Group 1 - The core point of the news is the passage of the GENIUS Act, which establishes a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins in the U.S., potentially reshaping the crypto asset market and impacting global financial systems [1][2]. - Stablecoins are defined as cryptocurrencies that are pegged to stable assets or currencies, providing a bridge between the crypto market and traditional finance, with applications in asset trading, cross-border payments, and decentralized finance (DeFi) [1][2]. - The GENIUS Act aims to enhance anti-money laundering and consumer protection measures, ensuring financial stability and the legality of transactions, thereby reinforcing the dominance of the U.S. dollar in the global financial landscape [1][2]. Group 2 - The U.S. government's proactive approach to stablecoins is driven by the need to alleviate debt burdens and manage rising long-term treasury yields, which indicate higher demands for returns and increased borrowing costs [2]. - The GENIUS Act positions stablecoins as automatic vending machines for U.S. treasuries, creating a significant demand for U.S. debt, which could help manage the country's debt burden and borrowing costs [2]. - The emergence of stablecoins is expected to revolutionize financial asset trading, pricing, transaction modes, and time constraints, posing substantial impacts on financial markets and institutions, as well as introducing new regulatory challenges [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - **Stock Index**: After Trump postponed 50% of the tariffs, the EU stated that the EU - US trade negotiations had "new impetus" and planned to "advance rapidly." Japan planned to use LNG projects and shipbuilding technology to seek tariff concessions from the US, aiming to reach an agreement by mid - June. ECB President Lagarde said the euro could become an alternative to the US dollar. Domestically, the market rotation was fast, the main driving force was weak, and trading volume was insufficient, so the stock index might fluctuate weakly [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Since early May, factors such as the profit - taking after the "dual cuts," the bond market's risk - aversion sentiment due to the 90 - day tariff suspension, concerns about "deposit migration" after the deposit rate cut, and worries about bond issuance supply had a bearish impact on the bond market. Current bond market investors were generally cautious, and the view of "bullish but not buying" limited the depth of market adjustment to some extent and provided the probability and odds for subsequent trading [3]. 3. Strategy Recommendations - **Stock Index**: Adopt a defensive and wait - and - see strategy [2]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Bullish in the short term [4]. 4. Market Review - **Stock Index**: The main contract futures of CSI 300 fell 0.61%, that of SSE 50 fell 0.46%, that of CSI 500 rose 0.33%, and that of CSI 1000 rose 0.69% [6]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The 10 - year main contract rose 0.00%, the 5 - year main contract rose 0.01%, the 30 - year main contract rose 0.13%, and the 2 - year main contract rose 0.03% [9]. 5. Technical Analysis - **Stock Index**: The KDJ indicator of the Shanghai Composite Index suggested a weak trend [7]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The KDJ indicator of the T main contract showed a fluctuating and strong trend [10]. 6. Futures Data | Date | Futures Variety | Closing Price (yuan/contract) | Change (%) | Trading Volume (lots) | Open Interest (lots) | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | CSI 300 Continuous | 3,831.20 | - 0.61 | 62,863 | 138,782 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | SSE 50 Continuous | 2,684.40 | - 0.46 | 34,244 | 51,685 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | CSI 500 Continuous | 5,594.60 | 0.33 | 56,454 | 110,791 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | CSI 1000 Continuous | 5,925.00 | 0.49 | 133,893 | 181,503 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | 10 - year Treasury Bond Continuous | 108.855 | 0.00 | 52,310 | 166,526 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | 5 - year Treasury Bond Continuous | 106.060 | 0.01 | 48,389 | 125,742 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | 30 - year Treasury Bond Continuous | 119.760 | 0.13 | 58,787 | 91,927 | | 2025 - 05 - 23 | 2 - year Treasury Bond Continuous | 102.430 | 0.03 | 31,127 | 102,629 | [12]

Core Viewpoint - The European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that if governments strengthen the financial and security framework of the Eurozone, the Euro could become a viable alternative to the US Dollar, benefiting the G20 significantly [1][3]. Group 1: Euro's Global Role - The Euro's global role has stagnated for decades due to the lack of a robust financial system in the EU and insufficient willingness among governments for further integration [1][3]. - Lagarde emphasized that the Euro will not automatically gain influence and requires concerted efforts to enhance its global standing [1][3]. - Currently, the US Dollar accounts for 58% of global foreign exchange reserves, the lowest in decades, while the Euro holds only 20% [3]. Group 2: Military and Economic Strength - Lagarde pointed out that to elevate the Euro's status, Europe must simultaneously enhance its military capabilities to support partnerships [3]. - She noted that investors, particularly official ones, seek geopolitical security and are inclined to invest in regions that can provide reliable security partnerships [3]. Group 3: Economic Reforms and Capital Markets - The need for deeper and more liquid capital markets in Europe was highlighted, along with the necessity for a stronger legal foundation and security capabilities to support open trade commitments [1][3]. - Lagarde stressed that internal economic reforms are urgent, as the Eurozone's capital markets remain fragmented and inefficient, lacking widely available safe assets for investors [3][4]. - She suggested that joint financing could provide a basis for gradually increasing the supply of safe assets in Europe, despite concerns from major Eurozone members about shared fiscal responsibilities [4]. Group 4: Ukraine's Currency Considerations - The Governor of the National Bank of Ukraine indicated that Ukraine is considering linking its currency more closely to the Euro instead of the Dollar, driven by increasing ties with Europe and global trade fragmentation [4]. - The shift towards the Euro is seen as complex and requires comprehensive preparation, although Euro-denominated transactions are gradually increasing in various sectors [4].

Group 1 - U.S. stock futures rose over 1% while European stocks rebounded, with the automotive sector increasing nearly 2% [1] - The euro reached a new high for the month, while gold prices fell and Bitcoin briefly surpassed the 110,000 mark [1] - The European Union expressed renewed momentum in U.S.-EU trade negotiations following Trump's postponement of 50% tariffs, with plans to expedite discussions [1] Group 2 - Japan is reportedly seeking concessions on U.S. tariffs in exchange for LNG projects and shipbuilding technology, aiming to reach an agreement by mid-June [1] - California is considering legal action against the U.S. federal government regarding tariffs on Apple phones [1] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's voting members for next year indicated that the pause in monetary easing may last longer, expressing uncertainty about the clarity of the economic situation [1] - European Central Bank President Lagarde suggested that the euro could become a substitute for the dollar, with recent global turmoil creating an opportunity for the "globalization of the euro" [1] Group 4 - Reports indicate that OPEC+ is expected to decide on a significant increase in production this week, potentially driving oil prices below $60 [1] Group 5 - The Chinese government is promoting mechanisms for reasonable wage growth in enterprises and supporting listed companies in attracting institutional investors with over 5% shareholding as active shareholders [1] Group 6 - Trump Media Group plans to raise $3 billion through cryptocurrency fundraising [1] Group 7 - Meituan's Q1 revenue exceeded expectations with an 18.1% year-on-year growth, showing strong performance in core and new businesses, particularly in flash sales [1] - During a conference call, Meituan stated it would spare no effort to win competition, although it expects a significant drop in local business operating profit margins for Q2 and cannot provide accurate performance guidance [1]