| 表1：科技50策略指数中选股因子的定义 | | | --- | --- | | 因子名称 | 细分指标 | | 成长 | 修正利润增长、修正营收增长、利润超预期增长、营收超预期增长 | | 研发创新 | 研发支出占比、研发支出增长 | | 一致预期 | 一致预期净利润上调、一致预期评级上调 | | 动量 | 过去11个月动量、过去11个月Alpha | | 价值 | 市净率、市盈率、市销率、企业价值 | | 低波 | 残差波动率、过去12个月每月最高日收益率平均 | | 盈利 | 毛利润率、主营业务利润率 | | 偿债能力 | 短期债务覆盖率、速动比率 | | 运营效率 | 净营运资产收益率、净营运资产周转率、净营运资产周转率增长 | | 财务稳健 | 应计盈余、净营运资产占比 | | 投资稳健 | 利润分配、股息分配 | 资料来源：Wind，申万宏源研究 计算待选样本的自由流通市值占比，作为基础得分，并将基础得分与上述所有因子倾斜得分相加得到待选样本的调整后得分；将待选样本按照调整后得分由高到低排名，选取排名前 50 的 证券作为指数样本。 科技50策略指数采用调整后得分加权，且单个样本权重不超过10% ...

2026 年 01 月 09 日 融合多因子策略的科技指数 ——科技 50 策略指数投资价值分析 相关研究 证券分析师 杨俊文 A0230522070001 yangjw@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 研究支持 杨俊文 A0230522070001 yangjw@swsresearch.com 联系人 杨俊文 A0230522070001 yangjw@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 指 数 研 究 - ⚫ 中证科技优势成长 50 策略指数（931696.CSI，简称科技 50 策略）从科技行业上市公 司证券中，采用成长、创新、价值、低波、质量等因子进行选样和加权，旨在为投资者提 供基于科技行业的多因子策略投资标的。 ⚫ 截取 2025/12/31 科技 50 策略指数的前十大成分股信息，可以看到，权重股基本上都 是科技各个细分领域的头部公司，比如通信设备行业的中际旭创、新易盛，半导体行业 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company announced a share buyback of up to HKD 400 million over five months, reflecting confidence in long-term development [5] - The upcoming holiday season is expected to boost revenue for the core product "Heart Town," with the international version set to launch on January 8, 2026, and has already garnered over one million global pre-registrations [5] - The company is optimistic about growth driven by festive events, regional expansion, and new game launches, with several high-profile mobile and PC games expected to launch in 2026 [5] - The performance of the game "Iser" in the domestic market has led to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections are as follows: - 2023: HKD 3,389 million - 2024: HKD 5,012 million - 2025: HKD 6,353 million - 2026: HKD 7,620 million - 2027: HKD 8,441 million - Year-over-year growth rates for revenue are projected at: - 2024: 47.9% - 2025: 26.7% - 2026: 20.0% - 2027: 10.8% [8] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: -HKD 554 million - 2024: HKD 812 million - 2025: HKD 1,507 million - 2026: HKD 2,006 million - 2027: HKD 2,387 million - Year-over-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2024: 1077.3% - 2025: 85.7% - 2026: 33.2% - 2027: 19.0% [8] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected as follows: - 2025: 20.8 - 2026: 15.6 - 2027: 13.1 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [7]. Core Insights - The media industry (Shenwan) saw a weekly increase of 0.26%, ranking 8th among industries during the period from December 6 to December 12, 2025. Notable performers included Bona Film Group, Guangxi Radio and Television, Beijing Culture, Sanrenxing, and Huace Film & TV [11][18]. - The report highlights strong performance in AI applications and cultural exports, with a focus on sub-sectors such as gaming, intellectual property (IP), short dramas, and publishing [5][37]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The media industry experienced a weekly increase of 0.26%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%. The gaming sector saw a rise of 1.06%, and the film and television sector increased by 5.70% [11][12]. Key Industry Data AI Applications - In November, Deepseek led domestic AI web traffic with 346 million visits, despite a 2.95% month-over-month decline. Other notable AI products included Nano AI Search and Baidu AI Search, with respective monthly visits of 260 million and 52.63 million [22][23]. Gaming - The iOS gaming sales chart for December 13, 2025, was topped by "Honor of Kings," followed by "Gold Shovel Battle" and "Endless Winter." The report also noted that "Whiteout Survival" and "Kingshot" continued to perform strongly in overseas revenue [25][26]. Film - The total box office for the week of December 6-12 was 1.2 billion yuan, with "Zootopia 2" leading at 853 million yuan, accounting for 71% of the weekly total. Upcoming films include "Avatar: Fire and Ashes," set to release on December 19 [33][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on themes such as AI applications and cultural exports, with specific attention to gaming, IP, short dramas, and publishing. Key companies to watch include Giant Network, Kaiying Network, Yaoji Technology, and others [5][37].

| 日期 | 2025/12/11 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 450.19 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 总市值(亿元) | 324.32 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 324.32 | | 总股本(亿股) | 0.72 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 0.72 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 154.44 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -60% 0% 60% 120% 180% 240% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 吉比特 沪深300 相关研究报告 《出海及新游或持续驱动业绩高增长 —公司信息更新报告》-2025.10.29 《Q2 业绩高增，高分红延续，新游及 出海驱动成长 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.8.20 传媒/游戏Ⅱ 吉比特（603444.SH） 2025 年 12 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 《新游驱动 2025Q1 业绩改善，关注后 续新产品周期 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.4.24 《九牧之野》上线在即，看好新游持续驱动公司成长 ——公司信息更新报告 方光照（分析师） fang ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.6 billion yuan, up 31.8% year-on-year and 0.2% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The gross margin for Q3 was 64.1%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 31.0%, up 5.4 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement in profitability is attributed to gains from fair value changes in stock investments and lower net exchange losses [5] - The company’s contract liabilities reached 19.5 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15%, indicating strong growth momentum [5] - The report highlights the strong performance of the game "Dream of the Red Chamber" and the successful launch of new games, which are expected to drive future growth [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 357 billion yuan, 383 billion yuan, and 429 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.6, 15.5, and 13.8 times [5] - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 103.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, and net profit is expected to be 29.4 billion yuan, showing no growth year-on-year [6] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 60.9% in 2023 to 64.7% in 2025, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 28.4% in 2023 to 31.4% in 2025 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The gaming business remains stable, and the company is building a comprehensive ecosystem for short videos [5] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 24.42% [7] - The company is focusing on optimizing its revenue structure and enhancing its high-margin business segments [7] - The establishment of the Shanghai International Short Video Center aims to create a full industry chain ecosystem around short videos and short dramas [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenue of 3,440 million yuan, a 5.16% increase from 2024 [6] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 612 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.61% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.47 yuan [6] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 44.46%, an increase of 6.61 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The net profit margin for the same period was 19.44%, up by 3.55 percentage points year-on-year [7] Business Development - The company has established multiple teams in the casual puzzle game segment to ensure continuous production of quality content [7] - The core products, such as "Fishing Blast" and "Finger Fishing," have shown strong player retention over the years [7] - The company is also involved in the issuance and secondary trading of sports culture collectible cards through its investment in Shanghai Luda Consulting Management Co., Ltd. [7] - The company has become the agent for the Pokémon TCG (Simplified Chinese version) in mainland China [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a multi-driven approach centered around gaming, with promising prospects in its AI business [5] - The company has a solid existing game base and is poised to enter a new product cycle with upcoming game launches [6] - The computer business is stable, and the company is increasing its focus on AI capabilities, which may enhance growth potential [6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 5,962 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.06% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 887 million RMB, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 63.72% [5] - The company anticipates a decline in revenue for 2025, estimated at 6,249 million RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.16% [5] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 1,133 million RMB, showing a year-on-year decline of 20.66% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.58 RMB [5] Game Development and AI Business - The company’s two flagship SLG mobile games, "War and Order" and "Age of Z Origins," continue to attract players and maintain stable revenue streams [6] - New games "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" have received domestic game licenses and are in the commercialization testing phase, expected to expand the player base [6] - The company is enhancing its AI business with the launch of the "Taiyue Lighthouse" AI model application system and three specialized AI products [6] Profitability and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1,133 million RMB, 1,426 million RMB, and 1,726 million RMB, respectively, with growth rates of -20.7%, 25.9%, and 21.0% [6] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.1 for 2025, decreasing to 13.8 by 2027 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The commercialization of the "Legend Box" is accelerating, and a new product cycle is beginning [5] - The company reported a revenue of 4.075 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.583 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.70% [7] - The "Legend Box" platform is showing significant value, contributing approximately 570 million yuan to the company's revenue in Q3 2025 [7] - The company has a rich pipeline of products and is actively expanding into AI applications [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2023 to 2027 is as follows: 4,295 million yuan (2023), 5,118 million yuan (2024), 6,046 million yuan (2025E), 6,929 million yuan (2026E), and 7,659 million yuan (2027E) with corresponding growth rates of 15.30%, 19.16%, 18.13%, 14.60%, and 10.54% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1,462 million yuan (2023), 1,628 million yuan (2024), 2,094 million yuan (2025E), 2,452 million yuan (2026E), and 2,722 million yuan (2027E) with growth rates of 42.58%, 11.41%, 28.57%, 17.10%, and 11.01% respectively [6] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is expected to decrease from 34.93 in 2023 to 18.76 in 2027 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][18] Core Views - The company's revenue in Q3 2025 increased by 129% year-on-year, driven by new product launches, with total revenue for the first three quarters reaching 4.49 billion yuan, a 59.1% increase year-on-year [1][7] - The net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1.21 billion yuan, up 84.6% year-on-year, with Q3 net profit showing a remarkable growth of 307.7% [1][3] - The gross margin improved by 5.6 percentage points to 94.6% in Q3 2025, attributed to the successful launch of new games [1][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company's operating revenue was 1.97 billion yuan, reflecting a 129.2% year-on-year increase, while the net profit was 570 million yuan, marking a 307.7% increase [1][7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 94.6%, up 5.6 percentage points year-on-year, with overall expense ratio decreasing by 12.5 percentage points to 50.5% [1][9] Product Performance - New games such as "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and "Dao You Lai Wa Bao" contributed significantly to revenue and profit, while older games like "Wen Dao" saw a decline in revenue [2][11] - The overseas game revenue for the first three quarters grew by 59.5% to 590 million yuan, primarily due to contributions from "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo (Overseas Version)" [2][11] Future Outlook - The company expects continued growth from its self-developed products and plans to expand the global distribution of "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" [2][13] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 1.8 billion, 1.92 billion, and 2.12 billion yuan respectively [3][17]