美股开盘，三大指数集体高开，纳指涨0.28%，标普500指数涨0.2%，道指涨0.25%。 现货黄金逼近4050美元/盎司，黄金股高开，GoldMining涨超10%，金田、哈莫尼黄金、美国黄金公司 涨超3%。 安赛乐米塔尔涨5.6%，欧盟将免税钢铁进口量砍半，超额部分将面临50%的关税。 美国太空通讯公司AST SpaceMobile涨超18%，与Verizon达成合作，明年起推卫星连接手机讯号服务。 (格隆汇) ...

Market Performance - US stock markets saw collective gains with the three major indices rising, and most Chinese concept stocks also increased in value, including JD.com, Alibaba, Xiaopeng Motors, Zeekr, and NIO, all rising over 1% [1][2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 76.33 points, or 0.17%, closing at 46,218.75 [2] - The Nasdaq index increased by 103.25 points, or 0.46%, reaching 22,573.98 [2] - The S&P 500 index gained 14.94 points, or 0.23%, ending at 6,646.90 [2] Chinese Concept Stocks - The Wande Chinese Technology Leaders Index rose by 9.49 points, or 0.20%, to 4,830.32 [2] - The Nasdaq China Index increased by 24.46 points, or 0.28%, to 8,711.30 [2] - The Wande Chinese Stocks 100 Index gained 6.76 points, or 0.20%, closing at 3,403.15 [2] Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices continued to rise, with international gold spot prices at $3,657.66 per ounce, up 0.38% [1][3] - International silver spot prices reached $42.313 per ounce, with a gain of over 1% [1][3] - Domestic gold futures in Shanghai saw a price increase of 0.4%, reaching 833.12 yuan per gram [1][3] - Shanghai silver futures rose by 0.68%, surpassing the 10,000 yuan mark [1][3] Federal Reserve Independence - Global investors remain concerned about the independence of the Federal Reserve, with recent news indicating that Trump has requested a judge to allow him to dismiss Fed Governor Cook, and the Supreme Court has asked Cook to respond by next Thursday [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the US stock market has experienced four consecutive months of growth, driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and strong corporate earnings, with Morgan Stanley strategist Wilson believing this upward trend will continue [1][3] - Wilson predicts that the current economic phase in the US is in the "early cycle stage," where lower borrowing costs alleviate corporate financing pressures, creating favorable conditions for profit growth through expansion, R&D investment, and debt optimization [3] - Small-cap stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes, are expected to see improved financing conditions and profit expectations as the Fed's rate-cutting cycle begins, contributing to overall market growth [3] Group 2 - Wilson asserts that the stock market has not fully priced in the benefits of future interest rate cuts, indicating further upside potential for the market as these policies are implemented [3] - Since April, the S&P 500 index has surged to a record high, aided by reduced concerns over US tariff policies and a growing optimism surrounding artificial intelligence, which has positively impacted tech giants' stock prices [3] - Evercore ISI strategists forecast a potential 20% increase in the S&P 500 index by the end of 2026 due to the influence of artificial intelligence [4] Group 3 - The focus of the market is currently on labor market data, which is closely tied to inflation; a hot job market could lead to increased inflationary pressures, while a moderate job market may allow for a smoother path for interest rate cuts [4] - Wilson warns of a seasonal weakness trend in September, suggesting that short-term consolidation could help the market digest previous gains and reduce valuation bubble risks, setting the stage for a healthier market environment [4] - Goldman Sachs notes that institutional investors are currently cautious after two months of selling, but believes that as long as there are no significant negative impacts on economic fundamentals, corporate earnings, or policy direction, any market declines will be limited [4]

Oil Market - On August 27, international oil prices increased, with NYMEX light crude oil futures for October delivery rising by $0.90 to $64.15 per barrel, a gain of 1.42% [1] - Brent crude oil futures for October delivery rose by $0.83 to $68.05 per barrel, marking a 1.23% increase [1] - The Russian government announced a temporary ban on gasoline exports from September 1 to September 30, affecting all exporters, aimed at stabilizing the domestic fuel market [1] US Stock Market - Major US stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up by 0.32%, the Nasdaq up by 0.21%, and the S&P 500 up by 0.24% [2] - Large tech stocks mostly rose, with Intel increasing over 2%, Microsoft nearly 1%, while Tesla, Nvidia, and Facebook saw slight declines [2][3] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 2.58%, with notable declines in popular Chinese stocks such as Li Auto down over 8%, Xpeng down nearly 7%, and NIO down over 5% [3][4] - The Wande China Tech Leaders Index decreased by 2.67%, and the Wande China Stocks 100 Index fell by 2.06% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a significant rally, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 24% since mid-April, prompting discussions about the sustainability of this bull market [1] Group 1: Corporate Earnings Improvement - The primary driver for the continued rise in U.S. stocks is the improvement in corporate earnings, with recent upward revisions in earnings forecasts for S&P 500 constituents [3] - The breadth of earnings improvement is expanding beyond just technology giants, as indicated by the ERB indicator, which has rebounded from -25% in mid-April to -5% currently [3] - Historical data suggests that such turning points often signal a strong return outlook for the market, with large-cap quality stocks benefiting first, followed by small-cap and lower-quality stocks [3] Group 2: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Expectations - A shift in expectations regarding Federal Reserve monetary policy is the second catalyst supporting the rise in U.S. stocks, with predictions of up to seven interest rate cuts by 2026 [4] - The market tends to react proactively to anticipated changes in monetary policy rather than waiting for explicit signals [4] - While there are risks associated with rising unemployment potentially disrupting market optimism, this scenario is not included in Morgan Stanley's baseline forecast [4] Group 3: Market Resilience to External Shocks - The strong resilience of the U.S. stock market in absorbing external shocks is the third pillar supporting its future performance, mirroring historical trends following geopolitical conflicts [5] - The easing tensions between Iran and Israel and the subsequent decline in international oil prices have reduced energy cost threats to the economic cycle [5] - The potential removal of "retaliatory tariffs" from tax reform legislation is expected to boost market confidence, alongside a decrease in the yield premium on U.S. Treasuries, indicating alleviated concerns about U.S. fiscal health [5] - Morgan Stanley maintains a target of 6,500 points for the S&P 500 index over the next 12 months, provided that the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.5% [5]

Core Viewpoint - The White House Press Secretary Leavitt described the recent rise in the U.S. stock market as a positive indicator of economic strength and investor confidence [1] Group 1 - The U.S. stock market has experienced significant gains, reflecting a robust economic environment [1] - Investor sentiment appears to be improving, contributing to the upward trend in stock prices [1] - The administration views the stock market performance as a sign of effective economic policies [1]

Market Performance - On June 10, US stock indices all rose, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaching a three-month high during intraday trading [2][3] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.25% at 42,866.87 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.55% to 6,038.81 points, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.63% to 19,714.99 points [2][3] Sector Performance - In the banking sector, major stocks showed mixed results, with JPMorgan rising 0.73%, Bank of America up 0.55%, and Goldman Sachs increasing by 0.25%, while Citigroup fell 0.17% and Morgan Stanley dropped 0.05% [3] - The energy sector saw most major stocks rise, with Schlumberger up over 4%, ConocoPhillips increasing by over 3%, and ExxonMobil and Occidental Petroleum both rising over 2% [4] - Airline stocks had mixed performance, with Southwest Airlines up over 2% and Delta Airlines rising 1%, while United Airlines fell 0.32% [5] Technology Sector - The semiconductor industry saw a broad increase, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 2.06% and Intel increasing by over 7% [5] - Tesla's stock rose over 5%, bringing its market capitalization back above $1 trillion, reaching $1.05 trillion [5] Chinese Stocks - Chinese stocks listed in the US showed a slight increase, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising 0.3% [6] - Notable gainers included Yatsen Holding up over 15% and Legend Biotech rising over 8% [6] Commodity Prices - International gold prices and oil prices experienced narrow fluctuations after previous volatility [7] - On June 10, London gold prices slightly decreased but remained above $3,300 per ounce, while NYMEX WTI crude oil futures also saw a minor decline of less than 1% [8][9]

受特朗普表示无意解雇鲍威尔，以及贸易紧张局势可能缓和的预期影响，美股盘初三大股指均走高，纳 指涨3.56%，标普500指数涨2.52%，道指涨1.93%，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨2.7%。明星科技股普涨， 英伟达涨超5%，苹果涨超3%，特斯拉涨超6%，Q1盈利锐减40%远逊预期，仍计划上半年开始生产低 价车等新车。英特尔涨超5%，公司将宣布裁员超过20%。波音涨7.2%，至3月28日以来盘中最高。 ...