证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 周生生(0116.HK) 投资评级 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 9 月 2 日 [Table_S 事件：公司发布 ummary] 25H1 业绩，实现收入 110.4 亿港元，同比-2%，其中零售 业务收入 107.6 亿港元，同比-3%；实现持续经营业务归母净利润 9.10 亿 港元，同比+81%，归母净利润 9.02 亿港元，同比+71%。25H1 公司拟每股 派发现金红利 0.21 港元，每股分红同比增长 40%。 点评： 25H1 净利润的大幅增长主要来自毛利率的提升及销售费用的优化。25H1 公 司毛利率 33.5%，同比大幅提升 5.2pct，毛利额在收入小幅下滑的情况下实 现同比 16%的增幅，同比增加 5 亿港元。25H1 销售费用率 17.3%，同比- 0.7pct，销售及分销费用同比减少 1.3 亿港元/yoy-6%；管理费用率 4.1%， 同比提升 0.2pct。毛利率提升、销售费用率下降，共同带动 25H1 持续经营 业务期内溢利同比增长 4.1 亿 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 36.698 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.34%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.056 billion yuan, up 14.86% year-on-year, driven by increased power generation from six cascade power stations [7] - The company plans to optimize financial expenses, with a reduction in financial costs by 7.86 billion yuan year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [7] - Shareholders plan to increase their holdings, reflecting confidence in the company's future development, with a planned increase of no less than 4 billion yuan and no more than 8 billion yuan within 12 months [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 78.144 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.48%, and for 2024A is 84.492 billion yuan, with a growth of 8.12% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is projected at 27.245 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 14.83%, and for 2024A is 32.496 billion yuan, with a growth of 19.28% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 1.11 yuan per share, with a projected increase to 1.33 yuan in 2024A [1] - The company's P/E ratio is projected to be 24.96 for 2023A, decreasing to 20.92 for 2024A and further to 19.41 for 2025E [1] Operational Performance - The total power generation for the first half of 2025 was approximately 1,266.56 billion kWh, an increase of 5.01% year-on-year, with specific increases from various power stations [7] - The water inflow for the Wudongde reservoir was approximately 39.964 billion cubic meters, a 9.01% increase year-on-year, while the inflow for the Three Gorges reservoir was approximately 135.532 billion cubic meters, an 8.39% decrease year-on-year [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by the recovery of traditional clients and the expansion of new clients in the stamping business [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.287 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 201 million yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 198 million yuan, reflecting a 26.7% increase year-on-year - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 687 million yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 9.5% and 14.4% respectively - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 was 107 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 31.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.0% [1]. Business Segments - The stamping parts business generated revenue of 854 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 41.1%, accounting for 66.4% of total revenue - The growth in stamping parts was primarily driven by increased sales from new clients, with Xiaomi and Li Auto achieving significant sales increases in Q2 2025 - The assembly processing business reported revenue of 237 million yuan, up 16.7% year-on-year, mainly due to the recovery of traditional client SAIC Motor - Other business segments, including precision electroplating and molds, showed mixed results, with precision electroplating revenue at 89 million yuan (up 0.1%) and molds at 39 million yuan (down 75.3%) [2]. Cost and Profitability - The company optimized its expenses in Q2 2025, with a total expense ratio of 7.50%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year - The overall gross margin for Q2 was 29.9%, an increase of 6.2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of new clients and a decline in raw material prices - The gross margin for the stamping parts segment was 20.3%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.3 percentage points [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve revenues of 3.26 billion yuan, 4.23 billion yuan, and 4.76 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 28.6%, 30.1%, and 12.5% respectively - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 500 million yuan, 620 million yuan, and 710 million yuan, with a significant increase expected in 2026 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but achieved significant growth in net profit due to cost control and expense optimization strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 984 million yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 7.19%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 77 million yuan, an increase of 26.90% [1]. - The company’s gross profit margin was 31.96%, a decrease of 0.47 percentage points year-over-year, with the gross margin for the sauce and marinated meat products business at 38.61%, an increase of 2.23 percentage points [2]. - The company’s net profit margin was 7.82%, an increase of 2.10 percentage points year-over-year [2]. Group 2: Operational Challenges - The decline in revenue was primarily due to weak consumer scenarios leading to pressure on same-store sales, with a continuous reduction in the number of stores [1]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 2,898 specialty stores, a decrease of 762 direct stores and 715 franchise stores compared to the beginning of the year [1]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company launched a digital marketing platform in May 2025 to enhance terminal empowerment and optimize store operations through upgraded standards [1]. - Marketing efforts included sponsorship of high-speed rail and music festivals to reach younger consumers, resulting in over 200 million online and offline exposures [3]. - The company focused on product innovation by eliminating inefficient SKUs and concentrating on the hand-pulled sauce duck, which accounted for 22% of sales by the end of the reporting period [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company aims to optimize store structure and deepen its "1+N" online and offline business model while actively seeking quality acquisition targets for long-term growth [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.959 billion, 2.206 billion, and 2.407 billion yuan, with respective year-over-year growth rates of 13%, 13%, and 9% [3].