白银涨势：完美风暴 本月白银悄然成为金融市场最引人注目的故事之一。历经多年盘整与低迷行情后，这种金属终于强势突破——且涨幅远不止于此。此轮上涨由基本面强劲支 撑，配合教科书般的技术性突破，正吸引着全球交易员的关注。 那么，究竟是什么推动了这轮涨势？ ICMarkets纵观白银长期走势图，一个历经数十年形成的巨型杯柄形态尤为引人注目。这种通常预示长期牛市反转的形态，如今终于向上突破。 技术术语中，"杯体"代表漫长的圆弧形底部——即白银从1980至1990年代深度下跌中复苏的过程；而"手柄"则涵盖2011年以来的近期震荡整理。如今价格已 突破手柄阻力位，图表分析师将其解读为强劲长期上升趋势的确证。 此次突破绝非短期反弹，暗示白银或将开启多年牛市周期，目标价位可能大幅攀升。当基本面与技术面如此完美契合时，往往会同时吸引机构投资者与散户 交易者的关注。 本周焦点：美欧数据成市场风向标 基本面：供应紧缩遇上强劲需求 白银上涨的核心在于一个简单公式：需求增长快于供应。据行业分析师指出，全球白银市场已连续数年处于供不应求状态。工业需求——尤其是来自太阳能 电池板、电动汽车和电子制造领域——持续快速扩张，而矿产产量却未能跟上 ...

国际金价正以惊人的速度刷新历史纪录。 2025年10月6日，现货黄金价格最高触及3920.77美元/盎司，年内累计涨幅已达49%，创下自1979年以来的最大年 度涨幅。 这一波涨势的起点可追溯到2024年初，当时金价尚在2050美元附近徘徊，短短一年半内涨幅超过70%，甚至一度突破3500美元关口。 市场交易员们发现， 黄金的上涨动能已显著跑赢美股标普500指数和传统的60%股票 40%债券平衡组合。 推动金价狂飙的直接诱因是特朗普政府的政策动荡。 2025年4月3日，特朗普宣布对多国开征"对等关税"，黄金价格应声突破3200美元。 随后，美国政府关门危机、美联储降息预期升温以及全球地缘冲突升级，共同点燃了市场的避险情绪。 9月18日美联储宣布降息25个基点后，现货黄金迅速 冲至3707美元，而美国政府停摆进入第三天时，金价再次逼近3900美元。 特朗普2.0任期开启后，其政策对黄金市场形成三重冲击。 关税政策的反复无常加剧了市场波动。 从4月对欧盟征收200%葡萄酒关税，到7月暂缓部分"对等关税"但维持10%基准税率，政策的摇摆使投资者纷纷转向黄金避险。 数据显示，特朗普第一任期 内（2017-2019年） ...

Core Viewpoint - Dogecoin is currently showing a bullish signal with the emergence of a cup-and-handle pattern, indicating an initial price target of $0.30 and a potential long-term increase of 850%, possibly reaching $2 [1][6]. Technical Analysis - Key indicators show a mixed short-term outlook but a strong long-term trend. The RSI is at 47, indicating sufficient upward potential; the moving averages suggest short-term weakness but maintain support at the 200-day moving average ($0.20); MACD shows weakening bearish momentum with a stable signal at $0.21; the Bollinger Bands indicate a potential upward move towards $0.24, with a breakthrough leading to $0.30 [3]. - The cup-and-handle pattern is forming a solid base, with $2 as the ultimate long-term target [6]. Market Dynamics - Following a significant whale movement where a large holder transferred 900 million DOGE (valued at approximately $200 million) to Binance, the market experienced a brief dip but quickly stabilized due to strong buying support, indicating confidence from both retail and institutional investors [4]. - The $0.20-$0.21 range is critical for Dogecoin's short-term performance, as maintaining this level could trigger a parabolic rebound. The approval of a Dogecoin ETF by the SEC is seen as a major catalyst that could attract institutional funds and enhance liquidity, significantly impacting price movements [5]. Investment Strategy - For ordinary traders, the $0.20-$0.21 range is viewed as a "high-value entry zone," with the 200-day moving average providing a safety net. If the price stabilizes and breaks through $0.24, short-term gains towards $0.30 are possible, with long-term potential reaching $2 [8]. - The focus for September should be on two key signals: the stability of the $0.20-$0.21 support level and the progress of the SEC's approval for the Dogecoin ETF. Positive developments in these areas, combined with confirmation of the cup-and-handle breakout, could lead to a significant price surge from $0.21 to $2 [8].

来源：华尔街情报圈 杰西·科伦坡，是一位金融分析师，他在学生时代就因准确预测 2008 年全球金融危机而受到《伦敦时报》的认可。 本周科伦坡突然发文，预言金价将到达4400美元，下面是这篇文章的核心要点： 一、作者先回顾了过去的走势 去年冬天（2024年11月-12月），黄金也是没什么动静，但突然一口气拉了 900 美元，直接点燃情绪。现在的走势跟当时特别像，也是走出了一个三角形 整理形态。按经验，三角形整理如果突破，通常会延续之前的涨幅。之前是涨 900 美元，现在突破的话，也可能涨 900 美元，至 4400美元。 1）美联储9月降息概率飙升 2）M2货币供应量重新猛涨：2022-23年还在收缩，现在突然猛增1.36万亿美元，创历史新高。货币泛滥=通胀风险=黄金受益。 四、美国散户还没"全体入场" 过去一年半的涨幅，主要是央行和亚洲资金推动的，美国投资者参与很少。GLD（全球最大黄金ETF）的持仓比 2012 年高峰还低 30%，而当时金价比现 在便宜 42%。一旦美股出问题，美国资金进来，会再推黄金上涨一波。 二、为什么 4400 不离谱？ 从长期形态看，黄金在 2024 年 3 月已经突破了一个 长达 ...

Market Overview - Bitcoin reached a high of 115,716 and a low of 113,355 yesterday, with a volatility of 2,361 points. Ethereum had a high of 3,698 and a low of 3,564, with a volatility of 134 points. A total of 77,138 people were liquidated today, amounting to 1.04 billion yuan [1] - The overall market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in trading volume and activity in the altcoin sector, particularly in DeFi projects like ENA and CRV [2] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin is currently facing resistance at the lower boundary of a blocking zone, with strong support levels identified at the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level and the 15-minute Vegas channel. A potential breakout above 116,000 is anticipated in the next couple of days [3] - The recommendation is to avoid shorting Bitcoin, as the downside potential appears limited, and there is strong upward momentum towards 116,000. A cautious approach of light buying or small positions is suggested [5] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum's price action has been weak, but it has formed structural support near the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level. A significant breakout above 3,750 is necessary for a reversal [7] - The current price pattern resembles a "cup and handle" formation, which could lead to a new upward trend if Bitcoin rises and volume increases [9] Altcoin Market - The altcoin market is experiencing mixed signals, with many coins appearing to have peaked while others have yet to rise significantly. A potential altcoin season is expected soon, particularly if Ethereum breaks above 4,100 [10] - Caution is advised with new coins, as many are subject to manipulation and rapid price changes. Recent examples include significant volatility in coins like $LIZARD and $BOSS, highlighting the risks of chasing high prices [11][12]

狗狗币（DOGE）目前交易价格为0.2200美元，较去年11月低点上涨68%，但距11月高点仍下跌53%。作为市值超320亿美元的最大迷因币，狗狗 币近期技术形态显示出看涨信号，未来或迎来显著上涨。 技术分析：杯柄形态显现 狗狗币上涨的潜在催化剂 多个因素可能推动狗狗币价格反弹。首先，链上数据显示，鲸鱼正在积极增持。持有1亿至10亿枚狗狗币的地址目前持有265亿枚，较1月的228亿 枚显著增加；持有1000万至1亿枚的地址也增持至238亿枚。 其次，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）可能批准狗狗币ETF，Bitwise、Grayscale、21Shares和Rex Shares等机构已提交相关申请。 此外，若比特币价格持续上涨（如贝莱德、Bitwise和Ark Invest等机构预测），将为狗狗币等加密货币提供有利市场环境。 周线图显示，狗狗币价格曾在2021年5月受埃隆·马斯克推动达到0.7390美元的峰值，随后暴跌至2022年6月的0.048美元低点。近期，狗狗币价格逐 渐形成杯柄形态，杯子上缘为0.4522美元（去年11月和2021年5月高点）。 杯柄形态由两部分组成：杯部呈现圆形底部和水平支撑，手柄部则表现 ...