Core Viewpoint - The overall decline in corporate profits has narrowed in July, showing a differentiated structure primarily due to profit recovery driven by "anti-involution" policies, supply contraction, price increases, and support from high-end manufacturing demand, while downstream consumer demand remains weak, leading to marginal profit shrinkage in downstream industries [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Corporate Profit Trends - In July, the decline in corporate profits showed signs of narrowing, indicating a potential recovery phase [1] - The recovery is largely dependent on supply-side adjustments and price increases rather than robust consumer demand [1] Structural Analysis - The profit recovery is characterized by a structural divergence, with some sectors benefiting from high-end manufacturing demand while others face challenges due to weak downstream consumption [1] - Downstream industries are experiencing marginal profit shrinkage, highlighting the uneven nature of the recovery [1] Inventory Cycle and Policy Impact - The current inventory cycle is marked by proactive destocking driven by policy measures [1] - For a comprehensive recovery in corporate profits, there is a need for policy initiatives to stimulate downstream demand, transitioning from structural recovery to a broader profit rebound [1]

报告导读： 企业利润整体跌幅收窄但结构分化，利润全面修复有待政策驱动下游需求改 善。 报告来源 以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已发布的证券研究报告。 报告名称： 利润改善，结构分化；报告日期：2025.08.28 报告作者： 李林芷（分析师），登记编号：S0880525040087 梁中华（分析师），登记编号：S0880525040019 重要提醒 本订阅号所载内容仅面向国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户。因本资料暂时无法设置访问限制，根据《证 券期货投资者适当性管理办法》的要求，若您并非国泰海通证券研究服务签约客户，为保证服务质量、 控制投资风险，还请取消关注，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。我们对由此给您造成的 不便表示诚挚歉意，非常感谢您的理解与配合！如有任何疑问，敬请按照文末联系方式与我们联系。 法律声明 7 月企业利润整体跌幅收窄，结构上呈现分化格局，这主要是由于当前的利润修复，主要依靠"反内卷"政策下的供给收缩和涨价，以及部分高端制造业的需求 支撑，但下游消费性需求较平淡，使得下游行业利润仍边际收缩。库存周期来看，当前处于政策驱动下的主动去库。未来企业利润全面修复需政策发力提振下 游需求，推动利润 ...