（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 10月9日，红利国企ETF（510720）官宣连续第18次分红。本次分红方案为0.029元/10份基金份额，分红 比例0.3%。权益登记日为10月13日，现金红利发放日为10月17日。 红利国企ETF（510720）跟踪上证国有企业红利指数，聚焦高股息央国企，截至9月30日，近12个月股 息率超4.5%。上国红利指数（000151）从市场中筛选具备高分红特征、分红稳定性良好且兼具规模与 流动性的股票作为成分股，主要覆盖金融、能源、工业等传统行业领域，集中体现价值投资策略下稳健 收益与长期分红的特性，感兴趣的朋友可以逢低布局。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has officially released the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds," which sets a new direction for the public fund industry in China, emphasizing "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" [2] Group 1: Policy Framework - The Action Plan establishes a clear regulatory framework for fund advisory services, indicating that service standards, entry thresholds, and regulatory requirements will be detailed, leading to standardized management of advisory services [3] - This standardization aims to enhance service professionalism and ensure that investors understand the service content, return logic, and risk boundaries [3] Group 2: Investor-Centric Approach - The Action Plan emphasizes that investor returns should be the primary focus, requiring fund companies to create a performance evaluation system centered on fund investment returns [4] - This shift from a scale-focused approach to one that prioritizes long-term returns will align the compensation of fund managers and advisors with actual fund performance [4] Group 3: Long-Term Investment Focus - The Action Plan mandates that fund companies adopt a long-term investment philosophy, with at least 80% of the evaluation weight on medium to long-term returns over three years [5][6] - This requirement is expected to shift advisory services away from short-term speculation towards long-term asset allocation [5] Group 4: Tailored Wealth Management - The Action Plan encourages fund companies to develop products and services that cater to diverse resident wealth management needs, particularly supporting the creation of index funds and low-volatility products [7] - Advisory services will be able to offer personalized investment plans based on precise demand profiles, ensuring that every investment aligns with individual needs [7] Group 5: Technological Empowerment - The Action Plan signals a push for digital transformation in the industry, including the launch of a direct sales platform for institutional investors, which will enhance service accessibility and reduce costs [8] - The policy also aims to lower fund sales fees, making financial services more affordable for investors [8] Group 6: Risk Management - The Action Plan emphasizes the importance of risk control, requiring that risk management be integrated throughout the advisory service process [9] - This includes preemptive risk diversification, real-time monitoring, and dynamic adjustments based on market changes [9] Group 7: Collaboration with Long-Term Funds - The Action Plan supports the entry of long-term funds into the market, enhancing the service capabilities of fund companies towards various long-term capital sources [10] - The expertise gained in managing long-term funds will benefit personal investors, optimizing retirement planning and improving portfolio resilience [10]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has experienced a structural recovery since Q4 2024, with improving market sentiment and alternating investment opportunities across multiple themes [1] Market Performance - As of September 24, the CSI 300 Index has risen by 36.22% over the past year, while actively managed equity fund indices have outperformed with a gain of 53.71% [1] - Among over 4,300 active equity funds, only 58 have achieved returns exceeding 150%, highlighting the exceptional performance of top-tier funds [1] Fund Manager Profile - Zhao Qiang, a seasoned fund manager with 22 years of experience, has demonstrated strong performance in managing public funds since 2014, achieving a return of 162.70% over the past year, ranking 10th among 1,782 peers [2] Investment Philosophy - Zhao Qiang emphasizes value investing, focusing on high-quality growth and long-term investment in superior companies, avoiding short-term market speculation [3][4] - His investment strategy is anchored in a rigorous financial model that prioritizes companies with high and stable ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) [3][5] Selection Framework - Zhao Qiang employs a "Five-Dimensional High-Quality Selection System" to evaluate companies based on high ROIC, sufficient operating cash flow, light asset models, stable demand, and high supply barriers [4] Investment Categories - Companies are categorized into three paradigms based on ROIC dynamics: 1. Stable moat companies with predictable long-term profitability 2. Accelerating growth companies with rising ROIC, indicating high growth potential 3. Fundamental turnaround companies showing rapid ROIC improvement [5] Market Outlook - Zhao Qiang identifies four key investment directions: 1. Technology innovation, particularly in AI, with strong growth potential in domestic companies benefiting from overseas demand [6][8] 2. Innovative pharmaceuticals and medical devices, supported by national policies and market trends [7][8] 3. New consumption trends driven by domestic demand stimulation, particularly among younger consumers [8] 4. Recovery in the manufacturing sector, especially in companies with strong export competitiveness and technology-driven demand [8]

Core Insights - The National Social Security Fund (NSSF) achieved an investment income of 218.418 billion yuan with an investment return rate of 8.10% for the year, and a cumulative investment income of 1,900.998 billion yuan since its establishment [1][2][3] - The NSSF's investment strategy emphasizes long-term, value, and responsible investing, aligning with China's economic growth and national strategies [1][2] Investment Performance - The NSSF's average annual investment return since inception stands at 7.39%, reflecting a strong performance in the context of China's resilient economy [1][3] - The fund's asset allocation is heavily focused on domestic investments, with 86.82% of assets allocated to domestic markets by the end of 2024, creating a positive feedback loop between economic growth and fund appreciation [1][2] Policy Environment - Recent policy improvements, including the "National Nine Articles" and guidelines for promoting long-term capital market participation, have facilitated a more predictable and transparent market environment for the NSSF [2] - These policies support the NSSF's focus on long-term investments and value discovery, enhancing its operational framework [2] Strategic Alignment - The NSSF's investment decisions are closely aligned with national strategies, focusing on sectors such as renewable energy and rural revitalization, which are expected to yield stable long-term returns [2] - The fund's approach to investment not only captures policy-driven opportunities but also aims to achieve a balance between economic benefits and social value [2] Investment Operations - The NSSF employs a professional investment operation strategy, leveraging its long-term capital advantages to navigate market volatility effectively [3] - The fund's investment philosophy resonates with other long-term capital market participants, reinforcing stability in the capital market and supporting sustainable economic growth [3] Conclusion - The NSSF's investment success underscores the importance of synchronizing with China's economic trajectory and maintaining a commitment to value investing for sustained returns [3]

Core Thesis - Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) is viewed as a compelling investment opportunity due to multiple underappreciated catalysts and a strong balance sheet, with shares trading at $32.72 as of September 24th [1][2]. Financial Metrics - DK's trailing P/E is 4.61 and forward P/E is 20.33, indicating potential undervaluation [1]. - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $1.7 billion, with potential cash from EPA-approved Renewable Identification Number (RIN) SRE refunds estimated between $600 million to $900 million, representing about 35% to 50% of its market cap [2]. Operational Strengths - Delek operates four diesel-focused refineries and benefits from favorable midstream and refining conditions, including low inventories and rising diesel cracks, which enhance margins [2]. - The company owns a majority stake in DKL, which generates over 80% of its EBITDA from third-party operations and is trading at depressed multiples, presenting an opportunity for substantial net asset value unlocking through a potential spin-off or sale [3]. Shareholder Value Initiatives - DK has initiated a $565 million share repurchase program, which could significantly reduce its 60 million share float [2]. - The company offers a 6.3% dividend yield, indicating strong shareholder alignment and capital structure [3]. Market Outlook - Analysts project significant upside from SRE relief, with partial approvals potentially adding 20% to the stock price and full approvals capable of doubling it [4]. - Despite a 144% rally in recent months, the market has not fully priced in the potential cash from RIN refunds, buybacks, DKL value, and favorable diesel macro conditions [3][4]. - The stock is trading below its sum-of-the-parts value, suggesting a potential for meaningful re-rating in the near future [4].

Group 1 - The core investment philosophy of Graham focused on finding extremely undervalued companies with easily liquidated assets [2][4] - Post-World War II, the investment landscape shifted towards low valuation investments, with overall market valuations increasing due to the baby boom and the "Nifty Fifty" bull market [4][5] - The concept of "cigar butt" investing, which involved picking up undervalued opportunities, became less prevalent as the market evolved [5] Group 2 - Graham's disciple Schloss specialized in low price-to-book ratio investments, which later influenced the development of value indices in index funds [6][7] - Buffett, influenced by Charlie Munger, began to accept the idea of buying excellent companies at reasonable prices, diverging from Graham's strict undervaluation approach [8][9] - Munger's perspective emphasized that purchasing high-quality companies at reasonable prices can still be a sound investment, as the value created by these companies will exceed the initial price paid [9]

Core Insights - The shareholder letter serves as a vital communication bridge between companies and investors, showcasing strategic vision and industry insights [1] - Companies like Berkshire Hathaway, Alibaba, and Midea Group utilize shareholder letters to convey their operational results, strategic directions, and unique investment philosophies [1][3] - The voluntary nature of these letters reflects a deeper business logic, allowing companies to actively communicate core information to the market [2] Group 1: Importance and Function of Shareholder Letters - Shareholder letters provide a narrative that explains "why" and "what" companies are doing, complementing the cold numbers of financial reports [2] - They serve as a tangible expression of corporate values, helping to manage shareholder expectations and reduce short-term market volatility [2][3] - The letters are seen as a test of corporate integrity, with discrepancies between stated goals and actual performance highlighting the importance of transparent communication [3] Group 2: Case Study of Yiatong - Yiatong's shareholder letter emphasizes a customer-centric business model and innovative service concepts, reflecting its strategic focus and commitment to value delivery [4] - The 2021 letter, written by the former secretary Zhang Lei, acknowledges past strategic shortcomings and aims to rebuild investor confidence through transparent communication [5] - The letter's structure revolves around gratitude towards stakeholders, showcasing the company's transition from a distributor to a value integrator in the supply chain industry [5][6] Group 3: Regulatory Perspective - The voluntary nature of shareholder letters highlights the interaction between market autonomy and regulatory oversight, emphasizing the need for truthful and complete information disclosure [7] - Effective capital market regulation should balance respect for market dynamics with the necessity of maintaining information integrity [7][8] - The diversity in expression within shareholder letters enriches the information ecosystem, allowing companies to communicate their strategies effectively while adhering to disclosure norms [7][8]

Core Insights - The success or failure of investments primarily hinges on the accurate judgment of profitability, which is rooted in the depth of understanding [1] - Engaging with historical perspectives and diverse knowledge through reading is essential for enhancing cognitive abilities and identifying investment value [1] Group 1: Recommended Readings - "The Possible Futures of the Next 10,000 Days" by Kevin Kelly emphasizes that future changes are not just about technological innovations but also involve transformations in social structures, interpersonal relationships, and personal growth [4] - The film "The Big Short" illustrates how independent judgment against prevailing market consensus can lead to significant financial gains, particularly during the 2008 financial crisis [6] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - Successful investment decisions that yield excess returns often stem from independent judgments that contradict market consensus [7] - Non-consensus views must be based on solid research and factual foundations; mere contrarianism does not guarantee profitability [7] - The psychological pressure associated with non-consensus investments can be immense, as evidenced by the experiences of characters in "The Big Short" who faced significant losses before their insights were validated [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the psychological struggles faced by retail investors in the stock market, emphasizing that the emotional toll of missed opportunities and self-doubt can be more painful than actual financial losses [1][3][4]. Group 1: Psychological Impact of Trading - Investors often experience intense regret and self-blame when they miss out on profitable trades, leading to feelings of inadequacy and frustration [3][4]. - The concept of "opportunity cost" is highlighted, where the pain of not capitalizing on potential gains is felt more acutely than the pain of actual losses [4][7]. - Social media and peer comparisons exacerbate feelings of isolation and failure among investors, as they witness others profiting while they struggle [4][5][8]. Group 2: Behavioral Economics and Decision-Making - The article references behavioral economics, particularly "prospect theory," which states that individuals are more sensitive to losses than to equivalent gains, making them more likely to hold onto losing positions [4][5]. - Investors often fall into the trap of "sunk cost fallacy," where they continue to invest in losing stocks in hopes of recovering past losses, rather than cutting their losses [5][12]. - The narrative of a retail investor who lost significant capital due to emotional decision-making illustrates the dangers of ignoring rational investment strategies [5][11]. Group 3: Strategies for Better Trading - The article suggests setting stop-loss orders to mitigate emotional decision-making and prevent further losses [12][13]. - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining a diversified investment approach and not relying solely on stock trading for income, which can lead to heightened stress and poor decision-making [11][14]. - The final takeaway is that successful investing requires discipline and emotional control, rather than succumbing to greed and fear [15][16].

Core Insights - The essence of successful investing lies in accurately assessing profitability, which is fundamentally tied to the depth of understanding [1] - Engaging with literature allows investors to expand their cognitive horizons and identify enduring truths amidst change [1] Group 1: Recommended Literature - "The Possible Futures of the Next 10,000 Days" by Kevin Kelly is recommended for its insights into future societal structures, interpersonal relationships, and personal growth, beyond just technological advancements [2] - The book encourages readers to actively shape the future rather than passively accept changes, providing a comprehensive view of potential future scenarios [2] Group 2: Film Recommendation - The film "The Big Short" illustrates how a few individuals foresaw the 2008 financial crisis and profited from it by shorting the housing market, highlighting the concept of non-consensus investing [3] - The film's narrative centers on the subprime mortgage crisis, showcasing how flawed financial products were misrated and sold, leading to a market collapse [3] - Key investment lessons from the film include the importance of independent judgment that contrasts with market consensus, the necessity of thorough research to support non-consensus views, and the psychological challenges faced before being proven right [3]