期货热点追踪 铁矿石期货价格反弹，中国需求支撑价格，特朗普贸易政策影响以及铁矿石期货估值超前，市场是否存 在回调风险？ 相关链接 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is showing signs of weakness despite not having a clear top signal, indicating potential short-term adjustment risks [1][2] Group 1: Market Signals - The willingness of major funds to buy has started to decline, with noticeable distribution and high selling during the early trading session, suggesting increased pressure for a short-term market pullback [1] - Rapid rotation among market sectors is observed, with key sectors like military and brokerage showing weakness after previously strong performances, indicating a lack of support from large funds [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Although the market remains above the 5-day moving average, the gap created after today's jump may lead to a pullback towards the 5-day moving average, further increasing short-term market adjustment pressure [2] - A weak signal has been given today, and without significant positive news tomorrow, a short-term market pullback is likely [2]

然而，美联储（Fed）官员已对潜在的滞胀表示担忧。行长迈克尔·巴尔警告称，提高关税可能会扰乱供 应链。 从日线图来看，布林带显示，美元兑加元汇率已经从上轨1.4186回落，但仍处于中轨1.3909附近，表明 上行趋势并未完全结束。 MACD指标显示，DIFF线与DEA线目前交叉向上，MACD柱状图由负转正，表明短期动能正在积累， 有利于美元对加元汇率反弹。同时，RSI指标处于48附近的中性区域，并没有出现明显的超买或超卖信 号，这意味着汇价仍有进一步上行的空间。 值得注意的是，CCI指标近期从超卖区域(-130)急速反弹至目前的190.8837水平，已经进入超买区域，这 可能预示短期内存在回调风险。 周一（5月12日）亚市盘中，加拿大劳动力市场数据公布后，美元/加元升至接近1.3920。加拿大失业率 以快于预期的速度加速上升至6.9%。美元兑加元正试图连续第四个交易日保持其位置，美元/加元徘徊 在1.3940左右。该货币对得到支持，因为随着周末在瑞士举行的美中贸易谈判取得进展，美元（USD） 走强。 美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特将与中国官员在日内瓦进行的为期两天的会谈描述为富有成效，预计将在 周一上午的简报中公 ...