煤电一体化
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民生证券:给予盘江股份增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-26 11:49
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Panjiang Coal Industry Co., Ltd. has turned a profit in Q2 2025 after a significant decrease in coal costs, despite a net loss in the first half of the year. The company is rated as a buy due to its improving financial performance and growth potential in the coal and power sectors [1]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.34%. However, it reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of 5.0951 million yuan, compared to a net profit of 372.748 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded a net profit of 994.768 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 523.69%, marking a turnaround from the previous quarter [2][3]. Production and Sales - In H1 2025, the company’s coal production reached 5.1537 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.27%, while coal sales volume decreased by 3.1% to 3.9471 million tons. The average selling price per ton of coal was 648.79 yuan, down 22.34% year-on-year [2]. - In Q2 2025, coal production was 2.9738 million tons, up 22.19% year-on-year and 36.42% quarter-on-quarter. Coal sales volume was 2.2586 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.94% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33.76% [3]. Cost and Profitability - The average revenue per ton of coal in Q2 2025 was 631.47 yuan, down 19.44% year-on-year and 6.02% quarter-on-quarter. The cost per ton of coal was 451.53 yuan, down 27.78% year-on-year and 24.21% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The gross profit per ton of coal was 179.94 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.46% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 136.22%. The gross profit margin was 28.50%, up 8.26 percentage points year-on-year and 17.16 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. Power Generation - In H1 2025, the company’s power generation reached 71.13 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 380.01%. The on-grid electricity volume was 66.90 billion kWh, also up 375.23% [4]. - In Q2 2025, power generation was 34.44 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 273.06%, while the on-grid electricity volume was 32.28 billion kWh, up 267.04% [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 236 million yuan, 305 million yuan, and 356 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.11, 0.14, and 0.17 yuan [4].
盘江股份(600395):2025年半年报点评:煤炭成本大幅下降,25Q2盈利环比扭亏
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-26 11:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving 5.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 27.34%. However, it experienced a net loss of 5.0951 million yuan, compared to a net profit of 37.2748 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company turned a profit with a net profit of 99.4768 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 523.69% [1]. - The company's coal production increased significantly in the first half of 2025, with a total output of 5.1537 million tons, up 15.27% year-on-year, although sales volume decreased by 3.1% [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company produced 2.9738 million tons of coal, a year-on-year increase of 22.19% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.42%. Sales volume reached 2.2586 million tons, up 3.94% year-on-year and 33.76% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The average selling price per ton of coal was 631.47 yuan, down 19.44% year-on-year and 6.02% quarter-on-quarter. The cost per ton was 451.53 yuan, down 27.78% year-on-year and 24.21% quarter-on-quarter, resulting in a gross profit of 179.94 yuan per ton, which is a year-on-year increase of 13.46% [2]. Power Generation - The company achieved a substantial increase in power generation, with a total output of 71.13 billion kWh in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 380.01%. The average on-grid electricity price was 0.3656 yuan/kWh, down 0.57% year-on-year [3]. - In Q2 2025, power generation reached 34.44 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 273.06% [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 236 million yuan, 305 million yuan, and 356 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.11 yuan, 0.14 yuan, and 0.17 yuan [3][5]. - The report indicates that the company's PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 will be 46, 36, and 31, respectively [5].
新集能源(601918):控本降费缓解价减压力,业绩底部改善可期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-26 10:15
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490516080003 SAC:S0490519030001 SAC:S0490517070008 SAC:S0490522090003 SAC:S0490524120007 SFC:BUT918 SFC:BUY139 肖勇 赵超 叶如祯 庄越 韦思宇 公司研究丨点评报告丨新集能源(601918.SH) [Table_Title] 新集能源 2025H1 点评:控本降费缓解价减压 力,业绩底部改善可期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年半年报:2025 上半年实现归母净利润 9.20 亿元,同比下降 21.7%;单二季 度实现归母净利润 3.89 亿元,同比下降 32.8%,环比下降 26.9%。整体来看,煤炭业务方面, 煤价下行拖累业绩,成本管控&热值提升减缓降幅;电力业务方面,电价下行&度电成本抬升为 电力业绩偏低主因。展望未来,随着旺季电价回升&度电成本有望回归正常化,公司业绩有望底 部改善,长期成长性突出。 分析师及联系人 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.co ...
盘江股份(600395):电力板块逐步放量,煤电一体化成长未来可期
Xinda Securities· 2025-08-26 07:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the integration of coal and electricity sectors, with significant growth potential in the future [5][6][8] - The company's coal production and sales have recovered, although profit margins have been impacted by market conditions [5] - The electricity segment has shown remarkable performance, with substantial increases in power generation and operational capacity [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.152 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.34%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 0.05 billion yuan, down 113.67% year-on-year [1] - The company's cash flow from operating activities was 0.308 billion yuan, up 184.55% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported a single-quarter operating revenue of 2.670 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.58% [2] Coal Production and Sales - The company produced 5.1537 million tons of coal in the first half of 2025, an increase of 15.27% compared to 4.471 million tons in the same period of 2024 [5] - Coal sales reached 5.1011 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.32% [5] - The average selling price of coal decreased by 22% year-on-year to 649 yuan per ton [5] Electricity Generation - The company has accelerated the development of its electricity segment, with a total installed capacity of 2.64 million kilowatts from thermal power plants [5] - The total power generation in the first half of 2025 reached 713,117 million kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 380.01% [5] - The electricity business's gross profit margin increased significantly from approximately 18% in the first half of 2024 to 44% in the first half of 2025 [5] Future Outlook - The company plans to expand its coal production capacity significantly, with existing capacity at 22.2 million tons per year and additional projects under development [5][6] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the Southwest coal market, with substantial potential for asset injections from its parent company [6][8] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.24 billion yuan, 4.36 billion yuan, and 6.17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]
新集能源(601918)2025年半年报点评:2025H1煤炭实现量增本降 煤电项目陆续推进
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 04:32
Core Viewpoint - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a decline in both revenue and net profit, indicating challenges in the coal and power generation sectors despite some operational improvements [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 5.811 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.91% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 920 million yuan, down 21.72% year-on-year [1]. - The return on equity (ROE) was 5.76%, a decrease of 2.66 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Coal Business - In the first half of 2025, the company saw a 6.2% increase in coal production, reaching 9.94 million tons, and a 3.6% increase in coal sales, totaling 9.43 million tons [3]. - The average coal price was 529 yuan per ton, down 6% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 327 yuan, a decrease of 3.5% [3]. - The gross profit per ton of coal was 201 yuan, down 10.6%, with a gross profit margin of 38% [3]. Power Generation Business - The company reported a 45% increase in electricity generation, with a total of 6.7 billion kWh produced in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The average on-grid electricity price was 0.3716 yuan per kWh, down 9.7% year-on-year [5]. - In the second quarter of 2025, electricity generation was 3.04 billion kWh, a decrease of 16% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 41.7% year-on-year [5]. Construction and Development - The company is actively developing its coal-electricity integration strategy, with several power plants under construction, including the Banji Power Plant and the Lixin Wind Power Project [6]. - The Banji Power Plant's second phase is expected to be operational by 2026, contributing to the company's capacity of 7.98 million kW [6]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 12.2 billion, 13.4 billion, and 16.1 billion yuan, with net profits expected to be 1.9 billion, 2.2 billion, and 2.7 billion yuan respectively [7]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating support from improved coal quality and increased power generation despite current coal price fluctuations [7].
新集能源(601918):煤电一体深化 业绩稳定性有望进一步增强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 06:31
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices and increased operational costs in the coal and electricity sectors [1][2][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 5.811 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.91% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 920 million yuan, down 21.72% year-on-year [1] - The basic earnings per share were 0.36 yuan, reflecting a 20.00% decrease compared to the previous year [1] - For Q2 2025, the operating revenue was 2.901 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.89% year-on-year and 0.29% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Coal Business Performance - The company's coal production in the first half of 2025 was 9.9372 million tons, an increase of 6.16% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal in the first half of 2025 was 689 yuan per ton, down 21.45% year-on-year [3] - The cost of coal per ton was 327 yuan, a decrease of 3.51% year-on-year [3] - The coal business faced pressure with a selling price of 498 yuan per ton in Q2 2025, down 10.00% year-on-year [4] Group 3: Electricity Business Performance - The electricity generation in the first half of 2025 was 6.666 billion kWh, an increase of 44.60% year-on-year [5] - The average on-grid electricity price was 0.37 yuan per kWh, a decrease of 9.70% year-on-year [5] - The average electricity cost was 0.22 yuan per kWh, significantly down 30.66% year-on-year [5] - The unit gross profit for the electricity business was 0.15 yuan per kWh, a substantial increase of 66.60% year-on-year [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is advancing its coal-electricity integration strategy with new power plants expected to be operational by 2026 [6] - The company aims to counteract the downward pressure on electricity prices through scale expansion and increased electricity generation [6] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 12.790 billion, 15.598 billion, and 18.362 billion yuan, respectively [7]
天风证券-新集能源-601918-煤电价格下跌致业绩同比回落,关注电力成长性-250823
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 16:48
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in net profit and revenue for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices and increased operational costs [1][2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.9% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 920 million yuan, down 21.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company's Q2 2025 revenue was 2.9 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.3%, and a net profit of 390 million yuan, down 26.9% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The adjusted net profit after excluding non-recurring items for H1 2025 was 930 million yuan, a decrease of 17.9% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Coal Production and Sales - The company's raw coal production in H1 2025 was 11.197 million tons, an increase of 7.9% year-on-year, while Q2 production was 5.657 million tons, up 2.1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - In H1 2025, the company produced and sold 9.937 million tons and 9.434 million tons of commercial coal, respectively, representing increases of 6.2% and 3.6% year-on-year [2]. - The average selling price of commercial coal in H1 2025 was 528.5 yuan per ton, down 6.3% year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Power Generation - The company’s power generation and grid-connected power generation in H1 2025 were 6.67 billion kWh and 6.28 billion kWh, respectively, reflecting increases of 44.6% and 44.2% year-on-year [3]. - The average grid-connected electricity price in H1 2025 was 0.3716 yuan per kWh, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in coal and electricity prices, the company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of 2 billion yuan, 2.27 billion yuan, and 2.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.77 yuan, 0.88 yuan, and 0.93 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 8.4, 7.4, and 7.0 times [4].
新集能源(601918):Q2煤价、发电量价下跌拖累业绩,下半年有望显著改善
Xinda Securities· 2025-08-23 14:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinji Energy (601918.SH) [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the decline in coal prices and electricity generation prices has negatively impacted the company's performance in the first half of 2025, but there is an expectation for significant improvement in the second half of the year [1][2][3] - The coal sector experienced a drop in prices despite an increase in production, with Q2 coal sales price averaging 477.60 RMB/ton, down 12.58% year-on-year [2][3] - The electricity sector saw a substantial increase in sales volume, with a 44.22% year-on-year growth in electricity generation in the first half of 2025, although there was a 16.75% decline in generation volume quarter-on-quarter in Q2 [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, Xinji Energy reported operating revenue of 5.811 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.91% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 920 million RMB, down 21.72% year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s coal production in H1 2025 reached 11.1965 million tons, an increase of 7.88% year-on-year, while coal sales volume was 9.4337 million tons, up 3.63% year-on-year [2] - The average coal sales price in H1 2025 was 528.53 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 6.32% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the coal market will see improved supply and demand dynamics in Q3 2025, driven by increased electricity consumption due to rising temperatures and government initiatives to stabilize coal supply [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the commissioning of new power plants, which will enhance its electricity generation capacity and profitability in the medium term [4][6] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 2.069 billion RMB, 2.592 billion RMB, and 2.615 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.06, 6.44, and 6.38 [6]
淮河能源回复上交所问询函:深入解析重组交易必要性与电力集团业务情况
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 06:29
Core Viewpoint - Huaihe Energy Group's recent response to the Shanghai Stock Exchange's inquiry highlights the necessity of the asset acquisition and its potential benefits in enhancing business scale and asset quality, while also addressing concerns regarding industry competition and related transactions [1][2]. Group 1: Transaction Necessity - The transaction aims to enhance the company's business scale and asset quality, thereby improving core competitiveness and reducing industry competition [2]. - Post-transaction, the company and the target power group will achieve synergies in coal-electricity integration, management, regional influence, and technology application [2]. - Although related transactions will increase, they are deemed commercially reasonable and fair, with no significant adverse impact on competition or independence [2]. Group 2: Power Group Business - The power group operates three thermal power plants and 22 photovoltaic projects, with plans for four additional thermal and five photovoltaic projects [3]. - The group's power generation metrics are competitive compared to regional peers, aligning with energy-saving and carbon reduction policies [3]. - Despite rapid growth in renewable energy capacity, thermal power is expected to maintain high utilization hours, supporting electricity consumption in Anhui province [3]. - The group plans to enhance coal-electricity operations and establish an integrated transition model post-acquisition [3]. - The projected increase in carbon emission rights purchases in 2024 is attributed to prior year allocations, with no significant adverse impact expected on operations [3].
淮河能源收购电力集团89.30%股权,多项协同效应助力公司发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-23 06:29
Core Viewpoint - Huaihe Energy Group Co., Ltd. is undergoing a significant acquisition of 89.30% equity in a power group, which is expected to enhance its scale, reduce industry competition, and strengthen its core competitiveness [1] Group 1: Transaction Necessity and Synergy - The transaction is deemed necessary due to significant business synergy, as both the listed company and the target company primarily engage in thermal power generation, which will lead to enhanced operational efficiency [2] - The acquisition will help resolve industry competition issues by incorporating Huaihe Coal Power and Huaihe Electric Power into the listed company, thereby enhancing its core competitiveness [2] - The financial company within the group will provide various supports to the power group and its subsidiaries, aligning with the main business operations [2] Group 2: Business Operations and Competitiveness - The power group operates multiple thermal and photovoltaic power projects, demonstrating competitive advantages in power generation metrics compared to regional peers [3] - Despite rapid growth in renewable energy capacity, thermal power is expected to maintain high utilization hours, indicating low consumption risk for the power group [3] - The acquisition is projected to improve the operational quality of coal power business and facilitate the development of clean energy projects [3] Group 3: Asset Evaluation and Investor Protection - The asset-based valuation method was chosen as it aligns closely with the results from the income approach, which is considered reasonable and in line with industry practices [4] - The performance commitment scope of the transaction is comprehensive and complies with regulatory requirements, which is beneficial for protecting the rights of minority investors [4] - The overall assessment and arrangements related to the acquisition are deemed reasonable and supportive of the long-term development of the listed company [4]