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特斯拉电话会让市场失望,马斯克下调机器人和Robotaxi目标,称“特斯拉处于关键时刻”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-10-23 01:17
然而,马斯克也同时下调Optimus和Robotaxi的近期推进目标,显示出即便是最激进的技术愿景,在落 地时也必须面对现实挑战。 他预计,到2025年底,特斯拉将在奥斯汀的部分地区移除Robotaxi内的安全驾驶员,并将该服务扩展至 8到10个城市,较此前覆盖50%美国人口的目标明显收窄。同时,专为完全自动驾驶设计、不含方向盘 和踏板的Cybercab计划于2026年第二季度开始生产。 对于Optimus,马斯克给出了一个更为谨慎的更新时间表,其生产线启动时间推迟至2026年底前。他直 言不讳地表示,如果没有"强大的影响力",他对于领导公司打造一支"机器人军队"感到不安,这直接指 向了即将到来的关于其薪酬和控制权的股东投票。 尽管特斯拉公布了创纪录的第三季度营收和自由现金流,但市场的目光显然被公司的AI叙事所吸引。 对长期、资本密集型AI项目的强调,共同重塑了特斯拉的投资故事——一个从硬件制造商向人工智能 巨头转型的宏大叙事正在展开。 特斯拉的未来不再仅仅是电动汽车。在10月22日的第三季度财报电话会议上,首席执行官马斯克几乎没 有花时间讨论汽车市场,而是将叙事重心彻底转向人工智能、自动驾驶出租车(Robo ...
从造车迈向“造人”,特斯拉下一个十年大计出炉
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-30 01:21
Core Insights - The article discusses Tesla's ambitious plans, including a $1 trillion compensation incentive for CEO Elon Musk, aimed at transforming the company's market value of $8.5 trillion [12][14][18] - The production and delivery of the Cybertruck have faced significant delays and challenges, with only 46,000 units delivered by mid-2023 despite a target of 2 million pre-orders [1][3] - Tesla's shift towards artificial intelligence and robotics, particularly with projects like Cybercab and Optimus, indicates a strategic pivot away from traditional vehicle manufacturing [19][23][28] Group 1: Compensation Plan - Tesla's board has approved an unprecedented 10-year compensation plan for Musk, potentially worth $1 trillion if all performance milestones are met [12][14] - The plan includes 12 market value targets starting at $2 trillion, operational goals such as delivering 20 million vehicles, and profitability targets based on EBITDA [16][18] - A minimum market value threshold of $2 trillion must be achieved for Musk to receive any compensation, ensuring alignment with Tesla's long-term growth [18][19] Group 2: Production Challenges - The Cybertruck's final production model has deviated from its original design, returning to traditional structures due to production limitations and battery supply issues [3][5] - The Semi Truck has also faced delays, reducing its potential impact in the commercial vehicle market [5][6] - Tesla's overall vehicle production has entered a plateau phase, with a significant drop in sales across various markets [36][39] Group 3: Strategic Shift - Tesla is increasingly positioning itself as a provider of AI and robotics solutions, moving beyond its core automotive business [19][23][28] - The company aims to integrate AI into its existing product lines, with a focus on sustainable development and innovation [28][30] - The Shanghai Gigafactory is expected to play a crucial role in Tesla's future operations, particularly in the Asia-Pacific market [39][40]
史诗级!特斯拉AI芯片大动作,马斯克发声!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-07 05:07
Group 1 - Elon Musk announced a successful design review for Tesla's AI5 chip, which is expected to be an epic chip, while the upcoming AI6 is anticipated to be the best AI chip to date [2] - Musk stated that for models with fewer than 250 billion parameters, AI5 is likely the best reasoning chip in all categories, with the lowest cost and the best performance-to-power ratio [5] - The shift from developing two chip architectures to focusing on one allows Tesla's chip talent to concentrate on creating an outstanding chip, which Musk considers a wise decision [6] Group 2 - Tesla has disbanded its internal Dojo supercomputer team, which was responsible for building a high-performance computing platform for training autonomous driving systems and AI models, indicating challenges in developing self-reliant autonomous driving technology chips [7] - Approximately 20 core members of the Dojo team have joined a new AI startup, Density AI, while remaining employees will be reassigned to other data centers or computing-related projects [7] - Tesla's increasing reliance on external partners like NVIDIA, AMD, and Samsung for high-end GPUs and AI chips allows the company to maintain strong AI training performance without bearing all R&D and hardware costs [7] Group 3 - The strategic shift in Tesla's AI chip development reflects its determination to gain control over core chip technology and build a more complete ecosystem [8] - Tesla's "Master Plan" outlines the integration of AI, automation, and large-scale manufacturing to accelerate the transition to sustainable prosperity [8] - A proposal for a substantial compensation package for CEO Musk, valued at approximately $975 billion, is set to be voted on at the upcoming shareholder meeting [8]
特斯拉的Master Plan,没有了特斯拉,也没有了Plan
创业邦· 2025-09-05 03:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the release of Tesla's Master Plan Part IV, highlighting its lack of concrete data and industry insights compared to previous plans, suggesting a shift in focus towards AI and robotics rather than traditional automotive goals [7][21][22]. Summary by Sections Master Plan Overview - The Master Plan IV is described as an "epic" but ultimately lacks substantial content, being more of a philosophical declaration than a detailed roadmap [14][21]. - The principles outlined in the plan emphasize unlimited growth, innovation breaking constraints, technology solving tangible problems, and the necessity of automation benefiting humanity [15][16][44][49]. Comparison with Previous Plans - Unlike Master Plan III, which was comprehensive with 41 pages of detailed data and actionable goals, Master Plan IV is criticized for its vagueness and absence of specific metrics or targets [22][24]. - The article notes that Tesla's automotive business is mentioned only once, with the focus shifting predominantly to AI and robotics [20]. Future Directions - Elon Musk's assertion that 80% of Tesla's future value will come from robotics is highlighted, although this statement is not included in the official report [22]. - The article suggests that the narrative around Tesla is evolving, with Musk's role transitioning from a practical innovator to a more politically charged figure, paralleling the rise of Sam Altman and OpenAI in the tech landscape [28][31][34]. Conclusion - The article concludes that the Master Plan IV reflects a broader change in Tesla's identity and mission, moving towards a vision of sustainable prosperity through advanced technology and AI integration [43][59].
特斯拉的Master Plan,没有了特斯拉,也没有了Plan
虎嗅APP· 2025-09-04 13:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Tesla's Master Plan Part IV, highlighting its lack of concrete business goals and data compared to previous plans, suggesting a shift in Musk's focus from practical innovation to broader, less defined aspirations in AI and robotics [14][16][22]. Summary by Sections Introduction - Tesla's Master Plan IV aims to create a sustainable and prosperous world through the integration of AI and robotics, building on two decades of foundational work in electric vehicles and energy products [29][30]. Guiding Principles - Growth is infinite: The article emphasizes that growth in one area does not necessitate decline in another, advocating for technological advancements to create more opportunities [32]. - Technology solves real problems: Products developed during the transition to sustainable prosperity are expected to address real-world issues, enhancing efficiency and sustainability [36]. - Autonomous technology must benefit humanity: Tesla's mission is to develop tools that improve human conditions through autonomous technology [38]. - Broader accessibility drives greater growth: The article argues that a prosperous society requires advanced technologies to be affordable and scalable for everyone [39]. - Accelerating the transition to sustainable prosperity: The article acknowledges the challenges ahead but emphasizes the importance of perseverance in overcoming obstacles [41]. Conclusion - The article concludes that Tesla is on the brink of a revolutionary era that will redefine work, mobility, and energy systems, aiming for a world of sustainable abundance that benefits all [42].
特斯拉的Master Plan,没有了特斯拉,也没有了Plan
Hu Xiu· 2025-09-04 03:11
Core Insights - The article discusses the release of Tesla's Master Plan Part IV, which has generated mixed reactions and lacks the depth and specificity of previous plans [1][9][14]. Group 1: Master Plan Overview - Master Plan Part IV is described as an "epic" but ultimately lacks concrete data and industry-specific goals, making it feel more like a declaration than a strategic plan [9][14][15]. - The plan emphasizes principles such as unlimited growth, innovation breaking constraints, and the necessity of automation benefiting humanity [10][11][36]. Group 2: Public Reception - The announcement received minimal engagement on social media, with only 42 likes on Tesla's Weibo account and 15K likes on X, compared to a much higher engagement on unrelated posts by Musk [3][6]. - The lack of detailed metrics and industry insights contrasts sharply with the comprehensive nature of Master Plan Part 3, which included extensive data and a clear roadmap [16][20]. Group 3: Future Focus - Musk has stated that 80% of Tesla's future value will come from robotics, a claim that has been widely reported but not elaborated upon in the Master Plan itself [15][22]. - The plan suggests a shift in focus from electric vehicles to AI and robotics, indicating a broader vision for Tesla's role in future technological advancements [13][34][52].
对话特斯拉前工程师:独家解读特斯拉宏伟蓝图第四篇章,万字蓝图的真正野心是什么?
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-04 02:15
Core Insights - Tesla's "Master Plan Part IV" redefines its identity from an electric vehicle manufacturer to a broader vision encompassing AI, robotics, and sustainable abundance [1][3][9] Group 1: Strategic Vision - The evolution of Tesla's Master Plan series reflects an expanding strategic vision, with Part IV focusing on "Sustainable Abundance" as a new economic paradigm [4][8] - Five guiding principles are proposed to achieve this vision, emphasizing unlimited growth through technological innovation and the democratization of technology [8] Group 2: Technological Foundations - Tesla's future value is projected to derive significantly from its humanoid robot, Optimus, with expectations that the humanoid robot market could reach $5 trillion by 2050 [10] - The ambitious timeline for Optimus includes a prototype release by the end of 2025 and a production target of 1 million units annually by 2026 [12] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The transition from traditional automotive to a mobile AI ecosystem and the integration of robotics could fundamentally reshape industry boundaries [15] - Tesla's unique vertical integration across the supply chain positions it favorably in the competitive robotics landscape [12] Group 4: Commercialization and Efficiency - Tesla is moving towards the commercialization of its autonomous driving technology, with plans to launch Robotaxi services in multiple regions by the end of 2025 [13] - The potential for Robotaxi to enhance vehicle utilization from 10 hours to 80-100 hours per week signifies a revolutionary improvement in transportation efficiency [13] Group 5: Challenges and Skepticism - Historical commitments from Tesla raise concerns about the feasibility of its ambitious plans, with past promises remaining unfulfilled [16][20] - The market's confidence in the new plan may be undermined by previous delays and the competitive landscape, particularly with rivals launching similar products sooner [18][20]
马斯克又来“画大饼”了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 16:28
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is integrating hardware and software on a large scale to create a range of products and services that deeply incorporate artificial intelligence into the real world, aiming for a safer, cleaner, and better world [3] Group 1: Tesla's Vision and Strategy - Tesla envisions electric vehicles and humanoid robots as key components in transforming mobility and labor, with autonomous driving technology at the core of this vision [5] - Elon Musk indicated that approximately 80% of Tesla's future value will come from the Optimus humanoid robot project, shifting the company's focus from "energy sustainability" to "reshaping productivity with AI" [6] - Musk anticipates skepticism regarding this ambitious transformation, as some may view it as an impossible task or a mere fantasy without concrete plans [7] Group 2: Guiding Principles for Sustainable Prosperity - Musk outlined five guiding principles for achieving "sustainable prosperity": 1. Technological advancements can solve resource scarcity issues [9] 2. Innovation can break through constraints, similar to how internal combustion engines replaced horses [10] 3. Technology can address real-world problems, enhancing the availability and reliability of clean energy [11] 4. Automation must benefit all of humanity [12] 5. The more inclusive the technology, the more prosperous society will be [13] - These principles suggest a vision where machines create machines and serve humanity, hinting at high cost-performance products and potential regulatory considerations [15] Group 3: Progress and Challenges - Reflecting on Tesla's previous chapters, the ambitious goals of the fourth chapter appear daunting, especially given the unmet targets from earlier plans [16] - The first chapter set a three-step goal, with the third step of creating a more affordable electric vehicle still unfulfilled, and the zero-emission energy goal not yet meeting global standards [17] - The second chapter aimed to create an integrated energy ecosystem and expand product lines, but progress has been slower than expected [19] - The third chapter set quantitative targets for energy storage and renewable power equipment, but achieving these goals will take decades [22] - The fourth chapter seems more like a prelude to the release of Optimus, which is planned for this year, with mass production expected next year [24] Group 4: Market Reactions and Future Outlook - Following the release of the fourth chapter, Tesla's stock price declined for two consecutive days, reflecting market skepticism about the ambitious goals [25] - However, there are indications of interest from major logistics companies in North America, suggesting potential orders for the robots if initial production meets expectations [25] - The realization of a "robot utopia" hinges on the global robot population and profitability, aiming for a self-training cycle that could integrate high-performance robots into everyday life [25]
特斯拉未来重心转向AI,押注机器人走向车间
Core Insights - Tesla's "Master Plan" is a significant milestone in the global tech industry, with the fourth chapter focusing on integrating AI, automation, and large-scale manufacturing to accelerate the transition to sustainable prosperity [1][2] - The fourth chapter emphasizes products and technologies that promote prosperity, including solar power, battery storage, autonomous vehicles, and the Optimus robot, which is designed to replace humans in repetitive and dangerous tasks [1][3] - The rapid release of the fourth chapter, just two and a half years after the third, indicates a shift in Tesla's strategic focus from electric vehicles to AI-driven initiatives, which could be a pivotal moment for the company's future [1][3] Summary by Sections Master Plan Overview - The fourth chapter of the "Master Plan" aims to redefine fundamental elements of labor, transportation, and energy on a large scale, aspiring to create a sustainable and prosperous world [2] - Unlike previous chapters, the fourth chapter lacks specific implementation details, leading to criticism regarding its substance [4][6] Focus on Optimus Robot - Tesla's focus on the Optimus robot aims to change perceptions of labor and improve workforce availability and performance, with the goal of allowing people to pursue their passions [3] - Elon Musk stated that 80% of Tesla's future value will come from robots, suggesting a significant pivot in the company's value proposition [3] Historical Context - Previous chapters of the "Master Plan" had clear goals, such as developing reliable electric vehicles, solar energy utilization, and comprehensive energy storage solutions [5] - The lack of concrete plans in the fourth chapter has raised concerns that the second chapter's objectives have not yet been fully realized [6] Industrial Focus - Tesla's shift towards industrial applications for the Optimus robot follows internal challenges and a strategic pivot to focus on industrial scenarios, as indicated by leadership changes and project adjustments [6] - The broader industry trend shows a movement from entertainment-focused robots to those designed for industrial applications, with expectations of significant advancements in the next few years [7]
特斯拉“宏图计划4”发布:大规模地将AI融入物理世界,未来80%的价值在于机器人
美股研究社· 2025-09-03 12:56
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's latest "Master Plan Part IV" shifts the company's focus from electric vehicles and energy to artificial intelligence and robotics, aiming to create a "sustainable abundance" society through AI integration into the physical world [3][6]. Group 1: Vision and Goals - The ultimate goal defined in the plan is to achieve "unconstrained sustainability without compromise" [6]. - The plan emphasizes that Tesla has been building the foundation for nearly two decades in electric vehicles, energy products, and humanoid robots [6]. - Five guiding principles are introduced, asserting that the company is entering an unprecedented growth phase, which is described as a leap for both Tesla and humanity [6][10]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The market response to Tesla's ambitious vision is mixed, with some viewing it as a redefinition of large-scale autonomous driving [8]. - Critics argue that the plan lacks concrete execution paths and is seen as vague promises regarding AI, with some media commentators describing it as a collection of ambiguous AI commitments [4][13]. - There are concerns about Tesla's ability to attract top AI talent compared to competitors like OpenAI, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon, due to Elon Musk's management style and company culture [15][17]. Group 3: Criticism of the Plan - Critics highlight that the plan appears to be more of a marketing document rather than a coherent strategy, contrasting it with previous plans that had clearer, actionable steps [21]. - There is skepticism regarding the feasibility of delivering a humanoid robot capable of performing useful tasks at an affordable price, with calls for Tesla to first prove its ability to create such a robot [14]. - The plan is perceived by some as an attempt to placate shareholders with fantasies of infinite growth in AI stocks, lacking substantial evidence of progress [13][15].