Group 1 - The foreign exchange market in China is operating smoothly, with an increased willingness from foreign investors to allocate assets in RMB, and overall balanced cross-border capital flows [1][3] - In the first half of the year, the scale of foreign-related income and expenditure in China reached a record high of $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [3] - There was a net inflow of $127.3 billion in cross-border funds, with a significant quarter-on-quarter growth of 46% in the second quarter [3] Group 2 - Foreign exchange reserves increased to $33,174 billion by the end of June, up by $115.1 billion from the end of 2024 [3] - The trading volume in the domestic RMB foreign exchange market reached $21 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, with derivatives trading accounting for 65% of the total [3] - Foreign investment in domestic stocks and funds saw a net increase of $10.1 billion, reversing the trend of net reductions over the past two years [3] Group 3 - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange plans to implement three key measures to enhance cross-border trade and investment, including expanding pilot policies in free trade zones and simplifying foreign direct investment registration [4] - The foreign debt quota for high-quality technology enterprises will be increased to $20 million, with formal documents to be released soon [4] - The market mechanism for RMB exchange rates is being continuously improved, with a historical high of 30% in the foreign exchange hedging ratio among enterprises [4]

Core Viewpoint - China's foreign exchange market has effectively responded to external shocks, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality, with performance exceeding market expectations [1] Group 1: Cross-Border Capital Flows - In the first half of the year, China's cross-border income and expenditure reached a total of $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking a historical high for the same period [2] - Non-bank sectors recorded a net inflow of $127.3 billion in cross-border funds, continuing the net inflow trend since the second half of last year [2] - The net inflow under goods trade remained high, with foreign capital increasing its holdings of domestic stocks and bonds [2] Group 2: Market Resilience and Risk Management - The resilience of China's foreign exchange market has been enhanced, with improved mechanisms for the market-oriented formation of the RMB exchange rate and increased exchange rate flexibility [3] - The awareness of exchange rate risk among enterprises has improved, with the foreign exchange hedging ratio and RMB cross-border receipts under goods trade both reaching around 30%, a historical high [3] - The foreign exchange market has accumulated rich experience in counter-cyclical regulation, enhancing its ability to prevent and mitigate external shock risks [3] Group 3: Reform Initiatives - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) has completed public consultations on a draft notice to deepen cross-border investment and financing foreign exchange management reforms, which will be promoted nationwide [4] - The reforms include measures to facilitate the receipt of foreign funds by research institutions and to simplify the cross-border financing process for technology enterprises [4][5] - The reforms aim to eliminate the registration requirement for foreign direct investment reinvestment, thereby improving investment efficiency [5] Group 4: Attractiveness of RMB Assets - Foreign investment in RMB-denominated bonds has remained stable, with foreign holdings exceeding $600 billion, a historically high level [6] - In the first half of the year, foreign investors net increased their holdings of domestic stocks and funds by $10.1 billion, reversing a two-year trend of net reductions [6] - The proportion of foreign investors holding domestic bonds and stocks is estimated to be around 3% to 4%, indicating potential for stable and sustainable growth in foreign allocations to RMB assets [7] Group 5: Global Investment Trends - The demand for diversified global asset allocation has created favorable opportunities for foreign investment in China, as RMB assets have shown independent performance in global markets [8] - Continuous financial reform and opening-up in China are expected to further integrate domestic financial markets into the international financial system, enhancing the attractiveness of RMB assets [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese foreign exchange market demonstrated resilience and stability in the first half of 2025, effectively responding to external shocks and maintaining a balanced supply and demand [4][6][7]. Summary by Sections Foreign Exchange Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, the total cross-border income and expenditure of non-bank sectors reached $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking a historical high for the same period [5]. - The net inflow of cross-border funds for non-bank sectors was $127.3 billion, continuing the trend of net inflows since the second half of the previous year, with a 46% increase in the second quarter compared to the first [5][6]. Exchange Rate Stability - The RMB/USD exchange rate appreciated by 1.9% in the first half of 2025, fluctuating between 7.15 and 7.35, maintaining basic stability while serving as an automatic stabilizer for the macroeconomy and international balance of payments [7][8]. Cross-Border Trade and Investment Facilitation - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) is enhancing the convenience of cross-border trade and investment, with over $700 billion in related facilitation services processed in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11% [9][10]. - The pilot program to simplify foreign investment registration for foreign enterprises has benefited over 600 companies, improving capital efficiency [9][10]. Foreign Exchange Management Reforms - SAFE is advancing reforms in foreign exchange management, allowing banks to process foreign exchange transactions for high-quality clients based on corporate instructions, reducing processing times by over 50% [10]. - The total foreign exchange reserves reached $33,174 billion by the end of June 2025, an increase of $115.1 billion from the end of 2024 [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market in China has shown strong resilience and vitality in the first half of the year, with significant growth in cross-border income and expenditure, exceeding market expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - In the first half of the year, the total cross-border income and expenditure of non-bank sectors reached $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking a historical high for the same period [1]. - The net inflow of cross-border funds for non-bank sectors was $127.3 billion, continuing the trend of net inflows observed since the second half of last year [1]. - The foreign exchange market maintained a basic balance in supply and demand, with a bank settlement and sale deficit of $25.3 billion, transitioning from a deficit in January to a surplus in May and June [1]. Group 2: Policy and Reform Initiatives - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) has made progress in facilitating cross-border trade and investment, with over $700 billion in related businesses processed in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11% [2]. - Six new banks have initiated foreign exchange business reforms, bringing the total to 22 banks, which have identified over 20,000 first-class clients, an increase of 23% from the end of last year [2]. - The foreign exchange management policies have been expanded to include small and medium-sized enterprises, enhancing the convenience of cross-border trade [2][3]. Group 3: Foreign Investment Trends - Foreign investment in RMB-denominated assets has remained stable, with foreign holdings of domestic RMB bonds exceeding $600 billion, at a historically high level [2]. - In the first half of the year, foreign investors net increased their holdings of domestic stocks and funds by $10.1 billion [2]. - The market value of domestic bonds and stocks held by foreign investors accounts for approximately 3%-4%, with expectations for gradual increases in foreign allocations to RMB assets supported by multiple positive factors [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The foreign exchange market is expected to maintain stable operations, supported by high-quality economic development, steady progress in opening up, and increasing resilience in the foreign exchange market [3]. - The RMB exchange rate is likely to remain stable at a reasonable and balanced level under favorable conditions [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese foreign exchange market has demonstrated strong resilience and vitality in the first half of the year, effectively responding to external shocks and performing better than market expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Factors - The foreign exchange market's stability is supported by three favorable factors: high-quality economic development, steady progress in opening up to the outside world, and continuously enhancing market resilience [1]. - The total cross-border income and expenditure of non-bank sectors reached a historical high of $7.6 trillion in the first half of the year, while bank settlement and sale of foreign exchange amounted to $2.3 trillion, the second-highest in history [1]. Group 2: Currency Performance - The RMB appreciated by 1.9% against the USD in the first half of the year, fluctuating between 7.15 and 7.35, maintaining basic stability at a reasonable equilibrium level [2]. - The foreign exchange market has shown no significant unilateral expectations for RMB appreciation or depreciation, with overall rational trading behavior observed [2]. Group 3: Foreign Investment - Foreign investment in domestic RMB-denominated bonds has exceeded $600 billion, reaching a historically high level, while net foreign investment in domestic stocks and funds amounted to $10.1 billion in the first half of the year [2]. - The proportion of foreign investors holding domestic bonds and stocks is approximately 3% to 4%, indicating potential for gradual increases in RMB asset allocation [2].

Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market in China has shown resilience and vitality in 2025, with stable foreign exchange reserves and a balanced supply-demand situation, indicating a positive outlook for foreign investment in RMB assets [1][2][3] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - The foreign exchange market has exhibited five key characteristics: steady increase in foreign-related income and expenditure, continued net inflow of cross-border funds, basic balance in supply and demand, active trading, and stable foreign exchange reserves [1] - The RMB appreciated by 1.9% against the USD in the first half of the year, with fluctuations between 7.15 and 7.35, maintaining stability while acting as an automatic stabilizer for the macro economy and international balance of payments [1][3] Group 2: Foreign Investment in RMB Assets - Foreign investment in RMB assets has remained stable, with foreign holdings of domestic RMB bonds exceeding $600 billion, a historically high level [2] - In the first half of 2025, foreign investors net increased their holdings of domestic stocks and funds by $10.1 billion, reversing a two-year trend of net reductions, with significant increases in May and June [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The outlook for foreign investment in RMB assets is positive, with expectations of stable and sustainable growth due to a robust economic foundation, high-quality financial market development, and global asset diversification needs [2] - The foreign exchange market is expected to maintain stability in the second half of the year, supported by high-quality economic development, steady progress in opening up, and enhanced market resilience [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the resilience of China's foreign exchange market in the face of complex external environments, highlighting the stable operation and strong fundamentals of the market despite increased risks and challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - In the first half of the year, China's foreign exchange market demonstrated strong resilience, with a net inflow of cross-border funds amounting to $127.3 billion, continuing the trend from the second half of the previous year, and a 46% increase in net inflow in the second quarter [2]. - The foreign exchange market showed several positive trends, including a steady increase in foreign-related income and expenditure, a balanced supply and demand, and stable foreign exchange reserves [2]. - The RMB appreciated by 1.9% against the USD in the first half of the year, maintaining a stable range of 7.15 to 7.35, which helped stabilize market expectations [2][3]. Group 2: International Balance of Payments - China's current account surplus has been steadily increasing, indicating a balanced international payment situation, with a corresponding financial account deficit that is roughly equivalent to the current account surplus [3]. - From January to May, direct investment inflows into China reached $31.1 billion, a 16% year-on-year increase, while securities investment inflows amounted to approximately $33 billion, reversing the previous year's outflow trend [3]. Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Environment - The foreign exchange management authorities have been optimizing policy supply and deepening reforms to enhance the convenience of cross-border trade and investment, while also cracking down on illegal activities [4]. - Over 400 cases of foreign exchange violations were addressed in the first half of the year, demonstrating the effectiveness of regulatory measures [4]. Group 4: Foreign Investment in RMB Assets - Foreign investment in RMB assets has remained stable, with foreign holdings of domestic RMB bonds exceeding $600 billion, marking a historically high level [6]. - In the first half of the year, foreign investors net purchased $10.1 billion in domestic stocks and funds, reversing the net selling trend of the past two years [6]. - The attractiveness of RMB assets is expected to continue growing, supported by a stable macroeconomic environment and positive investment sentiment from international financial institutions [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market in China has shown resilience amid complex external conditions, with stable expectations for the RMB exchange rate and continued net inflows of cross-border capital [1][5][11]. Summary by Sections Foreign Exchange Market Overview - In the first half of 2025, the total cross-border income and expenditure of non-bank sectors reached $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking a historical high for the same period [3]. - The combined settlement and sale of foreign exchange by banks amounted to $2.3 trillion, up 3% year-on-year, the second-highest level for the same period [3]. - The RMB accounted for 53% of cross-border transactions, indicating its growing importance in international trade [3]. Capital Inflows and Market Stability - There was a net inflow of $127.3 billion in cross-border capital from non-bank sectors, continuing the trend from the second half of the previous year, with a 46% increase in the second quarter [3]. - The RMB exchange rate remained stable, appreciating by 1.9% against the USD in the first half of the year, fluctuating between 7.15 and 7.35 [5][11]. - The foreign exchange market showed balanced supply and demand, with a total trading volume of $21 trillion, a 10.2% increase year-on-year [3]. Foreign Investment Trends - Foreign investment in RMB-denominated assets has remained stable, with foreign holdings of domestic RMB bonds exceeding $600 billion [8]. - In the first half of 2025, foreign investors net purchased $10.1 billion in domestic stocks and funds, reversing a two-year trend of net selling [8]. - The proportion of foreign investors holding domestic bonds and stocks is approximately 3% to 4%, indicating potential for further growth in foreign investment in RMB assets [8][9]. Economic and Policy Environment - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, supported by policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and enhancing the financial market [9]. - The foreign exchange market has accumulated experience in counter-cyclical adjustments, with improved regulatory effectiveness to mitigate external shocks [11]. - The overall balance of payments is expected to maintain a pattern of current account surpluses and capital account deficits, contributing to market stability [11].

Core Insights - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported that in the first half of the year, cross-border income and expenditure by non-bank sectors reached $7.6 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking a historical high for the same period [1] - The proportion of Renminbi in cross-border receipts and payments reached 53% [1] - There was a net inflow of cross-border funds amounting to $127.3 billion, continuing the net inflow trend observed since the second half of last year, with a 46% quarter-on-quarter increase in the second quarter [1] - The total trading volume in the domestic Renminbi foreign exchange market reached $21 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, with spot and derivative trading volumes at $7.4 trillion and $13.6 trillion, respectively [1] - The Renminbi appreciated by 1.9% against the US dollar in the first half of the year, maintaining basic stability at a reasonable equilibrium level [1] Market Resilience - The resilience of China's foreign exchange market has been continuously improving, enhancing its ability to respond to external shocks [2] - The foreign exchange market has accumulated rich experience in counter-cyclical regulation and has a robust reserve of policy tools [2] - The effectiveness of foreign exchange regulation has steadily improved, increasing the capacity to prevent and mitigate external shock risks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The foreign exchange market in China has shown resilience and vitality in the first half of 2023, with a steady increase in foreign exchange receipts and a net inflow of cross-border funds, exceeding market expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - In the first half of 2023, the net inflow of cross-border funds from non-bank sectors reached $127.3 billion, continuing the trend from the second half of the previous year, with a 46% quarter-on-quarter increase in Q2 [1]. - The foreign exchange market maintained a basic balance in supply and demand, with active trading and stable foreign exchange reserves [1][2]. Group 2: Capital and Financial Account Analysis - The increase in the current account surplus corresponds to an expansion of the capital and financial account deficit, which should not be interpreted as increased capital outflow pressure [2]. - The capital and financial account deficit is primarily due to increased outward investment by domestic entities, while foreign investment in China remains net inflow [2]. Group 3: Attractiveness of Renminbi Assets - The Renminbi appreciated by 1.9% against the US dollar in the first half of 2023, with the exchange rate fluctuating between 7.15 and 7.35, indicating stability and serving as an automatic stabilizer for the macroeconomy and international payments [3]. - Foreign investment in Renminbi-denominated bonds has increased, with foreign holdings exceeding $600 billion, and net foreign purchases of domestic stocks and funds reached $10.1 billion in the first half of 2023 [3][4]. Group 4: Future Outlook for Foreign Investment - The foreign investment in Renminbi assets is expected to have stable and sustainable growth, supported by a robust economic environment and improved financial market conditions [3][4]. - Approximately 30% of central banks surveyed indicated plans to increase their allocation to Renminbi assets, reflecting a growing global interest [4]. Group 5: Policy Initiatives for Trade and Investment - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) is implementing measures to enhance trade facilitation, cross-border investment, and financing, including reforms to streamline foreign exchange business processes [6][7]. - SAFE plans to expand innovative policies in free trade zones to promote cross-border trade and investment, including optimizing international trade settlement and enhancing the efficiency of foreign debt registration [7][8].