Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The gaming sector is experiencing stable policies focusing on three main themes: overseas expansion, technology, and new consumption. Starting from September 2024, there will be an emphasis on promoting high-quality games for cultural export, with consumption policies for gaming and entertainment set to boost in March 2025 [5][6][7]. - Regional policies in Guangdong and Zhejiang are being implemented to support the gaming industry, with Guangdong focusing on industrial chain collaboration and Zhejiang emphasizing international ecological development [5][6]. Key Points on Gaming Sector - The approval process for game licenses is normal, with a slight increase in the number of licenses issued monthly for both imported and domestic games [5][6]. - From May 2025, there has been a noticeable increase in the supply of gaming products, particularly benefiting mid-sized developers and mobile games, as major players like Tencent and NetEase focus more on PC games [6][7]. - A-share leading gaming companies are currently valued at around 20 times earnings, with potential to rise to 25 times as product diversity increases. Recommended companies include Gigabit, Giant Network, Kaiying Network, and Hong Kong-listed Xindong [7]. AI Video Industry Insights - The AI video sector is seeing significant advancements in multi-modal technology, with Kuaishou being a standout performer. The company is expected to achieve a valuation premium due to its strong commercialization capabilities [8][9]. - Kuaishou is utilizing a dual-driven monetization model, focusing on both paid penetration and scenario expansion to achieve profitability. The company is exploring various fields including film production, advertising, and game development [8]. Financial Projections for Kuaishou - Kuaishou's AI video tools are estimated to be valued at approximately $6 billion, with projected revenue of $200 million by the end of 2025. The expected net profit for Kuaishou in 2025 is around 20.1 billion yuan, based on a 30 times valuation multiple [9]. Film Industry Performance - The film industry has seen a significant decline in box office revenue, with May's total box office at approximately 1.742 billion yuan, down 41% year-on-year. The number of viewers also dropped by 40% [10]. - The upcoming summer film season is expected to show greater elasticity and recovery, with a larger capacity for headlining commercial films. The summer season runs from June 1 to August 31, with a mix of imported and domestic films scheduled for release [10][11]. Digital Media Performance - In May, active users for major digital media platforms were reported as follows: iQIYI (350 million), Tencent Video (370 million), Mango TV (280 million), and Youku (200 million). Mango TV and Youku saw increases, while iQIYI and Tencent Video experienced declines [12][13]. - The summer period is considered the best window for historical dramas and major S-level series, with several anticipated releases already in the pipeline [13]. Conclusion - The gaming and AI video industries are poised for growth, driven by favorable policies and technological advancements. The film industry is expected to recover during the summer season, while digital media platforms continue to adapt to changing viewer preferences.

继续看好游戏板块！投资逻辑再更新 20250612 摘要 2025 年前四个月游戏行业整体收入受益于低基数效应、长线运营和新 品驱动，呈现加速增长态势，海外市场表现尤为亮眼，一季度增速约 18%，4 月维持大个位数增长，多家公司业绩超出预期。 政策端对游戏行业支持力度加大，多地推出扶持政策，版号发放稳定， 每月国产版号约 100 个，季度发放进口版号，为国内外上市公司业绩增 长提供良好环境。 游戏行业整体估值中枢有望从 15-20 倍提升至 20-25 倍，前提是行业景 气度持续及增量资金流入，消费领域估值提升亦可能带动游戏板块估值。 世纪华通受益于《Whiteout Survival》及国内版本《无尽冬日》的卓 越表现，海外月均流水达 1.5 亿美金，国内月流水约 1.1 亿美金，Q1 新 游《King's Shot》流水亦达 3,000-4,000 万美金，全年业绩预期乐观。 巨人网络老游戏流水稳定，新游《超燃行动组》内测数据不断攀升，5 月流水达 2000-3,000 万，买量增加后预计流水将进一步提升。 吉比特存量产品《问道》及《一念逍遥》维稳，Q1 新游《问道长生》 贡献增量，新品《仗剑传说》及《九 ...

Group 1 - The gaming sector remains active, with the gaming ETF (516010) rising over 2% and a trading volume exceeding 120 million yuan, indicating strong capital inflow with a net inflow of over 320 million yuan in the past five days [1] - Recent new game launches have performed well, with significant contributions from high-quality products expected to be released in the second half of the year, including Tencent's "Valorant Mobile" and Perfect World's "Yihuan" [1] - The partnership between Kuaishou's Keling AI and NetEase's mobile game "Nirvana in Fire" aims to enhance social gameplay through advanced AI video generation technology, expanding Keling AI's commercial application in the gaming industry [1] Group 2 - Leading companies in the film and gaming sectors are actively exploring new revenue streams by developing and selling IP toy products, thereby expanding their income scale and enhancing the commercial value of upstream IP and downstream channel enterprises [2] - The expansion of China's new consumer market and AI-driven media technology is expected to further enhance the commercial value of IP, presenting potential investment opportunities in the gaming ETF (516010) [2]

每经编辑｜肖芮冬 6月11日，A股震荡攀升，沪指重新站上3400点，创业板指涨逾1%。上证指数收涨0.52%报3402.32点， 深证成指涨0.83%，创业板指涨1.21%。从盘面上看，稀土、汽车零部件、游戏板块领涨，创新药板块 回调。 据新华社消息，当地时间6月9日至10日，中美经贸磋商机制首次会议举行。双方就各自关心的经贸议题 深入交换意见，就落实两国元首6月5日通话重要共识和巩固日内瓦经贸会谈成果的措施框架达成原则一 致。 随着中长线资金持续加码，市场向下空间或有限，当前阶段可以考虑定投、网格等方式逢低布局，投资 者可关注中证A500ETF（159338）、上证综指ETF（510760）等宽基标的。 未来关税层面仍有较大不确定性，市场风险偏好受到影响，投资者行为趋于谨慎。市场震荡期叠加无风 险收益率下行，同时接下来的6月、7月A股将迎来年度分红"红包雨"，未来红利类资产显现出较高的配 置价值。 无独有偶，月月评估分红的现金流ETF和红利国企ETF近日也双双公告了本月分红。其中，红利国企 ETF连续14个月分红，现金流ETF连续4个月分红，可谓真正月月分红。 当前，新"国九条"、市值管理等政策鼓励上市公司 ...

Group 1 - The media sector is experiencing a rebound, with the gaming ETF (516010) rising by 1.3% and trading volume exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - Several new games have been launched recently, such as Giant Network's "Supernatural Action Group," G-bits' "Staff Sword Legend," and Friendship Time's "Noisy Cute Chef," which quickly entered the bestseller list [1] - Major gaming companies are actively expanding their business by developing and selling IP toy products, and creating peripheral products around films/games, enhancing revenue growth [1] Group 2 - The gaming ETF (516010) tracks the anime and gaming index (code: 930901), which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., reflecting the overall performance of the domestic anime and gaming industry [2] - The index exhibits high growth potential and volatility, with a focus on cultural media and internet software services, providing a comprehensive view of the anime and gaming industry's development [2] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai CSI Anime Gaming ETF Connect A (012728) and Connect C (012729) [2]

Group 1 - The media sector is experiencing a rebound after a recent decline, with the film ETF (516620) showing a maximum drop of 1.72% but ultimately closing up by 0.3%, while the gaming ETF (516010) had a maximum drop of 2.41% and closed down by 0.17% [1] - The summer film market is expected to recover due to a low base from the previous year and a variety of quality content, with 52 films already scheduled for release, including notable titles like Chen Kexin's "Jiangyuan Nong" and other films set to be announced during the Shanghai Film Festival [1] - The gaming sector is seeing a surge in new game releases, with titles like Giant Network's "Supernatural Action Group" and G-bits' "Staff Sword Legend" quickly entering the bestseller lists, and several major IP products expected to launch in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - Leading companies in the film and gaming industries are actively expanding their business by developing and selling IP toy products, as well as creating peripheral products around films and games to tap into new consumer markets [2] - The collaboration between Kuaishou's AI technology and NetEase's "Nirvana in Fire" mobile game aims to enhance social gameplay through AI video generation, indicating a potential shift in gaming experiences driven by AI [2] - The expansion of the new consumer market in China, coupled with AI-driven media technology, is expected to enhance the commercial value of upstream IP and downstream channel companies, presenting investment opportunities in film ETF (516620) and gaming ETF (516010) [2]

Market Overview - The market experienced a rapid decline in the afternoon, with the ChiNext Index leading the drop. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.42 trillion yuan, an increase of 129 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 4,000 stocks fell, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.44%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.86%, the ChiNext Index down 1.17%, and the CSI A500 Index down 0.59% [1]. US-China Trade Talks - The first meeting of the US-China economic and trade consultation mechanism began in London, aimed at implementing the consensus reached during the recent phone call between the two countries' leaders. Despite fluctuations in tariffs, China's exports maintained steady growth, with a year-on-year increase of 4.8% in May, following an 8.1% increase in April. The growth in exports to the EU and ASEAN offset the decline in exports to the US [3][5]. AI Sector Insights - The AI-related sector saw a pullback, with recent technology revaluation narratives cooling down. However, AI capital expenditures are expected to remain high, and applications such as AI agents and embodied intelligence are gradually commercializing, supported by government policies. This sector continues to be a focus for investors [3][7]. - Major cloud providers and tech companies showed high capital expenditure growth in Q1, unaffected by tariffs and macroeconomic factors, indicating the potential for AI to develop independently [5]. Entertainment Industry Developments - The film market is expected to recover due to a low base from last year and a variety of quality content, with 52 films scheduled for release this summer. The gaming sector is also seeing a surge in new game launches, with several titles quickly entering bestseller lists [8][9]. - Leading companies in the film and gaming sectors are expanding revenue streams by developing and selling IP-related products, enhancing their commercial value [9]. Investment Trends - The banking sector has attracted long-term capital due to its low volatility, high dividends, and low valuations. Ping An Asset Management has increased its stake in Agricultural Bank of China to 15.09%, reflecting a trend of frequent investments in bank stocks [10]. - The upcoming annual dividend distribution in June and July is expected to enhance the appeal of dividend-paying assets. New policies encouraging dividend distributions among listed companies are likely to stabilize investor returns and improve valuations [11].

市场全天震荡反弹，三大指数小幅上涨。沪深两市全天成交额1.14万亿，较上个交易日放量22.3亿。盘 面上，市场热点集中在医药和消费方向，个股涨多跌少，全市场超3300只个股上涨。截至收盘，沪指涨 0.43%，深成指涨0.16%，创业板指涨0.48%，中证A500指数涨0.19%。 展望后市，优质标的登陆联交所有望改善港股市场结构，形成企业与资金的正循环。如在行业结构上， 港股被长期诟病为金融、电信等"老经济"占比较高，缺乏高端制造业上市公司。这一现象有望得到缓 解，从而提振市场的吸引力。感兴趣的投资者可以考虑通过港股科技ETF（513020）等产品布局港股市 场。 在地缘政治冲突前景不明、美元持续走弱的大背景下，黄金仍有长期配置的价值，投资者可以考虑逢低 布局于黄金基金ETF（518800）及其联接基金（联接A：000218；联接C：004253）。 现阶段，美国的贸易政策存在较大的不确定性，后续仍可能频繁调整而震动市场。上周，美国法院两度 叫停川普的关税政策，但其裁决旋又被联邦巡回上诉法院搁置。特别需要注意的是，当前川普政府与各 国之间的关税下调仅为暂时性的，后续若谈判不及预期，仍将大幅加征。近期，美方已不 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [5][16]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year but down 1.43% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The new game "Wanjian Changsheng" has performed well, contributing to revenue and profit growth, and is expected to launch in additional regions, including Hong Kong, Macau, and Europe and the United States [2][3]. - The company is also focusing on upcoming game launches, such as "Zhangjian Chuanqi," which is set to officially launch in the first half of 2025, and the SLG game "Jiumu Zhiye," expected in the second half of 2025 [2][3]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 4.185 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 19.0% year-on-year. However, revenue is expected to recover in 2025E to 4.409 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 19.3% [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A was 1.461 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 23.0% year-on-year. By 2025E, net profit is expected to rise to 1.134 billion yuan, indicating a growth rate of 20.0% [1][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) for 2023A was 27.8%, with a projected decline to 20.9% in 2024A, before stabilizing around 19.0% by 2027E [1][9]. Revenue and Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin is projected to remain stable around 88.5% from 2023A to 2027E, indicating strong profitability [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023A was 15.62 yuan, with projections of 15.74 yuan in 2025E and 19.92 yuan in 2027E, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [1][9]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned in the media industry and has a total market capitalization of approximately 16.8 billion yuan as of April 28, 2025 [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new game launches in driving future growth, alongside the stabilization of existing game revenues [2][3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 1.136 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 275 million yuan, up 38.71% year-on-year. This marks the first quarter of positive revenue growth since 2023 [2][4] - The new game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" contributed over 360 million yuan in revenue increment, with other core products like "Wen Dao" and "Yi Nian Xiao Yao" also showing quarter-on-quarter revenue growth. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the revenue trends of core products and the progress of new game launches [5][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.44%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 283 million yuan, reflecting an 11.82% year-on-year increase, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 275 million yuan, up 38.71% year-on-year [2][4] - The company’s revenue returned to positive growth for the first time in 2023 [4] Game Performance - The new game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" significantly contributed to revenue, generating 363 million yuan in Q1 2025. The revenue from "Wen Dao" was 321 million yuan, down 16.3% year-on-year but up 34.9% quarter-on-quarter. "Wen Dao Mobile" generated 441 million yuan, down 15.9% year-on-year and down 4.3% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] - The report highlights the need to focus on the revenue trends of core products and the testing and launch schedules of new games [7] Investment and Expenses - The company increased its marketing expenses due to the launch of "Wen Jian Chang Sheng," with sales expenses rising to 360 million yuan, an increase of 66 million yuan year-on-year and 165 million yuan quarter-on-quarter. The sales expense ratio increased by 9.5 percentage points to 31.7% [6] - The report notes that the overall investment return on marketing spending remains good, with stable year-on-year sales expense ratios [6]