财达期货｜股指期货周报 财达期货｜股指期货周报 2025-8-25 研究员 姓名：李津文 从业资格号： F0244287 Z0012495 持续上攻，屡创新高 行情回顾: 上周四个股指期货品种继续大幅上行，其中沪深 300 与中证 500涨幅相对较大。四个股指期货品种基差部分仍为期货贴水模式， 贴水深度有所改善。期指主力合约期货-现货基差，IH 收于 13.39， IF 收于 16，IC 收于-12.45，IM 收于-14.34。 投资咨询号： 上周 A 股延续了此前的普涨态势。在日均成交额逼近 2.6 万亿 关口的环境下，沪指突破 2021 年牛市高点并站上 3800 点，向上进 攻态势明显。截至 8 月 22 日，板块已经出现了轮动，但是还是在 近期强势的板块，涨幅较大的板块已经滞涨，低位切换的并不明显。 整体看，强势运行是市场给出的态度，但放大周期看风险还是存在 的。 综合分析： 从各类资金情况来看，此轮行情持续到现在主要的发起者和推 动者并非散户；事实上本轮行情从起步到加速，核心线索都是围绕 产业趋势和业绩。随着之前发行的产品整体步入盈亏平衡区域，市 场会有个新旧资金接力的过程；未来行情的延续需要的是 ...

Group 1 - The current market rally is primarily driven by high-net-worth individuals and corporate clients rather than retail investors, with a significant focus on industrial trends and performance [1][2] - High-net-worth individuals are shifting their investments from traditional industries to emerging sectors and leading companies within traditional industries [2][3] - The enthusiasm for private equity products targeting high-net-worth clients is significantly higher than that for public funds, with private equity products maintaining high levels of interest [3][4] Group 2 - The recent market rally is characterized by a structural difference in incremental liquidity, primarily coming from sophisticated investors rather than retail investors, contrasting with previous market cycles [5][6] - The current market's cash-to-market capitalization ratio is approximately 8.07%, which is within a reasonable range compared to previous market uptrends [7][8] - The weighted net value of actively managed public funds issued between 2020 and 2021 has recently approached the breakeven point, indicating potential for concentrated redemptions [8][9] Group 3 - Key sectors to focus on include resources, innovative pharmaceuticals, gaming, and military industries, with an increasing interest in chemicals and consumer electronics [9][10] - The upcoming September consumer electronics product launches are expected to create significant thematic investment opportunities [10]

格隆汇8月24日｜中信证券发布策略研报称，从各类资金情况来看，此轮行情持续到现在主要的发起者 和推动者并非散户；事实上本轮行情从起步到加速，核心线索都是围绕产业趋势和业绩；既然都是聪明 的钱入场占主导地位，就不能执迷于类比过往行情走势。随着2020—2021年发行的产品整体步入盈亏平 衡区域，市场会有个新旧资金接力的过程；未来行情的延续需要的是新的配置线索，而不是拘泥于"钱 多"和流动性。配置上，建议继续聚焦资源、创新药、游戏和军工，开始关注化工，逐步增配一些"反内 卷+出海"品种，9月消费电子板块也值得关注。 ...

中信证券研报指出，从各类资金情况来看，此轮行情持续到现在主要的发起者和推动者并非散户；事实 上本轮行情从起步到加速，核心线索都是围绕产业趋势和业绩；既然都是聪明的钱入场占主导地位，就 不能执迷于类比过往行情走势。随着2020~2021年发行的产品整体步入盈亏平衡区域，市场会有个新旧 资金接力的过程；未来行情的延续需要的是新的配置线索，而不是拘泥于"钱多"和流动性。配置上，建 议继续聚焦资源、创新药、游戏和军工，开始关注化工，逐步增配一些"反内卷+出海"品种，9月消费电 子板块也值得关注。 ...

Company Overview - Dabo Medical's closing price on August 19 was 57.88 yuan, down 3.06%, with a rolling PE ratio of 60.18 times and a total market value of 23.963 billion yuan [1] - The company operates in the high-value medical consumables sector, focusing on the production, research, and sales of various medical devices including intramedullary nails, external fixators, and joint prostheses [1] Financial Performance - For the first quarter of 2025, Dabo Medical reported revenue of 550 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.80%, and a net profit of 103 million yuan, up 67.04%, with a gross profit margin of 69.64% [1] Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio for the medical device industry is 59.49 times, with a median of 40.19 times, placing Dabo Medical at the 89th position in the industry ranking [1] - The company has a total of 9 institutional investors holding shares, with a combined holding of 4.8226 million shares valued at 175 million yuan [1] Market Position - Dabo Medical's PE ratio is higher than the industry average and median, indicating a premium valuation compared to peers [2] - The company is positioned within a competitive landscape, with various other medical device companies having lower PE ratios, such as Jiuan Medical at 11.65 times and Yiyue Medical at 20.37 times [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and valuation of Lianhong New Materials Technology Co., Ltd., with a closing price of 18.48 yuan, marking a 10.00% increase, and a rolling PE ratio of 97.01, the lowest in 381 days [1] - The company's total market capitalization stands at 24.681 billion yuan, while the average PE ratio for the chemical products industry is 51.29, with a median of 44.26, placing Lianhong New Materials at the 143rd position in the industry ranking [1][3] - As of the 2025 semi-annual report, 11 institutions hold shares in Lianhong New Materials, with a total holding of 1,080.12 million shares valued at 17.098 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Lianhong New Materials specializes in the research, production, and sales of advanced polymer materials and specialty fine materials, with key products including EVA, VA, UHMWPE, PLA, and others [2] - The company has received multiple accolades, including being listed in the "2024 China Brand Value Evaluation Information List" and the "2024 Top 100 New Materials Companies in China" [2] - For the latest performance, the company reported a revenue of 2.911 billion yuan for the 2025 semi-annual report, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 12.13%, while net profit was 161 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 14.15%, with a sales gross margin of 19.64% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Core International, has experienced a decline in stock price and is currently underperforming compared to its industry peers in terms of price-to-earnings ratio (PE) and market capitalization [1][2]. Company Summary - Core International's stock closed at 25.73 yuan, down 5.09%, with a rolling PE of 22.76 times and a total market capitalization of 5.064 billion yuan [1]. - The company operates in the professional services sector, providing comprehensive human resource service solutions, including high-end talent search, recruitment process outsourcing, flexible employment, and technical services [1]. - Recent awards include the 2024 Best Global Human Resource Service Agency and recognition as one of Beijing's top 100 private enterprises [1]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.303 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.13%, and a net profit of 57.7839 million yuan, up 42.15%, with a gross profit margin of 5.52% [1]. Industry Comparison - The average PE ratio for the professional services industry is 52.18 times, with a median of 34.96 times, positioning Core International at 14th place within the industry [1][2]. - The industry average market capitalization is 5.516 billion yuan, while the median is 4.448 billion yuan [2].

Core Viewpoint - The recent financial report of Zhenhua Technology (000733) indicates a significant decline in both revenue and net profit for Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, raising concerns about the company's financial health and operational efficiency [1]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was 908 million yuan, a decrease of 10.45% year-on-year from 1.014 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 58.51 million yuan, down 42.6% from 102 million yuan in Q1 2024 [1]. - The gross profit margin decreased to 42.49%, down 10.66% year-on-year, while the net profit margin fell to 6.45%, a decline of 35.84% [1]. - The company's operating cash flow per share was -0.05 yuan, a significant drop of 121.51% compared to 0.25 yuan in the previous year [1]. Accounts Receivable and Debt - The accounts receivable amount was substantial, with accounts receivable to net profit ratio reaching 501.59%, indicating potential liquidity issues [1][3]. - Interest-bearing liabilities decreased to 1.124 billion yuan, down 16.69% from 1.349 billion yuan in the previous year [1]. Market Position and Analyst Expectations - Analysts expect Zhenhua Technology's performance for 2025 to reach 1.134 billion yuan in revenue, with an average earnings per share of 2.05 yuan [3]. - The company has a healthy cash asset position, with total cash assets reported at 3.132 billion yuan, an increase of 20.23% year-on-year [1][3]. Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Zhenhua Technology is the E Fund National Defense and Military Industry Mixed A, which has increased its position [4]. - Other funds have shown varied interest, with some increasing their holdings while others have reduced their positions [4]. Order Situation - The company reported a growth trend in new orders, indicating a positive outlook for future production and delivery [5].