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“固收+”基金研究:2025H1,“固收+”基金的制胜之道
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-02 07:40
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025H1, the performance of major asset classes showed a characteristic of "strong stocks and weak bonds." Convertible bond funds led the market, with a median return rate of 7.16%, outperforming stock - type and partial - stock hybrid funds. The overall performance of "fixed - income +" funds was better than that of pure - bond funds, and some funds performed brightly [1][10][15] - The top - performing "fixed - income +" funds in 2025H1 were mainly convertible - bond - enhanced funds. Stock - enhanced funds were concentrated in companies like Wells Fargo, China Asset Management, and Bosera. The top 30 list of ordinary "fixed - income +" funds was relatively scattered [2][48][51] - High - performing "fixed - income +" funds continued to overweight convertibles in sectors such as metals and mid - stream manufacturing, underweight bank convertibles, and also had a clear preference in stock investment, overweighting stocks in industries such as metals, military, TMT, and medicine [3] 3. Summary According to the Catalog 3.1 2025H1, How Did "Fixed - Income +" Funds Perform? 3.1.1 Stock - Strong and Bond - Weak, Convertible - Bond Funds Led the Market - In 2025H1, the performance of major asset classes showed a characteristic of "strong stocks and weak bonds." The equity market continued to recover and broke through key points, while the bond market oscillated and corrected. As of June 30, the Wind All - A Index recorded a 5.83% increase, and the CSI 2000 rose 15.24%. The CSI Convertible Bond Index recorded a 7.02% positive return, outperforming major broad - based stock indexes [10] - Convertible - bond funds led the market, with a median return rate of 7.16% in 2025H1, significantly outperforming stock - type and partial - stock hybrid funds. In the expectation of a better - performing equity market, the share of passive index - type and hybrid bonds increased significantly, while pure - bond funds were heavily redeemed [15][16] 3.1.2 The Net Value of "Fixed - Income +" Funds Recovered, and the Convertible - Bond Strategy Was Superior - After re - defining "fixed - income +" funds based on post - event asset allocation and classifying them into 7 sub - categories within 3 major categories, as of 2025Q2, 1418 "fixed - income +" funds had a total share of 1148.329 billion, a 16.54% increase from the end of 2024, and a total net asset value of 1496.58 billion, a 17.23% increase from the end of 2024 [27][28] - By the end of 2025H1, the stock and convertible - bond positions of "fixed - income +" funds decreased slightly. The market value of stocks held increased by 10.71% to 160.9 billion, while the market value of convertible bonds decreased by 4.92% to 255.8 billion. The stock position decreased by 0.63 pct to 10.75%, the convertible - bond position decreased by 3.98 pct to 17.09%, and the bond position increased by 0.86 pct to 99.48% [34] - Over 90% of "fixed - income +" funds had positive returns in 2025H1, and overall, they had good drawdown control. Convertible - bond - enhanced funds performed brightly but had a slightly higher drawdown range [40][44] 3.2 Which High - Performing "Fixed - Income +" Funds Led the Market? 3.2.1 Performance Review of Existing "Fixed - Income +" Funds - Among the top 30 funds with the highest interval returns in 2025H1, 26 were convertible - bond - enhanced funds, 2 were ordinary "fixed - income +" funds, and 2 were stock - enhanced funds. Huashang Fund had multiple convertible - bond - enhanced funds on the list. If only considering funds with a share of over 200 million, 28 convertible - bond - enhanced funds were on the list, along with 1 ordinary stock - enhanced fund and 1 ordinary "fixed - income +" fund [2][48] - The top 30 stock - enhanced funds in 2025H1 were concentrated in fund companies such as Wells Fargo, China Asset Management, and Bosera. Their asset - allocation strategies were somewhat differentiated, with some having a convertible - bond position of over 15%, while most held little or no convertible bonds [51] - The top 30 convertible - bond - enhanced funds in 2025H1 were mostly high - convertible - bond - position funds, distributed among various fund companies. Wells Fargo Jiuli and Huashang Fengli led the market, and China Europe Convertible Bond performed well in the convertible - bond fund category [2][52] 3.2.2 Performance Review of Newly - Issued "Fixed - Income +" Funds - Among the potentially high - performing "fixed - income +" funds newly established since 2023Q3, the top 30 were mostly secondary - bond funds (23). Except for China Merchants Anze Wenli, the returns in 2025H1 were all within 5%, and the maximum drawdown was mostly within 2% [2][56] - China Merchants Anze Wenli recorded a 6.17% positive return in 2025H1 with a maximum drawdown of 4.91%. It is a partial - bond hybrid fund, and the equity - class position contributed highly to the overall return [56] 3.3 What Are the Characteristics of the Holdings of High - Performing "Fixed - Income +" Funds? 3.3.1 History: What Directions Did High - Performing Funds Invest In? - At the end of 2024Q4 and 2025Q1, various top "fixed - income +" funds significantly overweighted manufacturing - chain convertible bonds and underweighted bank convertible bonds. They also overweighted partial - stock and high - price convertible bonds and underweighted high - rating convertible bonds. In terms of stock industry allocation, they overweighted leading - rising industries such as metals, machinery, electronics, and computers and underweighted industries that declined significantly in 2025Q1 [3] 3.3.2 Present: Where Are High - Performing Funds Investing? - High - performing "fixed - income +" funds continue to significantly overweight convertible bonds in sectors such as metals and mid - stream manufacturing, underweight bank convertible bonds, overweight high - price convertible bonds above 130 yuan and partial - stock convertible bonds, and underweight medium - price convertible bonds between 110 - 120 yuan [3] - They significantly overweight stocks in industries such as metals, military, TMT, medicine, and light manufacturing, underweight cyclical and financial - type industry stocks, and significantly overweight small - and medium - cap stocks with a market value between 10 - 50 billion [3]
公募业绩回暖难阻资金撤离,投资者“落袋为安”情绪加剧赎回
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 11:48
Group 1 - The public fund industry has seen a performance recovery, with major stock indices rising over 8% as of July 25, and over 90% of active equity products showing positive returns year-to-date [1][2] - Despite the positive performance, there has been a significant net redemption of over 1.07 billion units in active equity funds during Q2, a 56% increase from Q1 [1][2] - Investors are increasingly motivated by a "take profit" mentality, particularly in sectors like pharmaceuticals that have rebounded sharply [1][6] Group 2 - The innovative drug index has seen a cumulative increase of 74.21% from the beginning of the year to July 25, yet some high-performing funds are facing scale crises and potential liquidation [2][3] - For instance, Penghua Innovation Medicine A has experienced net redemptions of 1.69 million units and 8.15 million units in the first two quarters of the year, leading to a significant drop in its total assets [2][3] - Other funds, such as the Jiashi Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Industrial Machinery ETF, have also faced substantial redemptions, with a scale reduction of over 90% [3][4] Group 3 - The phenomenon of high-performing funds facing redemptions is attributed to investor sentiment rather than poor performance, with many investors opting to redeem funds that have shown moderate gains [6][7] - The market is currently characterized by rapid sector rotation, and while short-term trends may show strength, the difficulty in chasing high returns is increasing [1][7] - Analysts suggest that the market is transitioning from a capital-driven phase to one focused on fundamentals, indicating a potential shift in investment strategies for the second half of the year [1][8]