日线（波段多） 阻力：98.25 四小时（短期） 短线关键分水岭98.40-50区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑日元（USDJPY） 月线（长线多） 支撑：151 1月5日，美元指数 周线（关注收盘） 阻力：99 周线（中线多） 支撑：154.90 日线（关注得失） 阻力：156.30 四小时（短期） 短线分水岭156.70-80区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑加元（USDCAD） 月线（长线空） 阻力：1.3990 月线（长线空） 阻力：101.70 周线（中线空） 阻力：1.3900 日线（波段多） 支撑：1.3730 四小时（短期） 关键分水岭1.3720-30区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 美元兑瑞士法郎（USDCHF） 月线（长线空） 支撑：0.8320 周线（关注周线收盘） 阻力：0.7980 日线（波段多） 支撑：0.7920 四小时（短期） 关键分水岭0.7920-30区域，价格没有出现反转信号之前维持多 欧元兑美元（EURUSD） 月线（长线多） 支撑：1.1270 周线（关注周线收盘） 支撑：1.1640 日线（波段空） 阻力：1.1745 四小时（短期） 关 ...

周二亚洲早盘，纽元兑美元（NZD/USD）小幅走高，汇价在0.5805附近波动。 在纽元一侧，新西兰货币政策预期成为重要支撑因素。市场分析认为，新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）的降息周期可能已接近尾声。 该行在11月会议上将官方现金利率下调25个基点至2.25%，并表示未来是否继续调整利率，将取决于经济增长和通胀前景。这种 相对谨慎的政策立场，使得纽元在主要货币中表现相对稳定。 根据CME FedWatch工具显示，交易员预计美联储在明年1月会议上降息的概率约为16.1%。 这一概率虽不算高，但反映出部分资金已开始提前布局更长期的利率下行周期预期。在这种情绪影响下，美元指数难以获得明显 支撑，也为纽元等非美货币提供了阶段性上行空间。 即将公布的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要被视为短期内的重要观察点。投资者希望从中进一步了解决策层对通胀、经 济增长以及未来利率调整节奏的内部看法。不过，由于多数交易员已进入假期模式，整体市场反应可能相对有限，波动幅度预计 不会明显放大。 从美国经济数据来看，近期公布的部分指标表现尚可。11月美国待售房屋销售环比增长3.3%，高于10月修正后的2.4%，也显著 超过市场此前预期的 ...

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index shows a long-term bearish trend with resistance levels at 101.70 (monthly), 98.90 (weekly), and 98.70 (daily) [1][12] - The USD/JPY pair indicates a long-term bullish trend with support at 150.40 (monthly) and 153.8 (weekly), while resistance is at 155.80 (daily) [1][13] - The USD/CAD pair has a critical support zone between 1.3775-1.3855, maintaining a bullish outlook until a reversal signal appears [2][13] Group 2 - The EUR/USD pair shows a long-term bullish trend with support at 1.1180 (monthly) and resistance at 1.1640 (weekly) [3][17] - The GBP/USD pair has a long-term bullish outlook with support at 1.3100 (monthly) and resistance at 1.3300 (weekly) [6][18] - The AUD/USD pair indicates a long-term bullish trend with support at 0.6430 (monthly) and resistance at 0.6550 (weekly) [22] Group 3 - The NZD/USD pair has a critical resistance level at 0.6630, maintaining a bearish outlook until a reversal signal appears [21] - The USD/CHF pair shows a long-term bearish trend with support at 0.8390 (monthly) [13] - The economic data to be monitored includes China's one-year loan market quotation rate and the UK's Q3 GDP final value [11][23]

美元方面，近期上涨动能同样受到制约。 市场对美联储主席鲍威尔可能出现鸽派继任者的预期，令美元多头不敢激进押注。交易者正密切关注两方面信号：一是联邦公开市场委员会核心成员的讲 话，二是周四将发布的美国消费者通胀数据。 这两类信息将共同塑造市场对美联储未来政策路径的判断，进而决定短期美元需求，为纽元/美元带来新的波动动能。 周三亚洲交易时段，纽元/美元未能延续反弹，出现小幅走低。 现货价格在0.5775至0.5780区间波动，日内跌幅约0.20%。短期走势偏弱，但多重基本面因素交织抑制了看空情绪，市场整体呈现谨慎震荡。 周一公布的中国宏观经济数据压制纽元表现。作为新西兰重要贸易伙伴，中国经济数据引发担忧，直接影响市场对风险货币的偏好。纽元作为典型的风险关 联货币，因此承受上行阻力。全球股市整体疲软，进一步强化避险情绪，推动资金从风险资产转向避险资产，这一趋势也对纽元/美元形成压制。 新西兰央行的政策立场为纽元提供关键支撑。行长安•布雷曼本周明确表示，若经济形势符合预期，官方现金利率将在较长时期内维持于当前2.25%的水平。 这一鹰派信号与市场对美联储的政策预期形成对比——目前市场普遍预测美联储在2026年可能实施 ...

周二（12月16日）纽约尾盘，欧元兑美元涨0.04%，报1.1757，非农就业报告发布后短线出现V形走 势、但整体上延续日内稍早涨势，北京时间23:01刷新日高至1.18上方。英镑兑美元涨0.37%，报 1.3426，美元兑瑞郎跌0.19%，报0.7947。商品货币对中，澳元兑美元跌0.09%，纽元兑美元涨0.15%， 美元兑加元跌0.14%。 ...

美联储将于稍晚公布最新政策决定，市场普遍预期将降息25个基点。投资者的关注焦点主要集中在更新后的经济预 测，尤其是利率预期点阵图，以及会后新闻发布会中联储主席的讲话。这些信息或将透露更多关于未来利率路径的 线索，进而影响美元短期走势，并为纽元兑美元汇率提供方向指引。 在关键央行决议公布前，部分仓位调整操作支撑美元维持在近期低位之上，也对纽元兑美元构成一定压力。不过， 新西兰央行此前对政策前景保持的审慎态度，或将继续为纽元带来支撑，有利于纽元兑美元走势。 新西兰央行在11月的会议上将政策利率下调25个基点至多年低位，但会后沟通中传递出周期可能接近尾声的信号。 这种相对审慎的政策展望，与其他主要经济体的宽松倾向形成一定对比，这或有助于限制纽元在利差层面的压力， 为汇率提供一定底层支撑。 市场下一关注点转向即将公布的中国通胀数据，该数据可能影响投资者对包括纽元在内的南半球货币的需求，并带 来短期交易机会。 周三的亚洲交易时段，纽元兑美元汇率走势平稳，呈现窄幅整理态势。 此前一日从约0.5800水平的小幅回升势头暂时停滞，该位置亦是10月底以来高位区域。目前现货价格交投于0.5780- 0.5775区间，日内波幅有限 ...

Core Viewpoint - The currency market showed mixed performance with the Euro and British Pound remaining stable against the US Dollar while commodity currencies experienced slight fluctuations [1] Currency Performance - Euro to US Dollar remained flat at 1.1597 [1] - British Pound to US Dollar remained flat at 1.3240 [1] - US Dollar to Swiss Franc increased by 0.06% to 0.8048 [1] - Australian Dollar to US Dollar rose by 0.23% [1] - New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar increased by 0.47% [1] - US Dollar to Canadian Dollar decreased by 0.10% [1] Scandinavian and Eastern European Currencies - Swedish Krona to US Dollar increased by 0.20% [1] - Norwegian Krone to US Dollar rose by 0.42% [1] - Danish Krone to US Dollar remained stable [1] - Polish Zloty to US Dollar increased by 0.10% [1] - Hungarian Forint to US Dollar rose by 0.18% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in various currency pairs, highlighting the movements of the Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, and commodity currencies against the US Dollar on November 18. Currency Movements - The Euro against the US Dollar decreased by 0.08%, closing at 1.1583, with a daily high of 1.1608 and a low of 1.1572 [1] - The British Pound against the US Dollar fell by 0.03%, settling at 1.3151 [1] - The US Dollar appreciated by 0.43% against the Swiss Franc, reaching 0.7996, after hitting a daily low of 0.7938 [1] Commodity Currencies - The Australian Dollar increased by 0.31% against the US Dollar [1] - The New Zealand Dollar rose by 0.11% against the US Dollar [1] - The US Dollar declined by 0.52% against the Canadian Dollar [1] Other Currency Movements - The Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krona both appreciated by 0.03% against the US Dollar [1] - The Danish Krone decreased by 0.08% against the US Dollar [1] - The Polish Zloty fell by 0.18% against the US Dollar, while the Hungarian Forint increased by 0.12% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The news outlines key support and resistance levels for various currency pairs, indicating potential trading strategies based on market movements. Currency Analysis - **USDJPY**: Monthly resistance at 102.10, weekly support at 98.30, daily resistance at 99.30, and a critical short-term range between 100.10-20 [1][2] - **USDCAD**: Monthly support at 1.4030, weekly support at 1.3890, daily resistance at 1.4020, with a short-term critical range at 1570-80 [5][6] - **USDCHF**: Monthly support at 1.4100-1.4110, with no reversal signal indicating a bearish outlook [7] - **EURUSD**: Weekly support at 0.8000, daily resistance at 0.8000, and a critical range at 0.8090-0.8100 [9] - **GBPUSD**: Monthly support at 1.1120, weekly resistance at 1.1670, daily resistance at 1.1575, with a critical range at 1.1485-1.1495 [11] - **AUDUSD**: Monthly support at 1.3070, weekly resistance at 1.3415, daily resistance at 1.3220, with a critical range at 1.3040-50 [13] - **NZDUSD**: Weekly resistance at 0.6540, daily resistance at 0.6520, and a critical range at 0.6490-0.6500 [15] - **General Market Sentiment**: The analysis suggests a cautious approach, waiting for reversal signals before making significant trades [2][7][9][11][13][15] Economic Events - Key economic events to watch include Tesla's annual shareholder meeting, Germany's industrial output, Switzerland's unemployment rate, Eurozone retail sales, and the Bank of England's interest rate decision [17]

Core Viewpoint - The New Zealand dollar (NZD) has experienced a significant decline against the US dollar, with a daily drop of 1%, currently trading at 0.5844 [1] Group 1 - The NZD/USD exchange rate has shown a notable decrease, indicating potential volatility in the currency market [1]