Market Overview - Global trade dynamics are under scrutiny as international gold prices experience significant fluctuations [1] - US stock markets reached new highs, with the Dow Jones up 2.20%, Nasdaq up 2.31%, and S&P 500 up 1.92% for the week [1] - European indices showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 up 0.70%, Germany's DAX 30 up 0.13%, and France's CAC 40 down 0.01% [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4.00% [2] - Recent US inflation data has come in below expectations, contributing to the anticipation of the rate cut [2] - The ongoing US government shutdown is projected to reduce Q4 GDP growth by 0.45 percentage points [2] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Major tech companies, including Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple, are set to release their earnings reports [3] - Industrial firms like Caterpillar and Boeing are also expected to impact market sentiment with their financial disclosures [3] Oil and Gold Market Dynamics - International oil prices rebounded significantly, with WTI crude up 7.61% to $61.50 per barrel and Brent crude up 7.59% to $65.94 per barrel [4] - The rebound is attributed to stalled trade negotiations between the US and Canada, as well as sanctions on Russian oil companies [4] - Gold prices ended a nine-week rally, with COMEX gold futures down 0.65% to $4,118.50 per ounce, reflecting profit-taking and easing geopolitical tensions [4][5] Gold Price Trends - Year-to-date, gold prices have surged approximately 55%, with spot gold recently surpassing $4,000 per ounce [5] - Analysts suggest that the rapid increase in gold prices has led to profit-taking among investors, especially amid expectations of easing US-China trade tensions [5] - Despite potential short-term corrections, the overall upward trend in gold prices is expected to remain supported by strong fundamentals [6] European Central Bank Outlook - The European Central Bank is anticipated to maintain current interest rates, with no changes expected in the upcoming policy decision [6] - Analysts indicate that the ECB's stance reflects a cautious approach amid slight inflation increases [6] UK Economic Data Focus - The UK economic data releases for the upcoming week are limited, with key attention on mortgage lending and consumer credit data [7] - Economic activity is expected to remain under pressure due to uncertainties surrounding the upcoming autumn budget [7]

Market Overview - Gold prices experienced a rebound after hitting a low of $3320, supported by buying interest despite a decline in safe-haven demand due to a trade agreement between the US and Europe [1] - The price of gold closed at $3336.49, marking a nearly 1% drop over the previous week, which was the third consecutive week of decline [1] - The market is anticipating significant events this week, including international trade developments, central bank interest rate decisions, and key economic data such as the US PCE [1] Technical Analysis - Weekly analysis indicates that gold peaked at $3438.9 before retreating to around $3325, forming a long upper shadow on the candlestick chart, with bearish indicators such as TRIX and MACD suggesting a downward trend [3] - Daily analysis shows gold trading below the mid-band, with KDJ indicators indicating a bearish crossover and MACD lines near the zero axis, reinforcing a bearish outlook [3] - Hourly charts reveal a downward opening of the Bollinger Bands, with KDJ indicators showing a potential short-term bullish crossover, suggesting a slight upward movement may occur, with resistance at $3345 [3] Trading Recommendations - For conservative traders, a sell position is recommended around $3355-$3358 with a stop loss at $3363 and a target profit of $3330-$3325 [5] - For aggressive traders, a buy position is suggested in the range of $3328-$3331 with a stop loss at $3323 and a target profit of $3345-$3350 [5]

Group 1 - The latest Shanghai gold futures closing price is 772.28 yuan per gram, with a daily decline of 2.01% and a trading volume of 608,130 contracts [1] - The Shanghai gold spot price is quoted at 780.1 yuan per gram, indicating a premium of 7.82 yuan per gram over the futures price [1] - Upcoming economic data releases in the U.S. include April CPI, PPI, retail sales, and other key indicators, which will influence Federal Reserve interest rate expectations [1] Group 2 - The UK will release various monthly economic data, including GDP, industrial production, and trade figures, starting with employment data on Tuesday [2] - The Bank of England's Governor Andrew Bailey is scheduled to give a speech in Amsterdam, with 12 speaking events planned for the week [2] Group 3 - Guotai Junan Futures reports that precious metals are experiencing limited fluctuations, with a focus on upcoming U.S. economic data [3] - The recent geopolitical developments, including trade agreements and ceasefires, are expected to influence precious metal prices, maintaining a cautious outlook for short-term trends [3]