Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The domestic automotive market is experiencing active performance, with both month-on-month and year-on-year growth. In May, domestic car sales reached 2.135 million units, a month-on-month increase of 3% and a year-on-year increase of 10.3%. Sales of Chinese brand passenger cars grew by 22.6% year-on-year [2] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) continues to rise, with NEV sales accounting for 51.3% of total domestic car sales in May. The growth in NEV sales is primarily driven by state subsidy policies [2] - Exports of plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) are rapidly increasing, with May exports reaching 551,000 vehicles, a month-on-month increase of 6.6% and a year-on-year increase of 14.5%. NEV exports totaled 212,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 120% [3] - The automotive industry is shifting its competitive focus towards the field of intelligence, driven by the dual forces of policy stimulation and technological innovation. The advantages of domestic brands in intelligence are significant contributors to their sales growth [4] Summary by Sections Domestic Market Performance - In May, domestic car sales reached 2.135 million units, with a month-on-month growth of 3% and a year-on-year growth of 10.3%. Chinese brand passenger car sales were 1.622 million units, up 22.6% year-on-year. NEV sales were 1.095 million units, a year-on-year increase of 27.9%, representing 51.3% of total domestic sales [2] - From January to May, domestic car sales totaled 10.258 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, with Chinese brand passenger car sales at 7.562 million units, up 26.3% year-on-year [2] Export Performance - In May, total automotive exports were 551,000 units, with NEV exports at 212,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 120%. Among NEVs, pure electric vehicle exports reached 138,000 units, up 79.8% year-on-year [3] - From January to May, total automotive exports were 2.49 million units, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%, with NEV exports at 855,000 units, up 64.6% year-on-year [3] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the ongoing trend of hybridization and the long-term presence of internal combustion engines in hybrid forms. It highlights the potential of domestic automotive supply chain leaders in various components, such as川环科技 (Chuanhuan Technology) and 宁波高发 (Ningbo Gaofa) [10]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the turbocharger is expected to rapidly increase in volume, enhancing the value per vehicle, while the company is also venturing into humanoid robots [1] - The company is a high-quality supplier of automotive engine components, focusing on domestic substitution in the joint segment through refined processes [1] - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.11 billion to 1.75 billion CNY from 2022 to 2024, with a CAGR of 26%, while net profit is expected to rise from 37 million to 51 million CNY, with a CAGR of 17% [1] Group 2 - The automotive engine components industry is experiencing domestic production growth, with the company steadily improving its capacity utilization [2] - The company provides exhaust (camshaft, ASP approximately 210 CNY), transmission (connecting rod, ASP approximately 150 CNY), and power transmission components (pulley, ASP approximately 55 CNY) [2] - The potential market size for these components is estimated to be 9.8 billion CNY in 2024, with high precision and equipment requirements leading to a historical reliance on foreign suppliers [2] Group 3 - The turbocharger market has a low domestic penetration rate, significant market potential, and high barriers to entry, with the market size expected to reach 21.1 billion CNY by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 14% from 2025 to 2027 [3] - The company anticipates sales volumes of 320,000, 930,000, and 1.19 million units from 2022 to 2024, with revenues of 286 million, 788 million, and 986 million CNY respectively, indicating rapid expansion [3] - The average selling price (ASP) for turbochargers is expected to exceed 800 CNY, as the company expands its product range [3] Group 4 - The company is entering the robotics sector, leveraging its process advantages to establish a production line for harmonic reducers [4] - Harmonic reducers are characterized by their compact size and high transmission precision, with significant material, tooth shape design, and processing barriers [5] - The company aims to utilize its expertise in heat treatment and precision machining to build production lines for harmonic reducers and lead screws [6] Group 5 - The robotics components business is positioned as a crucial new business segment, expected to become a significant growth driver [7] - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 2.42 billion, 3.14 billion, and 3.81 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.1%, 29.6%, and 21.5% respectively [8] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 150 million, 200 million, and 260 million CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 197.6%, 33.8%, and 31.1% respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 34.3, 25.6, and 19.5X [8]

对于本田新的发展战略是否会影响到本田在中国的产品投放节奏，经济观察报向本田技研工业（中国）投资有限公司（下称"本田中国"）了解情况，本田中 国一位人士表示："本田在中国还是会按照上海车展发布的最新战略，继续加速推进电动化、智能化发展。" 中国投资协会上市公司投资专业委员会副会长支培元表示，放缓电动化步伐可能使合资公司在中国蓬勃发展的纯电动车市场中陷入被动。目前，中国纯电动 车市场占有率前十的品牌里，自主品牌占据7席，发展势头强劲。本田若不能及时跟上节奏，恐将错失抢占市场份额的黄金时机。 调整"航向" 本田此次对于其汽车业务的调整主要集中在两个方向，一是提升产品的智能化水平，二是在放缓电动化的同时加速混动化。 在智能化方面，本田正在自主研发新一代ADAS系统，该系统在设定导航目的地后，可实现全路况环境下的加速与转向辅助。基于电动车平台特性，该技术 将优先搭载于2027年投放北美和日本市场的纯电及混动车型。针对中国市场，本田选择与Momenta合作开发本土化ADAS系统，预计未来所有在华新车型都 将标配该技术。 面对全球电动车市场增速放缓，本田将混动技术确立为短期战略核心。通过双电机混合动力系统"e:HEV"的迭 ...