Workflow
实物工作量
icon
Search documents
数读基建深度2025M4:基建投资增速波动,关注后续资金落地
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-22 12:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [11]. Core Insights - The report highlights fluctuations in infrastructure investment growth and emphasizes the importance of subsequent funding implementation [2]. - Fixed investment growth is declining, with a drop in the PMI for both manufacturing and construction sectors [6][19]. - The construction sector is experiencing pressure on orders, with a notable decline in new orders and employment indices [6][39]. Summary by Sections Investment & Orders - In April, the manufacturing PMI fell below 50, and the construction PMI also decreased, with new orders and employment indices at 39.6% and 37.8% respectively. The construction PMI was 51.9%, down 4.4 percentage points year-on-year and 1.5 percentage points month-on-month [6][19]. - Fixed asset investment from January to April reached CNY 14.7 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 4.0%, with narrow infrastructure investment at CNY 4.9 trillion, up 5.8% year-on-year [22][23]. Physical Workload - Cement output has shown a year-on-year decline, while demand for cement in infrastructure remains relatively stable. From January to April, cement production decreased by 2.8% year-on-year [8][30]. Project Funding - The funding availability rate for construction projects is stable, with a slight improvement in housing construction. As of May 13, the funding availability rate was 59.1%, with non-housing projects at 60.65% and housing projects at 51.33% [9][30]. - The issuance of special bonds has accelerated, with a total of CNY 13.68 trillion issued year-to-date, which is CNY 5.12 trillion more than the previous year [9][30].
有稳也有速 一系列先行指标看我国经济发展强大活力
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-05-17 01:35
国家信息中心今天(17日)发布了一系列先行指标,记者从中发现,4月份以来,在一系列宏观政策协同发力下,消费、投资、工业生产等多领域保持向好 态势。 投资靠前发力 基础建设项目提速 最新数据显示,4月份,挖掘机总体销量同比增长17.6%,其中国内销量同比增长16.4%。今年以来,挖掘机销量持续回升,反映出工程机械行业逐渐复苏和 内需反弹的积极信号。国家信息中心最新数据显示,4月份,全国工程机械开工率环比增长了1.6个百分点,各地工程建设更加繁忙,其中路面设备表现突 出。 树根互联挖掘机指数专家 沈春锋:说明道路基建正在全面升温,这既是季节性因素与政策发力的共同结果,也反映出中国经济逐步释放内生动能的趋势。 稳增长政策正在转化为实物工作量。 4月份,全国有近半数省份开工率环比实现了正增长。从区域来看,最忙的是东北地区,4月份开工率为61.13%,环比增长了13.08%,两项数据均位列全国 首位。东北地区各项重点基建工程全面启动,低空经济、文旅等产业带动的基础设施建设效果显著。 与此同时,建设资金也在加速落地。今年前4个月,全国发行地方政府债券合计约35354亿元,同比增长约84%,发债规模和增速均创近年同期新高。 ...