| 玻璃纯碱期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年8月26日 | | | | 蒋诗语 | Z0017002 | | 玻璃相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 华北报价 | 1140 | 1140 | O | 0.00% | | | 华东报价 | 1190 | 1190 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华中报价 | 1090 | 1090 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华南报价 | 1230 | 1230 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 玻璃2505 | 1280 | 1269 | 11 | 0.87% | | | 玻璃2509 | ggg | 997 | 2 | 0.20% | | | 05基差 | -140 | -129 | -11 | -8.53% | | | 纯碱相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 华 ...

| 玻璃纯碱期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292号 2025年8月26日 | | | | 蒋诗语 | Z0017002 | | 玻璃相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 华北报价 | 1140 | 1140 | O | 0.00% | | | 华东报价 | 1190 | 1190 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华中报价 | 1090 | 1090 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华南报价 | 1230 | 1230 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/吨 | | 玻璃2505 | 1280 | 1269 | 11 | 0.87% | | | 玻璃2509 | ggg | 997 | 2 | 0.20% | | | 05基差 | -140 | -129 | -11 | -8.53% | | | 纯碱相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 张跌幅 | 单位 | | 华 ...

2025 年 08 月 26 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 148 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 蔚来全新 ES8、吉利银河 M9 开启预售，中大型智能 SUV 市场迎来重磅新品--行业周报 PCB 刀具持续高端化，加速扩充产能--鼎泰高科/通用设备(301377/216401) 公司点评 经营性利润稳健增长，未来三年分红比例拟提升至 60%以上--国电电力/电力(600795/214101) 公司点评 2025 年 Q2 利润同比回升，研发投入不断加强--安图生物/医疗器械(603658/213705) 公司点评 美债的历史演进与当下困局--宏观深度研究 电视剧业务迎新政利好，主投电影《刺杀小说家 2》定档国庆--华策影视/影视院线(300133/217206) 公司点 评 业绩韧性充分，产品结构持续升级--金徽酒/白酒Ⅱ(603919/213405) 公司点评 2025Q2 归母净利润同比高增，受益高端 PCB 扩产趋势--大族数控/专用设备(301200/216402 ...

山东省邹平市"金融+"工作室值班人员实地走访园区企业。（山东金融监管局供图） □ 本报记者 田新元 "山东省支持小微企业融资协调工作机制建立小微企业融资'联合会诊'机制，对有融资需求但暂不符合 办贷条件的企业进行联合会商辅导，形成'发现问题-提出建议-协商解决-跟踪辅导'的工作闭环，协同解 决企业存在的困难和问题。"山东金融监管局负责人介绍，全省各地市认真落实"联合会诊"机制，目前 已开展"联合会诊"1366次，推动解决4422家企业的4520个融资难题，有力推动"千企万户大走访"活动走 深走实。 记者在采访中了解到，针对会诊发现的企业存在的缺抵质押物、申请要素不全、信用缺陷、对接不畅等 问题形成"工具箱"，山东金融监管局指导各地专班结合实际一企一策研究提出解决方案，提升企业融资 可得性，为广大小微企业解决了融资难题。 探索"技术赋能信贷"模式 （来源：中国改革报） 转自：中国改革报 在寿光市，工作专班指导寿光农商行推出科创积分贷款产品，以科技企业创新积分代替抵押担保。寿光 农商行对拥有31件专利的潍坊天信散热器有限公司开展技术流评估，及时为企业发放了900万元的贷 款。企业负责人李茂枝感叹："本来想凭技术贷 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Ningbo Tianpu Rubber Technology Co., Ltd. has received a regulatory work letter regarding the change of control, which emphasizes compliance and transparency in the control transfer process [1] - The regulatory work letter was issued on August 22, 2025, and it addresses the funding sources of the acquirer and insider information management related to the control transfer [1] - The regulatory requirements aim to ensure the legality and transparency of the control change process, maintain market order, and protect the legitimate rights and interests of investors [1] Group 2 - The market will closely monitor the progress of Tianpu's control change and the implementation of regulatory requirements by the involved parties [1]

来源:金融界 信达证券8月22日发布研报，给予确成股份买入评级。研报指出，公司产销稳定，单季度销量创新高， 核心经营指标相对稳定，无惧原材料波动。同时，新能源车渗透率提升将带动绿色轮胎需求。 风险提示：股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 确成股份8月22日股价报收20.85元，较前一交易日下跌0.98元，跌幅4.49%。当日成交量为111218手， 成交金额2.32亿元，换手率2.70%。 确成股份主要从事橡胶制品的研发、生产和销售，产品广泛应用于汽车、工程机械等领域。公司是江苏 省专精特新企业，并入选养老金持股名单。 ...

消息面上，8月20日早盘川环科技出现快速拉升，5分钟内涨幅超过2%，成交额达5.22亿元。但随后股 价震荡走低，最终收跌。 资金流向方面，8月20日主力资金净流出9606.02万元，占流通市值的1.04%。近五个交易日累计净流出 2.54亿元，占流通市值的2.76%。 风险提示：股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 截至2025年8月20日15时25分，川环科技股价报51.70元，较前一交易日下跌2.23元，跌幅4.13%。盘中 波动明显，早盘9点37分曾快速反弹，5分钟内涨幅超过2%，股价最高触及53.50元，但随后回落。全天 成交额达20.61亿元，换手率为22.37%。 川环科技主营业务为橡胶制品的研发、生产和销售，产品广泛应用于汽车、轨道交通等领域。公司所属 板块包括橡胶制品、四川板块等概念。 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Cotton: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Paper pulp: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Sugar: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Apple: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Timber: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Natural rubber: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - 20 - number rubber: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] - Butadiene rubber: Not clear from the given rating symbols [1] Core Views - The report analyzes multiple soft commodities including cotton, sugar, apple, rubber, paper pulp, and timber - provides market conditions, supply - demand situations, and offers operation suggestions such as temporary observation [2][3][4] Summaries by Commodity Cotton & Cotton Yarn - Zhengzhou cotton declined with large intraday drops, spot sales base remained stable, and spot trading was average. Pure - cotton yarn trading was okay with stable prices [2] - Inventory digestion in July slowed down, expected to improve in August due to approaching peak season. Cotton imports in July were at a low level, 50000 tons, down 149400 tons year - on - year and up 22600 tons month - on - month. From January to July 2025, cumulative imports were 520000 tons, a 74.2% year - on - year decrease [2] - There is a strong expectation of increased production in Xinjiang in the new season. Short - term upward momentum of Zhengzhou cotton is limited by weak downstream orders and poor profits of most inland enterprises. Suggest temporary observation [2] Sugar - Overnight, US sugar fluctuated. Production data from the central - southern part of Brazil in the second half of July was favorable. Short - term, US sugar prices may stabilize and rebound due to potentially lower production in Brazil. Medium - term, US sugar futures prices have not reached the bottom [3] - Zhengzhou sugar fluctuated. Sales rhythm was fast this year, inventory decreased year - on - year, and spot pressure was relatively light. Market focus shifted to imports and yield estimates for the next season. Import volume of sugar and syrup decreased significantly this year, but the yield for the 25/26 season is uncertain [3] Apple - Futures prices fluctuated. Early - maturing apples started to be on the market, with slow coloring, small fruit sizes, and a shortage of high - quality products leading to high prices [4] - As of August 14, national cold - storage apple inventory was 461300 tons, a 49.4% year - on - year decrease. Last week's cold - storage apple removal volume was 50700 tons, a 32.31% year - on - year decrease. Market focus shifted to new - season yield estimates [4] 20 - number Rubber, Natural Rubber & Synthetic Rubber - RU, NR, and BR all dropped significantly and rebounded in the afternoon. Domestic natural and synthetic rubber prices declined, and Thai raw material market prices mostly fell [6] - Global natural rubber supply is entering the high - yield period. Last week, the operating rate of domestic butadiene rubber plants decreased, while the upstream butadiene plant operating rate increased significantly [6] - Last week, the operating rate of domestic all - steel tires rebounded, semi - steel tires decreased, and tire enterprise inventories increased. Qingdao's natural rubber inventory decreased to 617000 tons, and China's butadiene port inventory increased to 204000 tons. Suggest temporary observation [6] Paper Pulp - Paper pulp futures dropped significantly. Shandong Moon's spot price was 5450 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan; Russian needle pulp in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai was 5250 yuan/ton; broad - leaf pulp was 4150 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan [7] - As of August 14, 2025, the inventory of China's main pulp ports was 2.099 million tons, a 2.5% month - on - month increase. Domestic social retail data in July weakened month - on - month, indicating weakening domestic demand. Suggest temporary observation or range - trading strategy [7] Timber - Futures prices fluctuated. Spot prices remained stable. Last week, the arrival volume decreased significantly. Outer - market quotes increased for two consecutive months, while domestic spot price increases were small, and traders' pressure increased [8] - After entering the off - season, the daily port outbound volume was around 60000 cubic meters with good overall outbound conditions. As of August 15, national port timber inventory was 3.06 million cubic meters, a 0.65% month - on - month decrease. Suggest temporary observation [8]

Report 1: Natural Rubber 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View The current natural rubber market lacks clear directional guidance, with long and short positions intertwined. The price is expected to fluctuate in a range, with the 01 contract's reference range at 15,000 - 16,500 yuan/ton. Follow-up attention should be paid to the raw material supply situation during the peak production period in the main producing areas. If the raw material supply increases smoothly, consider shorting at high prices [1]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Basis - The price of Yunnan state - owned whole latex in Shanghai on August 19 was 14,850 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan or 0.34% from the previous day. The whole milk basis (switched to the 2509 contract) was - 920 yuan/ton, down 105 yuan or 11.41% [1]. - The price of Thai standard mixed rubber on August 19 was 14,650 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan or 0.34% from the previous day [1]. Monthly Spread - The 9 - 1 spread on August 19 was - 995 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan or 3.86% from the previous day [1]. - The 1 - 5 spread was - 82 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan or 10.53% from the previous day [1]. - The 5 - 9 spread was 1080 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan or - 4.42% from the previous day [1]. Fundamental Data - In June, Thailand's natural rubber production was 392.6 thousand tons, up 120.4 thousand tons or 44.23% from the previous month. Indonesia's production was 176.2 thousand tons, down 24.1 thousand tons or - 12.03% [1]. - The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires was 72.07%, down 2.28 percentage points from the previous week. The weekly operating rate of all - steel tires was 61.00%, down 2.09 percentage points from the previous week [1]. - In July, domestic tire production was 9436.4 million pieces, down 838.5 million pieces or - 8.16% from the previous month. Tire export volume was 6665.0 million pieces, up 634.0 million pieces or 10.51% [1]. Inventory Change - As of August 19, the bonded area inventory (bonded + general trade inventory) was 619,852 tons, down 11,918 tons or 1.89% from the previous day [1]. - The factory - warehouse futures inventory of natural rubber on the SHFE (weekly) was 46,469 tons, up 4234 tons or 10.02% from the previous week [1]. Report 2: Polysilicon 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Last week, the polysilicon price fluctuated strongly. It is expected to mainly fluctuate at a high level, with the lower limit of the price fluctuation range rising to 47,000 yuan/ton and the upper limit between 58,000 - 60,000 yuan/ton. Consider buying on dips, and buy put options to short at high prices when the volatility is low. Also, consider buying straddle options when the volatility is low [2]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Basis - The average price of N - type reclaimed materials on August 19 was 47,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [2]. - The N - type material basis (average price) was - 5260 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan or 0.38% from the previous day [2]. Futures Price and Monthly Spread - The price of the main contract on August 19 was 52,260 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or 0.04% from the previous day [2]. - The spread between the current month and the first - continuous contract was - 215 yuan/ton, down 80 yuan or 59.26% from the previous day [2]. Fundamental Data - Weekly polysilicon production was 2.93 million tons, down 0.01 million tons or 0.34% from the previous week. Weekly silicon wafer production was 12.10 GM, up 0.08 GM or 0.67% [2]. - Monthly polysilicon production was 10.10 million tons, up 0.49 million tons or 5.10% from the previous month. Monthly polysilicon imports were 0.08 million tons, down 0.02 million tons or 16.90% [2]. Inventory Change - The polysilicon inventory was 24.20 million tons, up 0.90 million tons or 3.86% from the previous day. The silicon wafer inventory was 19.80 GM, up 0.69 GM or 3.61% [2]. Report 3: Industrial Silicon 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Last week, the industrial silicon price fluctuated strongly. It is recommended to buy on dips. The main price fluctuation range is expected to be 8000 - 9500 yuan/ton. If the price falls to the low level of 8000 - 8500 yuan/ton, consider buying on dips [3]. 3. Summary by Directory Spot Price and Main Contract Basis - The price of East China oxygen - passed SI5530 industrial silicon on August 19 was 9400 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day [3]. - The basis of East China SI4210 industrial silicon (based on SI4210) was 325 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan or 5.80% from the previous day [3]. Monthly Spread - The spread between the 2509 and 2510 contracts on August 19 was - 30 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan or 50.00% from the previous day [3]. - The spread between the 2510 and 2511 contracts was 10 yuan/ton, up 15 yuan or 300.00% from the previous day [3]. Fundamental Data - Monthly national industrial silicon production was 33.83 million tons, up 1.06 million tons or 3.23% from the previous month. Xinjiang's production was 15.03 million tons, down 2.70 million tons or 15.21% [3]. - The national industrial silicon operating rate was 52.61%, up 1.27 percentage points or 2.47% from the previous month [3]. Inventory Change - The Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory (weekly) on August 19 was 11.70 million tons, up 0.01 million tons or 0.09% from the previous day [3]. - The social inventory (weekly) was 54.50 million tons, down 0.20 million tons or 0.37% from the previous day [3]. Report 4: Glass and Soda Ash 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View Soda Ash The soda ash futures market is weak. The fundamental situation is in obvious surplus, and the demand has no growth expectation. Short positions can continue to be held [4]. Glass The glass market is in a continuous weak operation. The market negative feedback continues, and the overall spot price is difficult to increase further. The long - term industry needs capacity clearance to solve the over - supply problem [4]. 3. Summary by Directory Glass - Related Price and Spread - The North China glass quotation on August 19 was 1150 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The glass 2505 contract price was 1291 yuan/ton, down 17 yuan or 1.30% from the previous day [4]. - The 05 basis was - 141 yuan/ton, up 17 yuan or 10.76% from the previous day [4]. Soda Ash - Related Price and Spread - The North China soda ash quotation on August 19 was 1350 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The soda ash 2505 contract price was 1413 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan or 2.01% from the previous day [4]. - The 05 basis was - 63 yuan/ton, up 29 yuan or 31.52% from the previous day [4]. Supply - The soda ash operating rate on August 15 was 87.32%, up 2.24 percentage points from August 8. The weekly soda ash production was 76.13 million tons, up 1.7 million tons or 2.23% [4]. - The float glass daily melting volume was 15.96 million tons, unchanged from August 8 [4]. Inventory - The glass factory - warehouse inventory on August 15 was 6342.60 million heavy boxes, up 157.9 million heavy boxes or 2.55% from August 8 [4]. - The soda ash factory - warehouse inventory on August 15 was 189.38 million tons, up 2.9 million tons or 1.54% from August 8 [4]. Report 5: Log Futures 1. Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided 2. Core View The log futures price is currently oscillating in a range. The fundamentals are expected to improve marginally, and the spot market is strong in the short - term. It is recommended to participate in buying on dips, focusing on the support level around 800 yuan/ton [5]. 3. Summary by Directory Futures and Spot Price - The log 2509 contract price on August 19 was 810.5 yuan/cubic meter, down 0.5 yuan/cubic meter from the previous day. The 9 - 11 spread was - 14.5 yuan/cubic meter, down 1.5 yuan from the previous day [5]. - The price of 3.9A small radiata pine at Rizhao Port on August 19 was 720 yuan/cubic meter, unchanged from the previous day [5]. Cost - The RMB - US dollar exchange rate on August 19 was 7.183, up 0.001 from the previous day. The import theoretical cost was 818.77 yuan, up 0.15 yuan from the previous day [5]. Supply - The port shipping volume in July was 173.3 million cubic meters, down 2.7 million cubic meters or 1.51% from June [5]. - The number of departing ships from New Zealand to China, Japan and South Korea was 47.0, down 6.0 or 11.32% from the previous period [5]. Inventory - The main port inventory in China on August 15 was 306.00 million cubic meters, down 2.0 million cubic meters or 0.65% from August 8 [5]. - Shandong's inventory was 185.40 million cubic meters, down 7.2 million cubic meters or 3.74% from August 8 [5]. Demand - The average daily log outbound volume in China on August 15 was 6.33 million cubic meters, down 0.09 million cubic meters or 1% from August 8 [5]. - Shandong's average daily outbound volume was 3.59 million cubic meters, down 0.05 million cubic meters or 1% from August 8 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has released its 2025 semi-annual report, highlighting its financial performance and the management of raised funds, ensuring compliance with relevant regulations and transparency in disclosures [3][4][11]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company is identified as Zhongce Rubber Group Co., Ltd., with the stock code 603049 [4]. - The company held its second supervisory board meeting on August 19, 2025, where all supervisors were present, confirming the legality of the meeting [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Data - The company raised a total of RMB 4,066,358,040.00 from its initial public offering, with a net amount of RMB 3,932,680,740.56 after deducting issuance costs [12]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company had completed a total of RMB 2,229,657,288.71 in fund replacements for pre-invested projects [12][15]. Group 3: Fund Management - The company has established a special account for the management of raised funds, ensuring compliance with regulatory requirements [13][14]. - The company has not used idle raised funds for temporary working capital during the reporting period [17]. Group 4: Operational Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's tire product sales volume increased by 10.36% year-on-year, with sales revenue rising by 15.32% [35]. - The average selling price of tire products increased by 4.50% year-on-year, while the average selling price of car tire products rose by 9.52% [36]. Group 5: Price Changes - The comprehensive procurement price of major raw materials increased by 0.07% year-on-year but decreased by 8.64% compared to the previous quarter [37].