Core Insights - The global PX production capacity is rapidly shifting towards Asia, particularly China, which now accounts for over 90% of the new capacity added globally, solidifying its position as the world's PX production center [2][3] - By 2024, East Asia's PX capacity will represent 69.3% of the global total, with Southeast Asia contributing an additional 9.2%, leading to nearly 80% of global capacity being concentrated in Asia [2] - China's PX capacity reached 43.73 million tons by the end of 2023, with projections indicating it could approach 47 million tons by 2026, representing about 55% of global capacity [2] Industry Dynamics - The PX market is undergoing a profound transformation due to the rapid expansion of production capacity and relatively weak demand, particularly in the downstream PTA sector, which is experiencing oversupply [4][6] - The processing fee for PTA has dropped to a 10-year low, leading to reduced demand for PX and a price correction in the PX market [4][6] - The PX price (CFR China) averaged $831.1 per ton from early 2025 to November 25, reflecting a decline of 15.06% year-on-year compared to 2024 and a 20.25% drop compared to 2023 [6] Future Outlook - The global PX market is expected to seek rebalancing as PTA capacity expansion slows, leading to a shift in profits towards upstream raw materials like PX [7] - The competitive landscape in the polyester supply chain will intensify, with companies needing to enhance their "refining and chemical integration" models to maintain an edge [10] - China's role as a net exporter of PX is becoming more pronounced, with a structural shift in trade patterns as domestic production increases [8][10] Trade Patterns - Historically, PX trade in Asia involved exports from traditional producers like South Korea and Japan to China, but this trend is changing as China moves towards becoming a net exporter [8] - In the first ten months of 2025, China's PX imports reached 7.8569 million tons, a 3.85% increase from 2024, indicating a shift from reliance on imports to meeting marginal demand from new PTA capacity [8][10]

Group 1 - Over 20 positive announcements were released by companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange as of November 23, indicating a trend of share buybacks and operational improvements [1] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) completed its share buyback plan, repurchasing 89.35 million shares for approximately 500 million yuan, with a significant portion occurring in November [2] - Several companies, including Spring Airlines and Hongta Securities, have also announced their share buyback progress, with amounts reaching 400 million yuan and 120 million yuan respectively [2] Group 2 - At least 14 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board reported buyback progress and positive contract orders, showcasing a commitment to shareholder value [3] - JinkoSolar announced the mass production of its Tiger Neo 3.0 solar module, achieving a production efficiency of over 24.8% and a power output of up to 670W, with significant orders signed [3] - Shanshi Network Technology reported progress in the development of its ASIC security chip, which has successfully passed internal testing and is entering the mass production phase, with market sales expected to begin in Q1 2026 [4][5]

Core Insights - The registered capital of China National Offshore Oil Corporation Shell Petrochemical Co., Ltd. increased from approximately 27.68 billion RMB to about 28.73 billion RMB, representing a growth of around 4% [1] Company Overview - The company was established in December 2000 and is legally represented by Liu Jianzhong [1] - Its business scope includes the construction and operation of joint factories and infrastructure projects, production of ethylene and related petrochemical products, food additives, catalysts, petroleum products, and auxiliary products, as well as the production, sales, procurement, and storage of public utility products [1] Shareholder Information - The company is jointly held by China National Offshore Oil Corporation Investment Co., Ltd. and Shell South China Private Limited [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, the high - sulfur cracking in Singapore accelerated to weaken, the monthly spread ran at a historical low, the basis weakened and then oscillated at a historical low, the 380 basis weakened and then rebounded on Friday, and the European HSFO cracking declined rapidly. The EW continued to strengthen this week. The 0.5% cracking in Singapore oscillated and weakened this week, the monthly spread oscillated and weakened, and the basis strengthened slightly [5]. - In terms of inventory, global residue inventory increased, Singapore residue inventory decreased, high - sulfur floating storage increased significantly, ARA residue inventory increased, Fujairah residue inventory decreased slightly, high - sulfur floating storage decreased slightly, and EIA residue inventory increased [6]. - With the strengthening of the expectation of Russia - Ukraine peace talks, the prices of external gasoline and diesel dropped significantly, and the price difference between low - sulfur fuel oil and diesel rebounded this week. After the Al Zour refinery shut down due to a fire on October 21st, the Singapore basis started to rebound recently [6]. - As global residue enters the inventory - building cycle, the external cracking is expected to be supported by the decline in crude oil prices, showing a short - term oscillating pattern. For FU01, maintain a high - shorting idea at home and abroad, and consider laying out 1 - 2 reverse spreads. The short - term downward space for low - sulfur fuel oil is limited [6]. 3. Key Data Summaries Rotterdam Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | 354.27 | 342.52 | 345.95 | 339.09 | 348.04 | 8.95 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | 401.58 | 392.05 | 393.07 | 385.63 | 392.49 | 6.86 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | -7.11 | -7.70 | -7.70 | -8.01 | -7.60 | 0.41 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | 705.27 | 674.04 | 663.55 | 648.85 | 645.56 | -3.29 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -303.69 | -281.99 | -270.48 | -263.22 | -253.07 | 10.15 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 31.62 | 28.61 | 26.56 | 25.67 | 24.29 | -1.38 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | 47.31 | 49.53 | 47.12 | 46.54 | 44.45 | -2.09 | [3] Singapore Fuel Oil Data | Type | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 352.24 | 348.23 | 346.75 | 345.55 | 345.29 | -0.26 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | 354.70 | 352.69 | 353.32 | 352.99 | 354.79 | 1.80 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | 437.80 | 427.47 | 423.30 | 423.05 | 416.41 | -6.64 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | 94.36 | 88.67 | 86.75 | 86.59 | 84.50 | -2.09 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | -7.92 | -7.06 | -6.96 | -7.95 | -8.03 | -0.08 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | -260.46 | -228.69 | -218.65 | -217.72 | -208.89 | 8.83 | [3][9] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Type | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 345.42 | 343.36 | 344.02 | 342.03 | 336.87 | -5.16 | | FOB VLSFO | 438.34 | 427.46 | 423.62 | 422.33 | 416.44 | -5.89 | | 380 Basis | -5.25 | -4.55 | -4.00 | -3.25 | -3.45 | -0.20 | | High - Sulfur Internal - External Spread | 4.5 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 3.9 | -1.3 | | Low - Sulfur Internal - External Spread | 5.8 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 1.3 | [4] Domestic FU Data | Type | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU 01 | 2517 | 2502 | 2512 | 2491 | 2467 | -24 | | FU 05 | 2565 | 2539 | 2554 | 2538 | 2516 | -22 | | FU 09 | 2541 | 2513 | 2520 | 2516 | 2494 | -22 | | FU 01 - 05 | -48 | -37 | -42 | -47 | -49 | -2 | | FU 05 - 09 | 24 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 22 | 0 | | FU 09 - 01 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 2 | [4] Domestic LU Data | Type | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/21 | 2025/11/24 | 2025/11/25 | 2025/11/26 | Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 3139 | 3078 | 3041 | 3015 | 3023 | 8 | | LU 05 | 3145 | 3085 | 3068 | 3055 | 3023 | -32 | | LU 09 | 3160 | 3119 | 3108 | 3095 | 3073 | -22 | | LU 01 - 05 | -6 | -7 | -27 | -40 | 0 | 40 | | LU 05 - 09 | -15 | -34 | -40 | -40 | -50 | -10 | | LU 09 - 01 | 21 | 41 | 67 | 80 | 50 | -30 | [5]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Crude Oil: Cautiously bearish [1] - LPG: Cautiously bearish [1] - L: Bearish continuation [1] - PP: Bearish continuation [1] - PVC: Bearish consolidation [1] - PX/PTA: Cautiously bullish [3] - Ethylene Glycol: Cautiously bearish [3] - Methanol: Bullish [3] - Urea: Cautiously bearish [3] - Natural Gas: Cautiously bearish [6] - Asphalt: Cautiously bearish [6] - Glass: Bearish rebound [6] - Soda Ash: Bearish consolidation [6] Report's Core Views - The market is affected by geopolitical factors such as the easing of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the prices of most energy and chemical products are under pressure. The supply and demand fundamentals of each product vary, and investors should pay attention to relevant factors and adopt corresponding strategies [1][3][6]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Crude Oil - **Market Performance**: Overnight international oil prices rebounded, with WTI rising 1.21%, Brent rising 1.20%, and SC falling 1.03% [7][8]. - **Basic Logic**: The core driver is the oversupply of crude oil in the off - season, and the short - term driver is the easing of the Russia - Ukraine conflict [9]. - **Fundamentals**: As of the week of November 26, the number of US oil rigs decreased, and Mexico's oil production declined. OPEC expects an increase in global oil demand in 2025 and 2026. US crude oil inventories increased [10]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: For the medium - to - long - term, OPEC+ is expanding production, and the oil price is in a low - price range. Technically, the short - term rebound is weak. Partially close short positions. Pay attention to the range of SC at [440 - 450] [11]. LPG - **Market Performance**: On November 26, the PG main contract closed at 4259 yuan/ton, up 0.66% [12]. - **Basic Logic**: The price is anchored to the cost of crude oil, with the cost side bearish and the demand side having some resilience. The basis is high, and the price is under pressure [13]. - **Fundamentals**: Supply decreased slightly, demand from downstream chemical industries was relatively stable, and inventories increased [13]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: In the medium - to - long - term, the supply of upstream crude oil exceeds demand, and the price of LPG still has room to decline. Technically, the short - term rebound is under pressure. Do not chase the rise, and go short on rebounds. Pay attention to the range of PG at [4200 - 4300] [14]. L - **Market Performance**: The L01 contract closed at 6707 yuan/ton, down 0.8% [17]. - **Basic Logic**: The chemical sector rebounded, but the supply was under pressure, the demand was weak, and the cost support was insufficient [19]. - **Fundamentals**: Domestic production increased seasonally, the downstream start - up rate decreased, and the oil price was expected to decline in the medium term [19]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Short - term, reduce short positions. Medium - to - long - term, wait for rebounds to go short. Pay attention to the range of L at [6750 - 6850] [19]. PP - **Market Performance**: The PP01 contract closed at 6265 yuan/ton, down 0.8% [21]. - **Basic Logic**: The fundamentals followed the cost side, with high inventory, weak demand, and the oil price still facing downward pressure [23]. - **Fundamentals**: The upstream and mid - stream inventories were high, the devices were restarting, and the external and internal demand was insufficient [23]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: At the low price level, reduce short positions in the short - term. Medium - to - long - term, wait for rebounds to go short. Pay attention to the range of PP at [6350 - 6500] [23]. PVC - **Market Performance**: The V01 contract closed at 4491 yuan/ton, down 0.1% [24]. - **Basic Logic**: The basis was repaired, the social inventory was high, the upward drive was insufficient, but the low valuation provided support [26]. - **Fundamentals**: The anti - dumping was unlikely to be implemented, and the export orders increased. The trading returned to the weak fundamentals [26]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: The market maintained a high premium. Industries should hedge at high prices. Be cautious about short - selling and wait for bullish drivers. Pay attention to the range of V at [4400 - 4550] [26]. PX/PTA - **Market Performance**: The TA05 contract closed at 4710 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan/ton [27]. - **Basic Logic**: The supply pressure was relieved, the demand was relatively good, but the cost was under pressure, and there was a risk of inventory accumulation in December [28]. - **Fundamentals**: Some devices were under maintenance, the downstream polyester and weaving start - up rates were high, and the PX price might follow the decline of crude oil [28]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: The valuation and processing fees were not high. Pay attention to the opportunity to go long on dips. Pay attention to the range of TA at [4650 - 4725] [28]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Performance**: The EG05 contract closed at 3808 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan/ton [29]. - **Basic Logic**: The domestic start - up rate decreased, the new devices were put into production, the supply pressure increased, and the demand was relatively good but the orders were weakening [30]. - **Fundamentals**: The domestic and overseas device status changed, the inventory increased slightly, and the cost was under pressure [30]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Pay attention to the opportunity to go short on rebounds. Pay attention to the range of EG at [3880 - 3930] [31]. Methanol - **Market Performance**: The main contract position decreased slightly [34]. - **Basic Logic**: The spot price in Taicang stabilized, the port basis strengthened, the inventory decreased but was still at a high level. The supply pressure was large, the demand improved, and the cost support was weak [34]. - **Fundamentals**: Domestic devices increased production, overseas devices maintained stability, downstream demand improved, and the inventory decreased [35]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Close short positions at the low - valuation level. Pay attention to the opportunity to go long on the 05 contract on dips [34]. Urea - **Market Performance**: The UR01 contract closed at 1654 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan/ton [37]. - **Basic Logic**: The supply pressure remained, the demand was mixed, the social inventory was high, and the export had been priced in. Be vigilant about the downward risk [38]. - **Fundamentals**: The supply was high, the domestic demand was weak before the year, the export was good, the inventory decreased slightly, and the cost was supported [39]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: The fundamentals are weak. Pay attention to the opportunity to go short on rebounds. Pay attention to the range of UR at [1625 - 1655] [40]. Natural Gas - **Market Performance**: On November 25, the NG main contract closed at 4.481 US dollars per million British thermal units, down 4.09% [43]. - **Basic Logic**: The easing of the Russia - Ukraine conflict led to concerns about the return of Russian gas, putting pressure on the gas price. The demand entered the peak season, providing some support [44]. - **Fundamentals**: The number of US natural gas drilling platforms increased, China's natural gas production increased, and US natural gas inventories decreased [44]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: The demand is supported in the peak season, but the supply is sufficient, and the gas price is under pressure. Pay attention to the range of NG at [4.565 - 4.800] [45]. Asphalt - **Market Performance**: On November 26, the BU main contract closed at 3043 yuan/ton, up 0.81% [47]. - **Basic Logic**: The price is mainly anchored to crude oil. Affected by the easing of the Russia - Ukraine conflict and South American geopolitics, there is still room for price compression [48]. - **Fundamentals**: The production plan decreased in December, the demand increased slightly, and the inventory decreased [48]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: The valuation is returning to normal, the supply is sufficient, and the demand is in the off - season. Hold short positions. Pay attention to the range of BU at [2950 - 3050] [49]. Glass - **Market Performance**: The FG01 contract closed at 1037 yuan/ton, up 2.3% [51]. - **Basic Logic**: The cold - repair expectation provides support, but the supply is difficult to decline further, and the demand is weak [53]. - **Fundamentals**: The daily melting volume remained stable, the real - estate market was weak, and the deep - processing orders were at a low level [53]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Close short positions in the short - term. Medium - to - long - term, go short on rebounds. Pay attention to the range of FG at [990 - 1040] [53]. Soda Ash - **Market Performance**: The SA01 contract closed at 1173 yuan/ton, down 0.8% [55]. - **Basic Logic**: The demand weakened, the supply was in a loose pattern in the medium - to - long - term, and the market was in a bearish consolidation [54]. - **Fundamentals**: Some devices were under maintenance or reduced production, the demand from the glass industry decreased, and the inventory was high [55]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: Hold short positions on the 01 alkali - glass spread. Be cautious about short - selling at the low price level. Medium - to - long - term, go short on rebounds [55].

Report Summary 1. Market Data - **Daily Changes (Wednesday)**: In the civil gas market, prices in East China remained at 4310 (+0), in Shandong increased to 4460 (+30), and in South China stayed at 4330 (+0). The price of ether - post carbon four was 4470 (+0). The lowest delivery location was East China, with a basis of 29 (-81) and a 01 - 02 month - spread of 87 (+10). FEI was 516.6 (+12.1) and CP was 492.16 (+5.66) dollars per ton [1]. - **Weekly Changes**: The PG futures price declined. The basis was - 43 (-57), and the 01 - 02 month - spread was 109 (-19). Domestic civil gas prices decreased. The cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas at 4315 (-49), and the propane - civil gas price difference narrowed. There were 4561 (-54) warehouse receipts. Off - exchange paper prices dropped, the month - spread strengthened, and the North Asian - North American oil - gas price ratio changed slightly. The domestic - foreign PG - CP was 126 (-2); PG - FEI was 114 (+3). The East China arrival, North American, and AFEI offshore discounts remained flat, while the Middle East supply was tight with a discount of 35 dollars (+13). Freight rates decreased slightly. The FEI - MOPJ spread narrowed to - 55 (+11). The profit of Shandong PDH to produce propylene improved slightly; the alkylation unit improved slightly but was still poor; the MTBE production profit fluctuated, and the export profit was still good. The arrival volume increased, the external release decreased, factory inventories increased slightly, and port inventories increased. The PDH operating rate was 69.64% (-2.1), and the second - phase PDH of Dongguan Juzhengyuan was expected to restart next week [1]. 2. Core View - The domestic chemical demand is relatively strong, and civil demand is increasing, but there is an expected high arrival volume in December. The Middle East supply is tight, but as the CP official price announcement approaches, the market may be more inclined to wait - and - see. Additionally, weather and oil price conditions need to be monitored [1].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the strategic transformation of Dongming County towards a green, low-carbon, and energy-saving chemical industry, focusing on high-end chemical upgrades through a three-step strategy [1] Group 1: Industry Transformation - Dongming County aims to enhance its industrial "green content" to improve its economic "gold content," leading to a significant upgrade in chemical industry processes and the establishment of a high-end chemical industry with technological leadership and distinctive features [1] - The county is set to have over 40 high-end chemical enterprises by 2024, generating revenues exceeding 140 billion, which will account for over 60% of the revenue from chemical enterprises in Heze City [2] Group 2: Project Development - The "project-oriented" approach is being adopted to drive green, low-carbon, and high-quality development in the petrochemical industry, with key projects like the UPC technology trial and olefin new material demonstration project being prioritized [3] - The integration of a 15 million-ton refining and chemical project into national planning is expected to create an industrial cluster with an output value exceeding 300 billion and tax revenue surpassing 60 billion [3] Group 3: Supply Chain and Industry Chain - The focus is on building, extending, and strengthening the industrial chain in line with national petrochemical transformation and provincial green development goals, targeting four main chains: petroleum chemistry, petrochemical deep processing, fine chemicals, and new chemical materials [4] - The cultivation of 60 new material enterprises is anticipated, with over 60,000 tons of polypropylene and polyethylene being locally converted annually, achieving a comprehensive industrial chain breakthrough from "a drop of oil" to "a piece of cloth" [4]

Report Information - Report Title: Asphalt Daily Report [1] - Date: November 27, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The oil price has no support, the supply and demand of asphalt are both weak, the basis has significantly narrowed, and the market will mainly move in a volatile manner [6] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Futures Market**: For BU2601, the opening price was 3054 yuan/ton, the closing price was 3043 yuan/ton, the highest was 3068 yuan/ton, the lowest was 3024 yuan/ton, the daily change was -0.56%, and the trading volume was 18.79 million lots. For BU2602, the opening price was 3046 yuan/ton, the closing price was 3037 yuan/ton, the highest was 3060 yuan/ton, the lowest was 3022 yuan/ton, the daily change was -0.78%, and the trading volume was 8.55 million lots [6] - **Spot Market**: The spot price of asphalt in Shandong continued to decline, while prices in other regions remained generally stable. Yangzi Petrochemical has no plan to resume asphalt production after a brief restart. Zhenhai Refining & Chemical, Dongming Petrochemical, and Shengxing Petrochemical all plan to resume asphalt production, and the asphalt plant operating rate is expected to rebound slightly. Cold air has affected most parts of China again, with road demand in the Northeast and Northwest stagnant, but there is still rush - construction demand in Shandong and other regions, and demand is expected to remain stable [6] 2. Industry News - **Shandong Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 70A asphalt was 2960 - 3470 yuan/ton, a decrease of 15 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The supply of asphalt spot resources in the Shandong market is abundant, some refineries are eager to sell contracts to preempt market demand in advance, and the quotes of some brand resources by traders have been lowered, leading to a continued downward trend in prices [7] - **East China Market**: The mainstream transaction price of 70A asphalt was 3200 - 3400 yuan/ton, remaining stable from the previous working day. The demand in the East China market continued to be weak and stable, the social inventory shipments were stable and the inventory decreased, and the overall inventory of refineries also decreased as some refineries had previously shut down. However, the asphalt production of Zhenhai and Jinling was large at the end of the month, the overall market supply was abundant, and the truck - transportation price of the main refinery in Ningbo was lowered today, so the price in the East China market is expected to decline [7] 3. Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including those on South China asphalt spot prices, Shandong asphalt basis, asphalt daily operating rate, Shandong asphalt comprehensive profit, asphalt cracking, asphalt social inventory, asphalt manufacturer inventory, and asphalt warehouse receipts, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][12][14][22]

Group 1 - Southbound funds increased their holdings in Shanghai Petrochemical Company (00338.HK) by 2.058 million shares on November 26, 2025, representing a change of 0.19% [1][2] - Over the past 5 trading days, there were 3 days of net increases in holdings, totaling 6.286 million shares [1][2] - In the last 20 trading days, there were 12 days of net increases, accumulating to 10.022 million shares [1][2] Group 2 - As of now, southbound funds hold 1.074 billion shares of Shanghai Petrochemical Company, accounting for 33.4% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1][2] - The company operates primarily in the petrochemical sector, with three main divisions: refining products, chemical products, and petrochemical product trading [2]

中国石油化工股份回购明细 | 日期 | 回购股数（万股） | 回购最高价（港元） | 回购最低价（港元） | 回购金额（万港元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025.11.26 | 1100.00 | 4.440 | 4.410 | 4863.87 | | 2025.11.25 | 26.60 | 4.370 | 4.370 | 116.24 | | 2025.11.24 | 405.40 | 4.450 | 4.370 | 1778.61 | | 2025.11.21 | 825.00 | 4.560 | 4.420 | 3677.77 | | 2025.11.20 | 800.00 | 4.600 | 4.550 | 3658.40 | | 2025.11.19 | 609.20 | 4.640 | 4.440 | 2775.64 | | 2025.11.18 | 553.20 | 4.480 | 4.420 | 2453.55 | | 2025.11.17 | 378.80 | 4.440 | 4.390 | 1673.84 | | 2025.11.14 | ...