| 日期 | 2025/12/11 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 450.19 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 总市值(亿元) | 324.32 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 324.32 | | 总股本(亿股) | 0.72 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 0.72 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 154.44 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -60% 0% 60% 120% 180% 240% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 吉比特 沪深300 相关研究报告 《出海及新游或持续驱动业绩高增长 —公司信息更新报告》-2025.10.29 《Q2 业绩高增，高分红延续，新游及 出海驱动成长 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.8.20 传媒/游戏Ⅱ 吉比特（603444.SH） 2025 年 12 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 《新游驱动 2025Q1 业绩改善，关注后 续新产品周期 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.4.24 《九牧之野》上线在即，看好新游持续驱动公司成长 ——公司信息更新报告 方光照（分析师） fang ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The gaming sector's valuation has reached a lower limit of 15 times, with expectations of maintaining high prosperity and performance growth certainty through 2026, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1][3][25] - The A-share market recommends a "3+2" combination: Giant Network, Kaiying Network, and Century Huatong as stable fundamentals; Gibit and 37 Interactive are positioned lower but showing recent improvements [1][4] Company-Specific Insights Tencent - Expected to launch multiple mid-sized new games in 2026, with a diverse range of genres [7] - Notable titles include "Under One Person," "Rock Kingdom World," and "Monster Hunter Traveler" [7] NetEase - Anticipates additional revenue of 2-3 billion from international IP adaptations and domestic MMO games [2][24] - Key upcoming titles include "Forgotten Sea" and "Infinite," with the former developed by the team behind "Identity V" [7][24] Giant Network - "Famous General Kill" is expected to contribute 200-300 million in profit, with "Supernatural Action Group" potentially increasing annual revenue to 7-8 billion if successful during the Spring Festival [10][12] Kaiying Network - The "Legend Box" platform is driving growth, with DAU expected to reach 650,000 to 700,000 by the end of 2026, and annual advertising revenue projected at around 2.4 billion [10][13] Bilibili - Strong growth in advertising business, with expectations to outperform the overall internet advertising growth rate [21] - Anticipated game revenue growth in the low double digits, with "Three Kingdoms Hundred Generals Card" projected to generate 1-1.5 billion [21] Gibit - Recent performance impacted by a decline in revenue from "Sword of the World," but new game "Nine Mu of the Wild" expected to contribute 1-1.5 billion [19][20] Heart Company - Facing stock price pressure but has potential due to rapid progress in programmatic advertising, with profits expected to reach 150-200 million in 2026 [22] Market Trends and Predictions - The gaming sector is expected to maintain strong growth certainty compared to other sectors, with a focus on identifying high-certainty investment targets [25] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to be stable, with significant product launches concentrated in the summer [11][25] Additional Insights - The competitive landscape is expected to increase in 2026, but companies will focus on their strengths without excessive suppression of smaller firms [11] - The overall sentiment is optimistic for the gaming industry, with a recommendation for investors to strategically select stocks based on performance certainty and market conditions [25]

Core Insights - The company's products such as "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" and "Dao You Lai Wa Bao" have shown strong performance and sustainability, expected to continue contributing to revenue in 2026 [1] - The company maintains an "Overweight" rating due to the promising performance of new products and an upward revision of EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.214 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 84.66%, with a single-quarter net profit of 569 million yuan, up 307.7% [2] - Total revenue for the first three quarters was 4.486 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 59.17%, with a single-quarter revenue of 1.968 billion yuan, up 129.19% [2] - The company announced a cash dividend of 6 yuan per share, with total dividends amounting to 904 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] Product Performance - "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" generated a total revenue of 1.166 billion yuan in the mainland for the first three quarters, maintaining a position in the top 40 of the iOS game sales chart [3] - "Dao You Lai Wa Bao," launched in May, has generated 316 million yuan in revenue by the end of September, contributing positively to the company's performance [3] - The company's overseas revenue for the first nine months reached 588 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.46%, with "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo (Overseas Version)" contributing 478 million yuan since its launch [3] Future Outlook - Upcoming product launches such as "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" and the overseas release of "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" are anticipated to further drive growth [3] - The company is preparing to launch the SLG mobile game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye," which is expected to contribute to 2026 performance, with offline trials already commenced [3]

Group 1 - The game "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" is planned to be launched in the fourth quarter of 2025 in regions such as Hong Kong, Macau, and South Korea [2] - The game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye" has obtained its license and is currently in the testing and adjustment phase, with the specific launch date yet to be determined [2] - Investors are encouraged to follow official information from Thunder Game for updates on the launch of "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye" [2]

Summary of G-bits Conference Call Company Overview - G-bits is a gaming company that has recently launched new games, including "Wen Jie Chang Sheng" and "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo," which have shown strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Strong Financial Performance**: G-bits reported exceptional financial results, exceeding expectations for three consecutive quarters. In Q2, the company confirmed a stable performance from existing products while new releases "Wen Jie Chang Sheng" and "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" achieved impressive results, with "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" generating 420 million in its first month and over 100 million in overseas markets [3][4]. - **Market Appeal of New Products**: Both "Wen Jie Chang Sheng" and "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" have performed well in the market. "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" achieved 420 million in domestic revenue and at least 100 million in overseas revenue in its first month, contributing significantly to G-bits' overall performance [2][4]. - **Future Growth Drivers**: Future growth for G-bits is expected to come from the continued strong performance of self-developed new products, enhanced overseas distribution capabilities, and the potential contribution from the agency product "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye." The agency product has received approval and is currently in testing [5]. - **Impact of Diverse User Base**: The success of G-bits' products, particularly "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo," has been significantly influenced by a diverse user base, especially women under 30. This demographic has optimized the user acquisition model, leading to increased game revenue and profit margins [6]. - **Effectiveness of Overseas Strategy**: G-bits' overseas strategy, which had previously shown limited results, is now yielding positive outcomes. The company has strong products and over five years of overseas distribution experience, as evidenced by the success of "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo" in regions like Hong Kong, Macau, and Japan [7]. - **Changes in Thunder Game's Strategy**: Thunder Game has shifted its focus and optimized its resources, concentrating its efforts on the SLG (Simulation Game) sector. This strategic adjustment is expected to lead to significant breakthroughs and provide new revenue growth opportunities for G-bits [8]. Additional Important Content - G-bits' performance in the second quarter has provided a stable foundation for the company's overall financial health, indicating a positive outlook for future quarters [2][3]. - The company's ability to adapt its marketing strategies to target specific user demographics has proven effective in enhancing revenue streams [6]. - The potential of the agency product "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye" could further diversify G-bits' offerings and contribute to its growth trajectory [5].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities expresses optimism about the gaming sector for the entire year, driven by improved earnings per share (EPS) adjustments, high market sentiment, and enhanced industry structure [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The gaming industry is expected to see a significant boost in Q3, particularly due to the summer revenue surge [1] - Upcoming game releases from major companies such as Tencent, Giant Network, G-bits, Xindong, and Perfect World are anticipated to contribute positively to the market [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - The gaming sector has experienced cost savings this year, indicating potential for profit upgrades [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.52 billion in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 28.5%, and a net profit of 640 million, with a year-over-year increase of 24.5% [7] - The second quarter saw a revenue of 1.38 billion, up 33.9% year-over-year, and a net profit of 360 million, which exceeded market expectations [7] - The strong performance in Q2 was primarily driven by the new hit game "Zhang Jian" which generated 420 million in revenue, surpassing market forecasts [7] - The company has optimized its workforce, reducing the number of R&D personnel by 30, while maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of 73.5% [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts upwards, expecting revenues of 5.99 billion, 6.89 billion, and 7.16 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 5,993 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 62.2% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1,549 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 63.9% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 21.50 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 21 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant revenue and net profit growth in the first half of 2025, driven by both established and new game titles, with a strong performance continuing into the second quarter [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025 H1, the company achieved revenue of 2.518 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 645 million yuan, up 24.50% [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 1.382 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.89%, and a net profit of 361 million yuan, which is a 36.64% increase [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for H1 2025 was 648 million yuan, marking a 40.02% year-on-year growth [1]. Group 2: Game Contributions - The revenue growth was primarily driven by the performance of existing games and the launch of new titles, with "Wen Dao Mobile" generating 1.071 billion yuan in revenue, slightly down year-on-year [2]. - The newly launched "Wen Jian Chang Sheng (Mainland Version)" contributed 566 million yuan in revenue, while "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo (Mainland Version)" added 424 million yuan in its first month [2]. - Despite a decline in overseas revenue to 201 million yuan, down 21.01% year-on-year, the overall impact on total revenue was limited [2]. Group 3: Future Game Releases - The company is preparing for the release of "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye," a seasonal SLG game based on the Three Kingdoms, which has received approval and is currently in limited paid testing [3]. - Plans are in place for the global release of "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" and "Zhang Jian Chuan Shuo," with the former expected to launch in regions including Hong Kong, Macau, and South Korea in H2 2025 [3]. - A total of five games have received approval for release from January to July 2025, indicating a strong pipeline for future growth [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 66 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 474 million yuan, with a cash dividend ratio of 73.46% for H1 2025 [4]. - The board has also proposed a cash dividend plan for the first three quarters of 2025, subject to shareholder approval [4]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company expects revenue for 2025 to reach 5.38 billion yuan, with growth rates of 45.6%, followed by 6.45 billion yuan and 6.74 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027, respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.5 billion yuan, 1.87 billion yuan, and 1.95 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 58.6%, 24.6%, and 4.27% [5]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on the performance of existing and upcoming games [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with new products expected to drive growth for the entire year [3] - The company announced a cash dividend of 66.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 474 million yuan, which represents 73.46% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 [7] - The company has a rich product matrix for 2025, with anticipated contributions from new products in Q3 and Q4, leading to expected profit growth [14] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.518 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 28.49%, and a net profit of 645 million yuan, up 24.50% year-over-year [9][10] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.382 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 33.89% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 21.71% [10] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 361 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 36.64% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 27.55% [10] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.230 billion yuan in 2025, 5.753 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.230 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits of 1.561 billion yuan, 1.727 billion yuan, and 1.855 billion yuan respectively [14][15] - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit in 2025 are 42% and 65% respectively [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report indicates that Jiubite's net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 is 645 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.50% [1] - The company announced an interim dividend of 66 yuan per 10 shares (tax included), with a payout ratio of 73.46% and a semi-annual dividend yield of 2.19% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Jiubite's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 361 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 36.64% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.55%, exceeding expectations [1] - The stable performance of the mobile game "Wen Dao" and the launch of new games are contributing to revenue growth [1] Future Prospects - The company has several upcoming game releases, including "Wen Jian Chang Sheng" planned for H2 2025 in China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Korea [1] - The game "Jiu Mu Zhi Ye," a seasonal strategy game based on the Three Kingdoms theme, has received approval and is expected to enhance company performance with its upcoming testing and scheduling [1] - The new game cycle is driving strong growth in performance, alongside significant dividend returns to shareholders, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]