中航沈飞（600760.SH）2025 年半年报点评 ➢ 事件：8 月 25 日，公司发布 2025 年半年报，1H25 实现营收 146.3 亿元， YOY -32.4%；归母净利润 11.4 亿元，YOY -29.8%；扣非净利润 10.7 亿元，YOY -32.4%；剔除股份支付影响的净利润 11.6 亿元，YOY -29.9%。业绩表现符合 预期。受产品配套交付进度及结构调整影响，公司业绩同比下滑，我们点评如下： ➢ 2Q25 业绩承压；盈利能力保持稳定。1）单季度：公司 2Q25 实现营收 87.9 亿元，YOY -27.5%；归母净利润 7.1 亿元，YOY -21.8%；扣非净利润 6.5 亿元， YOY -25.0%。2）利润率：公司 1H25 毛利率同比下滑 0.3ppt 至 12.3%；净利 率同比提升 0.3ppt 至 7.7%。其中，2Q25 毛利率同比下滑 0.9ppt 至 12.0%； 净利率同比提升 0.5ppt 至 8.0%。盈利能力整体保持了稳定。 ➢ 吉航公司营收增长 108%；定增募资 40 亿推动装备发展。1H25，子公司 方面，1）沈飞公司：主营歼击机（涵盖特种型飞机 ...

Group 1 - The "2025 Shanghai-Hong Kong-Macau-Taiwan Overseas Chinese Youth Drone Invitation Competition" was held at Shanghai University, attracting nearly a hundred participants from Shanghai, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas Chinese communities [1][3][5] - Participants used VR headsets to control drones through obstacles, emphasizing the importance of skill and teamwork [1][3] - The event serves as a platform for youth to showcase their talents in drone technology, which combines artificial intelligence and aviation technology [5] Group 2 - Participants expressed the significance of maintaining composure during the competition, highlighting the challenges faced by newcomers in drone operation [3] - The competition is seen as an opportunity to deepen friendships and cultural connections among youth from different regions [5] - The event aligns with the aspiration of youth for a future empowered by technology and the desire for friendship that transcends geographical barriers [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the participation of China's aviation industry, represented by advanced fighter jets and drones, in the 55th Paris Air Show, highlighting the significance of this event for showcasing China's aerospace advancements and potential export opportunities [1][25]. Group 1: Participation in Paris Air Show - China Aviation Industry Corporation announced its participation in the Paris Air Show from June 16-22, showcasing models such as the J-20, J-35A, J-10CE, Y-20, Z-20, and Z-10ME [1]. - The J-10CE, which gained attention after its performance in the India-Pakistan air conflict, is particularly highlighted as it competes directly with the French Rafale at the air show [1]. Group 2: Historical Context - The first participation of Chinese fighter jets in the Paris Air Show occurred in 1989 with the J-8II, marking a significant moment in showcasing China's aerospace capabilities [3]. - The article draws parallels between the development of the French Rafale and China's J-10, noting the historical context of their respective advancements in military aviation technology [10][12]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The J-10's design incorporates a canard-delta configuration, which was a strategic choice given China's technological capabilities at the time of its development [11]. - The J-10 has evolved significantly, with the introduction of advanced radar systems and missile technology, such as the PL-15, enhancing its combat capabilities [21][24]. Group 4: Export Potential - The participation in the Paris Air Show is seen as a strategic move to promote potential exports of the J-10CE and other models, indicating a shift in China's approach to international military sales [24][25]. - The article speculates on the future export of the J-20, which could significantly alter geopolitical power dynamics [25].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.8%, while the CSI 300 also decreased by 0.8%. The STAR Market 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 1.4%. The Hang Seng Index experienced a decline of 2.0% [5][7]. - The best-performing sectors included oil and petrochemicals (+0.9%), while the worst-performing sectors were textiles and apparel (-2.4%), beauty and personal care (-2.3%), light industry manufacturing (-2.0%), non-ferrous metals (-2.0%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-1.9%) [5][7]. - The total trading volume across the A-share market was 12,809 billion, with a net inflow of 1.43 billion HKD from southbound funds [5][7]. Key Recommendations - The report highlights Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308) as a leading high-end casting company benefiting from trends in AIDC, aerospace technology, and nuclear fusion industries. The growth potential is significant due to the expected surge in demand for AIDC, aerospace engines, and nuclear power [8]. - The company is increasing its investment in blade casing processing coating projects and advanced nuclear materials, which is expected to significantly enhance its production capacity and product value [8]. - Revenue projections for Yingliu Co., Ltd. are estimated at 3,132 million, 3,858 million, and 4,694 million from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 22% respectively. Net profit is projected to be 406 million, 555 million, and 742 million, with growth rates of 42%, 37%, and 34% respectively [8]. Important Insights - The macroeconomic research indicates that the Ministry of Finance's actions in Q3 to replenish fiscal deposit accounts may be a key observation window for the Federal Reserve's decision to halt balance sheet reduction. The adjustment of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) in the second half of the year is also crucial [9]. - The mechanical equipment sector report emphasizes a focus on engineering machinery, humanoid robots, and overseas expansion. The global market for engineering machinery is expected to grow as international market share increases and domestic demand improves due to favorable macro policies [10][11]. - The report notes that AI and automation will drive growth in the next decade, with a focus on global supply chains and the emergence of competitive overseas enterprises [11].

Core Viewpoint - The successful certification of China's AG600 amphibious aircraft marks a significant advancement in the country's aviation industry, enhancing its technological and industrial influence on the global stage [1][2]. Group 1: Certification and Market Readiness - The AG600 has received a type certificate from the Civil Aviation Administration of China, indicating its readiness for mass production and safe operation [1]. - This certification is a crucial milestone in the aircraft's lifecycle, ensuring its safe operation on land and water, and signifies China's progress towards aviation independence [1]. Group 2: Technical Specifications and Capabilities - The AG600 features impressive dimensions, measuring 38.9 meters in length and 38.8 meters in wingspan, allowing stable operation both on water and in the air [2]. - It is designed for multiple functions, including water rescue and forest firefighting, thanks to its unique integration of aircraft and hull structures [2]. - The aircraft is powered by four WJ6 engines, providing stable performance even in extreme weather conditions, which is critical for rapid disaster response [2]. - The aerodynamic design of the AG600 has been optimized for energy efficiency, reducing its environmental impact during flights [2]. Group 3: Strategic Positioning and Future Outlook - Through the integration of modern technology and enhanced R&D capabilities, China positions itself as a major player in the global aviation market [2]. - The AG600 exemplifies China's ambition for technological leadership in aviation, with plans to continue advancing its aerospace industry [2].