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【广发宏观吴棋滢】6月财政数据简评
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-07-26 11:34
Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of public finance in the first half of 2025 is stable, with a slight decline in revenue growth, indicating the need for continued improvement in tax and government fund income through PPI and land market enhancements [5][23]. Group 1: Public Finance Revenue - In the first half of 2025, public finance revenue showed a cumulative year-on-year decline of 0.3%, slightly lower than the previous year's growth of 1.3% [1][6]. - Tax revenue decreased by 1.2% year-on-year, an improvement compared to last year's decline of 3.4%, while non-tax revenue growth significantly slowed from 25.4% last year to 3.7% this year [1][8]. - The decline in non-tax revenue is attributed to a high base last year and a reduced reliance on non-tax income by the government [1][6]. Group 2: Monthly Performance - In June, tax revenue increased by 1.0% year-on-year, slightly higher than the previous value, while non-tax revenue fell by 3.7%, indicating an expanded decline [2][9]. - Domestic value-added tax and corporate income tax recorded year-on-year increases of 5.0% and 2.7%, respectively, contributing positively to June's fiscal revenue growth [2][11]. - The equipment manufacturing industry, modern services, and cultural sports entertainment sectors showed strong tax performance, reflecting the economic recovery in these areas [2][11]. Group 3: Fiscal Expenditure - Narrow fiscal expenditure in June saw a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, down from 2.6% previously, influenced by a decrease in non-tax revenue and a lull in infrastructure funding [3][12]. - Technology spending led the expenditure categories with an 18.1% year-on-year increase, while infrastructure-related expenditures showed weak performance, particularly in transportation and agriculture [3][14]. - The overall expenditure progress for the first half of the year was at 47.6%, indicating a slower pace compared to previous years, with expectations for acceleration in the second half [3][13]. Group 4: Government Fund Income - Government fund income in the first half of 2025 decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to continued weakness in the land market, with land transfer income down 6.5% [4][19]. - In June, government fund budget revenue surged by 20.8%, marking a significant increase, although July data showed a notable decline, raising questions about the sustainability of this recovery [4][19]. - Government fund budget expenditure rose sharply by 79.2% year-on-year, largely driven by the issuance of special bonds, indicating a significant increase in overall fiscal spending [4][20].
2025年6月财政数据快评:一二本账分化,一般公共支出继续下行
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-26 08:27
Revenue Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the national general public budget revenue was 1,155.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%[2] - Tax revenue amounted to 929.15 billion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue increased by 3.7% to 226.51 billion yuan[2] - In June, the general public budget revenue showed a monthly year-on-year decline of 0.3%, compared to a previous value of 0.1%[3] Expenditure Insights - Total general public budget expenditure reached 1,412.71 billion yuan in the first half, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4%[2] - Central government expenditure was 199.14 billion yuan, up 9%, while local government expenditure grew by 2.6% to 1,213.57 billion yuan[2] - In June, general public expenditure increased by only 0.4% year-on-year, marking the slowest growth since 2019[3][14] Fund Budget Performance - Government fund budget revenue surged by 20.8% in June, primarily driven by a 21.9% increase in land transfer income[4] - Government fund expenditure in June skyrocketed by 79.2%, with land-related expenditures rising to 5.9%[4] - For the first half of the year, the second budget's revenue decreased by 2.4%, while expenditure grew by 30%[4] Overall Fiscal Trends - The broad fiscal expenditure growth rate was significantly up at 17.6% in June, compared to 4% previously[5] - Broad fiscal revenue showed a year-on-year increase of 2.8% in June, reversing a previous decline of 1.2%[5] - Year-to-date, broad fiscal revenue has decreased by 0.6%, with a completion rate of 47.8%[5]
财政部最新下达:690亿元
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-26 04:19
Group 1 - In the first half of the year, the national general public budget revenue was 115,566 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with tax revenue at 92,915 billion yuan, down 1.2%, and non-tax revenue at 22,651 billion yuan, up 3.7% [1] - The national general public budget expenditure reached 141,271 billion yuan, an increase of 3.4% year-on-year [1] - The Ministry of Finance addressed key social concerns such as local government debt risk, fiscal spending for people's livelihoods, and the issuance of government bonds during a press conference [1] Group 2 - By the end of June, 90% of the 20,000 billion yuan local government debt replacement bonds for 2025 had been issued, with 14,400 billion yuan already utilized [3] - The implementation of the replacement policy has significantly reduced debt interest payments and repayment pressures, while also releasing economic development momentum [3] Group 3 - The central government has allocated 66.74 billion yuan in employment support funds this year, focusing on employment priority strategies and reducing unemployment insurance rates [4] - Basic pension benefits for retirees have been increased by 2% nationwide, with the minimum standard for urban and rural residents' basic pensions raised by 20 yuan [4] Group 4 - The per capita financial subsidy standard for basic public health services has been increased by 5 yuan to 99 yuan per person per year, while the subsidy for urban and rural residents' medical insurance has been raised by 30 yuan to 700 yuan per person per year [5] - The central government has allocated 5,522 billion yuan in related subsidy funds for medical assistance this year [5] Group 5 - A record high of 78,800 billion yuan in government bonds was issued in the first half of the year, an increase of 20,547 billion yuan or 35.28% year-on-year, with an average issuance interest rate of 1.52% [6] - The average bid-to-cover ratio for book-entry government bonds was 3.03 times, indicating strong investor interest [6] Group 6 - The Ministry of Finance has allocated 690 billion yuan in the third batch of ultra-long-term special government bond funds to support the "old for new" consumption initiative, with total sales in this area reaching 1.6 trillion yuan in the first half of the year [7] - Retail sales of home appliances and other consumer goods saw significant year-on-year growth, contributing to a 5% increase in total retail sales of consumer goods [7]
【新华解读】运行总体平稳 支出力度加大——详解上半年全国财政收支运行
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-25 15:56
Group 1: Fiscal Revenue - The overall fiscal operation is stable, with some industries showing good tax revenue performance [1] - National general public budget revenue for the first half of the year reached 115,566 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] - Tax revenue is gradually recovering, with national tax revenue at 92,900 billion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, but showing growth for three consecutive months since April [1] Group 2: Fiscal Expenditure - National general public budget expenditure for the first half of the year was 141,271 billion yuan, an increase of 3.4% year-on-year [2] - Key areas of expenditure, such as education, science and technology, social security, and health, received significant funding, with education spending at 21,483 billion yuan (up 5.9%), science and technology at 4,790 billion yuan (up 9.1%), social security at 24,504 billion yuan (up 9.2%), and health at 11,004 billion yuan (up 4.3%) [2] - The government has prioritized social security in its fiscal spending, with central finance allocating 66.74 billion yuan for employment subsidies and 156.68 billion yuan for assistance to vulnerable groups [2] Group 3: Government Bond Issuance - Local government special bonds and other financial instruments saw significant spending, with 24,300 billion yuan allocated in the first half of the year, driving a 30% increase in government fund budget expenditure [3] - New local government special bonds issued in the first half of the year totaled 21,600 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45% [3] - The Ministry of Finance is working to optimize the management of special bonds to enhance their effectiveness in supporting infrastructure and public welfare projects [3]
财政部:上半年个人所得税增长8%,27省实现财政收入增长
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-25 14:48
Core Insights - The overall fiscal performance in the first half of the year is stable, with a slight decline in total public budget revenue and a modest increase in expenditure [3][4] Revenue Summary - Total public budget revenue reached 115,566 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3% [3] - Tax revenue amounted to 92,915 billion yuan, down 1.2%, while non-tax revenue increased by 3.7% to 22,651 billion yuan [3] - Key tax revenue items include: - Domestic VAT: 36,393 billion yuan, up 2.8% - Domestic consumption tax: 8,980 billion yuan, up 1.7% - Corporate income tax: 24,910 billion yuan, down 1.9% - Personal income tax: 7,945 billion yuan, up 8% - Import VAT and consumption tax: 8,729 billion yuan, down 6.1% - Tariffs: 1,094 billion yuan, down 7.7% - Export tax rebates: 12,702 billion yuan, up 11.6% - Stamp duty: 1,953 billion yuan, up 19.7%, with securities transaction stamp duty at 785 billion yuan, up 54.1% [3] Expenditure Summary - Total public budget expenditure was 141,271 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [3] - Key areas of expenditure include: - Education: 21,483 billion yuan, up 5.9% - Science and technology: 4,790 billion yuan, up 9.1% - Culture, tourism, sports, and media: 1,738 billion yuan, up 5% - Social security and employment: 24,504 billion yuan, up 9.2% - Health: 11,004 billion yuan, up 4.3% - Energy conservation and environmental protection: 2,556 billion yuan, up 5.9% [3] Fiscal Trends - Tax revenue has shown a gradual recovery, with three consecutive months of year-on-year growth since April [4] - Non-tax revenue growth has slowed, with a decline in May and June [4] - Local public budget revenue increased by 1.6%, with 27 out of 31 provinces reporting growth [4]
2025年上半年财政数据解读:收入结构显著优化,广义支出回升上行
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-07-25 13:15
Revenue and Expenditure Trends - In the first half of 2025, total revenue growth for the fiscal accounts was -0.6%, an improvement from -1.3% previously, while total expenditure growth increased to 8.9% from 6.6%[2] - The revenue-expenditure gap reached a new high for 2023, indicating a proactive fiscal approach in the first half of the year[2] Structural Improvements in Revenue - General public budget revenue decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.8 percentage points compared to Q1[5] - Tax revenue showed signs of recovery, with a cumulative growth rate of -1.2%, improving from -1.6%[5] - Non-tax revenue growth fell to 3.7%, significantly below the five-year average of 10.8%[5] Land Revenue Recovery - Government fund revenue saw a cumulative growth rate of -2.4%, an improvement from -6.9% in the previous period, primarily driven by a rebound in land sales in June[19] - Local land revenue growth narrowed to -6.5%, compared to -11.9% previously, influenced by increased supply of quality land in core cities[19] Special Bonds and Expenditure Support - The issuance of special bonds accelerated, with a cumulative expenditure growth rate of 30% for the second fiscal account, up from 16% previously[23] - A total of 2.16 trillion yuan in new local government special bonds were issued in the first half of 2025, marking a 45% increase year-on-year[23]
上半年全国税收同比下降1.2% 土地出让收入下降6.5%
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-25 11:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the national general public budget revenue for the first half of 2025 has decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with tax revenue declining by 1.2% and non-tax revenue increasing by 3.7% [1] - The revenue from the transfer of state-owned land use rights has dropped by 6.5%, significantly down over 50% compared to the peak period in the first half of 2021 [1] - Among the 31 provinces, 27 have achieved growth in local general public budget revenue, with the eastern, central, western, and northeastern regions growing by 1.3%, 1.3%, 2%, and 5.7% respectively [1] Group 2 - Non-tax revenue for the first half of the year reached 2.27 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, but the growth rate has slowed down by 5.1 percentage points compared to the first quarter [2] - The income from the paid use of state-owned resources (assets) increased by 4.8%, driven by local governments activating assets through various channels [2] - Administrative and institutional fee income grew by 1%, but the growth rate has decreased by 4.5 percentage points compared to the first quarter, while confiscated income fell by 4.3%, with the decline rate widening by 2.9 percentage points [2]
财政部最新发布!上半年证券交易印花税,同比增长54.1%!
券商中国· 2025-07-25 11:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant changes in China's fiscal situation for the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in government fund budget expenditures and mixed results in revenue collection [1][34]. Group 2 - National government fund budget expenditure reached 46,273 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30% [1][34]. - Central government fund budget expenditure was 6,308 billion yuan, showing a remarkable growth of 6.2 times [1][34]. - Local government fund budget expenditure amounted to 39,965 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.1% [1][34]. - Revenue from the government fund budget was 19,442 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 2.4% [33]. - Central government fund budget revenue was 2,173 billion yuan, an increase of 4.8% [33]. - Local government fund budget revenue was 17,269 billion yuan, down 3.2%, with land use rights transfer income at 14,271 billion yuan, decreasing by 6.5% [33]. Group 3 - General public budget revenue for the first half of the year was 115,566 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% [4]. - Tax revenue totaled 92,915 billion yuan, down 1.2%, while non-tax revenue increased by 3.7% to 22,651 billion yuan [4]. - Major tax revenue items included domestic value-added tax at 36,393 billion yuan (up 2.8%) and corporate income tax at 24,910 billion yuan (down 1.9%) [5][7]. - General public budget expenditure was 141,271 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [22]. - Key expenditure areas included education (21,483 billion yuan, up 5.9%) and social security and employment (24,504 billion yuan, up 9.2%) [23][26].
上半年,全国27个省份一般公共预算收入实现增长
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-07-25 10:34
新京报讯(记者姜慧梓)记者从7月25日举行的财政部新闻发布会上获悉,上半年,全国一般公共预算收 入11.56万亿元,同比下降0.3%,降幅比一季度收窄0.8个百分点。31个省份中,27个省份实现增长。 分地区看,上半年,地方一般公共预算本级收入增长1.6%,其中,东部、中部、西部、东北地区收入 分别增长1.3%、1.3%、2%、5.7%。31个省份中,27个省份实现增长。 支出方面,上半年,全国一般公共预算支出14.13万亿元,同比增长3.4%。其中,社会保障和就业支出 增长9.2%,增速最快。 政府性基金预算上半年收入1.94亿元,同比下降2.4%。其中,国有土地使用权出让收入1.43亿元,下降 6.5%。政府性基金预算上半年支出4.63亿元,同比大幅增长30%。 政府性基金预算支出大幅增长主要是各级财政部门加快了债券资金的发行使用,上半年,列入政府性基 金预算的地方政府专项债券、超长期特别国债、中央金融机构注资特别国债资金支出2.43万亿元,带动 政府性基金预算支出增长30%。 上半年,全国税收收入9.29万亿元,同比下降1.2%。从4月份起,月度税收收入连续3个月同比增长,4 月份增长1.9%,5月份增 ...
财政部:上半年国有土地使用权出让收入14271亿元 同比下降6.5%
news flash· 2025-07-25 10:02
Core Insights - The Ministry of Finance reported that the revenue from the transfer of state-owned land use rights in the first half of 2025 was 1,427.1 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 6.5% [1] Group 1: Government Fund Revenue - The total government fund budget revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1,944.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.4% [1] - Central government fund budget revenue reached 217.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1] - Local government fund budget revenue was 1,726.9 billion yuan, which is a year-on-year decline of 3.2% [1]