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招商证券:12月增量资金有望整体保持平稳净流入 外资活跃度或继续回升
智通财经网· 2025-12-04 13:15
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities indicates that incremental capital is expected to maintain a stable net inflow in December, with foreign capital activity likely to continue to rebound [1][4]. Group 1: Market Style Outlook - The market style is expected to focus on large-cap stocks, with a potential shift from growth to value [2]. - Historical data shows that large-cap styles have outperformed in December, influenced by policy expectations from key domestic meetings and the upcoming annual report preview window [2]. - The central bank's recent monetary policy report suggests a "cross-cycle" approach, indicating that policy support may be more pronounced next year [2]. Group 2: External Factors - The likelihood of a hawkish rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December is high, which may lead to a peak in the US dollar index, reducing external liquidity's impact on the market compared to November [2]. - The demand for foreign capital is expected to increase due to the anticipated strength of the RMB, driven by year-end settlement needs and a peak in the dollar index [2]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Liquidity - December is projected to see stable net inflows of incremental capital, with foreign capital activity expected to rise [4]. - The monetary market's liquidity remained stable in November, supported by the central bank, and is likely to continue being reasonably ample in December [4]. - New equity fund issuance is expected to provide additional capital for sectors like AI and chips, with significant fundraising occurring in early December [2][4]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Preferences - Market risk appetite has fluctuated, with a shift towards defensive trading characteristics, favoring low-volatility sectors such as banking and textiles [5]. - Defensive sectors have performed well, while previously high-performing sectors like technology and automotive have seen declines [5].
国家发改委:更好发挥政府投资基金跨周期、逆周期调节作用,对评优基金予以优待
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-07-30 03:26
北京商报讯(记者 郝彦)7月30日,国家发改委向社会公开征求《政府投资基金布局规划和投向工作指引》和《加强政府投资基金投向指导评价管理办法》 意见。 其中,《加强政府投资基金投向指导评价管理办法(公开征求意见稿)》中提出指导评价管理遵循的三项基本原则。 首先,突出基金定位,推动有效市场和有为政府更好结合。在充分发挥市场在资源配置决定性作用的基础上,政府投资基金突出政府引导和政策性定位,聚 焦政策目标,有力有效支持重大战略、重点领域和市场不能充分发挥作用的薄弱环节,吸引带动更多社会资本,支持现代化产业体系建设,加快培育发展新 质生产力,推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合。在需要长期布局的领域,更好发挥基金作为长期资本、耐心资本的跨周期和逆周期调节作用,增强投资延续 性。 同时,突出分级分类,发挥各级基金合力塑造产业发展新动能。此外,突出激励约束,推动优化产业布局、强化产业调控。以引导政府投资基金投向或退出 国家鼓励或调控限制的产业领域,有保有压加强和优化产业调控。 《加强政府投资基金投向指导评价管理办法(公开征求意见稿)》同时公布了基金投向评价结果应用。对于评价结果排名靠前的基金,综合采取通报表扬、 示范推广、项目 ...