股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.03.03 2 月理财月报：总量止跌回升，混合类产品增长放缓 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 | 24 | | --- | | 级: 1 1 | [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 2026 年 2 月末银行理财存续规模为 31.66 万亿，同比增长 5.6%、环比微增 0.3%， 结束前序两个月净流出状态。混合类产品保持正增，但单月增量不足 1月的一半。 投资要点： 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Summary] 2 月末银行理财产品存续规模为 31.66 万亿（普益口径）1，同比增 长 5.6%、环比微增 0.3%，单月资金净流入 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.03.03 2 月理财月报：总量止跌回升，混合类产品增长放缓 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 | 24 | | --- | | 级: 1 1 | 股 票 研 究 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 2026 年 2 月末银行理财存续规模为 31.66 万亿，同比增长 5.6%、环比微增 0.3%， 结束前序两个月净流出状态。混合类产品保持正增，但单月增量不足 1月的一半。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《当前如何看待银行股投资机会》 2026.03.01 商业银行《大型银行短贷显著增加，中小银行信 贷增长放缓》20 ...

来源：金融时报 近日，银行业理财登记托管中心发布《中国银行业理财市场年度报告（2025年）》。报告显示，截至 2025年末，理财市场存续规模达33.29万亿元，较年初增长11.15%；理财产品全年为投资者创造收益 7303亿元，平均收益率为1.98%。更多投资者进入银行理财市场"掘金"，截至2025年末，持有理财产品 的投资者数量已达1.43亿个，较年初增长14.37%。 规模与投资者数量双增 截至2025年末，银行理财市场存续规模33.29万亿元，较年初增长11.15%。其中理财公司存续产品只数 3.37万只，存续规模30.71万亿元，较年初增加16.72%，占全市场的比例达到92.25%。 "存款持续降息后理财产品具备性价比优势；存续浮盈释放也支撑产品业绩、投资者实际体感仍较好， 共同支撑理财行业景气度。"对此，中金公司研究表示。 从资产配置情况看，2025年理财产品资产配置以固收类为主，投向债券类、非标准化债券类资产、权益 类资产余额分别为18.52万亿元、1.82万亿元、0.66万亿元，分别占总投资资产的51.93%、5.10%、 1.85%。 持有理财产品的投资者数量达到1.43亿个，14.37%的 ...

Group 1 - In 2025, the A-share market experienced a comprehensive recovery, with sectors such as technology, precious metals, non-ferrous metals, communication equipment, semiconductors, and optical modules leading the market in growth [1] - The net value of high-rights financial products saw a recovery, while the bond market faced pressure due to the strong performance of the equity market, leading to a "stock in, bond out" trend [1] - By the end of December 2025, the comprehensive net loss rate of financial products decreased to 0.51%, down 39 basis points from the end of 2024, with seven financial companies achieving "0 net loss" for their public offerings [1] Group 2 - The bond market ended its two-year bull run in 2025, entering a phase of adjustment influenced by fluctuating policy expectations and the stock-bond seesaw effect [2] - The net loss rate of public financial products fluctuated significantly, peaking at 2.24% in January and February 2025 before declining to 0.54% over the next four months [2] - By the end of December 2025, the net loss rate returned to the 0.5% range, reflecting the impact of the strong equity market [2] Group 3 - As of the end of 2025, Huihua Wealth Management, Boyin Wealth Management, and Hangyin Wealth Management had the highest net loss rates among public products, with Huihua at 9.27% and Boyin at 2.22% [4] - Four wealth management subsidiaries and three joint venture companies achieved "0 net loss" for their public products by the end of 2025 [4] Group 4 - The structure of net loss products shifted significantly, with equity and mixed financial products seeing a substantial decline in net loss rates, while fixed-income products became the main type of net loss products in 2025 [6] - The average net value growth rate for public equity financial products reached 22.71%, with some companies like Xinyin Wealth Management achieving a remarkable 36.55% growth [6] - In contrast, the average net value growth rate for fixed-income products was only 2.24%, reflecting a weaker performance compared to equity products [1][12] Group 5 - The average net value growth rate for mixed financial products varied, with Ningyin Wealth Management, Huihua Wealth Management, and Hangyin Wealth Management leading at 15.44%, 12.31%, and 8.84% respectively [10] - The average net value growth rate for fixed-income public financial products was generally between 2% and 2.5%, with some companies like Nanyin Wealth Management and Hangyin Wealth Management performing slightly better [12] - Foreign currency fixed-income financial products had an overall average net value growth rate of 3.90%, with Xinyin Wealth Management and Beiyin Wealth Management exceeding 4% [14]

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant drop in gold prices has unexpectedly increased residents' enthusiasm for gold investment products, despite concerns about volatility and risk management within financial institutions [3][5][8]. Group 1: Market Reaction to Gold Price Drop - Following the historic drop in gold prices on January 30, there has been a surge in demand for gold investment products among residents [3][5]. - Financial institutions are witnessing a notable increase in inquiries about gold investment products, with many clients shifting from physical gold purchases to financial products due to supply shortages [8][9]. - Statistics indicate that the average annualized return of "gold+" investment products is approximately 4.08%, significantly higher than the 2.24% return of traditional fixed-income products [8]. Group 2: Internal Conflicts in Financial Institutions - There is a conflict between revenue-driven investment departments and risk-averse risk control departments regarding gold investments, particularly after the recent price volatility [7][14]. - Risk control departments have expressed concerns that the recent price drop categorizes gold as a high-volatility asset, which may not align with the stability requirements for investment products [5][14]. - Despite the push for gold investment, risk control departments remain cautious, citing the potential for significant losses if gold prices experience further drastic declines [12][13]. Group 3: Strategies for Gold Investment Products - Some financial institutions are exploring ways to incorporate gold into their investment products while managing associated risks, such as limiting gold's allocation to 10% of the total investment [12][15]. - There are proposals to utilize structured products and options to mitigate risks associated with gold price fluctuations, aiming for stable returns in a volatile market [12][15]. - Certain investment departments are accelerating the development of gold investment products, planning to increase the allocation of options to manage risks effectively [15].

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.03 1 月理财月报：总量微降，现金管理和混合类产品规模上升 [Table_Industry] 商业银行 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 2026 年 1 月末银行理财存续规模为 31.55 万亿，同比增长 5.7%，环比连续两个月下 降。但降幅以固收为主，现金管理类和混合类产品规模分别较年初增长 141、204 亿。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 商业银行《战略投资者拟扩围，利好银行长期资 本补充》2026.02.01 商业银行《银行快报陆续披露，25A 业绩稳健增 长》2026.01.25 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 [Table_Summary] ...

当前金融市场普遍关注2026年大量到期定期存款的流向。在3年期定期存款利率走低至 1.25%，甚至低于回购利率的历史罕见背景下，资金寻找替代投向的需求强烈，预计2026年 大概率会出现定期存款向理财转化的趋势。 2026年2月初，张晴有一笔40万元的3年期存款到期。 "现在存款利息太低了。"她决定不再全部续存。近期，张晴前往多家银行网点咨询能否买到年化收益率 3%、具备"保本"属性的固收类理财产品。 "3%是我的底线。收益率低于3%，我不会考虑购买相关理财产品。"张晴说。 像张晴这样为到期定存寻找可靠去处的储户还有很多。国信证券基于六大行2025年中报数据估计，2026 年到期的定期存款规模约为57万亿元，且主要到期时段集中在年初。 在低利率环境下，这些储户的决策不仅关乎消费与投资的动态，更深度影响着国内财富市场的格局演 变。 信银理财拟任总裁贺晋指出，当前金融市场普遍关注2026年大量到期定期存款的流向。在3年期定期存 款利率走低至1.25%，甚至低于回购利率的历史罕见背景下，资金寻找替代投向的需求强烈，预计2026 年大概率会出现定期存款向理财转化的趋势。 一场围绕居民存款的"保卫战"正在打响，国有大行和 ...

Core Insights - The bank wealth management market continues to thrive as deposit rates decline, leading low-risk preference funds to migrate towards bank wealth management products [1] - By the end of 2025, the total scale of the bank wealth management market reached 33.29 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.15% from the beginning of the year, with 3.34 million new wealth management products issued, raising 76.33 trillion yuan [1] - Fixed income products accounted for 97.09% of the total wealth management product scale, while products with a risk level of secondary (medium-low) and below made up 95.73% of the total [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The growth in bank wealth management scale is attributed to three main factors: declining deposit rates, increased volatility in capital markets, and enhanced competitiveness of bank wealth management products [1] - The shift in investment strategy from "asset-led" to "strategy-led" is necessary to balance client expectations for stable returns with the scarcity of quality assets [2] - The acceptance of net value fluctuations among investors is increasing, although clients still primarily prefer stable returns [3] Group 2: Product Diversification - The wealth management product offerings have become increasingly diverse, including cash management, fixed income, mixed, and equity products, with various product forms such as daily open, minimum holding period, periodic open, and closed-end products [3] - Companies are focusing on a product layout characterized by "fixed income and fixed income plus" to achieve low volatility and stable returns, while also driving differentiation through mixed, equity, and alternative products [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The growth trend of bank wealth management is expected to continue, but the speed will be constrained by cycles and market volatility [4] - If the economy improves and risk preferences recover, some funds may shift to equity and mixed assets, while the structure will lean towards "fixed income plus" [4] - Long-term, bank wealth management is expected to play a role as a "stable return base" and "inclusive allocation entry" in the broader asset management landscape [4]

"现在存款利息太低了。"她决定不再全部续存。近期，张晴前往多家银行网点咨询能否买到年化 收益率3%、具备"保本"属性的固收类理财产品。 "3%是我的底线。收益率低于3%，我不会考虑购买相关理财产品。"张晴说。 像张晴这样为到期定存寻找可靠去处的储户还有很多。国信证券基于六大行2025年中报数据估 计，2026年到期的定期存款规模约为57万亿元，且主要到期时段集中在年初。 当前金融市场普遍关注2026年大量到期定期存款的流向。在3 年期定期存款利率走低至1.25%，甚至低于回购利率的历史罕 见背景下，资金寻找替代投向的需求强烈，预计2026年大概 率会出现定期存款向理财转化的趋势。 作者：陈植 封图：图虫创意 2026年2月初，张晴有一笔40万元的3年期存款到期。 利率下行引发存款持续流失，部分中小银行稳健运营承压。在一家西部地区农商行任零售业务部主 管的段涛感慨地说："对居民而言，这或许是一场存款利息收入保卫战；但对我们而言，这也是一 场关乎中小银行生死的大考验。" 家庭收支盘算 近期，张晴跑了多家上海地区的银行网点，发现3年期存款的最高利率只有1.8%。而3年前，同期 限存款利率为3.1%。 张晴在一家民营 ...

执业证书编号：S0740525070002 Email：suem@zts.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的重要声明部分 债基和理财的 2025：负债行为拥抱含权 证券研究报告/固收专题报告 2026 年 01 月 30 日 分析师：吕品 执业证书编号：S0740525060003 Email：lvpin@zts.com.cn 固收专题报告 图表 1 ：债券型基金、固收类理财近 1 年回报中位数（ % ） 来源：WIND，中泰证券研究所，截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日 图表 2 ： Wind 基金指数回报（权益类， % ） 报告摘要 分析师：苏恩民 2025 年，主动债基规模出现近年来首降。截至 2025 年末，短债基金、中长期纯债基 金 2025 年规模同比分别减少 1661 亿元、7553 亿元，合计同比减少 9214 亿元、 11.96%，是 2018 年以来首次出现规模下降。与此同时，受益于信用债类 ETF 放量， 指数型债基规模大增 5543 亿元，同比增速 41.53%；固收+产品在亮眼业绩带动下实 现规模与收益双增，2025 年偏债混合型基金、混合债券型二级基金指数回报分别为 6.53% ...