Market Overview - The A-share market continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a nearly 10-year high and the North Star 50 hitting a historical peak. The Shenzhen Composite Index and the ChiNext Index also surpassed their highs from October 8 of the previous year [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.76 trillion yuan, an increase of 519.6 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking a new high for the year [1] - By the close of trading, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.85%, the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 1.73%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.84% [1] Valuation Analysis - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the overall valuation of A-shares is currently in a reasonable range and not overvalued. The dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of the CSI 300 is around 12.2 times, which is approximately at the 69th percentile historically since 2010 [2] - The market capitalization of A-shares has reached around 100 trillion yuan, with the ratio to GDP remaining at a relatively low level compared to major global markets [2] - The total market capitalization to M2 ratio is about 33%, positioned at the 60th percentile historically, indicating a moderate valuation level [2] - The dividend yield of the CSI 300 is 2.69%, which remains attractive compared to the yield of 10-year government bonds [2] Brokerage Sector Insights - Huatai Securities noted that the brokerage sector is currently undervalued and underweighted, with a positive outlook for value re-evaluation in the sector. The equity market has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year, with continuous increases in trading volume, margin financing balances, and the issuance scale of equity products [3] - The performance of brokerages is expected to improve due to the sustained growth of market conditions and the positive regulatory environment supporting capital markets [3] PCB Industry Outlook - Dongwu Securities highlighted that the recent price increases in copper-clad laminates reflect the high demand in the PCB industry, driven by the demand for computing servers. Several copper-clad laminate manufacturers have announced price hikes [4] - The demand for multi-layer boards, HDI, and high-frequency boards is expected to grow significantly, with specific requirements for drilling, exposure, and electroplating processes [4] - Dongwu Securities recommends focusing on the core processes of PCB production, including drilling, exposure, and electroplating [4]

Market Analysis - Lack of retail investor frenzy in China's stock market may lead to a more sustainable rally [1] - High-net-worth investors are entering the market, but most individual investors prefer wealth management products over direct stock or mutual fund investments [1] - Low small-lot trading volume indicates limited retail participation [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant shift in deposit trends, with a notable increase in non-bank financial institution deposits and a decrease in household deposits, indicating a "seesaw" effect between the two [2] - In July, new RMB deposits increased by 500 billion, with household deposits decreasing by 1.11 trillion and non-bank financial institution deposits rising by 2.14 trillion, marking the highest level since 2015 [2] - The analysis suggests that the recovery of the capital market and declining interest rates are the main drivers behind the movement of funds from banks to non-bank financial institutions [2] Group 2 - Current market entry funds are primarily from high-net-worth investors, including private equity, leveraged funds, and speculative capital, while retail investor participation remains cautious [3] - Data indicates that retail investors' participation is lower than the previous year's market surge, with limited net buying amounts and a marginal decline in bank-securities transfer balances [3] - The phenomenon of fund migration reflects a trend towards diversified asset allocation among residents, although market volatility risks should be monitored [3]

（文章来源：新华财经） 新华财经北京8月19日电华泰证券研报指出，预计三季度关税温和推高美国核心通胀，市场在通胀上升 幅度及持续时间上存在分歧。美联储大概率9月重启降息周期。虽然通胀将在三季度回升，但预计对美 联储2025年降息的制约有限。 由于通胀传导未必超预期，短期通胀回升对美债收益率影响有限，但"大而美"法案实施后美债收益率仍 有压力，关注金融去监管、美元稳定币扩容、美债发行结构变化可能形成的缓冲，维持中长期美元面临 贬值压力的观点。 ...

Group 1 - The fund will suspend accepting large subscriptions exceeding 1 million yuan starting from August 14, 2025, but has decided to resume large subscriptions immediately due to the elimination of previous influencing factors [1] - Investors can check relevant information on the company's website or contact customer service for inquiries [1] Group 2 - From August 20, 2025, Huatai Securities will be added as a sales institution for certain funds managed by the company, allowing investors to handle various fund-related transactions through Huatai Securities [3] - The company has agreed to participate in fee rate discounts for its funds sold through Huatai Securities, with specific discount rates and terms to be published on Huatai Securities' page [4] Group 3 - The minimum amount for regular investment in funds is set at 10 yuan, and investors can apply for this service at Huatai Securities sales outlets [7] - Investors can consult details through Huatai Securities or the company's customer service [7]

Group 1 - Block & Leviton is investigating PetMed Express, Inc. for potential securities law violations following significant delays in financial reporting and executive resignations [1][2][4] - PetMed Express announced a delay in its 2025 fourth quarter and year-end financial results on June 10, 2025, and further delayed the filing due to an internal investigation into revenue recognition [2] - The company's stock price has fallen by almost 30% after the resignation of its CEO and CFO on August 12, 2025 [2] Group 2 - Investors who have lost money in PetMed Express may be eligible to recover losses and are encouraged to contact Block & Leviton for more information [3][5] - Block & Leviton is recognized as a leading securities class action firm, having recovered billions of dollars for defrauded investors [7] - Whistleblowers with non-public information about PetMed Express may assist in the investigation and could receive rewards of up to 30% of any successful recovery [6]

Market Overview - The bond market experienced a significant decline, with the yield on the 30-year government bond rising by 4.30 basis points to 2.0370%, while the 10-year bond yield increased by 2.5 basis points to 1.770% [1] - All government bond futures, including 30-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 2-year, saw a drop, with the 30-year futures contract falling by 1.33% [1] Government Actions - The Ministry of Finance announced a plan to conduct government bond market-making support operations, selling two bond issues totaling 550 million yuan to enhance liquidity in the secondary market [2] - The Trading Association has initiated self-regulatory investigations into institutions that misused funds raised through debt financing tools [2] Regional Developments - Hunan Province is exploring the application of digital currency for the settlement of interconnected debts, aiming to support various types of bonds including technology innovation and carbon neutrality bonds [3] - Shanxi Province has implemented a trial for local bond yield curve bidding, successfully issuing 13.011 billion yuan in government bonds with an average interest rate of 1.93% [4] Corporate Financing - Zhongyuan Yuzhi Investment Holding Group plans to issue up to 4 billion yuan in debt financing tools and is selecting up to 8 lead underwriters for the project [5] - Nanyang Transportation Investment Group has received approval for a non-public issuance of corporate bonds totaling 1 billion yuan [7] Market Sentiment - The Shanghai Urban Investment Group's chairman is under investigation for serious violations, impacting market sentiment [9] - Shandong Steel Group canceled the issuance of 1 billion yuan in medium-term notes due to recent market volatility [10] Market Predictions - CITIC Securities suggests that the bond market may experience fluctuations in August to October, with the 10-year government bond yield expected to range between 1.65% and 1.80% [12][13] - The bond market's pricing of fundamentals and liquidity has weakened, with a potential for increased volatility in the coming months [13]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Despite the weak domestic fundamentals in July, the stock and bond markets deviated from the fundamentals. The stock market reflected the expectations of the fundamentals, while the bond market anticipated the reality. The central bank maintained a supportive attitude towards liquidity through continuous over - subscription of repurchase agreements, which made it difficult for bond yields to rise. It is recommended to allocate 10 - year treasury bonds when the yield reaches 1.75% [21]. - Overseas, the long - end of US Treasury bonds remained in a wide - range oscillation of 4.0 - 4.5%. The Fed may cut interest rates by 25 - 50bp in the remaining time of 2025, which could support the high valuation of US stocks and reshape the valuation of global risk assets. It is advisable to be bullish on the short - end of US Treasury bonds and gold [22][24]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 One - Week Views 3.1.1 Why the Bond Market Showed "Desensitization" - From August 11 - 15, 2025, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond rose 5.4bp from 1.691% to 1.745%. The bond market showed "desensitization" to the worse - than - expected July data such as financial data [16][17]. 3.1.2 Future Trend of US Treasury Bond Yields - Last week, the long - end of US Treasury bonds oscillated between 4.0 - 4.5%, and the term spread narrowed marginally. The US economic data in July and August showed mixed signals. The CPI data increased the expectation of interest rate cuts, while the PPI inflation accelerated. The consumer confidence index declined, and the unemployment benefit data was better than expected. The US Treasury Secretary predicted a possible 50bp interest rate cut in September, and the market's expectation of a 25bp interest rate cut in September reached 92.1% [22][25][35]. 3.2 Domestic and Overseas Data Aggregation 3.2.1 Liquidity Tracking - In the open - market operations from August 11 - 15, 2025, the total net investment was - 4149 billion yuan. The money - market interest rates generally increased slightly this week compared with last week [39][42]. 3.2.2 Domestic and Overseas Macroeconomic Data Tracking - The total commercial housing transaction area declined comprehensively. Steel prices showed mixed trends, and LME non - ferrous metal futures official prices also had mixed movements [57][59][61]. 3.3 One - Week Review of Local Government Bonds 3.3.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - This week, 26 local government bonds were issued in the primary market, with a total issuance amount of 914.32 billion yuan, a repayment amount of 1051.68 billion yuan, and a net financing amount of - 137.36 billion yuan. Six provinces and cities issued local government bonds, with Sichuan, Qingdao, and Liaoning ranking in the top three in terms of issuance volume [68][71]. 3.3.2 Secondary Market Overview - This week, the outstanding amount of local government bonds was 52.63 trillion yuan, the trading volume was 3411.79 billion yuan, and the turnover rate was 0.65%. The yields of local government bonds across all maturities increased [87][94]. 3.3.3 This Month's Local Government Bond Issuance Plan No specific content provided other than the source. 3.4 One - Week Review of the Credit Bond Market 3.4.1 Primary Market Issuance Overview - This week, 350 credit bonds were issued in the primary market, with a total issuance amount of 2598.96 billion yuan, a total repayment amount of 2764.12 billion yuan, and a net financing amount of - 165.16 billion yuan, a decrease compared with last week [96]. 3.4.2 Issuance Interest Rates - The issuance interest rate of short - term financing bonds was 1.7348%, down 45.24bp; that of medium - term notes was 2.1890%, up 3.98bp; and that of corporate bonds was 2.0730%, down 3.47bp [109]. 3.4.3 Secondary Market Transaction Overview - This week, the total trading volume of credit bonds was 5369.15 billion yuan [111]. 3.4.4 Maturity Yields - The maturity yields of national development bonds, short - term financing bonds, medium - term notes, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds all increased across the board this week [110][112][114]. 3.4.5 Credit Spreads - The credit spreads of short - term financing bonds and medium - term notes generally narrowed, those of corporate bonds narrowed across the board, and those of urban investment bonds showed a differentiated trend [120][125][126]. 3.4.6 Grade Spreads - The grade spreads of short - term financing bonds and medium - term notes generally narrowed, those of corporate bonds generally narrowed, and those of urban investment bonds generally widened [129][131][134]. 3.4.7 Trading Activity - This week, the top five most actively traded bonds in each bond type were listed, and the industrial sector had the largest weekly trading volume of bonds [137]. 3.4.8 Issuer Rating Changes - Only the issuer Shenzhen Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. had its rating upgraded, and there were no bonds with downgraded ratings or outlooks this week [139].

华夏时报记者李明会北京报道 "股市强得可怕，债券跌得吓人。"8月18日，一位业内人士感叹道。 当日，"股债跷跷板"效应显著。一边是上证指数盘中站上3745点，创近十年新高，一边是国债全面飘绿，特别是30年国债收益率时隔4个多月重回2%。 同日，财政部发布通知称，为支持国债做市，提高国债二级市场流动性，健全反映市场供求关系的国债收益率曲线，财政部决定于8月19日开展国债做市 支持操作，操作方向为随卖。 财政部此时"突然"出手，对债市有影响吗？ "没关系。"一位资深债券交易员在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示，此举系例行操作，对债市影响很小。 另一位资深业内人士亦对记者表示，"就是惯例操作，不是为了调节市场。" 财政部将开展国债做市支持操作 8月18日，国债市场全线飘绿。截至记者发稿前，30年期主力合约跌，10年期主力合约跌，年期主力合约跌，2年期主力合约跌。银行间主要利率债收益率 普遍大幅上行，其中30年期国债"25超长特别国债02"收益率上行4.6bp至2.04%，"25超长特别国债05"收益率上行5.25bp至2.1025%，10年期国债"25附息国 债11"收益率上行3.3bp至1.7780%，5年期国债" ...

Market Trend - CMB International Securities (招商银行旗下机构) 在香港推出 24/7 全天候加密货币交易服务 [1] - 亚洲市场全面拥抱加密货币 [1]