Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a mixed performance with the three major indices showing slight gains, indicating a potential for short-term fluctuations and a focus on performance certainty as the market approaches the half-year report period [1][5]. Market Performance - As of July 10, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.18%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.19% [1]. - The multi-financial sector continues to strengthen, with notable performances from various stocks, including a nearly 50% increase in Delin Holdings and over 10% rise in Changxin Bochuang [1]. Sector Highlights - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is showing strong performance, with North Rare Earth rising over 5% and projected net profits for the first half of 2025 expected to increase by 5538.33% to 5922.76% year-on-year [2]. - The power sector is also performing well, with Jingyuntong hitting the daily limit [1]. Institutional Insights - Dongguan Securities suggests that positive short-term sentiment may continue, driven by the current economic observation period and upcoming important meetings [3]. - Longcheng Securities notes a structural differentiation in the market, with a dual-driven pattern emerging from "technology + cycle" sectors, indicating a rotation in investment focus [4]. - Yin Hua Fund expresses skepticism about significant upward movement in indices, emphasizing a focus on performance certainty as the market approaches the half-year reporting period [5].

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of "capacity reduction," which is reflected in the decline of capital expenditure, the abandonment of existing projects, and the guidance for the survival of the fittest among existing enterprises. This capacity reduction is a slow variable that will elevate the long-term profitability capability [3] - The current strong performance of the A-share market suggests a growing focus on long-term positive factors, although the current fundamental expectations and profit-making effects are not yet at bull market levels. The company's market outlook remains unchanged, predicting that 2026-27 will be the core period of the bull market, with signs of index improvement starting in Q4 2025 [3] - The article notes that the capital expenditure of internet platforms may improve, serving as a driving force for stock prices in the domestic AI computing power industry chain. In the short term, the market is highly focused on sectors such as electric equipment, steel, and building materials [3] Group 2 - Service consumption is recovering, with a notable expansion in the price decline of white liquor and pork. Year-on-year growth rates have been continuously rising since the beginning of the year [6]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the CSI A-shares is 18.7 times, positioned at the historical 70th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 11.1 times, at the historical 56th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the CSI 500 Index is 27.7 times, at the historical 40th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 30.4 times, at the historical 10th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the CSI 1000 Index is 36.9 times, at the historical 40th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the National 2000 Index is 48.3 times, at the historical 65th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the Sci-Tech 50 Index is 131.8 times, at the historical 97th percentile [3][6] - The PE of the North Exchange 50 Index is 63.9 times, at the historical 92nd percentile [3][6] - The ChiNext Index's PE relative to the CSI 300 is 2.4 times, at the historical 4th percentile [3][6] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Electric Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, Aviation, Chemical Pharmaceuticals, and IT Services [3][4] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [3][4] - Industries with both PE and PB below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Medical Services [3][4] Industry Midstream Prosperity Tracking New Energy - In the photovoltaic sector, upstream polysilicon futures prices fell by 12.2%, and spot prices decreased by 0.7% [3][4] - The price of silicon wafers dropped by 2.8%, while battery prices fell by 6.9% [3][4] - Lithium prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate decreased by 1.0% and 1.1%, respectively [3][4] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar increased by 0.6%, while iron ore prices fell by 1.7% [3][4] - National commercial housing sales area decreased by 2.9% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] - Real estate development investment completed from January to May 2025 fell by 10.7% year-on-year [3][4] Consumption - The average price of live pigs increased by 1.4%, while pork wholesale prices rose by 0.3% [3][4] - The retail sales growth rate from January to May 2025 was 5.0%, with a significant rebound in May [3][4] Midstream Manufacturing - Manufacturing investment and narrow infrastructure investment grew by 8.5% and 5.6% year-on-year, respectively [3][4] - The output of industrial robots increased by 32.0% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] Technology TMT - The output of integrated circuits grew by 6.8% year-on-year from January to May 2025 [3][4] - The export value of optical communication modules decreased by 6.9% year-on-year [3][4] Cyclicals - Brent crude oil futures prices rose by 2.9% to $77.32 per barrel [3][4] - The Baltic Dry Index fell by 14.2% [3][4]

Group 1: Liquidity and Performance of Consumption ETF - The Consumption ETF managed by Jia Shi recorded a trading volume of 2.7878 million yuan on the trading day, with an average daily trading volume of 10.1431 million yuan over the past year [3] - The fund's scale increased by 127 million yuan over the past year, and its shares grew by 2.6 million in the past week [3] - Since its inception, the Consumption ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 24.5%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains lasting 7 months and a total increase of 66.83% [3] Group 2: Valuation and Market Trends - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the index tracked by the Consumption ETF is 18.72, which is in the 0.4% percentile over the past year, indicating a valuation lower than 99.6% of the time in the last year [3] - The "old-for-new" policy is effectively stimulating consumer potential, leading to increased sales in key categories, with expectations for a positive domestic market in 2025 [4] - The service consumption sector is rapidly growing, with retail sales projected to increase by 6.2% year-on-year in 2024, and per capita service consumption expenditure reaching 46.1% [4] Group 3: Industry Composition and Key Players - The Consumption ETF tracks the major consumption index, which includes leading A-share companies across various sectors such as liquor, pork, dairy, condiments, and food processing, with liquor being the largest sector at a weight of 45% [4] - Key stocks within the ETF include Kweichow Moutai (10.54% weight), Yili (9.91% weight), and Wuliangye (9.16% weight), among others [6] - Investors can also access the Consumption ETF through the Jia Shi Consumption ETF Connect Fund (009180) to capitalize on the consumption recovery trend [6]

Valuation Summary - The overall PE of the A-share market is 18.7 times, positioned at the historical 71st percentile [2][5] - The PE of the Shanghai 50 Index is 10.9 times, at the historical 52nd percentile [2][5] - The PE of the ChiNext Index is 31.0 times, at the historical 11th percentile, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to historical levels [2][5] - The PE of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index is 137.9 times, at the historical 98th percentile, suggesting a high valuation [2][5] Industry Valuation Comparison - Industries with PE valuations above the historical 85th percentile include Real Estate, Steel, Power Equipment (Photovoltaic Equipment), National Defense, and Pharmaceuticals [2][6] - No industries have PB valuations above the historical 85th percentile [2][6] - Industries with both PE and PB valuations below the historical 15th percentile include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Medical Services [2][6] Industry Midstream Economic Tracking New Energy - The price of polysilicon futures decreased by 2.4%, while spot prices remained stable [2][3] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in May 2025 increased by 28.2% year-on-year, although the growth rate has slowed compared to previous months [2][3] Real Estate Chain - The price of rebar fell by 0.8%, and iron ore prices decreased by 1.9% [2][3] - The national cement price index rose by 0.1%, indicating some stability in the cement market [2][3] Consumption - The average price of live pigs decreased by 0.2%, and the wholesale price of pork fell by 1.0% [2][3] - The wholesale price index for liquor dropped by 0.17% in early June 2025 [2][3] Midstream Manufacturing - Excavator sales in May 2025 increased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the growth rate has slowed significantly [2][3] Cyclical Industries - Brent crude oil futures closed at $75.18 per barrel, up 12.8%, driven by geopolitical tensions [2][3] - The Baltic Dry Index rose by 20.5%, indicating an increase in shipping rates [2][3]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a collective rise in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.52%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.21% [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.28 trillion yuan, a decrease of 164.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced significant gains, with Zhongke Magnetic Materials hitting the daily limit of 20% [2][4] - The gaming sector also saw a surge, with companies like Deyuan Network reaching the daily limit [2][5] - The automotive parts sector was active, with multiple companies announcing a unified payment term of 60 days for suppliers, leading to strong performances from stocks like Tongda Electric and Meichen Technology [2][8] Key Stocks - Notable gainers included: - Jiuling Technology up by 29.89% [5] - Zhongke Magnetic Materials up by 19.99% [5] - Xinghui Entertainment up by 13.43% [6] - The automotive sector saw significant increases, with Jianghuai Automobile rising nearly 7% and BYD up by over 2% [8] Policy Impact - The ongoing trade negotiations between China and the U.S. are expected to address restrictions on rare earth materials, positively impacting related sectors [4] - The Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce and 17 other departments issued measures to support the international expansion of gaming companies, which is likely to benefit the gaming sector [5] Market Sentiment - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has boosted market risk appetite, particularly in the technology sector, which has continued its rebound since late May [14] - Analysts suggest a cautious approach, advocating for a rotation strategy in the technology sector while being prepared for potential market fluctuations [14]

Market Overview - The ChiNext Index led the market with a rise of 1.29%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.54% and 0.89% respectively [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 790.6 billion, an increase of 1.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Rare earth permanent magnet stocks experienced a collective surge, with Zhongke Magnetic Materials reaching a historical high [1] - The automotive parts sector showed active performance, with multiple stocks, including Disen Power, hitting the daily limit [1] - Pork stocks rebounded, with Zhenghong Technology also hitting the daily limit [1] - In contrast, the innovative drug sector faced adjustments, with Haitian Pharmaceutical dropping nearly 10% [1] Summary of Key Indices - The closing figures for major indices were as follows: Shanghai Composite Index at -3403.00, Shenzhen Component Index at -10252.68, and ChiNext Index at -2063.49 [2] - The ChiNext Index recorded a gain of 26.22 points, reflecting a 1.29% increase [2] Trading Metrics - The limit-up rate was recorded at 68.00%, with 42 stocks hitting the limit and 20 stocks touching the limit-down [5] - The high opening rate was 64%, and the profit rate stood at 58% [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growing interest and opportunities for British agricultural products, particularly pork and dairy, in the Chinese market, emphasizing the importance of trade relations between the UK and China [1][5]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - The UK and China resumed their economic dialogue in January, focusing on promoting trade, especially in agriculture and food sectors [1]. - In 2024, the bilateral trade volume reached $98.36 billion, with UK exports to China at $78.87 billion and imports from China at $19.49 billion [2]. - Agricultural trade between the UK and China accounts for less than 6% of total trade, while machinery and equipment trade constitutes 25% [2]. Group 2: Market Performance - British pork sales in China are recovering rapidly, with imports reaching £117 million in 2024 [3]. - The UK pork production in 2024 was 960,800 tons, with exports to China totaling 120,100 tons [3]. - The removal of import restrictions on two UK pork producers is expected to generate £8 million (approximately ¥73.44 million) in revenue over the next five years [2][3]. Group 3: Consumer Trends - Chinese consumers are increasingly familiar with British products, particularly whisky, salmon, and cheese, with a notable rise in demand for pork [2][3]. - Sustainability is a key focus for UK producers, with practices ensuring animal welfare and food safety, aligning with Chinese consumer preferences [3][4]. Group 4: Future Opportunities - The UK sees China as a strategic market for agricultural exports, with a growing middle class and increasing consumer demand [5][6]. - There is a rising interest in health foods and pet products among Chinese consumers, presenting new opportunities for UK companies [7]. - The UK government actively promotes agricultural trade and encourages participation in Chinese trade exhibitions to foster bilateral cooperation [4][6].

5月30日，截至收盘，沪指跌0.47%，深成指跌0.85%，创业板指跌0.96%。 | 全A | 涨 1116 | 平 134 | 跌 4158 A股成 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 1 | 000001 上证指数 | 3347.49 c | -15.96 -0.47% | | 2 | 399001 深证成指 | 10040.63c | -86.58 -0.85% | | 3 | 899050 北证50 | 1408.69 c | -7.16 -0.51% | | 4 | 881001 万得全A | 5074.29 c | -42.21 -0.83% | | 5 | 000688 889000 | 977.03 c | -9.28 -0.94% | | 6 | 399006 创业板指 | 1993.19 c | -19.36 -0.96% | | 7 | 000300 沪深300 | 3840.23 c | -18.47 -0.48% | 沪深两市全天成交额1.14万亿，个股跌多涨少，全市场超4100只个股下跌。 盘面上看 ...

Market Overview - The Asia-Pacific markets collectively declined, with the Nikkei 225 and the Korea Composite Index dropping nearly 1%, and the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.5% during intraday trading [1] - The A-share market also saw all three major indices decline, with several high-priced stocks like Wangzi New Materials and Yong'an Pharmaceutical hitting the daily limit down [2] High-priced Stocks Plummet - High-priced stocks experienced significant drops, with Wangzi New Materials hitting the daily limit down at a price of 19.67 CNY per share, reflecting a decline of 9.98% [4][5] - Yong'an Pharmaceutical also faced a daily limit down, citing a significant deviation from its fundamentals and warning of high speculation risks [7] - Other high-priced stocks such as Shangwa Co., Guofang Group, and others also reported substantial declines [13] Innovation Drug Sector Strengthens - The pharmaceutical sector, particularly innovative drugs, saw a strong performance, with companies like Ruizhi Pharmaceutical and Nuo Si Lan De rising over 15% [15] - The National Medical Products Administration recently approved 11 new drug listings, covering various therapeutic areas, which has contributed to the positive sentiment in the sector [19] - Analysts believe that the pharmaceutical sector is supported by four key factors: ongoing demand for healthcare, increasing global competitiveness of domestic innovative drugs, signs of profit reversal, and low valuations in the innovative drug sector [20][21] Livestock Sector Leads Gains - The livestock sector led the market gains, with pig and chicken farming concepts showing the highest increases, including stocks like Juxing Agriculture and Xiangjia Co. hitting the daily limit up [23] - Recent legislative efforts in Shanghai and Sichuan aim to support the development of the livestock industry, which may further bolster the sector [26]