Group 1 - The Thai government is implementing measures to boost the economy in response to the potential impact of U.S. tariffs, including extending corporate income tax exemptions for SMEs from 3 to 5 years and increasing the exemption amount to 100% of the investment amount [1][2] - A total investment plan of 99.7 billion Thai Baht (approximately 21.76 billion RMB) has been approved for data centers and renewable energy, with strict requirements for foreign investments to ensure they bring high technology to Thailand [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has lowered Thailand's economic growth forecast for the year to 1.8% due to the impact of U.S. tariffs, emphasizing the need for Thailand to diversify trade and restructure its economy [2] Group 2 - Thailand is actively strengthening economic cooperation with other ASEAN countries, including elevating its relationship with Vietnam to a comprehensive strategic partnership and aiming to increase bilateral trade from over 20 billion USD to 25 billion USD [3] - The Thai government is also collaborating with Indonesia to promote ASEAN economic integration and address global geopolitical and economic uncertainties, with bilateral trade currently at 18 billion USD [3]

当前，国际形势变乱交织，单边主义、保护主义逆流涌动，对国际经贸秩序造成严重冲击。我国外贸企 业出口承压，出口转内销成为不少企业解决当前困难的重要选择。促进出口转内销的重要意义体现在哪 些方面？企业在出口转内销过程中有哪些堵点、难点？各方如何综合发力助企业"两条腿"走路？记者连 线专家学者进行探讨。 董超：当前我国企业出口环境复杂严峻，出口转内销成为应对当前国际经贸形势、缓解外贸企业压力的 重要措施。 ——编者 对话嘉宾： 桑百川对外经济贸易大学中国开放经济理论研究院院长 董超商务部研究院流通与消费研究所所长 郭迎锋中国国际经济交流中心副研究员 出口转内销举措的重要意义体现在哪些方面？ 郭迎锋：推动内外贸一体化发展，是我国构建新发展格局的战略选择。通过激活内需、升级产业、搭建 内外循环的"连接器"，内外贸一体化发展正在提升中国经济的内生动力与全球竞争力。未来，随着市场 一体化发展、制度衔接和产业融合，"内外兼修"将成为我国高质量发展的一个显著特征。 出口转内销是我国外贸企业抵御外部冲击的关键手段，我国超大规模市场的战略纵深为外贸企业的出口 转内销提供了有效的转型缓冲。例如，我国电商平台正利用大数据、人工智能等技 ...

稀土（资料图） 美国商务部（资料图） 为了防止美国反悔或者耍滑，中方重申了一个关键问题。据商务部网站显示，10部门和7省份在湖南省长沙市召开了加强战略矿产出口全链条管控工作部署 会。而在这之前中方已经注意到稀有金属的"走私问题"，因此采取了一些措施，此次工作会更是一次统一战线，严防死守战略矿产安全的会议。虽然现在中 美通过谈判相互取消了大幅关税，但是美国依旧没有就某些问题低头认错，那么在这之前，中方一定不会放宽稀有金属和战略矿产资源的管控。 同时可以看到，在联合声明中，无论中方版本还是美方版本，都重复使用了"相互开放""继续沟通""合作""相互尊重"等词汇。这样的表述不仅体现了语言上 的对等，也意味着双方在经贸问题上的某种认知趋同。不难看出，这次焦点表面是关税问题，但实际上，根本矛盾仍是美国不愿接受中国的发展速度——中 国始终主张合作共赢，而美方过去的做法则更多是通过极限施压来压制中国，这种做法已经无法适应当前全球经济发展的现实。 据台海网报道，在中美将大幅暂缓对彼此商品加征的关税之际，美国《华尔街日报》12日刊发社论"特朗普关税大撤退"，直言美国总统挑起的贸易战已经失 败，与中国达成的协议更像是特朗普的投降 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the resilience and positive momentum of China's economy, particularly driven by major economic provinces that contribute significantly to the national GDP [1][3] - In the first quarter, major economic provinces such as Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Henan achieved a total GDP of 194,965.94 billion yuan, accounting for over 60% of the national total [1] - The industrial sector showed strong performance, with all 31 provinces reporting growth in industrial added value, and several major provinces exceeding an 8% growth rate [1][2] Group 2 - New production capabilities are emerging, with provinces like Henan reporting a technical contract transaction value of 69.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 160% [2] - Major economic provinces are actively integrating technological and industrial innovation, enhancing economic structure, and boosting productivity [2] - Policies aimed at stimulating consumption have been implemented, leading to a national retail sales total of 124,671 billion yuan in the first quarter, a year-on-year growth of 4.6% [2] Group 3 - Major economic provinces are adapting to external trade challenges by upgrading product structures and adjusting overseas market strategies [2] - In the first quarter, the combined import and export value of seven provinces, including Guangdong and Jiangsu, reached 77.8 trillion yuan, showing a continuous growth trend [2] - The articles emphasize the need for major economic provinces to continue leading and adapting to global changes to drive high-quality national economic development [3]

Group 1 - The recent adjustment in tariffs between China and the U.S. includes the cancellation of 91% of retaliatory tariffs and a 90-day suspension of 24% tariffs, retaining only a 10% base tariff [1][4][6] - Following the tariff reduction, there has been a significant surge in container orders from China to the U.S., with reports indicating an increase of nearly 300% in shipping orders within days of the tariff changes [3][4][6] - Despite the increase in orders, the overall trade relationship remains uncertain, as the 90-day suspension is temporary and does not address the structural tensions in U.S.-China trade [3][4][9] Group 2 - Data from Chinese ports shows a nearly 280% month-on-month increase in container shipments to the U.S. since mid-May, indicating a rush among exporters to capitalize on the temporary tariff relief [4][6] - U.S. importers are responding quickly to the tariff changes, with many companies reporting a surge in inquiries and orders from American clients [6][9] - However, U.S. exports to China, particularly in pork and beef, continue to face high tariffs, limiting the benefits of the tariff suspension for American farmers [7]

Group 1 - The recent reduction in tariffs between China and the U.S. has significantly revitalized the trade market, with the U.S. canceling 91% of additional tariffs and China reciprocating with a similar reduction [1][5] - Following the tariff cuts, there has been a surge in orders from U.S. clients, with container bookings from China to the U.S. increasing nearly 300% [2][8] - U.S. importers are taking proactive measures by increasing order volumes and stockpiling inventory in anticipation of potential future tariff changes [3][11] Group 2 - The logistics market is experiencing a chaotic pricing environment, with shipping costs expected to rise due to increased demand and limited shipping capacity [9][10] - Companies are optimizing production processes to meet the surge in orders and are prioritizing shipments to avoid delays during peak demand periods [9][15] - The long-term strategy for companies includes diversifying markets and enhancing brand presence to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single market [17][18]

Economic Performance - In Q1 2025, China's GDP reached 31.8758 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.2%[3] - The industrial added value grew by 6.5% year-on-year, while the service sector's added value increased by 5.3%[4] - Fixed asset investment rose by 4.2% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment growing by 5.8%[16][20] Trade and Exports - Total goods trade in Q1 2025 was 10.3 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, with exports at 6.13 trillion yuan, up 6.9%[28] - The export of mechanical and electrical products reached 5.29 trillion yuan, growing by 7.7%[28] - The share of domestic brand exports increased to 22.8%, reflecting a 10.2% growth in this segment[28] Price Stability - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with food prices dropping by 1.5%[31] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 2.3% year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in the decline compared to previous quarters[33] Employment and Fiscal Policy - The urban survey unemployment rate averaged 5.3% in Q1 2025, showing stability in the job market[38] - National general public budget revenue was 6.0 trillion yuan, down 1.1% year-on-year, while expenditures increased by 4.2% to 7.3 trillion yuan[40]

Group 1 - The "Five Five Shopping Festival" in Shanghai featured an Anhui special event, showcasing over 30 foreign trade enterprises with products including clothing, bags, and cosmetics [1] - Consumers showed interest in affordable and novel products, with sales reaching nearly 1,000 yuan at some stalls [1] - Anhui Craft Trade Import and Export Co., Ltd. exports 85% of its revenue to markets in Europe, America, and ASEAN, emphasizing the need to adapt to domestic market standards and consumer preferences [1] Group 2 - Multiple foreign trade companies plan to continue participating in such events to expand sales channels and improve domestic market presence [2] - The Anhui Provincial Department of Commerce is focusing on integrating domestic and foreign trade, providing policy support for foreign trade enterprises [2] - A matchmaking event facilitated connections between 18 large e-commerce platforms and over 370 domestic and foreign trade enterprises [2] Group 3 - Support for foreign trade products to enter various retail channels, including supermarkets and e-commerce platforms, has been established, with significant sales reported [2] - Efforts are underway to align domestic and international standards, with a goal of supporting the development of over 120 standards by 2025 [2]

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 18 日 ► 2025 年 618 大促全面启动，补贴加码激活消费市场 根据中国网电商中国公众号报道，2025 年"618"年中大促于 5 月 13 日正式拉开帷幕，各大电商平台以"规则简化、补贴 加码、体验升级"为核心策略，提前布局抢占市场。天猫、 京东、唯品会等平台率先启动预售，通过直降立减、现货销 售等创新模式吸引消费者，同时强化物流与售后服务，推动 消费市场回暖。根据 5 月 14 日天猫大美妆公布的天猫美妆抢 先购预售 4 小时 TOP20 排行榜来看，国货品牌延续良好的增长 势头，珀莱雅稳居第一，可复美跃升至第三名，薇诺娜、毛 戈平均上榜。建议关注优秀电商品牌的增长势能，相关受益 标的包括巨子生物、珀莱雅、毛戈平、若羽臣、南极电商 等。 投资建议 [Table_Title] 中美日内瓦会谈达成积极共识，618 大促全面 启动 [Table_Title2] 社服零售行业周报 [Table_Summary] ► 中美日内瓦会谈达成积极共识，出口链预期修复 根据央视新闻公众号，当地时间 5 月 12 日上午 9：00，双方 发 ...

本报记者 田鹏 5月17日上午，2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在广东省深圳市盛大开幕。本届论坛以"共享未来：构建开放包容的经济与金 融体系"为主题，近百位中外高级别政经领袖、重磅专家学者齐聚深圳，聚焦全球货币体系、国际贸易与投资、全球经济碎片 化挑战等热点议题，展开深入研讨与思想碰撞，为全球经济金融发展探寻新路径、注入新智慧。 论坛期间，清华大学国家金融研究院院长、清华大学五道口金融学院副院长田轩就外资布局与投资策略的双向驱动和国内 循环的深层改革与内需激活两大话题，接受《证券日报》记者采访，结合当前经济形势与政策导向，分享了对中国经济高质量 发展的深刻洞察。 外资布局与投资策略的双向驱动 当前，全球经济格局复杂多变，经济全球化遭遇逆流，全球经济碎片化倾向冲击经济增长动能，给经济复苏增添不确定 性。在此背景下，中国资产该如何破局应对？ "中国市场依然保持开放姿态，始终欢迎外商来华投资，也期待更多外资进入中国金融市场"，田轩表示，客观而言，"金 钱永不眠"，资本永远流向能带来最高回报的地方。中国资本市场企业估值相对较低，且具备诸多独特优势。例如，中国拥有 超大规模市场、人力资本储备丰富。此外，我国正推行制度型开 ...