量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20260220） [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 中盘股或先开启上行趋势 本报告导读： 从技术面来看，高频资金流模型继续显示各大宽基指数信号依旧为负向，但偏向左 侧布局的情绪模型信号转正。结合春节后的日历效应，我们认为，以中证 500 指数 为首的中盘股或先开启上行趋势。 投资要点： | | | | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 曹君豪(分析师) | | | 021-23185657 | | | caojunhao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040094 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 金 融 工 程 周 报 高频选股因子周报（20260209-20260213） 2026.02.16 低频选股因子周报（2026.02.06-2026.02.13） 2026.02.14 绝对收益产品及策略周报（260202-260206） 2026.02.11 大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of AVIC Aircraft has shown a mixed performance with a year-to-date increase of 16.39%, but a recent decline of 1.82% over the last five trading days, indicating volatility in investor sentiment [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, AVIC Aircraft reported a revenue of 16.774 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.25%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.73% to 990 million yuan [2]. - Cumulatively, AVIC Aircraft has distributed 2.952 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.626 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of January 20, 2025, the number of shareholders for AVIC Aircraft was 213,900, a decrease of 4.37% from the previous period. The average number of tradable shares per shareholder increased by 4.57% to 22,621 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, the Fortune CSI Military Industry Leader ETF (512710) ranked seventh with a holding of 54.6309 million shares, an increase of 8.1497 million shares from the previous period. The Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF (510300) ranked ninth with a holding of 41.2569 million shares, a decrease of 1.9286 million shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Port experienced a decline of 2.26% in stock price, with a trading volume of 298 million yuan and a market capitalization of 61.665 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. is located in Qingdao, Shandong Province, and was established on November 15, 2013, with its listing date on January 21, 2019 [6] - The company primarily engages in the loading and unloading of various goods, including containers, metal ores, coal, and crude oil, as well as logistics and port value-added services [6] - The revenue composition of the company includes 56.72% from loading and related services, 36.96% from logistics and port value-added services, and smaller percentages from other port-related services [6] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Qingdao Port achieved an operating income of 14.238 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.180 billion yuan, with a growth of 6.33% [6] - The company has distributed a total of 13.77 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.638 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [7] Group 3: Market Position and Strategic Initiatives - Qingdao Port is strategically positioned in the center of the Bohai Sea and Yangtze River Delta port clusters, benefiting from the China-South Korea Free Trade Agreement and the Belt and Road Initiative [2] - The company has signed a cooperation agreement with Huawei to accelerate the development of smart port operations in major domestic ports [3] Group 4: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Qingdao Port increased to 38,300, reflecting a growth of 7.23% [6] - The top ten circulating shareholders include various institutional investors, with notable increases in holdings from Southern S&P China A-share Large Cap Dividend Low Volatility ETF and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited [8]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Port's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.06% and a year-to-date increase of 14.15%, indicating volatility in market performance [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Qingdao Port achieved a revenue of 14.238 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.86%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.180 billion yuan, up by 6.33% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Qingdao Port has distributed a total of 13.770 billion yuan in dividends, with 6.638 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Qingdao Port increased to 38,300, marking a rise of 7.23% compared to the previous period [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable entities such as the Southern S&P China A-share Large Cap Dividend Low Volatility 50 ETF, which increased its holdings by 2.884 million shares, and the Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which raised its stake by 3.0728 million shares [3]. Market Activity - On February 6, Qingdao Port's stock traded at 9.52 yuan per share, with a total transaction volume of 244 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.47%, indicating active trading [1]. - The stock has seen a slight decline of 0.10% over the last five trading days, but a significant increase of 13.74% over the past 20 days [1]. Business Overview - Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. specializes in the handling and logistics of various goods, including containers, metal ores, coal, and crude oil, with its main business revenue sources being cargo handling and related services (56.72%) and logistics and port value-added services (36.96%) [1].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongkuang Resources experienced a decline in stock price, with a drop of 2.14% on February 5, 2025, closing at 81.86 yuan per share, and a total market capitalization of 59.061 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongkuang Resources reported a revenue of 4.818 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 62.58% to 204 million yuan [2] - The company has cumulatively distributed dividends of 1.728 billion yuan since its A-share listing, with 1.592 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Stock Market Activity - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 4.21%, but has declined by 11.95% over the last five trading days. In the last 20 days, the stock rose by 1.06%, and over the past 60 days, it increased by 38.18% [1] - Zhongkuang Resources has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with a net buy of -119 million yuan on January 8, 2025, where total purchases amounted to 568 million yuan, accounting for 15.88% of total trading volume [1] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 11.15% to 58,600, with an average of 12,139 circulating shares per shareholder, which is an increase of 12.55% [2] - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 17.3965 million shares, an increase of 988,800 shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Port is positioned favorably due to its strategic location and recent developments, including a cooperation agreement with Huawei to enhance smart port operations, which may lead to growth opportunities in the shipping and logistics sectors [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. is located in Qingdao, Shandong Province, and was established on November 15, 2013, with its listing date on January 21, 2019 [6]. - The company primarily engages in the handling of containers, metal ores, coal, crude oil, and provides logistics and port value-added services, with the revenue composition being 56.72% from handling and related services, 36.96% from logistics and port value-added services, and smaller percentages from other port-related services [6]. - As of September 30, 2025, Qingdao Port achieved an operating revenue of 14.238 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.86%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.180 billion yuan, with a growth of 6.33% [6]. Group 2: Market Performance - On February 4, Qingdao Port's stock rose by 0.51%, with a trading volume of 281 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.53%, leading to a total market capitalization of 63.548 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 26.8367 million yuan from major investors today, with a ranking of 34 out of 35 in its industry, indicating a trend of reduced holdings by major funds over the past three days [3][4]. - The average trading cost of the stock is 8.18 yuan, and it is approaching a resistance level of 9.93 yuan, suggesting potential for upward movement if this level is surpassed [5]. Group 3: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of Qingdao Port include notable funds such as the Southern S&P China A-share Large Cap Dividend Low Volatility ETF, which increased its holdings by 2.584 million shares, and the Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which also raised its stake by 3.0728 million shares [8].

Market Overview - The A-share market closed with an overall increase in January 2026, with major indices recording gains, particularly the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index leading the market [1] - Excluding new stocks, the average increase for individual stocks was nearly 7.8%, with a median increase of approximately 4.9% [1] Index Performance - There was a notable divergence in performance between large-cap and small-cap stocks, with small-cap indices like the Guozheng 2000 and CSI 2000 rising by 9.13% and 8.16% respectively, while large-cap indices such as the SSE 50 and CSI 300 had gains of less than 2% [3] - Among the 12 stocks with a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion yuan, three-quarters experienced declines, with a median drop of 4.6% [3] Individual Stock Performance - Major banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and China Construction Bank saw declines of 8.58%, 12.50%, and 6.03% respectively [4] - Conversely, China Life Insurance recorded a gain of 9.27%, while Kweichow Moutai increased by 1.73% [4] Market Capitalization Analysis - In the small-cap segment, 78.7% of stocks with a market capitalization below 5 billion yuan increased, with an average gain of 7.8% and a median gain of nearly 5.8% [5] - Mid-cap stocks, particularly those with market capitalizations between 50 billion and 100 billion yuan, performed actively with an average increase of nearly 9% [5] ETF Trends - The performance of dividend-related ETFs showed divergence, with the low-volatility dividend ETF from Huatai-PB increasing by 8.00%, while the dividend ETF from Wanji recorded a decrease of 14.88% [7] Historical Trends - Historically, the Shanghai Composite Index has shown an 80% increase rate in February over the past decade, with an average gain of 2.1% [8] - In the past ten years, 30 out of 31 sectors in the Shenwan first-level classification recorded gains in February, with the banking sector slightly declining by about 0.3% [10]

Core Viewpoint - Yiling Pharmaceutical's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a year-to-date increase of 5.27%, indicating mixed market sentiment towards the company [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 29, Yiling Pharmaceutical's stock price was 17.97 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 30.023 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has experienced a 1.96% decline over the last five trading days, but a 5.09% increase over the last 20 days [1]. - The company has seen a net outflow of 619.48 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure from large orders [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yiling Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of 5.868 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.82%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1 billion yuan, reflecting an 80.33% increase year-on-year [2]. - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 4.455 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.838 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 10.22% to 152,700, while the average number of circulating shares per person increased by 11.38% to 9,013 shares [2]. - The top circulating shareholder, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, increased its holdings by 8.1119 million shares, while Southern CSI 500 ETF reduced its holdings by 256,900 shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Ruichuang Micro-Nano has shown significant growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 19.64% and notable gains over various trading periods, indicating strong market interest and performance [2]. Stock Performance - As of January 28, Ruichuang Micro-Nano's stock price was 120.60 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 55.505 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 16.53% over the last five trading days, 28.57% over the last 20 days, and 49.78% over the last 60 days [2]. - The company has appeared on the "龙虎榜" (Dragon and Tiger List) once this year, with a net buy of 33.0318 million CNY on January 23 [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Ruichuang Micro-Nano reported a revenue of 4.086 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.72%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 707 million CNY, up 46.21% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 331 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 199 million CNY distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 14,400, with an average of 31,954 shares held per shareholder, a decrease of 3.63% from the previous period [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in their holdings [3].

截至9月30日，先导智能股东户数28.09万，较上期增加162.02%；人均流通股5551股，较上期减少 61.84%。2025年1月-9月，先导智能实现营业收入104.39亿元，同比增长14.56%；归母净利润11.86亿 元，同比增长94.97%。 1月28日，先导智能盘中下跌2.03%，截至09:45，报59.93元/股，成交8.18亿元，换手率0.87%，总市值 938.60亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出7163.59万元，特大单买入9867.95万元，占比12.06%，卖出1.24亿元， 占比15.20%；大单买入1.50亿元，占比18.33%，卖出1.96亿元，占比23.94%。 先导智能今年以来股价涨19.91%，近5个交易日涨1.73%，近20日涨18.60%，近60日涨9.36%。 资料显示，无锡先导智能装备股份有限公司位于江苏省无锡市新吴区新锡路20号(经营场所:无锡市新吴 区新洲路18号),香港湾仔皇后大道东183号合和中心46楼，成立日期2002年4月30日，上市日期2015年5 月18日，公司主营业务涉及专业从事自动化成套设备的研发、设计、生产与销售以及自动化整体解决方 案。主 ...