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【深度】城投债收益率跌进“1”时代,券商资管转型迎大考
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 09:37
Core Viewpoint - The current favorable conditions for broker asset management relying on city investment bonds are expected to last only for about a year, as credit spreads are rapidly compressing, leading to a decline in the performance of fixed-income investment managers [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions and Trends - The strategy of holding low-credit city investment bonds to maturity has been widely adopted by broker asset management firms, relying on bond yields and a bull market for bonds to achieve excess returns [3][4]. - Since 2022, the market for city investment bonds has been evolving along two main lines: a continuous decline in risk-free interest rates and increased constraints on local government debt issuance, leading to extreme compression of credit spreads [6][7]. - As of now, high-grade long-term city investment bond yields have entered the "2" era, with yields for AAA-rated bonds under three years dropping to the "1" range [7]. Group 2: Challenges Faced by the Industry - The fixed-income investment sector is facing three major challenges: a sharp decline in static returns, passive duration extension leading to significant net value fluctuations, and intertwined credit and liquidity risks due to tightening city investment policies [8][9]. - The reliance on city investment bonds is becoming increasingly difficult to meet the performance benchmarks set by banks, with expectations that many fixed-income products will fail to meet these benchmarks starting next year [10]. Group 3: Transformation and Strategic Shifts - Broker asset management firms are undergoing a transformation to diversify their investment strategies, moving from a reliance on city investment bonds to a multi-asset and multi-strategy approach, including domestic and international stocks, commodities, and bonds [2][11]. - The industry is seeing a significant increase in the issuance of Fund of Funds (FOF) products, with 52 firms having issued a total of 405 FOF products as of July 30, indicating a shift towards more diversified asset management strategies [17][18]. - Successful transformation in the broker asset management sector will likely depend on talent and differentiation, with firms needing to leverage their comprehensive capabilities and deep market knowledge to provide customized solutions [12][19].
【深度】“摆脱”城投债,券商资管转型迎大考
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 09:26
Core Viewpoint - The current favorable conditions for broker asset management relying on city investment bonds are expected to last only for about a year, as credit spreads are rapidly compressing, leading to a decline in the performance of fixed-income products and potential job losses for fixed-income investment managers [1][4][10]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - The strategy of holding low-credit city investment bonds to earn management fees is becoming less viable due to extreme compression of credit spreads [1][4]. - The fixed-income investment managers are facing a significant decline in business opportunities, with expectations of widespread underperformance in fixed-income products starting next year [1][10]. - The yield on high-grade long-term city investment bonds has dropped significantly, with 3-year AAA-rated bonds now yielding in the "1" range [8][9]. Group 2: Historical Context and Strategy Shift - Historically, broker asset management relied heavily on city investment bonds due to their government backing and low default risk, especially after the 2016 supply-side reforms led to widespread defaults in corporate bonds [5][6]. - The past decade saw investment managers achieving over 6.4% annualized returns with minimal volatility by primarily investing in city investment bonds [4][7]. - The transition to a more diversified asset strategy has begun, with a shift from city investment bonds to a multi-asset approach that includes domestic and international stocks, commodities, and bonds [3][11]. Group 3: Challenges and Future Outlook - The fixed-income sector is facing three major challenges: a sharp decline in static returns, increased duration risk, and intertwined credit and liquidity risks [9][10]. - The asset management industry is expected to undergo significant transformation, with successful firms likely to be those that can differentiate themselves and leverage talent effectively [11][12]. - The growth of FOF (Fund of Funds) products is seen as a strategic move to adapt to changing market conditions, with a notable increase in issuance from 2021 to 2024 [16][18].
灵均投资“风暴后”首次回归,董事长、首席投资官亮相
21世纪经济报道记者 黎雨辰 北京报道 AI技术浪潮奔涌、市场流动性显著改善、中小市值风格暖风劲吹……2025年的量化私募,正重新迎来 净值回升的"赚钱时刻"。 在A股的结构性行情助推下,兼具超额收益潜力与工具属性的指数增强策略,表现尤为亮眼。第三方统 计数据显示,截至7月18日,私募指增策略年内综合收益率已达25.07%,显著跑赢股票多头及市场中性 策略,成为市场瞩目的焦点。 "公司2025年的业绩回升,本质上是在从根源上解决问题的过程中呈现的结果。"近日,在与公司首席投 资官马志宇共同接受21世纪经济报道等媒体采访时,灵均投资董事长蔡枚杰表示。 2024年2月19日,因监控到公司旗下多个产品大量卖出沪深两市股票合计近26亿元,沪深交易所曾对灵 均投资实施暂停交易的自律措施,传递出对量化行业监管趋严的明确信号。而此后一年,深度的自我反 思,推动了这一百亿量化巨头合规治理与投资策略的重构。 当前在投研方面,灵均投资已将风控规则全流程内置化,从策略设计阶段即嵌入量化风控参数,到交易 系统设置涨跌停报单的硬约束,再到全产品线集约化监控,构建起贯穿决策链的合规闭环。在复盘2024 年春节前后的市场极端波动后,灵均也 ...
景顺长城基金迎来新董事长,叶才接棒掌舵6460亿资产
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 06:35
8月5日晚,景顺长城基金发布董事长变更公告,叶才正式出任公司董事长,任期自8月4日起。这一人事变动标志着这家管理规模超6000 亿元的合资公募进入新发展阶段。 现任华能资本董事长的叶才,是景顺长城基金第七位来自华能系的董事长——自2003年成立以来,公司历任董事长徐英、赵如冰、丁 益、李进等均有华能背景,形成"中方主导治理、外方专注投资"的稳定架构。此次叶才接任后,总经理康乐不再代行董事长职务,标志 着公司治理回归"董事长管战略、总经理抓运营"的常态模式。 景顺长城官网显示,公司成立于2003年6月12日,是国内首家中美合资的基金管理公司,由景顺与长城证券联合开滦集团和实德集团共 同发起设立,其中景顺和长城证券各持有49%的公司股份。长城证券的控股股东为华能集团旗下的华能资本服务有限公司。 截至2025年二季度末,景顺长城基金公募管理规模达6460亿元,在全市场162家公募持牌机构中排在第20位。非货基金规模4718亿元, 环比一季度增加323亿元,规模排名第12位。这一增长主要由固收业务驱动,债券型基金单季规模激增412亿元。 与固收业务的强劲形成鲜明对比的是权益板块的持续低迷。主动权益管理规模较2021年 ...
投资者信心提升 7月备案私募产品数量创近27个月新高
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-08-06 00:42
Core Insights - The A-share market has seen a significant rebound in July, leading to increased investor confidence and a peak in private equity securities product registrations [1][3] - A total of 1,298 private equity securities products were registered in July, marking an 18% month-on-month increase and the highest level in nearly 27 months [1] - Year-to-date, 6,759 private equity securities products have been registered, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 61.39% [1] Strategy Breakdown - Equity strategies dominate the registration landscape, with 887 equity strategy products registered in July, accounting for 68.34% of total registrations and a month-on-month increase of 24.58% [1] - Multi-asset strategies have become the second-largest category, with 162 products registered in July, representing 12.48% of total registrations and a month-on-month increase of 5.88% [1] - Futures and derivatives strategies have also gained traction, with 125 products registered in July, making up 9.63% of total registrations and a stable month-on-month growth of 1.63% [1] Quantitative Products - The registration of quantitative products surged nearly 20% month-on-month, with 620 products registered in July, accounting for 47.77% of total registrations [2] - Year-to-date, the number of registered quantitative products has reached 3,081, representing a year-on-year increase of 77.68% [2] - Among quantitative products, equity strategies are the most prominent, with 478 equity strategy quantitative products registered in July, making up 77.1% of total quantitative registrations and a month-on-month increase of 26.79% [2] Market Drivers - The surge in private equity securities product registrations is driven by multiple factors, including a bullish A-share market and strong performance of quantitative strategy products [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index has successfully surpassed the 3,600-point mark, boosting investor enthusiasm and confidence [3] - Continuous optimization in the supply side of the private equity industry, with the emergence of leading institutions and quality products, has enhanced overall competitiveness and investor recognition [3]
7月备案私募产品数量创近27个月新高
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-05 14:17
Core Insights - The A-share market has seen a significant rebound in July, leading to increased investor confidence and a peak in private equity securities product registrations [1][6] - A total of 1,298 private equity securities products were registered in July, marking an 18% month-on-month increase and the highest level in nearly 27 months [1] - Year-to-date, 6,759 private equity securities products have been registered, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 61.39% [1] Strategy Breakdown - Stock strategies dominate the registration landscape, with 887 products registered in July, accounting for 68.34% of total registrations and a month-on-month growth of 24.58% [1][3] - Multi-asset strategies have become the second-largest category, with 162 products registered in July, representing 12.48% of total registrations and a month-on-month increase of 5.88% [1][3] - Futures and derivatives strategies have also gained traction, with 125 products registered in July, making up 9.63% of total registrations and a stable month-on-month growth of 1.63% [1][3] Quantitative Products - Quantitative private equity products saw a substantial increase, with 620 products registered in July, accounting for 47.77% of total registrations and a month-on-month growth of 19% [3][5] - Stock strategies are the primary focus within quantitative products, with 478 stock strategy products registered in July, representing 77.1% of total quantitative registrations and a month-on-month increase of 26.79% [4][5] - Among stock quantitative products, index-enhanced products are predominant, with 321 registered in July, accounting for 67.15% of stock quantitative products and a remarkable month-on-month growth of 52.13% [4][5] Market Dynamics - The positive performance of the A-share market, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 3,600-point mark, has significantly boosted investor enthusiasm and confidence [6] - The private equity sector is experiencing an influx of funds, driven by the superior performance of quantitative strategy products, which are attracting strong asset allocation demand [6] - Continuous optimization in the supply side of the private equity industry, with the emergence of leading institutions and quality products, is enhancing overall competitiveness and improving market perception [6]
【公募基金】权益指数高位遇阻调整,股基增强策略保持相对优势——公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2025.08.03)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-08-05 11:05
Core Viewpoint - The A-share equity market has shown strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching last October's high, but faced adjustments after reaching the 3600-point level. The U.S. equity market also encountered resistance at high levels, leading to a slowdown in growth due to lower-than-expected non-farm employment data [3][4]. A-share Market Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has maintained an upward trend, breaking through key levels of 3400 and 3500, and recently reaching around 3600 before facing adjustments. The market sentiment has been positively influenced by multiple factors, including policy support and sector rotation, contributing to a short-term upward trend [4][5]. - The technology growth sector, which performed relatively weakly in May and June, has gained more market attention recently, indicating a shift in capital towards these lower-priced sectors [4]. Fund Strategy Performance - The Evergreen Low Volatility Strategy and Stock Enhancement Strategy recorded returns of -1.951% and -0.858% respectively this week, while overseas equity strategies also saw a decline of -1.307% [5][6]. - The Evergreen Low Volatility Fund has shown strong stability since its inception, effectively reducing portfolio volatility while maintaining decent returns. It has performed well during market fluctuations, demonstrating its defensive characteristics [10]. - The Stock Enhancement Fund has faced challenges in the current market environment, with its performance closely mirroring the benchmark. However, it is expected to gain traction as market conditions improve [11]. Overseas Market Insights - Recent developments in the overseas market, including reduced tariff risks and positive economic data, have led to a rebound in U.S. stocks. However, there are concerns about over-optimism and potential short-term pullbacks [5][6]. - The overseas equity allocation strategy has also faced declines, with a recorded return of -1.307%. Despite this, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the absence of significant recession risks in the U.S. economy and strong technological growth trends [6][7]. Fund Strategy Construction - The company has developed a quantitative method to construct a fund selection pool that meets the needs of investors with different risk preferences in various market environments. This includes low-volatility fund combinations for defensive strategies and cash management tools for optimizing short-term idle funds [20][24]. - The overseas equity allocation strategy focuses on selecting QDII funds based on long-term momentum and short-term reversal factors, aiming to provide investors with a diversified global investment approach [25].
既怕错过又怕买错 提升权益投资或可从“固收+”开始
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-05 07:53
7月23日,上证指数于年内首次突破3600点关键点位,权益资产投资热度升温,但连续上涨又多少让 人"恐高"。在此背景下,低风险偏好的投资者如何参与其中?或可考虑关注"固收+"。 提升权益资产比例,为何可关注"固收+"? 具体来看,建议大家可以综合考虑自身风险偏好,再结合"固收+"产品的产品定位、历史业绩、投资策 略、波动特点等,来选择适合自己的"固收+"产品。 以银华基金为例,旗下就建立了一批不同定位、不同策略的优质"固收+"序列,力争满足投资者多元化 的投资需求—— 所谓"固收+",主要包括"固收"和"+" 两部分。整个投资组合以固定收益类资产打底,固收类资产仓位 占比较高,以此来争取获得基础收益;"+"的部分通过适当投资股票、可转债等权益类资产,来尽可能 博取更高的收益。 根据权益仓位,又可以将"固收+"大致划分为三个品类: 低波"固收+":权益仓位在10%以内,力争严格控制回撤和波动,业绩弹性则相对较低,更注重客户持 基的体验感和获得感。 中波"固收+":权益仓位5%-20%,风险收益特征介乎与低波和高波产品中间, 高波"固收+":权益仓位20%-30%,相对中低波产品而言,高波"固收+"在期望博取更高 ...
私募产品备案热情高涨 7月超1200只产品完成备案
Group 1 - The private equity product registration enthusiasm is high against the backdrop of a recovering A-share market, with 1,298 private securities products registered in July, marking an 18.00% month-on-month increase and the highest in nearly 27 months [1] - Stock strategy private securities products dominate the registration, with 887 products registered in July, accounting for 68.34% of the total registered products for the month, reflecting a 24.58% increase from June [1] - Multi-asset strategy private securities products are gaining popularity among investors, with 162 products registered in July, representing 12.48% of the total, and a 5.88% month-on-month increase [1] Group 2 - Quantitative private equity products saw 620 registrations in July, making up 47.77% of the total registered products for the month, with a 19.00% increase from June [2] - Stock strategy remains the mainstay of quantitative product registrations, with 478 stock strategy quantitative products registered in July, accounting for 77.10% of the total quantitative products, and a 26.79% month-on-month increase [2] - The strong performance of private securities products, particularly quantitative strategy products, is attracting significant capital inflow, driven by the A-share market's positive momentum and the continuous optimization of the supply side in the private equity industry [3]
小盘称王!中证2000增强ETF(159552)规模首破5亿大关,年内涨超40%持续霸榜宽基ETF
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 01:40
Core Insights - The China Securities 2000 Enhanced ETF (159552) has achieved a remarkable performance with over 40% increase year-to-date, leading the broad-based ETF rankings [1] - The ETF experienced a significant net inflow of 66 million, pushing its total scale to exceed 500 million, marking a 31-fold increase in scale this year [1] - The current market is witnessing a "small-cap dominance" trend, supported by policy incentives for specialized and innovative enterprises, and a favorable environment for quantitative strategies [1] Market Dynamics - The China Securities 2000 Index constituents exhibit high elasticity and growth potential, making them advantageous in structural market conditions [1] - The shift in market style towards small and mid-cap stocks suggests that small-cap index products are likely to continue performing well [1] - Despite the positive outlook, there is a cautionary note regarding potential high volatility risks at elevated valuation levels, recommending a phased investment approach during dips [1]