编辑丨张伟贤 "这是我从事存储行业以来见过的最猛一次涨价。"一名资深的存储产业高管感慨道。 10月以来，受AI需求推动，三星、海力士、美光、闪存等巨头不断上调产品价格，存储行业开启了"超级周期"。期间，三星电子等一度暂停 DDR5 DRAM合约报价，引发供应链"断粮"危机。 瑞银预计，今年第四季度，DDR（双倍数据率内存）合约定价预计季增35%、NAND（闪存）价格上涨20%，这一轮涨价幅度远超此前预期。 不仅如此，2026年第一季的DDR合约价，更将进一步上涨30%，NAND价格上涨20%。 相关影响很快传导至A股市场。Wind数据显示，今年下半年以来，香农芯创、东芯股份、江波龙、佰维存储股价分别上涨了294.51%、 291.19%、195.51%、67.17%。时间拉长来看，截至12月18日，香农芯创年内涨幅已超394%，东芯股份年内涨近382%。 | 序号 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 换手率 | 市盈率 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 东芯股份 | 119.94 с | 7.00% | 5.54% | -29 ...

"这是我从事存储行业以来见过的最猛一次涨价。"一名资深的存储产业高管感慨道。 10月以来，受AI需求推动，三星、海力士、美光、闪存等巨头不断上调产品价格，存储行业开启了"超 级周期"。期间，三星电子等一度暂停DDR5 DRAM合约报价，引发供应链"断粮"危机。 瑞银预计，今年第四季度，DDR（双倍数据率内存）合约定价预计季增35%、NAND（闪存）价格上涨 20%，这一轮涨价幅度远超此前预期。不仅如此，2026年第一季的DDR合约价，更将进一步上涨30%， NAND价格上涨20%。 相关影响很快传导至A股市场。数据显示，今年下半年以来，香农芯创、东芯股份、江波龙、佰维存储 股价分别上涨了294.51%、291.19%、195.51%、67.17%。 "存储是个强周期行业，大概三年一个周期，但AI需求至少把周期拉长了一年，现在行业一致判断行情 至少会持续到2026年底。这里有个关键变量，全球存储龙头在之前的下跌周期里，持续降价，把存储价 格压到了历史极低值，现在存储价格反弹上来也不扩产，这就导致市场焦虑性扫货，进一步助推了涨 价。"深圳一家存储行业上市公司高管李森（化名）在接受本报记者采访时表示。 超级周期开启 ...

Group 1 - Micron reported strong Q1 FY2026 earnings with adjusted revenue of $13.64 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $12.95 billion [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit reached $6.419 billion, accounting for 47.0% of revenue, also surpassing the expected $5.37 billion [1] - The company provided a robust Q2 guidance, forecasting revenue of $18.7 billion, significantly above the analyst estimate of $14.38 billion [1] Group 2 - Micron's Q1 revenue from cloud storage was $5.284 billion, showing substantial year-over-year growth, while data center revenue was $2.379 billion [2] - The company emphasized its critical role in the AI ecosystem and is continuously investing to meet the growing demand for storage and memory [2] - Analysts noted that Micron's strong performance and increased capital expenditure reflect a tightening supply-demand balance in the storage market [2] Group 3 - The storage industry supply chain consists of upstream semiconductor equipment and material suppliers, midstream storage chip design and manufacturing companies like Micron and Samsung, and downstream sectors including AI servers, smartphones, and PCs [3] - Increased end-user demand and technological upgrades are driving the demand for midstream storage chips, which in turn boosts the demand for upstream equipment and materials [3] Group 4 - Zhaoyi Innovation is a leading domestic storage chip company in China, with core businesses including NOR Flash, MCU, and DRAM, holding a significant global market share in NOR Flash products [4] Group 5 - China Electronics Port is one of Micron's authorized distributors in the domestic market [5]

存储猛涨的扩产热浪正涌向模组厂商。 近日，江波龙（301308.SZ）抛出37亿元的募资计划。不久前，行业另一龙头德明利（001309.SZ）也提出募资32亿元的扩产计划。 在AI需求推动下，存储行业的"超级周期"愈演愈烈，业内普遍预计，涨价行情会延续到明年上半年。 目前，存储行业供应链正紧急备货、调整配置，同时以更大力度启用和适配国产存储芯片保障供货，存储厂商纷纷扩产，抢占更多市场份额。 根据江波龙公告，本次募集资金将围绕存储器产品应用技术开发、NANDFlash主控芯片设计、存储芯片封装测试三大核心产业链环节加大投 入，进而提升持续盈利能力。 德明利公告称，通过本次募投项目的协同落地推进，公司将进一步巩固从存储主控芯片研发到存储模组方案交付的全链条技术能力。 需要关注的是，江波龙在此次募资计划中，并没有披露具体扩产周期和达产时间，而德明利此次定增扩产的三个项目建设期均为3年，仍需要 考虑在行业景气度波动较大的前提下如何合理推进建设期。 面对半导体存储行业的技术迭代和产品更新换代速度较快的特征，两公司本次募集资金投资项目投入较大、实施期较长，都在考验着企业如何 及时调整存货备货策略、产品销售价格，以期在这轮 ...

Core Viewpoint - The storage industry is experiencing a significant expansion wave driven by increasing demand from AI applications, with major companies like Jiangbolong and Demingli announcing substantial fundraising plans to enhance production capacity and technology development [1][2][3]. Group 1: Fundraising and Expansion Plans - Jiangbolong plans to raise up to 3.7 billion yuan for investments in storage technology development, NAND Flash controller chip design, and packaging testing [1][3]. - Demingli has announced a fundraising plan of 3.2 billion yuan aimed at solidifying its full-chain technical capabilities from storage controller chip R&D to module delivery [1][3]. - Both companies are focusing on expanding production to capture market share amid a booming storage market driven by AI demand [2][3]. Group 2: AI Market Focus - Jiangbolong's fundraising will support high-end storage development projects targeting AI applications, including enterprise-level PCIe SSDs and RDIMM products [4][7]. - Demingli's fundraising is also directed towards high-capacity and high-performance SSDs and DRAM products, reflecting a strong alignment with AI market needs [8][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The storage market is expected to experience a prolonged upcycle due to surging demand from data centers and AI applications, with predictions of a 16.2% growth in the global semiconductor storage market by 2026 [10][11]. - Both companies are preparing for potential supply shortages in the coming years, with Jiangbolong and Demingli indicating that the supply-demand imbalance will become more pronounced in late 2026 and early 2027 [11][12]. - The companies are adopting strategies to manage inventory and pricing effectively to navigate the challenges posed by the industry's cyclical nature and technological advancements [12][13]. Group 4: Financial Health and Cash Flow - Jiangbolong and Demingli are facing cash flow challenges, with Demingli reporting negative operating cash flows over the past few years and a high debt ratio of 73.28% [12][13]. - Jiangbolong has also indicated a pressing need for funds, having proposed an H-share listing to address its financial requirements [12].

Core Insights - The article discusses the anticipated challenges in the Chinese smartphone industry due to rising storage costs and supply chain disruptions, predicting price increases and reduced specifications for smartphones in 2026 [4][7][30]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's founder Jensen Huang is strengthening ties with Samsung to secure HBM storage capacity, which is critical for AI applications [5][6]. - Samsung has suspended quotes for LPDDR5 due to capacity constraints, indicating a shift in focus towards HBM for AI model training [6][11]. - The storage industry is experiencing a significant price surge, with LPDDR4X prices increasing from $6 to $25, a rise of over 300% [11]. Group 2: Impact on Smartphone Manufacturers - Smartphone manufacturers are facing a "super cycle" in the storage market, leading to a shift in the supply chain dynamics where demand may not be fully met [22][30]. - Major smartphone brands are expected to increase prices or reduce specifications in response to rising storage costs, with predictions of flagship models seeing price hikes of several hundred yuan [26][30]. - The trend of high memory configurations is declining, with flagship models now typically featuring a maximum of 16GB of RAM [25]. Group 3: Market Predictions - The storage supply-demand gap is expected to persist until at least 2027, with manufacturers struggling to secure necessary components [19][30]. - The rising costs are likely to delay consumer upgrade cycles, particularly affecting mid-range and low-end products, which may see reduced product lines and shipment volumes [30]. - Consumers are advised to purchase smartphones sooner rather than later to avoid higher prices in the future [31].

Core Insights - The meeting between Nvidia's founder Jensen Huang and Samsung's chairman Lee Jae-Yong in Seoul is expected to impact the smartphone industry significantly, leading to potential shortages and price increases in 2026 due to Nvidia's acquisition of HBM storage capacity [1][2][3] - The rising costs of storage components, particularly LPDDR and HBM, are anticipated to force smartphone manufacturers to either raise prices or reduce specifications in their products [2][4][10] Group 1: Nvidia and Samsung Collaboration - Jensen Huang's visit to Samsung aimed to strengthen ties and secure HBM storage capacity, which is crucial for AI applications [1] - Nvidia's aggressive procurement strategy, including prepayments to suppliers, has disrupted the traditional supply chain dynamics, favoring Nvidia over smartphone manufacturers [7][10] Group 2: Impact on Smartphone Manufacturers - The smartphone industry is facing a "super cycle" of storage shortages, with predictions that the supply-demand gap may persist until at least 2027 [10][11] - Major smartphone brands are experiencing significant pressure on storage availability, leading to reduced orders and potential product line adjustments [11][13] Group 3: Price Increases and Market Adjustments - The cost of LPDDR storage has surged dramatically, with prices increasing from $6 to $25, reflecting a threefold rise [4] - Predictions indicate that flagship smartphones will see price increases, while mid-range and low-end products may face reduced specifications or even discontinuation [14]

Group 1 - Samsung Electronics is raising memory chip prices by up to 60% in November, indicating a potential "super cycle" in the storage industry [1] - The State Council emphasizes the need to cultivate new consumption scenarios and business formats, with optimism for the recovery of the offline retail sector [1] - A company reports that its storage revenue is still largely driven by DDR3, but the proportion of new process products like DDR4 will gradually increase [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in memory prices in 2025, particularly DDR4 memory, which has more than doubled in price, with 16GB modules exceeding 500 yuan, making them a popular investment choice among industry professionals and gamers [1] - Morgan Stanley indicates that the "memory hunger" trend is driving the industry into a structural growth phase, with the DRAM market entering an unprecedented four-year pricing upcycle from 2024 to 2027, and the global storage market is expected to reach nearly $300 billion by 2027 [1] - The ChiNext 50 Index selects the top 50 stocks from the top 100 by market capitalization and liquidity on the ChiNext board, representing high-growth potential companies across various sectors, including batteries, securities, and communication equipment, reflecting innovation and new technologies [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext 50 ETF (159367) has two core advantages: a 20% price fluctuation limit, providing greater trading flexibility compared to traditional broad-based indices, and low management fees of 0.15% and custody fees of 0.05%, which effectively reduce investment costs [1]