2026年1月初正式发布榜单。 本文为IPO早知道原创 作者｜ Eric 微信公众号｜ipozaozhidao 今日，IPO早知道正式启动2025年度榜单评选工作，并计划于2026年1月初正式发布榜单。 为了进一步增强榜单的完整性与真实性，我们今年仍然预留了足够的时间接受各方申报，涵盖问卷填 写、自荐/推荐等环节。 IPO早知道年度榜单评选已连续举办五年。五年来，不乏各种类型的LP来向我们咨询评判维度及排 名依据，以便他们更好地了解市场真实情况；亦有多家我们不曾覆盖到的GP主动向我们提供IPO案 例及相关数据。 5、今年新增设的「2025年度最佳港股基石投资机构」榜单。 2025年度IPO最佳投资机构TOP100 相比于2024年的"低迷"，2025年的IPO市场迎来了一轮新的爆发。尤其值得一提的是香港市场，港 交所已经成为中国最优质企业海外上市的首选目的地。随之而来的，是中国投资机构久违的价值收获 期。 五年以来我们一直认为，IPO退出数量仍是反映机构投资成绩最直观的标准。 因此，IPO早知 道也将继续基于这一指标，评选出「2025年度IPO最佳投资机构TOP100」。 与往年一样，我们的「IPO最佳投资机 ...

Group 1 - The recovery of the IPO market in 2023 is driven by multiple factors, with Asia being the primary growth engine for international business [1] - The number of Japanese IPOs on Nasdaq has nearly doubled this year, while Korean companies show a stable pipeline, indicating a shift in regional dynamics [1] - Hong Kong's IPO market has seen a significant increase, with a financing amount of HKD 182.3 billion in the first three quarters of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 228% [1] Group 2 - Competition among global exchanges is beneficial for the capital markets, as it drives improvements in service quality, liquidity, and overall market experience [2] - Nasdaq aims to be the preferred choice for companies considering international listings, emphasizing the importance of understanding client needs [2] - The travel industry remains a focus for Nasdaq, with companies like Pony.ai and WeRide having gone public, alongside emerging sectors like space exploration and fintech [2] Group 3 - Nasdaq has raised its listing standards in 2025, including increasing the minimum public float to USD 15 million and requiring a minimum IPO fundraising amount of USD 25 million [3] - The logic behind raising listing standards is to enhance liquidity in the market [3] - The TCFA, established in 1994, is the largest and most influential Chinese financial organization globally, with over 10,000 members [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) is expected to report strong financial results for Q3 2025, driven by increased trading activity and a robust IPO market, despite a decline in investment income due to lower HIBOR rates and currency fluctuations [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 is projected to be HKD 7.583 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach HKD 4.774 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7% [1] - Daily average trading volume (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks is anticipated to be HKD 286.4 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 141% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20% [1] Group 2: Trading Activity - Trading-related revenue is expected to rise to HKD 5.137 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31% [1] - Southbound trading volume reached HKD 76.2 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36%, accounting for 26.6% of total ADT [1] - Northbound trading activity saw a significant increase, with single-sided ADT reaching RMB 134.3 billion, up 77% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 3: IPO Market - IPO-related revenue for Q3 2025 is estimated at HKD 440 million, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.5% [2] - A total of 25 IPOs were recorded in Q3 2025, with a fundraising amount of HKD 73.5 billion, down from HKD 88 billion in Q2 2025 [2] - The number of newly listed structured products increased to 10,700, up from 9,494 in the previous quarter [2] Group 4: Investment Income - Net investment income is projected to decline to HKD 917 million, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 41% [2] - The decline is attributed to reduced margins from margin investments due to HIBOR fluctuations and a decrease in the company's own investment returns [2] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to HKD 17.7 billion, HKD 18.3 billion, and HKD 18.7 billion, respectively, with increases of 5.2%, 11.2%, and 14.1% [3] - The target price based on DCF remains at HKD 542, with a cost of equity of 5% [3]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong market is experiencing a strong recovery as it approaches 2025, coinciding with the 25th anniversary of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Group, which is enhancing capital flow between China and the world [1][3]. Market Performance - By the end of September, the new stock issuance scale on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 182.9 billion, more than doubling compared to the same period in 2024, with nearly 300 public listing applications currently being processed [3][4]. - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong securities market reached HKD 256.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126% [5]. IPO Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong IPO market has regained its top position globally by the end of September, with refinancing activities also growing rapidly, totaling HKD 456.1 billion, which is more than double the new stock market fundraising during the same period [4][5]. - The A+H listing model has further developed, with nearly half of the new stock total coming from A+H listed companies, indicating closer integration between mainland and Hong Kong markets [3][4]. International Investment Trends - International investors are showing strong interest in Hong Kong IPOs, with long-term funds from Europe, the Middle East, and emerging markets actively participating in the issuance of Chinese tech companies, reflecting growing confidence in China's technological innovation [3][4]. Regulatory and Market Innovations - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented various reforms to enhance market vitality, including measures to optimize the listing process for tech companies and improve market quality and transparency [4][6]. - Recent initiatives include the launch of the "Hang Seng Biotechnology Index Futures" to provide diversified risk management tools for investors, responding to the rising interest in the biotechnology sector [6][7]. Future Outlook - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange aims to enhance its international competitiveness and continue optimizing its listing system and product offerings to meet the diverse needs of global investors, particularly from mainland China [7].

Core Insights - Nasdaq's third-quarter profits exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by increased trading volumes amid ongoing market volatility [1][3] - Nasdaq's CEO expressed confidence in the continued growth of the IPO market despite the government shutdown [4][5] Financial Performance - Nasdaq's market services trading revenue grew by 14%, reaching $303 million [3] - The company's adjusted profit for the three months ended September 30 was $511 million, or $0.88 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.85 per share [8] - The fintech and software segment saw a revenue increase of 23.2%, totaling $457 million, while index business revenue rose by 13.2% to $206 million [8] IPO Market Outlook - The number of new listings on Nasdaq increased from 138 in the same period last year to 205 [6] - Analysts and bank executives remain optimistic about the IPO outlook, suggesting that any impacts from the government shutdown will be temporary [5] Strategic Focus - Nasdaq is shifting its strategic focus towards generating more predictable recurring revenue, which is less sensitive to market volatility [7]

Core Insights - The UK Treasury, led by Chancellor Reeves, is hosting a closed-door roundtable with Goldman Sachs' senior banker Anthony Gutmann to promote London as a viable IPO destination [1] - The meeting aims to gather opinions on London's attractiveness for listings and showcase recent reforms aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of the capital markets [1] - London’s IPO financing in August reached its lowest level in 30 years, dropping to 23rd place globally, even falling behind Mexico [1] - Goldman Sachs' involvement in this Treasury-led meeting is seen as unusual, providing them with a unique opportunity to promote potential listings for free [1] - This initiative reflects growing concerns about the UK's financial standing [1]

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs strategists indicate that the European IPO market remains in a "sluggish state" despite a full restart in the third quarter, lagging behind the United States [1] - The team, including Jimal Jasion, notes that the third quarter was the strongest for the U.S. market in years, while the European market continues to struggle [1] Summary by Category - **Market Performance** - The third quarter marked the strongest performance for the U.S. IPO market in years [1] - In contrast, the European IPO market is still experiencing low activity levels [1] - **Strategic Insights** - Goldman Sachs highlights the disparity between the recovery of the U.S. IPO market and the ongoing challenges faced by the European market [1]

Group 1 - The core focus is on the strong performance of newly listed companies in the US IPO market, which has significantly outperformed major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, with a weighted average increase of 41% in 2025 [1] - Companies that raised over $1 billion in their IPOs have seen an average surge of 77%, indicating a preference for scale and liquidity among investors [1] - Notable performers include Circle (CRCL.US) with a 324% increase, CoreWeave (CRWV.US) with over 233%, and Bullish (BLSH.US) with an 83% rise since their listings [1] Group 2 - In 2023, companies have raised $32 billion in the US exchanges, marking a strong rebound after market uncertainties caused by tariffs in April [2] - September 2023 was the busiest month for IPOs since 2021, driven by a general market uptrend that encouraged a wave of new issuances [2] Group 3 - Factors contributing to the strong IPO performance include inflows into stock funds, the presence of cornerstone investors, and the initial size and valuation of offerings [6] - The IPO market is expanding beyond just cryptocurrency and AI, with companies from fintech, defense, aerospace, education, and software sectors also going public [6] Group 4 - ETFs focused on IPOs, such as Renaissance IPO ETF and First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF, have outperformed the S&P 500, with increases of 16% and 37% respectively [7] - Despite the strong performance, the inflows into these ETFs remain below pre-pandemic peaks, indicating a cautious recovery in investor sentiment [7] - The reversal in fund flows for First Trust's FPX in 2025, attracting $70 million after four years of outflows, still falls short of the $145.5 million attracted in the year before the pandemic [7]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share IPO market has demonstrated strong resilience and vitality in 2023, with significant growth in both the number of new listings and the total funds raised, despite a complex global macroeconomic environment [3][4]. Summary by Sections IPO Market Performance - In the first three quarters of 2023, a total of 75 new stocks were issued in the A-share market, an increase from 69 in the same period last year, indicating a steady upward trend [4]. - The total funds raised through IPOs reached 743.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 265 billion yuan, primarily driven by Huadian New Energy's fundraising of 181.71 billion yuan [3][4]. - The average first-day increase for the 75 new stocks was 244%, nearly doubling from the previous year's average [9]. Financing Structure - The financing structure of new stocks shows a pattern of "one company dominating, with smaller averages," where the average and median financing amounts were 9.92 million yuan and 5.5 million yuan, respectively [4]. - Huadian New Energy's IPO accounted for 24.4% of the total financing amount, highlighting its significant impact on the market [4]. Market Trends and Investor Sentiment - The overall market environment has improved, with increased risk appetite and high-quality new stocks contributing to the notable rise in the "money-making effect" of new listings [12]. - Major stock indices, including the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext, have risen by over 50% this year, boosting investor confidence and leading to higher valuation premiums for new stocks [12]. Notable New Listings - Several new stocks have seen exceptional performance, with some offering returns exceeding five times their issue price, such as Haibo Sichuang and Ying Shi Innovation [11]. - The top-performing new stocks are primarily in popular sectors, such as energy storage, which has attracted significant investor interest [11]. Global Comparison - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange led the global IPO financing rankings with over 180 billion HKD raised from 66 new stocks, while the Shanghai Stock Exchange ranked fifth globally with 454 billion yuan raised from 25 new stocks [8][7].

Group 1 - Deloitte's report indicates that Hong Kong will continue to lead the global IPO fundraising rankings, driven by six large-scale IPOs during the period [1] - In the first three quarters of this year, Hong Kong is expected to see 66 IPOs raising HKD 182.3 billion, a 47% increase in the number of IPOs and a 228% increase in fundraising compared to the same period last year [1] - The report anticipates that there will be six large-scale IPOs in the first nine months, including five A+H shares and one spin-off from an A+H listed company, along with four other large IPOs [1] Group 2 - The outlook for the last quarter suggests that the Hong Kong IPO market will maintain strong momentum, surpassing earlier forecasts for the entire year [2] - Currently, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is processing over 230 listing applications, with more than five large-scale fundraising projects expected, including A+H shares [2] - The total number of IPOs for the year is projected to exceed 80, with fundraising expected to reach HKD 250-280 billion, an increase of 25-40% from previous estimates [2]