2025H1上市险企投资资产规模稳步增长，哑铃型配置结构更加突出，但债券增配力度较小而股票增配 力度更大，截至6月末各公司股票占比分别为新华保险11.6%>中国平安10.5%>中国太保9.7%>中国人寿 8.7%>中国太平8.3%>中国人保5.4%。从收益表现来看，净投资收益率延续下行态势，分别为中国人保 3.7%(同比-0.1pt)>中国平安3.6%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国太保3.4%(简单年化、同比-0.2pt)>新华保 险3.0%(同比-0.2pt)>中国人寿2.8%(同比-0.3pt)。 总投资收益率差异明显主因权益投资策略不同，分别为新华保险5.9%(同比+1.1pt)>中国人保5.1%(同比 +1.0pt)>中国太保4.6%(简单年化、同比-0.8pt)>中国平安3.8%(简单年化、同比+0.3pt)>中国人寿3.3%(同 比-0.3pt)。 净利润和净资产分化明显，中期分红重视股东回报 受资本市场波动影响不同，2025H1上市险企归母净利润增速分别为新华保险+33.5%>中国人保+16.9%> 中国太平+12.2%>中国太保+11.0%>中国人寿+6.9%。剔除短期投资波动和其他一次 ...

Core Insights - The five major insurance companies in A-shares reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with a total net profit attributable to shareholders of 178.19 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [1][2] Group 1: Net Profit Performance - Among the five companies, Xinhua Insurance showed the highest growth rate with a year-on-year increase of over 30%, while China Ping An experienced a decline of 8.8% [2] - The net profit figures for the five companies in the first half of 2025 are as follows: China Ping An (68.05 billion yuan), China Life (40.93 billion yuan), China Pacific Insurance (27.88 billion yuan), China Reinsurance (26.53 billion yuan), and Xinhua Insurance (14.80 billion yuan) [2] Group 2: New Business Value Growth - The new business value, which reflects the expected future earnings from newly sold policies, saw significant growth across the board, with all companies achieving over 20% increases [3] - Xinhua Insurance achieved a new business value of 6.18 billion yuan, up 58.4% year-on-year, while China Ping An's new business value grew by 39.8% [3] Group 3: Cost Ratio Improvement - The comprehensive cost ratios for the "old three" property insurance companies (China Re, Ping An Property, and China Pacific Property) generally decreased, leading to improved underwriting profits [5] - China Re's comprehensive cost ratio was 95.3%, the best level in nearly a decade, while Ping An Property's ratio was 95.2%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [5] Group 4: Investment Income - As of June 30, 2025, the total investment assets of the five major insurance companies reached 19.73 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.52% [7] - The total investment return rates showed divergence, with China Pacific and China Life experiencing declines of 0.4 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, while Xinhua Insurance and China Re saw increases of 1.1 and 1 percentage points [7] Group 5: Market Outlook - Looking ahead, companies are optimistic about the A-share market and plan to focus on sectors such as technology innovation, consumer manufacturing, and advanced manufacturing for investment opportunities [8] - The emphasis will be on high-dividend stocks to provide stable cash flow and enhance long-term returns [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated strong performance in underwriting profit, with a year-on-year increase of 44.6% in the first half of 2025, driven by effective cost control and a favorable claims ratio [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's net profit increased by 32.3% year-on-year to 24.455 billion yuan, with a second quarter net profit growth of 4.1% year-on-year to 13.143 billion yuan [1]. - Insurance service revenue rose by 5.6% year-on-year to 249.04 billion yuan, while the combined ratio (COR) improved by 1.4 percentage points to 94.8%, aligning with expectations [1]. - The underwriting profit reached 13.015 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 44.6% [1]. Group 2: Auto Insurance Segment - In the auto insurance segment, premium income and insurance service revenue increased by 3.4% and 3.5% year-on-year to 144.065 billion yuan and 150.276 billion yuan, respectively [1]. - The combined ratio for auto insurance improved by 2.2 percentage points to 94.2%, with the claims ratio rising by 1.9 percentage points to 73.1% and the expense ratio decreasing by 4.1 percentage points to 21.1% [1]. - The underwriting profit for auto insurance surged by 67.7% year-on-year to 8.726 billion yuan, contributing 67% to the total underwriting profit [1]. Group 3: Non-Auto Insurance Segment - Non-auto insurance premium income and insurance service revenue increased by 3.8% and 8.9% year-on-year to 179.217 billion yuan and 98.764 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - The combined ratio for non-auto insurance was 95.7%, with underwriting profit rising by 13.0% year-on-year to 4.289 billion yuan [2]. - The performance of various non-auto insurance segments varied, with health insurance premiums up by 7.9% and agricultural insurance down by 3.9% year-on-year [2]. Group 4: Investment Performance - The company achieved an annualized total investment return of 2.6%, a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points, with total investment assets reaching 711.48 billion yuan, up 5.2% from the end of 2024 [3]. - The allocation of investment assets included 2.4% in cash, 59.8% in fixed income, and 26.1% in equity, with a 2 percentage point increase in equity allocation compared to the end of 2024 [3]. - The proportion of stocks and funds increased, with the stock allocation rising to 9.2% [3]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company raised its profit forecast for 2025-2027 to 36.852 billion yuan, 40.899 billion yuan, and 47.124 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on profit growth driven by asset and liability reforms [4]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.33x for 2025 [4].

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance reported its 1H25 performance, meeting expectations with a net profit of 26.53 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.9% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 26.53 billion, up 16.9% year-on-year, driven primarily by the property and health insurance segments [1] - The combined ratio (COR) improved to 95.3%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, with underwriting profit at 11.7 billion, up 53.5% year-on-year [1][2] - The company declared a dividend per share (DPS) of 0.075 yuan, an increase of 19% year-on-year, indicating a focus on shareholder returns [1] Group 2: Insurance Segment Performance - The property insurance segment's net profit was 25.05 billion, up 39% year-on-year, while life and health insurance profits were 6.86 billion and 5.13 billion, showing a year-on-year change of -30.9% and +49.6% respectively [1] - The COR for the property insurance segment improved due to reduced disaster risks and effective cost management, with total premiums reaching 323.3 billion, a 3.6% increase year-on-year [2] Group 3: New Business Value (NBV) Growth - The NBV for life and health insurance was 4.98 billion and 3.84 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 71.7% and 51% respectively, with significant contributions from both channels [3] - The NBV margin (NBVM) improved, supporting the growth of NBV, driven by ongoing demand for health insurance and effective sales strategies [3] Group 4: Investment Performance - The annualized net and total investment returns were 3.7% and 5.1%, with total investment returns benefiting from increased allocations to government bonds and market appreciation [3] - The stock investment scale reached 94.6 billion, a 57% increase from the beginning of the year, with a balanced equity allocation [3] Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company maintains a strong buy rating, anticipating accelerated profit growth in 2H25 due to further improvements in COR and investment returns [4] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 50.2 billion, 54.9 billion, and 59.2 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.2%, 9.3%, and 7.8% respectively [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a net profit of 26.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.9%, with a second-quarter profit of 13.7 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.3% [1] - The company's net assets increased by 6.1% compared to the beginning of the year and by 2.1% compared to the end of the first quarter [1] - The interim dividend per share was 0.075 yuan, up 19% year-on-year [1] Property and Casualty Insurance - The property and casualty insurance segment achieved a net profit of 23.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.4%, with underwriting profit reaching 11.7 billion yuan, up 53.5% [2] - Premiums for property and casualty insurance grew by 3.6% year-on-year, with a market share of 33.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2] - The combined cost ratio improved to 95.3%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, marking the best level in nearly a decade [2] Life Insurance - The life insurance segment reported a net profit of 6.9 billion yuan, a decline of 31% year-on-year, while total premiums increased by 14.5% [3] - The new business value (NBV) saw a significant increase of 72% year-on-year, with the bancassurance channel growing by 108% [3] - The effective sales force decreased by 4.3% from the beginning of the year, with an average monthly effective workforce of 21,000, down 9.8% year-on-year [3] Investment Performance - Total investment assets increased by 7.2% to 1.76 trillion yuan, with equity investments rising significantly by 57% [4] - The annualized total investment return was 5.1%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the annualized net investment return was 3.7%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points [4] - The company's stock investment scale under Other Comprehensive Income (OCI) grew by 60.7%, with a comprehensive investment return exceeding the CSI 300 dividend index by 7.8 percentage points [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to maintain its profitability due to its brand effect and cost control advantages, with projected net profits of 51 billion, 54 billion, and 59.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [4] - The current market valuation corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.9x and a price-to-book ratio of 1.3x for 2025 [4] - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" based on the company's performance and market position [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (02328) [2] Core Views - The underwriting performance is strong, with a significant increase in underwriting profit by 44.6% year-on-year [5] - The company’s net profit for the first half of 2025 increased by 32.3% year-on-year to CNY 24.455 billion, with a second quarter net profit growth of 4.1% year-on-year to CNY 13.143 billion [5] - The combined ratio (COR) improved by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year to 94.8%, aligning with expectations [5] - The company has increased its stock allocation by 2 percentage points since the beginning of the year, indicating a positive shift in investment strategy [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total investment assets reached CNY 711.48 billion, a 5.2% increase from the end of 2024 [5] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be CNY 36.852 billion, CNY 40.899 billion, and CNY 47.124 billion respectively, up from previous forecasts [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is CNY 1.66, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.25 [7] Business Segments - In the auto insurance segment, premium income increased by 3.4% year-on-year to CNY 144.065 billion, with underwriting profit rising by 67.7% year-on-year to CNY 8.726 billion [8] - The non-auto insurance segment also saw growth, with premium income up by 3.8% year-on-year to CNY 179.217 billion, and underwriting profit increasing by 13.0% year-on-year to CNY 4.289 billion [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company reported a strong growth in new business value (NBV) for life insurance, with a year-on-year increase of 63% in 1H25, driven by significant growth in both agency and bancassurance channels [3] - The property insurance segment showed improved underwriting performance, with a combined ratio (COR) decreasing by 1.4 percentage points to 94.8%, leading to a substantial increase in underwriting profit by 44.6% [2] - The total investment return increased by 40.2% year-on-year, with an annualized total investment yield rising by 0.9 percentage points to 5.0%, contributing to profit growth [4] - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to RMB 1.02, RMB 1.14, and RMB 1.24 respectively, based on improved performance in property insurance and investment [5] Summary by Sections Property Insurance - The property insurance segment's COR improved due to a 3.1 percentage point decrease in expense ratio, despite a 1.7 percentage point increase in loss ratio [2] - Insurance service revenue for property insurance grew by 5.6% year-on-year, with motor and non-motor insurance increasing by 3.5% and 8.9% respectively [2] - The net profit from property insurance increased by 35% year-on-year, supported by strong premium growth and improved underwriting performance [2] Life Insurance - The life insurance segment's NBV growth was primarily driven by bancassurance, which saw an 81% increase, accounting for 35% of total NBV [3] - The overall new policy premium for the life insurance segment grew by 15.4% year-on-year, indicating resilience in the agency channel [3] - Despite the strong growth in NBV, the profit from life insurance decreased by 13% due to rising service expense ratios [3] Investment Performance - The company capitalized on favorable market conditions, resulting in a significant increase in total investment income and a higher annualized investment yield [4] - The asset allocation strategy included an increase in equity investments, with the stock allocation rising by 1.7 percentage points to 5.4% [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The target price for the company's A/H shares has been raised to RMB 9.3 and HKD 7.0, reflecting the positive adjustments in EPS forecasts [5] - The projected gross premium income for 2025 is estimated at RMB 572.06 billion, with a growth rate of 6.39% [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its comprehensive cost ratio, with both underwriting profit and investment income trending positively [1][8] - The report projects an increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 449 billion, 467 billion, and 503 billion respectively [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 478.826 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 24.585 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15.70% compared to the previous year [1] - The latest diluted book value per share is 10.40, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.60 [1] Underwriting and Investment Performance - The company reported a net profit of 245 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.3% [8] - The underwriting profit for the same period was 130 billion, up 44.6% year-on-year [8] - The total investment asset scale reached 711.5 billion, with a 5.2% increase from the beginning of the year [8][16] Premium Growth and Market Share - The company's original premium income grew by 3.6% in the first half of 2025, with a market share of 33.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the beginning of the year [8] - The premium income from auto insurance increased by 3.4%, with the proportion of personal auto insurance rising to 73.4% [8] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The comprehensive cost ratio improved to 94.8%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The expense ratio decreased to 23.0%, benefiting from strict cost control measures [8][15] Investment Strategy - The company has adjusted its investment strategy, increasing allocations to bonds and stocks while reducing the proportion of OCI stocks [8][16] - The total investment income for the first half of 2025 was 173 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.6% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Sunshine Insurance reported a year-on-year increase of 7.8% in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, reaching 3.39 billion yuan, with life insurance and property insurance net profits growing by 5.6% and 2.6% respectively [1][2] Group 1: Performance Summary - The net business value (NBV) of life insurance increased by 47.3% year-on-year to 4.01 billion yuan, with individual insurance and bank insurance channels growing by 23.5% and 53% respectively [1] - The comprehensive cost ratio (CoR) for property insurance improved by 0.3 percentage points to 98.8%, with claims and expense ratios showing mixed trends [2] - Sunshine Insurance's total insurance premium income rose by 2.5% year-on-year to 25.27 billion yuan, with a notable increase in non-auto insurance premiums [2] Group 2: Investment and Valuation - The internal value of Sunshine Group grew by 11.0% to 128.49 billion yuan, while net assets decreased by 10.1% to 55.84 billion yuan due to the impact of interest rate declines [2] - The company is currently trading at 0.38x and 0.33x P/EV for 2025 and 2026 estimates, with a target price of 4.60 HKD and a potential upside of 2.7% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The reinsurance industry in 2024 is experiencing a decline in premium income while showing significant growth in net profit and investment returns, indicating a shift in operational dynamics and regulatory impacts [2][4][11]. Group 1: Reinsurance Industry Performance - The reinsurance industry reported a premium income of 226.4 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [2][11]. - The net profit for the reinsurance industry reached 5.42 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.2%, with total investment income at 11.3 billion yuan, up 16.9% [4][12]. - The return on equity (ROE) for the reinsurance sector was 5.4%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, but still significantly lower than the ROE of life insurance (18.7%) and property insurance (8%) [5][16]. Group 2: Risk Structure in Reinsurance - Among the 13 secondary risk indicators for minimum capital in the reinsurance industry, premium and reserve risk accounted for the highest proportion at approximately 27%, followed by counterparty default risk at 20% and loss occurrence risk at 11% [7][22]. - The dominance of premium and reserve risk is attributed to the fact that property insurance constitutes about two-thirds of the reinsurance business [22]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis with Original Insurance Industry - The total investment return rate for the reinsurance industry was 3.1%, lower than the life insurance industry's 3.5% but on par with the property insurance industry's 3.1% [17]. - The comprehensive investment return rate for reinsurance was 5.6%, higher than that of property insurance (5.5%) but lower than life insurance (7.5%) [18]. Group 4: Rankings of Reinsurance Companies - The rankings of reinsurance companies based on premium income, net profit, ROE, total investment return, and comprehensive investment return were provided, highlighting the performance of major players in the industry [9][25][28][29][30][31].