高阶智驾平权

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机构:内需与出口叠加向好 全年乘用车销量或上行
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-06-25 09:52
据乘联分会消息,6月1日—22日,全国乘用车市场零售126.9万辆,同比增长24%,较上月同期增长 8%,今年以来累计零售1008.6万辆,同比增长11%。6月1—22日,全国乘用车新能源市场零售69.1万 辆,同比增长38%,较上月同期增长11%,全国新能源市场零售渗透率54.5%,今年以来累计零售504.9 万辆,同比增长35%。 银河证券表示,内需与出口叠加向好,全年乘用车销量预计增长6.7%。30万元以下销量占比有望继续 提升,"高阶智驾平权"推动竞争格局继续集中。以旧换新政策支持、新能源汽车下乡、年底新能源车免 征购置税政策到期三重政策利好支撑内需,全年乘用车市场销量预计同比增长6.7%。竞争格局中,"智 驾平权"带来单车成本与算力、数据、算法研发投入增加,对车企的成本管控、研发投入能力要求进一 步上升,新能源市场份额向头部3—5名主机厂继续集中。 该机构建议关注,乘用车板块推荐比亚迪(002594)、理想汽车-W,受益标的吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、 零跑汽车;摩托车板块受益标的春风动力(603129)、隆鑫通用(603766);商用车板块受益标的中国 重汽(000951)、宇通客车(600066);智能 ...
特斯拉启动Robotaxi试运营,新能源车ETF基金(516660)涨超2%,震裕科技涨超7%
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-24 03:09
东方证券指出,国内Robotaxi布局提速,特斯拉试点有望进一步加快Robotaxi商业化进程。2025年国内 Robotaxi企业规模化投放加速,小马智行将于2025年底将Robotaxi车队规模扩大至千台,文远知行计划 与Uber合作在5年内新增15座国际城市Robotaxi服务,萝卜快跑计划在迪拜部署超过1000台全无人驾驶 汽车积极布局Robotaxi领域;国内出行企业亦积极布局Robotaxi领域,上汽享道出行宣布将与Momenta 合作打造主驾无人Robotaxi车队,哈啰、蚂蚁集团、宁德时代共同成立"上海造父智能科技有限公司", 推进L4级自动驾驶技术研发和商业化落地。若特斯拉Robotaxi进展顺利,预计其将起到示范效应,促进 国内企业进一步加快Robotaxi商业化进程。 银河证券表示,乘用车板块内需与出口叠加向好,全年乘用车销量预计+6.7%。30万以下销量占比有望 继续提升,"高阶智驾平权"推动竞争格局继续集中。零部件板块方面,产业链整合趋势加速,芯片及解 决方案开发与低碳制造技术是当下聚焦重点,关注智驾增量部件。主机厂、零部件厂有望受益于新兴产 业的快速发展。此外,预计2027年固态电 ...
小鹏汽车-W:一季度销量同比增长331%,MONA M03新版本上市1小时大定破万台-20250605
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-05 09:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][31]. Core Views - The company achieved a significant year-on-year sales growth of 331% in Q1 2025, with a total sales volume of 94,000 vehicles [2][20]. - The revenue for Q1 2025 reached 15.81 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 141.5% [7]. - The launch of new models, including the MONA M03, is expected to drive sales further, with the new version receiving over 12,566 orders within the first hour of its release [3][27]. - The company maintains its profit forecast, projecting revenues of 88.5 billion, 118.1 billion, and 130.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, while expecting net losses of 1.58 billion, 2.659 billion, and 4.682 billion yuan for the same years [31]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 15.6%, an increase of 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -4.2%, improving by 16.7 percentage points year-on-year [2][11]. - The automotive business gross margin was 10.5%, up 5.0 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased sales and reduced costs [11]. - The service and other income gross margin was 66.4%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.5% due to higher-margin technical service revenues [11]. Sales and Delivery Guidance - The company expects Q2 2025 vehicle deliveries to be between 102,000 and 108,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 238% to 258% [20]. - Cumulative total deliveries from April to May 2025 reached 68,600 units, marking a year-on-year growth of 251% [2][20]. Model Launches and Market Strategy - The 2025 model of the X9 and the new version of the MONA M03 were launched, featuring advanced AI driving capabilities [3][24]. - The MONA M03 is positioned to penetrate the market for high-end intelligent driving vehicles priced under 200,000 yuan, enhancing the company's competitive edge [31].