每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯，周三（12月24日），纽约尾盘，美元指数涨0.06%报97.95，非美货币表现分化，欧元兑美 元跌0.13%报1.1778，英镑兑美元跌0.07%报1.3508，澳元兑美元涨0.05%报0.6705，美元兑日元跌0.21% 报155.94，美元兑瑞郎涨0.09%报0.7883。 ...

短期来看，两大货币对均面临关键扰动因素：澳元兑加元走势将受两国通胀数据及中美经贸关系变化影 响；瑞士央行则因干预成本过高保持暂时沉默，市场预判其或在美元兑瑞郎触及0.75关键关口时才会采 取维稳措施。 技术层面，关键点位清晰：澳元兑加元短期支撑位关注0.8870，强支撑位于0.8800，上方阻力位聚焦 0.8950；美元兑瑞郎支撑位重点看0.7770(套利盘关键止损线)，上方阻力依次为0.7950及0.8060。 交易策略方面，建议针对性布局：澳元兑加元可依托0.8870支撑位逢低做多，重点跟踪两国加息节奏差 及铜、油价格分化态势；美元兑瑞郎可依托0.8060阻力位轻仓做空，密切关注瑞士央行干预信号及美联 储政策动向。需特别注意，圣诞假期临近导致市场流动性萎缩，建议严控仓位以防范波动风险。 政策分化为澳元兑加元提供支撑：澳大利亚联储当前基准利率维持3.6%，市场预期明年有望开启加息 周期；加拿大央行利率已降至2.25%，即便后续转向加息，节奏大概率滞后于澳联储。美元兑瑞郎则持 续承压于套利盘平仓压力：此前"借入瑞郎配置高息资产"的套利策略彻底失效，瑞郎升值幅度远超借贷 成本，集中平仓行为进一步加剧美元抛压。 ...

转自：新华财经 【资讯导读】 •特朗普拟明年1月敲定美联储新主席人选 •美联储理事米兰警告：暂停降息或触发衰退 •欧盟延长对俄制裁至2026年7月 强化反规避机制 •日本财相：保留对汇率异常波动"大胆干预"权 【市场资讯】 •美国总统特朗普计划于2026年1月第一周正式提名下一任美联储主席。现任主席鲍威尔的四年任期将于 2026年5月结束。特朗普此前强调，希望继任者支持"增长友好型"货币政策，以促进经济扩张。 •美国财政部长贝森特表示，通胀正稳步向美联储2%的目标靠拢，预计2026年将成为经济增长与物价稳 定同步改善的一年。他指出，随着政府精简职位、提升效率，整体经济状况将进一步优化。 •美联储理事米兰警告称，若2026年停止降息，可能增加经济陷入衰退的风险。尽管当前尚无明显下行 迹象，但他强调，失业率上升应促使政策制定者继续采取宽松立场。 •克利夫兰联储主席哈马克表示，在美联储连续三次降息后，未来几个月利率政策应保持稳定。她曾反 对近期降息，认为当前主要风险仍是通胀顽固，而非就业市场疲软。 •欧盟决定将对俄罗斯的全面经济制裁延长六个月，有效期至2026年7月31日，涵盖贸易、金融、能源、 技术及运输等多个关 ...

周二（12月16日）纽约尾盘，欧元兑美元涨0.04%，报1.1757，非农就业报告发布后短线出现V形走 势、但整体上延续日内稍早涨势，北京时间23:01刷新日高至1.18上方。英镑兑美元涨0.37%，报 1.3426，美元兑瑞郎跌0.19%，报0.7947。商品货币对中，澳元兑美元跌0.09%，纽元兑美元涨0.15%， 美元兑加元跌0.14%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The currency market showed mixed performance with the Euro and British Pound remaining stable against the US Dollar while commodity currencies experienced slight fluctuations [1] Currency Performance - Euro to US Dollar remained flat at 1.1597 [1] - British Pound to US Dollar remained flat at 1.3240 [1] - US Dollar to Swiss Franc increased by 0.06% to 0.8048 [1] - Australian Dollar to US Dollar rose by 0.23% [1] - New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar increased by 0.47% [1] - US Dollar to Canadian Dollar decreased by 0.10% [1] Scandinavian and Eastern European Currencies - Swedish Krona to US Dollar increased by 0.20% [1] - Norwegian Krone to US Dollar rose by 0.42% [1] - Danish Krone to US Dollar remained stable [1] - Polish Zloty to US Dollar increased by 0.10% [1] - Hungarian Forint to US Dollar rose by 0.18% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fluctuations in various currency pairs, highlighting the movements of the Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, and commodity currencies against the US Dollar on November 18. Currency Movements - The Euro against the US Dollar decreased by 0.08%, closing at 1.1583, with a daily high of 1.1608 and a low of 1.1572 [1] - The British Pound against the US Dollar fell by 0.03%, settling at 1.3151 [1] - The US Dollar appreciated by 0.43% against the Swiss Franc, reaching 0.7996, after hitting a daily low of 0.7938 [1] Commodity Currencies - The Australian Dollar increased by 0.31% against the US Dollar [1] - The New Zealand Dollar rose by 0.11% against the US Dollar [1] - The US Dollar declined by 0.52% against the Canadian Dollar [1] Other Currency Movements - The Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krona both appreciated by 0.03% against the US Dollar [1] - The Danish Krone decreased by 0.08% against the US Dollar [1] - The Polish Zloty fell by 0.18% against the US Dollar, while the Hungarian Forint increased by 0.12% [1]

Group 1 - The euro appreciated by 0.25% against the US dollar, reaching 1.1586 [1] - The British pound declined by 0.06% against the US dollar, settling at 1.3166 [1] - The euro increased by 0.32% against the British pound [1] - The US dollar fell by 0.59% against the Swiss franc, with a rate of 0.8003 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index increased by 0.07% to 99.62, with mixed performance among non-US currencies [1] Currency Performance - The euro declined by 0.06% against the US dollar, trading at 1.1557 [1] - The British pound appreciated by 0.10% against the US dollar, reaching 1.3176 [1] - The Australian dollar rose by 0.65% against the US dollar, at 0.6536 [1] - The US dollar strengthened by 0.46% against the Japanese yen, trading at 154.1325 [1] - The US dollar decreased by 0.18% against the Canadian dollar, at 1.4021 [1] - The US dollar fell by 0.02% against the Swiss franc, trading at 0.8049 [1]

Economic Impact - The White House economic advisor Hassett stated that the government "shutdown" could have a far greater impact on the U.S. economy than previously expected, potentially causing long-term damage to government efficiency and leading to a slowdown in Q4 GDP growth [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant indicated that if the "shutdown" continues, economic growth in Q4 could be halved [1] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson suggested that the Fed should be more cautious in future policy actions as interest rates are closer to neutral levels [2] - New York Fed President Williams mentioned that the Fed may soon need to expand its balance sheet through asset purchases to meet liquidity needs, although this does not indicate a change in monetary policy stance [2] - St. Louis Fed President Bullard projected that monetary policy is in a moderately tight to neutral range, with 50 to 75 basis points of policy adjustment space remaining if rates decline further [2] Consumer Confidence - The preliminary consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan for November is at 50.3, marking the lowest level since June 2022 [3] Global Market Dynamics - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.16% to 46,987.1 points, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.13% to 6,728.8 points. The Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.21% to 23,004.54 points [4] - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.42% to $4,007.8 per ounce, and silver futures increased by 0.57% to $48.225 per ounce [5] Oil and Bond Market - The main contract for U.S. oil rose by 0.69% to $59.84 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 0.47% to $63.68 per barrel [6] - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 0.43 basis points to 3.560%, the 5-year yield increased by 0.52 basis points to 3.682%, the 10-year yield rose by 1.54 basis points to 4.097%, and the 30-year yield increased by 2.04 basis points to 4.699% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index decreased by 0.05% to 100.16, while most non-US currencies appreciated against the dollar [1] Currency Movements - The euro rose by 0.09% against the dollar, reaching 1.1493 [1] - The British pound increased by 0.24% to 1.3052 against the dollar [1] - The Australian dollar appreciated by 0.27% to 0.6506 against the dollar [1] - The Japanese yen strengthened by 0.29% against the dollar, with a rate of 154.1220 [1] - The Canadian dollar saw a slight increase of 0.04% to 1.4108 against the dollar [1] - The Swiss franc declined by 0.05% against the dollar, with a rate of 0.8102 [1]