【本报告课题组成员】 作者：南财理财通课题组 编辑：黄桂煊 数据分析师：张稆方 版权声明：本报告版权属南方财经全媒体集团，未经课题组同意，禁止对外使用。 编者按：《机警理财日报》作为南财集团、21世纪经济报道、南财理财通的金牌理财专栏，目前细分了 现金、纯固收、固收+期权、固收+权益、混合、权益、衍生品七大类，已实现对银行理财市场的每日 追踪。为了进一步反映银行理财行业发展现状，南财理财通课题组特开设银行理财月报独家专题，力求 及时准确研判理财行业趋势、洞悉理财产品表现，以期为银行理财行业转型发展带来参考价值。 10月各投资性质理财产品破净率均有所下降。其中固收类理财产品破净率从上月末2.06%降至0.17%， 环比下降1.89个百分点；混合类理财产品破净率为2.42%，环比下降0.24个百分点；权益类理财产品破 净率为21.57%，环比增长1.57个百分点。 从不同投资周期来看，公募固收类产品中，2-3年期限以及1-2年期限的产品破净率相对居高，分别为 0.41%、0.32%，1-3个月以内期限的产品破净率低至0.05%，1月以内期限和3年以上期限的产品均实 现"0破净"。混合类产品中，1月以内期限和1-2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking wealth management industry is undergoing a transformation towards "multi-asset multi-strategy" approaches to cope with low interest rates, asset scarcity, and high market volatility, aiming to enhance returns and manage risks effectively [4][5][10]. Industry Trends - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total scale of bank wealth management reached 32.13 trillion yuan, with over 80% of funds still allocated to fixed-income assets, highlighting the need for diversification [4]. - The negative effects of the low-interest-rate environment have become apparent, with the performance benchmark for newly issued fixed-income products dropping from over 4% at the end of 2021 to approximately 2.4% by September 2023 [4]. Strategic Shifts - The industry consensus is shifting from "asset-driven" to "strategy-combination-driven" approaches, emphasizing the need for diversified asset allocation to enhance returns and reduce risks [5][10]. - Banks are increasingly incorporating alternative assets such as REITs, gold, and overseas investments into their portfolios to achieve a more robust multi-asset strategy [10][12]. Challenges in Implementation - The transition to a multi-asset strategy is not straightforward, as banks face challenges in aligning investment styles between newly recruited equity managers and existing risk management frameworks [7][8]. - Conflicts often arise between investment teams and risk management departments regarding the timing of profit-taking and risk exposure, complicating the implementation of multi-asset strategies [8][9]. Internal Management and Technology - The shift towards multi-asset strategies necessitates a comprehensive overhaul of internal management processes, including trading links, risk control, information disclosure, and compliance operations [13][14]. - The need for automation and advanced technologies like AI is emphasized to manage the complexities of multi-asset investment strategies and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements [13][14]. Risk Management Evolution - A new risk control model is being developed to adapt to the multi-asset strategy, focusing on the individual risk characteristics of different assets and their interactions [14][15]. - The industry is moving towards a more systematic approach to risk management, emphasizing the balance between low risk and high returns [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - The banking wealth management sector is undergoing a transformation towards a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" approach to address challenges posed by low interest rates, asset scarcity, and market volatility, necessitating a comprehensive restructuring of investment strategies, asset acquisition, trading processes, risk control, product disclosure, and compliance operations [2][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Challenges and Transformation - The banking wealth management industry is facing significant challenges due to the low interest rate environment, which has led to a decline in the returns of fixed-income assets, impacting the overall performance of wealth management products [4][5]. - As of the end of Q3 2023, the total scale of bank wealth management reached 32.13 trillion yuan, with over 80% of funds still allocated to fixed-income assets, highlighting the need for diversification [4]. - The transition to a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" model is seen as essential for creating stable and attractive returns in the current market landscape [4][5]. Group 2: Implementation of Multi-Asset Strategies - Banks are actively expanding their investment teams to include equity investments, quantitative strategies, and alternative assets such as REITs and gold, aiming to enhance returns and mitigate risks [2][11]. - The integration of diverse asset classes requires a shift from traditional fixed-income strategies to a more dynamic approach that emphasizes risk management and performance consistency [5][11]. - The challenges of aligning investment styles between new hires from brokerage firms and the conservative investment philosophy of bank wealth management teams have led to difficulties in achieving cohesive strategies [8][9]. Group 3: Internal Management and Risk Control - The shift to a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" framework necessitates a complete overhaul of internal management processes, including trading links, risk control iterations, information disclosure, and compliance operations [14][15]. - The complexity of managing diverse investment strategies requires advanced technology solutions, such as AI and automation, to enhance operational efficiency and ensure compliance with regulatory requirements [15][16]. - A new risk control model is being developed to adapt to the multi-asset environment, focusing on the unique risk characteristics of different assets and strategies while ensuring low correlation among them to achieve better risk diversification [16][17].

Group 1: Ningde Times (300750.SZ) - Power Equipment - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 104.186 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.62% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.549 billion yuan, up 41.2% year-on-year and 12.26% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 690.74 billion yuan, 914.61 billion yuan, and 1,096.66 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 15.14, 20.04, and 24.03 yuan [7] Group 2: Baiya Co., Ltd. (003006.SZ) - Beauty and Personal Care - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 859 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.33%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 57 million yuan, down 3.89% year-on-year [9] - Offline channels showed strong growth with revenue of 491 million yuan, up 27.20% year-on-year, while online channels faced challenges with revenue of 341 million yuan, down 11.40% year-on-year [10] - The company expects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 0.77, 0.99, and 1.20 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [10] Group 3: Ruida Futures (002961.SZ) - Non-Bank Financial - The company achieved total revenue of 1.621 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders of 386 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with net profit for Q3 alone at 158 million yuan, up 17.41% year-on-year [12] - Investment income was a key driver of profit growth, with net income from fees and commissions increasing by 26.6% [13] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 470 million yuan in 2025, up 22.9% year-on-year, maintaining a "buy" rating [14] Group 4: Honglu Steel Structure (002541.SZ) - Construction Decoration - The company reported revenue of 15.917 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.19%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 496 million yuan, down 24.29% year-on-year [16] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 849 million yuan, 971 million yuan, and 1.109 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.23, 1.41, and 1.61 yuan [18]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the "deposit shift" boosted the scale of bank wealth management to grow beyond expectations. The market is dominated by fixed - income wealth management products, but hybrid products showed significant growth momentum. The scale of "fixed - income +" wealth management products also increased [1][12][18]. - In Q3 2025, cash and bank deposits were increased on the asset side, and the proportion of bonds decreased. The leverage ratio of wealth management products dropped to a recent low [24][25]. - In the future, the scale of bank wealth management is expected to continue growing due to the "comparison effect" caused by the decline in deposit interest rates. The wealth management industry needs to build a more refined and systematic asset allocation and risk management system [2][27][30]. - In the short term, credit bonds may fluctuate under the influence of factors such as Sino - US trade negotiations, the new public fund fee policy, and the stock - bond seesaw. The short - to - medium - term credit bonds still have allocation value, and long - term and ultra - long - term bonds may have room for spread compression [3][39]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025 Q3 Bank Wealth Management Market Observation 3.1.1 Liability Side - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total market wealth management product scale was 32.13 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.42%, and a single - quarter increase of 1.46 trillion yuan in Q3, higher than the same period in history [12]. - The year - on - year growth of wealth management scale deviated from the weekly high - frequency data of Puyi Standard. The large growth in wealth management scale in Q3 with a general performance in the bond market was due to the mismatch between wealth management asset allocation and the bond market structure. Wealth management mainly held short - term credit bonds [15]. - Fixed - income wealth management products dominated the market, while hybrid products showed significant growth in Q3. The scale of "fixed - income +" wealth management products reached 17.83 trillion yuan, accounting for 57.8% of the total wealth management scale [18]. - The proportion of wealth management products of wealth management companies increased quarter by quarter, exceeding 90% at the end of Q3 [20]. 3.1.2 Asset Side - As of the end of Q3 2025, the proportion of cash and bank deposits rose to 27.5%, and the proportion of bonds, the largest allocated asset, decreased to 40.4%, a 1.4 - percentage - point decrease from the end of Q2 [24]. - The leverage ratio of wealth management products dropped to 106.65%, a year - on - year and quarter - on - quarter decrease of 0.84 and 0.8 percentage points respectively [25]. 3.1.3 Summary and Outlook - In Q3 2025, the bank wealth management market performed well, with a strong year - on - year scale growth. Fixed - income products contributed the largest scale increment, and the layout of equity - related products increased [26]. - In the future, the scale of bank wealth management is expected to grow, and the wealth management industry needs to build a more refined and systematic asset allocation and risk management system [27][30]. 3.2 Credit Bond Yield Overview - From October 20 - 24, 2025, credit bond yields mostly declined. Non - financial credit bonds performed better than financial bonds, and long - term non - financial credit bonds performed better than short - to - medium - term ones [4][31]. - In terms of different varieties, the yields of urban investment bonds all declined, with long - term bonds performing better. The yields of most industrial bonds declined, and the overall performance was weaker than that of urban investment bonds. The yields of most financial bonds increased [31][32]. 3.3 Primary Market 3.3.1 Issuance Volume - From October 20 - 24, 2025, the credit bond issuance scale increased both year - on - year and quarter - on - quarter, and the net financing scale increased quarter - on - quarter and decreased year - on - year. The net financing scale of urban investment bonds and financial bonds increased quarter - on - quarter, while that of industrial bonds decreased [43]. 3.3.2 Issuance Cost - The average credit bond issuance interest rate decreased quarter - on - quarter. The average issuance interest rates of industrial bonds and financial bonds decreased by 0.8bp and 10bp respectively, while that of urban investment bonds increased by 1.3bp [50]. 3.3.3 Issuance Term - The average credit bond issuance term increased quarter - on - quarter. The average issuance terms of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds increased by 0.19 years, 0.04 years, and 0.04 years respectively [51]. 3.3.4 Cancellation of Issuance - From October 20 - 24, 2025, the number and scale of cancelled credit bond issuances increased quarter - on - quarter [52]. 3.4 Secondary Market 3.4.1 Trading Volume - Except for the decline in the trading volume of bank perpetual bonds and insurance sub - bonds, the trading volume of other credit bond varieties rebounded. The trading volume of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds increased by more than 100 billion yuan [59]. 3.4.2 Trading Liquidity - The turnover rates of urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds all decreased. For urban investment bonds, the turnover rate of bonds with a term of less than 1 year decreased the most; for industrial bonds, the turnover rates of bonds with terms of less than 1 year, 1 - 3 years, and more than 10 years decreased; for financial bonds, the turnover rates of bonds with terms of 3 - 5 years and 5 - 7 years decreased, while others increased [61]. 3.4.3 Spread Tracking - Except for a slight 1bp widening of the 10 - year AAA - rated urban investment bonds, the spreads of other urban investment bonds narrowed. The 7 - year bonds had the largest narrowing amplitude, up to 10bp [68]. - Except for the widening of the spread of AAA - rated automobile industry in industrial bonds, the spreads of other industries narrowed. The average narrowing amplitude of AAA - rated industrial bonds was slightly smaller than that of AA - rated ones [73]. - The spreads of bank secondary capital bonds and perpetual bonds mostly narrowed, and the spreads of securities firm sub - bonds and insurance sub - bonds also mostly narrowed [74][75]. 3.5 Weekly Hot Bonds Overview - The top 20 urban investment bonds, industrial bonds, and financial bonds in terms of liquidity scores were selected for investors' reference [78]. 3.6 Credit Rating Adjustment Review - According to domestic rating agencies, there were no bond rating adjustments last week [83].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **Chinese banking wealth management market** and its performance in Q3 2025, highlighting significant growth trends and challenges faced by the sector [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Size and Growth**: By the end of Q3 2025, the total scale of the Chinese banking wealth management market reached **32.13 trillion yuan**, with an increase of **1.46 trillion yuan** in Q3 alone, indicating a seasonal growth that surpasses previous years [2][9]. - **Product Performance**: - **Fixed Income Products**: The scale of fixed income wealth management products grew from **26.8 trillion yuan** at the end of 2021 to **31.2 trillion yuan** by Q3 2025. Excluding cash management products, fixed income products increased from **17-18 trillion yuan** to **24 trillion yuan** [3][4]. - **Mixed Products**: Mixed wealth management products experienced significant volatility, dropping from over **2 trillion yuan** in 2021 to **0.83 trillion yuan** in Q3 2025, but have shown slight recovery with the stock market's improvement [4]. - **Investment Allocation**: In Q3 2025, a substantial portion of banking wealth management funds was allocated to deposits, increasing by **1.26 trillion yuan** and accounting for **27.5%** of total funds. Conversely, bond investments decreased from **56.8%** to **40.4%** [5][8]. - **Public Fund Holdings**: The scale of public funds held by banks was **1.34 trillion yuan**, a decrease of **46 billion yuan** from the previous half-year, with equity asset allocation dropping from **2.4%** to **2.1%** [6]. Challenges and Recommendations - **Yield Improvement**: The primary challenge for banking wealth management is to enhance yields in a low-interest environment, where over **40%** of funds are allocated to low-yield assets. Recommendations include increasing allocations to credit bonds with a remaining term of around **3 years** and adjusting credit ratings [8][9]. - **Market Impact of US-China Relations**: The easing of US-China trade relations is expected to have limited impact on the Chinese bond market, with domestic economic fundamentals being the key determinant. The focus should remain on short-term interest rate trends and potential policy changes [7][12]. Future Outlook - **Growth Projections**: The banking wealth management market is projected to reach **33 trillion yuan** by the end of 2025, with further growth to **36 trillion yuan** anticipated in 2026, which will increase the demand for credit bonds with shorter maturities [9][10]. - **Monetary Policy Expectations**: A continuation of moderately loose monetary policy is expected in 2026, including potential rate cuts, which will create favorable conditions for government bonds, particularly in December [13][14]. Additional Considerations - **Impact of Domestic Demand**: The current state of insufficient domestic demand is putting pressure on various industries, including home appliances and automobiles, leading to price reductions to maintain sales. This trend is expected to challenge overall economic growth and inflation levels [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent technological advancements in the banking wealth management sector, particularly focusing on optimizing liquidity and enhancing user experience through innovative features like early fund availability and extended transaction times [1][5]. Group 1: Technological Innovations - Several banks have introduced a feature allowing funds to be credited before 8 AM on redemption days, significantly improving liquidity for investors, especially small business owners [1]. - The evolution of the clearing system from manual processes to fully automated systems has enabled these innovations, demonstrating the technological capabilities of wealth management companies [1][5]. - The introduction of the "Wealth Management Night Market" allows for 24-hour effective subscription and redemption, enhancing the user experience by enabling transactions outside traditional hours [2][3][4]. Group 2: User Experience Enhancements - The extended transaction window allows investors to make purchases and redemptions after traditional cut-off times, ensuring they do not miss out on potential earnings during weekends and holidays [3][4]. - The "Wealth Management Night Market" has gained traction, with significant participation from various wealth management companies, leading to a cumulative product scale of nearly 800 billion yuan and serving over 30 million customers [5][4]. - The focus on user experience through these innovations reflects a broader trend in the industry towards leveraging technology to meet investor needs [6].

Core Insights - The banking wealth management industry is actively seeking overseas asset allocation to address the challenges posed by a low interest rate environment, as domestic fixed-income product performance benchmarks have dropped from over 4% at the end of 2021 to approximately 2.4% [1][3] Group 1: Low Interest Rate Environment - The one-year fixed deposit rate has fallen below 1% for the first time this year, while the three-year fixed deposit rate has entered the "1" era, indicating a significant decline in interest rates [3] - Various fixed-income asset yields are at historical lows, with the 10-year government bond yield slightly rising but still at a low level compared to historical data [3] Group 2: Cross-Border Investment - Cross-border investment is viewed as a crucial strategy for enhancing product yields in a low interest rate environment, providing diversified options for wealth management products [4] - Multiple channels for cross-border investment include mutual recognition funds, QDII funds, bond connect, and Hong Kong stock connect, allowing for a broader selection of high-cost performance investment targets [4][5] Group 3: Asset Allocation Strategies - The industry is shifting from a primarily fixed-income asset allocation structure to a multi-asset and multi-strategy approach to mitigate risks and enhance returns [3][4] - Companies are expanding asset categories to include low-correlation assets such as gold, options, REITs, and cross-border assets to reduce product net value volatility and achieve absolute returns [5][8] Group 4: Changing Wealth Structure - The total savings of Chinese residents increased from 93 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to 162 trillion yuan by June 2025, with per capita savings exceeding 115,000 yuan [7] - The proportion of real estate in residents' wealth has decreased from 54.6% in 2020 to 48.7% in 2024, while financial assets have increased to 47.6% [7] Group 5: Industry Trends and Challenges - The traditional profit model of relying on "interest income + leverage" is becoming unsustainable, prompting a need for innovation and research in technology to capture excess returns [8] - The banking wealth management industry has surpassed 32 trillion yuan in scale, with a focus on differentiated positioning and strategy-driven asset management to enhance product performance stability [8][9]

Core Insights - The banking wealth management industry has surpassed 32 trillion yuan, reaching 32.1 trillion yuan by the end of September 2023, with a significant increase of approximately 1.4 trillion yuan in the third quarter compared to the end of June 2023 [1][2] - The growth in the banking wealth management scale was characterized by a "rise and then fall" pattern, with a notable increase of 2 trillion yuan in July, followed by a decrease of 850 billion yuan in September due to seasonal factors and increased cash demand before the National Day holiday [1][3] - The decline in September was temporary, and it is expected that the scale will recover in October as the pressure from quarterly assessments eases and liquidity demand decreases after the holidays [2][3] Industry Trends - Fixed-income products dominate the banking wealth management market, accounting for over 95% of the total product scale, as they offer stable returns that align with the risk tolerance of most investors [3][4] - The average annualized yield for closed-end fixed-income wealth management products decreased in the third quarter of 2023, with a near one-month yield of 2.30% and a near three-month yield of 2.73%, reflecting a downward trend in interest rates [4] - The "fixed-income plus" products are gaining popularity among investors seeking higher returns, combining stable fixed-income assets with riskier assets like stocks or convertible bonds [4][5] Future Projections - The growth of "fixed-income plus" products is expected to continue, with an anticipated increase in scale exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan for the year, contributing to an overall wealth management scale projected to surpass 33.5 trillion yuan [5][6]

Core Insights - The low interest rate environment presents new opportunities for the wealth management industry to develop high-quality products and services [3] - There is an increasing demand for asset management from both residents and enterprises, leading to a broader client base and diversified risk preferences and return goals [3] - The traditional reliance on bond and cash assets, which account for approximately 80% of the investment in wealth management products, is facing challenges due to declining yields [3][4] Group 1 - The performance benchmark for newly issued fixed-income wealth management products has decreased from over 4% at the end of 2021 to around 2.4% as of the end of September this year, indicating a need for enhanced diversification in investment strategies [3] - The impact of asset price volatility on product net values will become more pronounced in a low interest rate environment, necessitating preparedness for potential interest rate rebounds [4] Group 2 - Future investment and innovation strategies for wealth management companies should focus on integrating technology in finance and collaborating with pension finance [4] - Expanding cross-border investments is seen as a crucial strategy for enhancing returns on wealth management products in a low interest rate environment [4]