Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the electricity sector [3] Core Viewpoints - In March, national electricity consumption growth was 4.8%, with significant growth in the internet and automotive manufacturing sectors [10][12] - The future three-year coal power upgrade action plan emphasizes the importance of coal power upgrades and flexible adjustment capabilities [11][12] Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In March, total electricity consumption reached 828.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%. By sector, the first, second, and third industries, along with urban and rural residents, consumed 106, 557.8, 148.4, and 111.4 billion kWh respectively, with growth rates of 9.9%, 3.8%, 8.4%, and 5.0% [12][65] - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to March was 23,846 billion kWh, up 2.5% year-on-year [12][66] Power Generation - In March, industrial power generation was 778 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with a narrowing decline in thermal power generation [12][10] - Water and nuclear power generation increased by 9.5% and 23.0% respectively, while wind and solar power generation growth slowed [12][10] Coal Power Upgrade Plan - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration released a new coal power upgrade action plan for 2025-2027, focusing on enhancing existing units and developing new generation units with improved performance indicators [11][12] - Key upgrade requirements include deep peak regulation, load change rates, and clean carbon reduction measures [11][12] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize investment opportunities in the electricity sector, particularly in thermal power stocks such as Huadian International, Waneng Power, and Zhejiang Energy, as well as in leading companies in thermal power upgrade equipment like Qingda Environmental Protection [6][7] - Recommend focusing on undervalued green electricity sectors, including Hong Kong-listed green electricity and wind power operators [6][7]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 陕西能源(001286.SZ) | | | 上次评级 买入 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 煤矿电厂投运助力业绩新高，产能持续扩张 未来可期 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 04 月 18 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [1]. Core Insights - In March, the total electricity consumption in the country increased by 4.8% year-on-year [1]. - The report highlights that the State Development and Reform Commission has issued guidelines to accelerate the development of virtual power plants, aiming for a national adjustment capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030 [4][44]. - The report notes a decline in average coal prices year-on-year, suggesting a favorable environment for thermal power companies [4][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of April 17, the Shenwan Utility Index fell by 1.0% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.3 percentage points, ranking 9th among 31 Shenwan industries [11]. - Year-to-date, the Shenwan Utility Index has decreased by 3.0%, also outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.2 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 industries [11]. 2. Industry Valuation - As of April 17, the valuation of the Shenwan Utility sector is at 17.7 times earnings, below the one-year average [17]. - The sub-sector valuations include: - Photovoltaic power: 78.8 times - Hydropower: 20.5 times - Integrated energy services: 19.6 times - Wind power: 19.4 times - Thermal services: 18.3 times - Gas: 17.9 times - Thermal power: 12.5 times [17][18]. 3. Industry Data Tracking - As of April 17, the average price of Q6000 coal at the pit in Yulin, Shaanxi, was 614 yuan per ton, down 0.3% from the previous value [32]. - The average price of Q5500 coal at Qinhuangdao port was 667 yuan per ton, down 0.2% from the previous value [32]. 4. Key Industry News - The report mentions several important announcements, including the release of the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" by the State Development and Reform Commission [4][41]. - The report also highlights the issuance of 174 million green power certificates in March 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.39 times, with 82.26% being tradable [44]. 5. Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report suggests focusing on thermal power companies such as Huadian International (600027), Guodian Power (600795), and Hubei Energy (000883) due to their strong performance in the current market environment [42]. - In the gas sector, it recommends attention to companies like Xin'ao Co. (600803), Jiufeng Energy (605090), and New Natural Gas (603393) [42].

Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Energy reported strong financial performance for 2024, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, indicating a stable operational trajectory and new record highs in performance metrics [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 23.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.04% - Net profit reached 3.009 billion yuan, up 17.73% year-on-year - The company generated 53.043 billion kWh of electricity, a 19.74% increase, and produced 23.5628 million tons of raw coal, a 1.17% increase - Cash flow from operating activities was 8.236 billion yuan, a 15.46% increase, attributed to increased electricity revenue from new power generation units [2][4] Business Segments - The electricity segment generated 17.667 billion yuan in revenue, up 19.62%, while the coal segment generated 4.843 billion yuan, up 18.55% [2] - The company continues to strengthen its coal-electricity integration advantage while exploring new business areas such as energy storage and comprehensive energy services [3] Major Projects - Key projects are progressing smoothly, including the commissioning of the third phase of the Qingshuichuan Energy Power Plant and the first phase of the Yan'an Thermal Power Project [4] - The company has initiated several projects, including the second phase of the Zhao Shipan Power Plant and the construction of the Zhangba Mine and Qianyang Mountain Coal Mine [5] Research and Development - R&D investment increased significantly to 23.0605 million yuan, a 123.11% year-on-year growth, with 61 projects and 73 patents obtained [6] - The company is advancing digitalization and energy technology, implementing 29 key technical upgrades in coal and electricity sectors [6] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.60 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.35 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of 51.10% of net profit [7] - Historically, the company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio above 50%, reflecting its strong internal growth [7] Shareholder Engagement - In March, the company announced a share buyback plan, with major shareholders intending to increase their holdings by 250 million to 500 million yuan [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation plan for the "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action" from 2025 to 2027, emphasizing the importance of coal power in supporting the new power system and addressing carbon emission challenges [2]. Group 1: Strategic Planning for Coal Power Development - Coal power has historically played a foundational role in China's power system, with significant installed capacity and generation volume [3]. - The new power system construction is accelerating, with renewable energy sources expected to surpass coal and gas power combined by 2024, and to dominate by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan [3]. - The plan aims to enhance coal power's adaptability to the new power system, focusing on clean carbon reduction, safety, reliability, and efficient regulation [3]. Group 2: Construction of Coal Power Indicator System - The plan establishes a comprehensive technical indicator system for coal power, focusing on four dimensions: clean carbon reduction, safety, efficient regulation, and intelligent operation [4]. - New indicators include low-load coal consumption increase, load change rate, and frequency response, which are being introduced for the first time in industry policy [4][5]. - The plan sets specific coal consumption increase limits for existing and new coal power units, with current units typically showing a 25% to 35% increase [5]. Group 3: Carbon Reduction and Safety Measures - The plan encourages existing units to implement low-carbon modifications and requires new units to consider low-carbon design [7]. - Safety is prioritized, with specific indicators for supply guarantee performance and unplanned outages during critical periods [8]. - The plan emphasizes the need for intelligent operation, including automated load adjustment and enhanced operational safety monitoring [8]. Group 4: Managing the Upgrade Process - The upgrade of coal power is identified as a core strategy, with a focus on balancing system demand, technology maturity, cost-effectiveness, and project conditions [9]. - Local authorities are empowered to develop tailored action plans for coal power upgrades, reflecting regional differences in energy supply and demand [9][10]. - The plan categorizes existing, new, and demonstration units, with different strategies for each to encourage performance improvements [10]. Group 5: Industry Collaboration and Policy Support - The plan highlights the need for collaboration among power generation companies, equipment manufacturers, and research institutions to drive innovation in coal power technology [11]. - A comprehensive policy support system is proposed, including funding mechanisms and prioritization of new generation coal power projects within the national framework [12]. - The expected outcome is a significant enhancement of the coal power industry's value in the new power system, driving sustainable upgrades [12].

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 国电电力(600795.SH) | | | 上次评级 买入 [Table_A 左前明 uthor 能源行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 主业盈利表现稳健，装机扩张支撑后续增长 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 04 月 16 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y]4 月 15 日晚，国电电力发布 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "New Generation Coal Power Upgrade Special Action Implementation Plan (2025-2027)" aims to support the dual carbon strategy and enhance the role of coal power in the new power system [1][2]. Group 1: Background and Importance - The plan is a response to the need for a profound transformation in the coal power sector, which is the main source of carbon emissions in China's energy sector [2]. - Coal power currently accounts for less than 40% of installed capacity but provides approximately 60% of electricity generation, 70% of peak capacity, and nearly 80% of regulation capacity [1]. Group 2: Key Objectives and Strategies - The plan emphasizes the need for coal power to reduce carbon emissions while enhancing its flexibility and support capabilities in the evolving power system [2]. - The upgrade focuses on "deep regulation, fast adjustment, strong support, wide load, high resilience, and low emissions" as the main line of development [2]. Group 3: Technical Standards and Requirements - Safety and reliability are fundamental, with existing and new units required to maintain a supply period output compliance rate of no less than 98% and a non-scheduled outage frequency of no more than 0.3 times per unit per year [3]. - High-efficiency regulation is a core goal, expanding traditional efficiency metrics to include six new indicators related to coal consumption and load adjustment [3]. - New units must reserve conditions for low-carbon transformation, with a target of reducing carbon emissions by 10%-20% compared to similar units in 2024 [3]. Group 4: Intelligent Operations - The plan highlights the importance of intelligent operations, focusing on automated load adjustment, intelligent maintenance, and decision-making capabilities to enhance operational efficiency [4]. Group 5: Implementation and Future Work - The next steps include promoting understanding of the plan within the industry, guiding provincial energy departments in developing local implementation plans, and continuously tracking progress to refine technical standards [4].

盈利预测与投资评级：作为安徽省属国资旗下的核心电力龙头，皖能受益于安徽省良好的电力供需格 局，近年新投建的新疆机组盈利可观，同时大比例参股优质的煤电一体化及抽蓄资产，投资收益未来保 持稳健增长。我们预测公司2024-2026 年归母净利润分别为20.67/22.28/23.80 亿元，EPS 分别为 0.91/0.98/1.05 元，对应3 月31 日收盘价的PE 分别为8.18/7.59/7.11倍，首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。 安徽国资旗下核心电力平台，控参股优质火电资产。皖能电力是安徽省能源集团旗下唯一发电资产主业 的核心上市平台，旗下装机以火电为主。截至2024 年底，公司在运控股装机体量为1368.70 万千瓦（对 应权益量780.55万千瓦），参股在运装机1702 万千瓦（对应权益量720.86 万千瓦）；在建项目方面，公 司控股在建装机210 万千瓦（对应权益量147 万千瓦），主要参股在建项目包括596 万千瓦火电（对应 权益量190 万千瓦）以及3座抽水蓄能电站（装机容量368 万千瓦，公司对应权益量67 万千瓦）。 风险因素：煤电利用小时数大幅下滑及电价大幅下降的风险；在建及规划项目进展不及 ...

行业研究 2025.03.15 煤 炭 行 业 周 报 煤炭红利属性再度验证，把握本次布局期窗口 方 正 证 券 研 究 所 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 分析师 | | --- | 金宁 登记编号：S1220524110004 联系人 韩笑 行业评级 : 推 荐 | 行 | 业 | 信 | 息 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上市公司总家数 | | | | | 49 | | 总股本(亿股) | | | | 1,808.60 | | | 销售收入(亿元) | | | | 23,049.44 | | | 利润总额(亿元) | | | | 3,290.46 | | | 行业平均 PE | | | | 797.83 | | | 平均股价(元) | | | | 8.29 | | 行 业 相 对 指 数 表 现 -19% -11% -3% 5% 13% 21% 24/3/15 24/5/27 24/8/8 24/10/20 25/1/1 25/3/15 煤炭 沪深300 数据来源：wind 方正证券研究所 相关研究 《煤价止跌企稳，高红利低位布局期再临》 202 ...

陕西能源投资股份有限公司 SHAANXI ENERGY INVESTMENT CO.,LTD. （陕西省榆林市高新技术产业园区沙河路 152 号盛高时代写字楼） 首次公开发行股票并在主板上市 招股说明书 联合保荐人（主承销商） 广东省深圳市福田区中心三路 8 号卓越时代广场（二期）北座 陕西省西安市新城区东新街 319 号 8 幢 10000 室 陕西能源投资股份有限公司 招股说明书 声 明 中国证监会、交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意见，均不表明其对发行人注册 申请文件及所披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性作出保证，也不表明其对发行人的盈 利能力、投资价值或者对投资者的收益作出实质性判断或保证。任何与之相反的声明均 属虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券法》规定，股票依法发行后，发行人经营与收益的变化，由发行人自行 负责；投资者自主判断发行人的投资价值，自主作出投资决策，自行承担股票依法发行 后因发行人经营与收益变化或者股票价格变动引致的投资风险。 | 发行股票类型： | 人民币普通股（A 股） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 发行股数： | 万股（新股） 75,0 ...