Summary of the Conference Call on Zijin Mining Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining - **Industry**: Mining (Gold and Copper) Key Points and Arguments Financial Projections - Expected net profit for 2026 is approximately **926 billion CNY** with gold price at **100 CNY per gram** and copper price at **100,000 CNY per ton** [1] - Current PE ratio is estimated to be between **9 to 10 times**, indicating significant undervaluation compared to the industry average of **12 to 18 times** [1] Strategic Goals - By **2028**, Zijin aims to rank among the top three globally in terms of resource reserves, production, sales revenue, and profit for copper and gold [2] - The company has adjusted its production guidance, increasing gold production targets from **100 tons** to **130-140 tons** [3] Production Capacity and Growth - Copper production is projected to reach **150-160 million tons** by **2028**, surpassing competitors like Glencore and Freeport [3][8] - Significant increases in production are expected from acquisitions and expansions, including the **Kamoa Copper Mine** and **Giant Copper Mine** [7][8] - Lithium production is also targeted to grow from **2.5 million tons** to **27-32 million tons** by **2028** [5][10] Acquisition and Expansion Strategy - Recent acquisitions include the **Joint Gold Mine** and **Sakhalin Gold Mine**, which are expected to contribute significantly to production increases [5][6] - The company has a strong track record of turning around underperforming mines, such as the **Bole Copper Mine**, which was transformed from a loss-making entity to profitability within six months of acquisition [16][17] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Zijin Mining is positioned to become a leading international mining company, leveraging its technological capabilities to extract value from low-grade ores [12][18] - The company has developed a systematic approach to mining that allows it to profit from previously unprofitable assets [14][18] Industry Trends and Market Outlook - The gold and copper markets are expected to experience upward price trends due to geopolitical tensions and strategic metal reserves initiatives by major economies [19][20] - The long-term outlook for copper supply remains constrained, which could lead to price increases [20] Investment Recommendation - The current valuation of Zijin Mining is considered low, with a potential upside as the company continues to expand its production and improve operational efficiencies [22] - The company is recommended as a strong investment opportunity due to its growth potential and strategic positioning in the mining sector [22] Additional Important Insights - The company emphasizes its commitment to sustainable practices and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards in its operations [4] - There are risks associated with macroeconomic fluctuations and metal price volatility that could impact short-term stock performance [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and portfolio adjustments of the Jiashi Value Select Equity Fund managed by Tan Li, indicating a shift in top holdings and a focus on commodity prices and market dynamics in the context of investment strategies. Group 1: Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of the Jiashi Value Select Equity Fund include Zijin Mining, Hualu Hengsheng, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and others, with notable new entries being Ninebot and Binjiang Group, while Chengdu Bank exited the top ten [1][2]. - The fund's stock position was reported at 91.88% at the end of Q4 [2]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The net asset value per share for Jiashi Value Select Equity A was 2.2893 yuan, with a growth rate of -0.32%, while the C share had a net asset value of 2.2825 yuan and a growth rate of -0.48%, against a benchmark return of -2.06% [3]. Group 3: Market Analysis - In Q4, there was a significant increase in the prices of gold and industrial metals, influenced by factors such as resource nationalism and strategic metal reserves in developed countries, leading to a widening supply-demand gap [3]. - The A-share market saw a rebound in Q3 2024 and a substantial rise in Q3 2025, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and Growth Enterprise Market achieving around 50% gains year-to-date, driven by a strong technology narrative and high market risk appetite [4]. - The report indicates a structural adjustment in the portfolio, with increased allocation to non-ferrous metals and a realization of profits in precious metals, while maintaining overall allocation ratios [4].

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals theme index in China has shown a strong upward trend, with significant price increases in tungsten and other strategic metals due to rising demand and supply chain disruptions [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 21, 2026, the China Rare Metals Theme Index rose by 2.75%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy (up 9.99%), Zhongtung High-tech (up 9.42%), and Zhongmin Resources (up 7.89%) [1] - The prices of 65% black tungsten concentrate and 65% white tungsten concentrate have increased by 13.0% and 13.1% respectively since the beginning of the year, reaching 520,000 yuan and 519,000 yuan per standard ton [1] Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - Rapid growth in downstream demand from sectors like new energy and semiconductors has intensified supply-demand conflicts, leading to significant price increases in tungsten, molybdenum, tin, and other minor metals [1] - The global supply chain disruptions continue to affect the market, drawing widespread attention to core strategic resources such as lithium and rare earths [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Everbright Securities emphasizes the investment opportunities arising from the strategic metal stockpiling initiatives by various countries, particularly in the U.S. and Australia, which have announced significant procurement plans for critical minerals [1] - The cumulative procurement volume for cobalt, tantalum, antimony, and gallium from the U.S. and Australia is projected to account for 3%, 12%, 8%, and 14% of global production in 2024, respectively [1] - A comprehensive positive outlook is presented for the revaluation of strategic metals including copper, aluminum, cobalt, nickel, tin, antimony, tungsten, and rare earths [1] Group 4: ETF and Investment Tools - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also consider the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) to explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector [3]

Summary of Conference Call on Copper Market Outlook Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the copper industry, discussing price trends, supply-demand dynamics, and future projections for copper prices and production. Key Points and Arguments Copper Price Trends - Recent copper price increases are attributed to several factors, including a tight supply-demand balance expected in 2026, with potential shortages driving prices higher [3][4] - The price gap between the New York and London copper exchanges has led to significant inventory transfers to the U.S., tightening the non-U.S. spot market [3] - Increased downstream replenishment demand at year-end has also contributed to rising copper prices [3] Supply-Demand Dynamics - Global major mining companies are projected to add only 300,000 to 400,000 tons of copper production in 2026, which is significantly below the nearly 3% demand growth rate, leading to an expanding supply-demand gap [4][5] - The U.S. may delay the implementation of import tariffs, allowing for continued copper accumulation, exacerbating global supply shortages [4] - Geopolitical risks, particularly in regions like Chile, are increasing supply uncertainty due to declining existing mine outputs and rising extraction difficulties [6] Financial Market Influences - The expectation of two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026 is anticipated to support financial markets and indirectly bolster copper prices [5] - Recent non-farm payroll and unemployment data have strengthened market expectations for interest rate cuts, contributing to a decline in the U.S. dollar index [3] Smelting Supply Challenges - Several overseas smelting plants have reduced or halted production due to raw material shortages and low processing fees, a trend expected to worsen in 2026 [5] Demand Growth Factors - Investment in power grids, new infrastructure, and AI industry development, along with domestic policies aimed at stabilizing demand, are expected to drive copper demand growth [2][6] - The renovation of aging power grids in Europe and the U.S., as well as infrastructure investments in emerging economies like India and Southeast Asia, will further increase copper demand [6] Additional Important Insights - AI data centers, while not showing immediate demand increases, are projected to become a significant demand driver in the long term [6] - Recommended companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, China Gold International, and Jiangxi Copper, which are expected to have substantial potential and returns in the current and future market conditions [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The primary driver for the recent increase in tungsten prices is China's supply-side policy, with domestic black tungsten concentrate prices reaching approximately 173,000 yuan per ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices at 253,000 yuan per ton, marking increases of 22.3% and 21.3% respectively since the end of March [1][12] - Global supply levels remain tight, and China's industrial policies have increased their influence on tungsten prices. The first batch of tungsten mining quotas for 2025 is set at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.45% compared to the same period in 2024 [2][12] - Japan has diversified its tungsten procurement sources, significantly increasing imports from Germany and Vietnam, but still relies heavily on Chinese supplies [3][13] - The geopolitical environment is worsening, leading to increased demand for strategic metal reserves, with the US planning to increase its tungsten reserves from 266 tons to 2041 tons by 2025 [4][19] - The manufacturing sector in China is showing marginal improvement, with a PMI of 49.7% in June, and a significant increase in the production of metal cutting machine tools, which may support stable growth in tungsten demand [5][20] Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of July 1, domestic black tungsten concentrate prices reached 173,000 yuan per ton, and ammonium paratungstate prices reached 253,000 yuan per ton, both hitting historical highs [1][12] Supply and Demand Dynamics - China's tungsten exports decreased by 1,879 tons from January to May 2025, with significant reductions in exports to South Korea, Israel, the US, and Germany [2][12] - The global supply situation remains tight, exacerbated by export controls that hinder short-term exports, leading to insufficient international market supply [2][12] Geopolitical Factors - The ongoing geopolitical tensions are likely to sustain the demand for tungsten reserves, as countries seek to bolster their military and industrial capabilities [4][19] Manufacturing Sector Insights - The manufacturing PMI in China indicates a slight recovery, with a notable increase in the production of metal cutting machine tools, which could drive demand for tungsten materials [5][20]