Market Overview - International gold prices experienced fluctuations and closed higher on July 29, with an opening price of $3,314.71 per ounce, a high of $3,334.13, a low of $3,307.99, and a closing price of $3,320.60 [1]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. JOLTs job openings for June recorded 7.437 million, below the market expectation of 7.5 million and down from the previous value of 7.769 million. This indicates a decline in job openings after two months of increases, suggesting a stable overall labor demand [2][4]. - The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for July was reported at 97.2, exceeding the market expectation of 95 and up from the previous value of 93. This reflects a slight improvement in consumer sentiment, although it remains below last year's levels [2][4]. Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve officials are reportedly divided on the need for future interest rate cuts, with some waiting for clearer evidence before making a decision. The focus will be on whether Chairman Powell will hint at a potential rate cut in September during the upcoming press conference [4][6]. Trade Developments - The U.S. Commerce Secretary announced that President Trump will unveil pharmaceutical industry policies within two weeks. Additionally, Trump indicated that India may face tariffs of 20%-25%, although an agreement has not yet been finalized [5][6]. Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices showed a rebound after a period of decline, with short-term support levels being established. The market is currently in a cautious trading phase, with specific trading ranges suggested for both long and short positions [8].

Economic Data and Events - Key focus on economic events and data on July 1, including China's June Caixin Manufacturing PMI at 09:45 [1] - The UK Nationwide House Price Index month-on-month change at 14:00 [1] - France's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 15:50 [1] - Germany's June Manufacturing PMI final value and seasonally adjusted unemployment rate at 15:55 [1] - Eurozone's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 16:00 [1] - UK's June Manufacturing PMI final value at 16:30 [1] - Eurozone's June CPI at 17:00 [1] - US June S&P Global Manufacturing PMI final value at 21:45 [1] - US June ISM Manufacturing PMI, May JOLTs job openings, and May construction spending month-on-month change at 22:00 [1] - API crude oil inventory for the week ending June 28 at 04:30 the next day [1]

Group 1 - Domestic refined oil will enter a new round of price adjustment window [1] - Key economic data releases include China's June Caixin Manufacturing PMI and Eurozone's June CPI [1][1] - Major central bank leaders will participate in a panel discussion [1] Group 2 - Various manufacturing PMIs from Germany, France, and the UK will be released [1][1] - The US will report on May JOLTs job openings and construction spending [1][1] - API crude oil inventory data will be released for the week ending June 28 [1]

Employment Statistics - In March 2025, total employment across all covered industries was 2,714,400, a decrease of 0.5% or 14,500 jobs compared to the same period last year [1][2] - The most significant employment increases were observed in the accommodation services sector (4.0% or 1,500 jobs), human health services (3.9% or 6,000 jobs), and real estate (3.7% or 5,100 jobs) [2] - Conversely, notable employment declines occurred in the retail sector (-4.6% or -11,100 jobs), wholesale trade (-3.4% or -1,700 jobs), information and communications (-3.3% or -3,600 jobs), and food services (-2.8% or -6,300 jobs) [2] Job Vacancy Statistics - As of March 2025, there were 55,170 job vacancies in private institutions, a decrease of 27% or 20,010 vacancies compared to the previous year [1][3] - The education sector accounted for 5,660 vacancies, followed by professional and business services (5,050), accommodation and social work services (4,950), food services (4,860), and financial and insurance services (4,660) [3] - Significant reductions in job vacancies were noted in transportation, warehousing, postal and courier services (-5,080 or -58%), human health services (-2,760 or -43%), and professional and business services (-1,670 or -25%) [3] Seasonally Adjusted Statistics - Seasonally adjusted figures indicated a slight increase of less than 0.05% in total employment and a decrease of 7.3% in total job vacancies when comparing March 2025 to December 2024 [4]

Group 1 - The U.S. job market shows unexpected strength with April JOLTS job openings at 7.391 million, surpassing market expectations of 7.1 million [1][3] - The ratio of job openings to unemployed individuals is currently at 1.0, indicating a balance between supply and demand, similar to pre-pandemic levels [3] - The healthcare, social work, and business services sectors contributed significantly to the increase in job openings, while education sectors are experiencing layoffs [3] Group 2 - April hiring reached a new high of 5.6 million, but layoffs also increased to 1.79 million, the highest since October of the previous year, indicating a volatile job market [5] - The number of voluntary resignations decreased from 3.35 million to 3.2 million, suggesting that workers are hesitant to leave their jobs [5] - Economists predict that the upcoming non-farm payroll report will show a decrease in new jobs to 125,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain stable at 4.2% [7] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve is maintaining interest rates in the 4.25%-4.5% range, with potential rate cuts not expected until September [7] - There are concerns regarding the reliability of the JOLTS data due to a low sampling rate, which is only half of what it was a few years ago [7][8] - The job market is described as a "Rashomon" scenario, with conflicting interpretations of the data from different sources [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the US dollar strengthened against a basket of currencies due to falling inflation in the Eurozone and higher-than-expected job vacancies in the US [1][2] - The US Labor Department reported that job vacancies in April 2025 reached 7.391 million, exceeding market expectations of 7.1 million and the revised figure of 7.2 million from March [1] - Eurozone's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May showed a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, which is below the market expectation of 2% and the previous month's figure of 2.2%, leading to expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank [2] Group 2 - The Euro traded at 1.1375 USD, down from 1.1441 USD the previous trading day, while the British Pound was at 1.3525 USD, lower than 1.3540 USD [2] - The US dollar was exchanged at 143.91 Japanese Yen, up from 142.82 Yen, and at 0.8238 Swiss Francs, higher than 0.8170 Francs [2] - The US dollar also traded at 1.3716 Canadian Dollars, slightly up from 1.3712 Dollars, and at 9.6231 Swedish Krona, compared to 9.5267 Krona previously [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the impact of recent U.S. trade policies and economic indicators on the gold market, indicating a complex interplay between short-term pressures and long-term safe-haven demand [2][3] - President Trump signed an executive order to alleviate tariff impacts on automakers, while the U.S. Commerce Secretary revealed a secret trade agreement, aiming to reduce market anxiety [2] - The U.S. trade deficit reached a historical high of $162 billion in March, potentially dragging down Q1 GDP by nearly 2 percentage points, raising concerns about economic performance [2] Group 2 - The consumer confidence index fell to a five-year low in April, and job openings dropped by 288,000 in March, signaling economic weakness [2] - Goldman Sachs has revised its Q1 GDP forecast to a contraction of 0.8%, reflecting growing pessimism among economists [2] - Despite short-term pressures on gold prices, the long-term safe-haven logic remains intact, as indicated by David Meger, who noted that the recent price correction is merely technical [2] Group 3 - Current gold T+D prices are at 780.88 yuan per gram, with a decline of 0.49%, and trading has seen a high of 786.00 yuan and a low of 779.65 yuan [3] - Resistance levels for gold are observed at 835-840 yuan, while support is seen at 760-765 yuan [3]