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11月份我国制造业PMI升至49.2% 市场信心有所改善
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-30 16:10
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from October, indicating improved market confidence [1] - The production index and new orders index are at 50.0% and 49.2%, respectively, both showing improvements of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points from October, with the production index reaching the critical point [1] - The new export orders index rose to 47.6%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from October, reflecting a stabilization in manufacturing exports due to improved external trade conditions [1][2] Group 2: Enterprise Size and Industry Performance - Large enterprises' PMI decreased to 49.3%, down 0.6 percentage points from October, indicating a decline in economic sentiment, while medium-sized enterprises' PMI increased to 48.9%, up 0.2 percentage points [2] - Small enterprises' PMI rose significantly to 49.1%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points, marking the highest level in six months [2] - High-tech manufacturing PMI remains above the critical point at 50.1%, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods industries saw declines in their PMIs to 49.8% and 49.4%, respectively [2] Group 3: Future Expectations and Economic Outlook - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.1%, up 0.3 percentage points from October, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market developments [2] - December is anticipated to be a crucial month for policy implementation and capital investment, with expectations of stable recovery in manufacturing market demand driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and improved foreign trade conditions [3] - Non-manufacturing PMI for November is at 49.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from October, reflecting a slowdown in service-related activities, although positive factors such as financial activities and construction recovery are noted [4]
11月制造业PMI回升至49.2%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-30 14:53
市场需求有所修复 11月,制造业PMI小幅回升。体现市场需求的制造业新订单指数回升0.4个百分点至49.2%,表明市场需求有所修复。 从需求结构上看,新订单指数与新出口订单指数差值在10月份出现跳升后,回落1.3个百分点至1.6个百分点。新出口订单指数回升1.7 个百分点至47.6%,是11月制造业新订单指数上升的重要推动因素。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,对11月出口形成一 定拉动。 王青指出,9月末至10月初推出"两个5000亿"稳增长政策,其中5000亿元新型政策性金融工具已在10月投放完毕,会在11月对基建投资 和制造业投资形成拉动;财政部10月份明确中央财政从地方政府债务结存限额中安排5000亿元下达地方,这将补充地方财力,其中为 项目建设提供2000亿元新增资金。这些都会拉动国内市场需求。 11月30日,国家统计局公布11月中国采购经理指数(PMI)运行情况。 数据显示,11月,中国制造业PMI为49.2%,比10月回升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所改善。其中,生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0% 和49.2%,分别比上月上升 ...
产需两端均有改善 11月制造业PMI回升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 13:56
随着稳增长政策不断落地见效,以及10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,国家统计局11月30日发布的11月份中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)亦呈改善趋 势,49.2%的数值比10月提升0.2个百分点,但已连续8个月位于荣枯线之下。 (图表来源:国家统计局) 其中,11月份生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。而高技 术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群表示,11月份制造业PMI指数小幅回升,表明市场信心有所改善。"十五五"发展目标鼓舞人心,对市场信心产生积 极影响。同时也要注意到制造业PMI指数仍处于荣枯线之下,市场引导的需求收缩仍比较突出,经济仍有下行压力。 张立群认为,要围绕"十五五"良好开局进一步加强宏观经济政策逆周期调节力度,显著加大政府公共产品、公共服务投资规模,有效有力带动企业订单增 加,尽快扭转市场引导的需求收缩发展趋势。 制造业稳中有升 11月份,生产经营活动预期指数为53.1%,比10月上升0.3个百分点,制造业企业对近期市 ...
产需两端均有改善,11月制造业PMI回升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 13:40
高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上。 随着稳增长政策不断落地见效,以及10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,国家统计局11月30日发布的11月份中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)亦呈改善趋 势,49.2%的数值比10月提升0.2个百分点,但已连续8个月位于荣枯线之下。 (图表来源:国家统计局) 其中,11月份生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。而高技 术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群表示,11月份制造业PMI指数小幅回升,表明市场信心有所改善。"十五五"发展目标鼓舞人心,对市场信心产生积 极影响。同时也要注意到制造业PMI指数仍处于荣枯线之下,市场引导的需求收缩仍比较突出,经济仍有下行压力。 张立群认为,要围绕"十五五"良好开局进一步加强宏观经济政策逆周期调节力度,显著加大政府公共产品、公共服务投资规模,有效有力带动企业订单增 加,尽快扭转市场引导的需求收缩发展趋势。 制造业稳中有升 11月份,生产经营活动预期指 ...
数据点评 | PMI修复的“短期掣肘”?(申万宏观·赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-11-30 13:16
Core Viewpoints - The PMI for November shows limited recovery, primarily influenced by high inventory levels and the fading effects of holidays [2][4][87] - The manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but remains weak overall [5][88] - The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5%, marking a decline into contraction territory, largely due to a high base from the previous month and the end of holiday effects [3][87] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI reflects a "weak improvement" with production indices underperforming compared to new orders [2][9] - The production index rose only 0.3 percentage points to the neutral line of 50%, indicating continued weakness in overall production [2][9] - New orders index improved by 0.4 percentage points to 49.2%, slightly better than the same period last year [2][9] Inventory and Production Constraints - High inventory levels from previous months are constraining current production, with a notable "stockpiling" phenomenon observed in September [18][86] - The finished goods inventory index decreased to 47.3%, down 0.8 percentage points, suggesting a faster pace of inventory reduction [18][86] - The purchasing volume index increased by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5%, but this recovery is weaker compared to the previous month's decline [18][86] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1%, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods sectors also dropped into contraction [21][87] - Conversely, high-energy sectors saw a PMI increase of 1.1 percentage points to 48.4%, indicating some improvement [21][87] - The construction sector's PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, reflecting ongoing expansion in civil engineering activities [29][87] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The service sector PMI decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 49.5%, with declines across various industries including retail, accommodation, and transportation [3][35] - Despite the overall decline, certain sectors like railway transport and financial services maintained high activity levels, with indices above 55% [3][35] - The construction sector's business activity index showed improvement, with expectations for continued growth [29][35] Economic Outlook - The short-term disturbances from high inventory levels are expected to dissipate, and with supportive fiscal policies, economic growth is anticipated to remain resilient [4][41][87] - The easing of debt-related investment constraints is reflected in the improvements seen in high-energy and construction sectors [4][41][87] - Overall, the combination of external demand stability and the implementation of fiscal policies is projected to support economic resilience through the end of the year [4][41][87]
中采PMI点评(25.11):PMI修复的“短期掣肘”?
Manufacturing PMI Insights - November Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from October's 49%[2] - Production index rose marginally by 0.3 percentage points to 50%, indicating weak production performance[8] - New orders index improved by 0.4 percentage points to 49.2%, slightly better than the same period last year[2] Inventory and Production Constraints - High inventory levels from previous months continue to constrain current production, with finished goods inventory index at 47.3%, down 0.8 percentage points[3] - The purchasing quantity index rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5%, but this increase is weaker compared to the previous month's decline of 2.6 percentage points[3] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1%, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods sectors dropped into contraction territory at 49.8% and 49.4% respectively[3] - High-energy consumption industries saw a PMI increase of 1.1 percentage points to 48.4%, reflecting some improvement in investment dynamics[3] Non-Manufacturing PMI Trends - Non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points, entering contraction territory primarily due to high base effects and holiday impact[4] - Service sector indices for shopping, accommodation, transportation, and tourism all showed declines, with real estate and residential services below critical levels[4] Economic Outlook - Despite short-term disruptions from high inventory, the economy is expected to maintain resilience due to supportive fiscal policies and sustained external demand[4] - The construction sector's PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, indicating potential for continued improvement in business activity[22]
11月中国制造业采购经理指数总体向好
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-30 12:40
央视网消息(新闻联播):国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会11月30日公布,11月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.2%,较上月上升0.2个百分点,大部分 分项指数较上月有所上升。 制造业产需两端有所改善,生产指数和新订单指数双回升。新出口订单指数为47.6%,较上月上升1.7个百分点,指数升幅较为明显。高技术制造业新出口订 单指数较上月上升超过3个百分点。 11月生产指数为50%,较上月上升0.3个百分点。装备制造业、高技术制造业和消费品制造业生产指数都保持在扩张区间。 ...
——2025年11月PMI点评:出口改善推动制造业PMI回稳
EBSCN· 2025-11-30 12:18
Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 is 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the seasonal level[2][5] - New export orders index rose significantly by 1.7 percentage points to 47.6%, driven by the easing of US-China tariffs and improved trade conditions[5][19] - Small enterprise PMI increased by 2.0 percentage points to 49.1%, marking a six-month high, indicating a recovery in the external trade environment[5][12] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a decline in service-related activities post-holiday[2][28] - The construction PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, indicating a low-level recovery in building activities, supported by ongoing infrastructure projects[32][34] Price and Inventory Dynamics - Raw material purchase prices and factory gate prices indices increased to 53.6% and 48.2%, respectively, showing an improvement in the supply-demand relationship[24][25] - The finished goods inventory index fell by 0.8 percentage points to 47.3%, indicating a faster reduction in inventory levels, which may support future price increases[24][27]
11月制造业PMI回升至49.2%:高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-30 12:07
每经记者|张宏 每经编辑|贾运可 11月30日,国家统计局公布11月中国采购经理指数(PMI)运行情况。 数据显示,11月,中国制造业PMI为49.2%,比10月回升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所改善。其中,生产 指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,分别比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点。高技术制造业PMI为 50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上。 中泰证券研究所政策组首席分析师杨畅在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,11月主要原材料 购进价格指数为53.6%,较前值提高1.1个百分点,仍在景气线上方,表明上游价格仍在上行,并且出现 提速;出厂价格指数为48.2%,较前值回升0.7个百分点,仍在景气线下方,出现一定改善。主要原材料 购进价格指数与出厂价格指数的差值为5.4个百分点,较前值扩大0.4个百分点,指向利润向上游转移。 市场需求有所修复 11月,制造业PMI小幅回升。体现市场需求的制造业新订单指数回升0.4个百分点至49.2%,表明市场需 求有所修复。 从需求结构上看,新订单指数与新出口订单指数差值在10月份出现跳升后,回落1.3个百分点至1.6个百 分点。新出口订单指数回升1.7个百 ...
11月份我国制造业PMI为49.2%
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-30 10:16
【纠错】 【责任编辑:赵阳】 此外,高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 数据还显示,11月份,生产经营活动预期指数为53.1%,比上月上升0.3个百分点,制造业企业对近期市 场发展信心有所增强。 新华社北京11月30日电(记者王雨萧)国家统计局服务业调查中心、中国物流与采购联合会11月30日发 布数据显示,11月份,制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为49.2%,比上月上升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所 改善。 数据显示,11月份,生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其 中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。11月份,大型企业PMI为49.3%,比上月下降0.6个 百分点,景气水平回落;中型企业PMI为48.9%,比上月上升0.2个百分点,景气度有所改善;小型企业 PMI为49.1%,比上月上升2.0个百分点,为近6个月高点,景气水平显著回升。 ...