sold PS2507 - C - 45000 [8] - **Core Logic**: Both supply and demand have decreased, and the inventory is at a high level [8][9][10] Metal and New Energy Materials Sector - Lithium Carbonate - **Intraday View**: Weak operation in the range of 62000 - 65000 [11] - **Medium - term View**: The cost support weakens, and the price steadily declines in the range of 59000 - 65000 [11] - **Reference Strategy**: Hold the sold LC2507 - C - 83000 [11] - **Core Logic**: The spot price is low, the supply pressure is large, and the total inventory is at a high level [11]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - The report presents daily trading strategies and trend analyses for various commodities futures, including precious metals, base metals, energy, agricultural products, etc. Each commodity has its own specific market situation, and the report provides corresponding trading suggestions and trend judgments based on factors such as geopolitical events, supply - demand relationships, and macro - economic data [2][5]. 3. Summary by Commodity Precious Metals - **Gold**: Geopolitical conflicts have reignited, with a trend strength of 0, indicating a neutral outlook [6][10]. - **Silver**: Prices have fallen from high levels, with a trend strength of 0, also indicating a neutral outlook [6][10]. Base Metals - **Copper**: Lacks a clear driving force, and prices are oscillating, with a trend strength of 0 [12][14]. - **Aluminum**: The current situation remains strong, with a trend strength of 0 [15][17]. - **Alumina**: The price center has shifted slightly downward, with a trend strength of 0 [15][17]. - **Zinc**: Prices are under pressure, with a trend strength of - 1, indicating a slightly bearish outlook [18]. - **Lead**: Short - term supply and demand are both weak, but it can be bullish in the medium term, with a trend strength of 0 [20][21]. - **Tin**: The current situation is tight, but the outlook is weak, with a trend strength of 0 [23][26]. - **Nickel**: Concerns about the ore end have cooled, and smelting supply has full elasticity, with a trend strength of 0 [27][30]. - **Stainless Steel**: Negative feedback has led to increased production cuts, with weak supply and demand and low - level oscillations, with a trend strength of 0 [27][30]. Energy and Chemicals - **Carbonate Lithium**: Supply pressure is strong, and weak oscillations continue, with a trend strength of 0 [31][33]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The main idea is to short, with a trend strength of - 1 [34][36]. - **Polysilicon**: The spot market is weak, and the market has a downward driving force, with a trend strength of - 1 [34][36]. - **Iron Ore**: Expectations are fluctuating, and prices are oscillating within a range, with a trend strength of 0 [37][38]. - **Rebar**: Affected by macro - sentiment, prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [40][43]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Affected by macro - sentiment, prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [40][43]. - **Ferrosilicon**: Steel procurement quotes have been finalized, and prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [44][47]. - **Silicomanganese**: Affected by ore - end information, prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [44][47]. - **Coke**: Safety inspections are becoming stricter, and prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [49][51]. - **Coking Coal**: Safety inspections are becoming stricter, and prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [49][51]. - **Steam Coal**: Demand is yet to be released, and prices are oscillating widely, with a trend strength of 0 [53][56]. - **P - Xylene**: Oil prices have risen and then fallen, and prices are under pressure in the medium term [2]. - **PTA**: Oil prices have risen and then fallen, and prices are under pressure in the medium term [2]. - **MEG**: Reduce positions in the strategy of going long on PTA and short on MEG [2]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: Prices are running strongly in the short term [2]. - **Asphalt**: Prices are oscillating at high levels, and geopolitical risks still exist [2]. - **LLDPE**: Prices are strong in the short term and oscillating in the medium term [2]. - **PP**: Prices have risen slightly, with average trading volume [2]. - **Caustic Soda**: Valuations are under pressure against the backdrop of high profits [2]. - **Glass**: The price of the original sheet is stable [2]. - **Methanol**: Prices are running strongly in the short term [2]. - **Urea**: There may be a short - term rebound, and intraday fluctuations depend on spot trading volume [2]. - **Styrene**: Prices are oscillating in the short term [2]. - **Soda Ash**: There are few changes in the spot market [2]. - **LPG**: Geopolitical conflicts have escalated, increasing market risks [2]. - **PVC**: Prices are oscillating in the short term, and there is still pressure in the trend [2]. Energy - **Fuel Oil**: Prices have risen significantly and are expected to strengthen significantly in the short term [5]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The strong trend continues, and the price spread between high - and low - sulfur fuels in the overseas spot market has narrowed slightly [5]. Shipping - **Container Shipping Index (European Line)**: Short at high levels for the October contract, and reduce positions in the October - December reverse spread strategy at high levels [5]. Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Both the US biodiesel policy and geopolitical risks are favorable [5]. - **Soybean Oil**: The performance of domestic oils may be weaker than that of international oils [5]. - **Soybean Meal**: Biodiesel policies are favorable, and the domestic soybean meal market is following the strong trend of US soybeans [5]. - **Soybean No. 1**: The soybean market is strong, and prices are rising to catch up [5]. - **Corn**: Prices are oscillating strongly [5]. - **Sugar**: Prices are consolidating at low levels [5]. - **Cotton**: Attention should be paid to the impact of external markets [5]. - **Eggs**: The negative impact of the plum - rain season has been released [5]. - **Hogs**: Waiting for confirmation from the spot market [5]. - **Peanuts**: There is support at the bottom [5]. Pulp and Paper - **Offset Printing Paper**: Prices are oscillating [5]. Others - **Short - Fiber**: Pay attention to the increasing cost volatility, and prices are oscillating at high levels [5]. - **Bottle Chips**: Pay attention to the increasing cost volatility, and prices are oscillating at high levels [5]. - **Log**: Prices are oscillating repeatedly, with a trend strength of 0 [57][61].

美国总统特朗普：期待七国集团达成贸易协议。 ...

市场消息：美越两国正接近达成一项框架性贸易协议。 ...

日本贸易谈判代表赤泽亮正周五表示，日本将坚持要求对美国关税进行重新评估，不会接受部分协 议。"达成部分协议是不可能的。我们的目标是达成一项让日本和美国都满意的全面协议，"赤泽在启程 前往华盛顿之前对记者说。赤泽亮正正准备与美国方面进行第六轮关税谈判，以便在日本首相石破茂和 美国总统特朗普在G7会议期间在加拿大会晤之前进行最后谈判。(新浪财经) ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][3] - Gold reached a weekly high of $3377.55 per ounce, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, which fell to a near one-week low of 98.42 [2] - Technical analysis indicates a bullish trend for gold, with key resistance levels identified at $3390-$3400 and support at $3355 [3][5] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices experienced a pullback after a recent surge, with Brent crude falling to $69.40 per barrel and WTI to $67.84, despite both having recorded over 4% gains previously [6] - The market is influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and unexpected declines in U.S. oil inventories, with ongoing concerns about potential supply disruptions [6][7] - Short-term forecasts suggest a bullish outlook for oil prices, with key resistance levels at $68.5-$69.0 and support at $66.5-$66.0 [7]

美国财长贝森特：我们相信很快会出现更多的贸易协议。 ...