黄黄金金会会突突破破新新高高吗吗？？ 22002255年年66月月99日日--22002255年年66月月1133日日基基金金投投顾顾观观点点 本周A股上涨后回落，债市震荡走强，黄金强势攀升，波动放大主要与中东地区局势骤然升级 有关。具体来看，本周市场有以下几个重要方面： 以色列打击伊朗对全球资产产生震动，周五A股和港股受到影响，均回落，但全周来看市场 整体窄幅震荡。市值风格上，小微盘表现稍逊于大盘风格。行业上，有色金属、石油石化、 农林牧渔行业本周表现较好。成交金额上，沪深两市本周成交金额日均值相比上周明显提 升，小微盘的成交额占比比上周有所回落，但仍处于历史相对高位区间。 02 债市方面，债市方面，本周资金面保持宽松，债市震荡走强，十年国债收益率整体下行。资 金面上，尽管央行小幅回收流动性仍不改资金面延续宽松的格局，对债市较为有利。基本面 上，5月通胀数据同环比仍为负，显示价格改善有待时日，对债市较为有利。消息面上，中 美伦敦会议结束，核心内容为中美原则上达成协议框架，目前债市整体受关税影响边际减 弱，仅受小幅扰动。 海外方面，截至周四美股周度小幅收涨，前半周主要交易中美谈判，随后中东局势冲突升 级，黄金 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively retreated today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.44% to 3384.82 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.86% to 10162.18 points, and the ChiNext Index down 1.17% to 2037.27 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.42 trillion, an increase of 129 billion compared to the previous trading day [2] Company News - Zhongke Shuguang resumed trading with a limit-up, closing at 68.09, a 10% increase, with a total market value of 99.63 billion [4][5] - The merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang, with a transaction value of 1159.67 billion, is significant as it marks the first "child swallowing mother" merger in A-shares and is one of the largest mergers in the domestic AI chip sector [6][7] - Following the merger, Haiguang Information's total market value is expected to exceed 400 billion, potentially making it the highest-valued domestic AI chip and server company in A-shares [7] Industry Trends - The rare earth permanent magnet sector showed strong performance, with stocks like Zhongke Magnetic Industry hitting the limit-up, while other companies in the sector also saw gains [9][10] - The Ministry of Commerce has indicated that it will approve export license applications for rare earths that meet regulations, which could lead to price increases in the domestic market [11][12] - Silver prices surged approximately 9% last week, reaching over $36, driven by multiple factors including a rebound in base metal prices and increased retail demand in China [13][14]

Group 1 - A-shares continued their recent rebound on June 4, with all three major indices opening lower and closing higher, reflecting a broad-based market rally driven by technology and new consumption sectors [1][3] - The surge in Nvidia's stock price, which rose nearly 3% and surpassed Microsoft's market capitalization, strengthened market confidence in the computing power industry chain, leading to significant rebounds in related sectors such as CPO and copper connections [1][3] - The nuclear power sector gained attention following Meta's 20-year nuclear power purchase agreement and Goldman Sachs' prediction of a structural shortage of 130 million pounds of uranium, with stocks like Baile Electric experiencing a seven-day consecutive rise [1][3] Group 2 - The funding landscape showed a structural preference for sectors related to consumer electronics, small metals, and batteries, indicating a market inclination towards high-growth areas benefiting from technological iteration and energy transition [2] - Traditional industries such as chemical pharmaceuticals and banking experienced significant capital outflows, influenced by industry fundamentals and market style shifts, while the securities sector saw a net inflow of 722 million yuan, suggesting increased investor expectations for market activity [2] - Despite the U.S. increasing steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%, A-share related sectors reacted mildly, reflecting enhanced domestic policy countermeasures and improved market risk appetite [2] Group 3 - The overall market is progressing steadily along the lines of industrial upgrading and consumption recovery, with the ChiNext Index leading gains at 1.22% on June 4, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices rose by 0.43% and 0.91%, respectively [3] - The main market themes revolve around event-driven and policy expectations, with strong rebounds in the computing power industry chain and nuclear power sector, driven by Nvidia's market performance and Meta's procurement agreement [3] - Consumer sectors, particularly leisure food and tourism, are becoming active due to the Business Ministry's launch of the "Service Consumption Season" and the popularity of the "Su Super" event, which has seen average attendance exceeding 8,798 [3] Group 4 - The Hong Kong stock market also continued its upward trend on June 4, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.72% to 23,680.73 points, supported by a dual drive from technology and consumption sectors [4][5] - The healthcare sector led the market with a 3.09% increase, benefiting from advancements in innovative drug research and international conference data disclosures [4] - The technology sector showed strength, driven by major internet companies, while the real estate trust and telecommunications services sectors experienced slight pullbacks [5]

Group 1: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector's performance saw a decline, with the HuShen 300 index down by 0.18% and the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector down by 0.36% during the week of May 19-25, 2025 [4] - Pig prices showed a mixed trend, with the average price of external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 14.05, 15.39, and 14.25 yuan per kilogram respectively, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.09%, +0.65%, and -3.72% [4] - The report highlights the potential recovery in the feed industry due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving downstream farming conditions, particularly for Hai Da Group, which is expected to see an upward trend in its business fundamentals [4] Group 2: AI Computing Industry Insights - The AI computing industry is experiencing sustained high demand, particularly from the internet and intelligent computing centers, with a rapid push for domestic procurement of AI computing power [6] - Major domestic AI chip manufacturers like Huawei, Haiguang Information, and Cambricon are accelerating their performance and capacity breakthroughs, with Huawei's Ascend 910B chip being comparable to NVIDIA's A100 [6] - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with IDC forecasting that the market size will reach 25.3 billion USD by 2028, driven by strong demand from domestic internet companies and intelligent computing centers [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the financing events in the primary market, highlighting the increase in both the number of financing events and the total financing amount compared to the previous week, indicating a growing interest in investment opportunities across various sectors [4][12]. Financing Overview - As of May 23, 2025, there were 130 financing events reported, an increase of 42 events from the previous week, with a total financing amount of approximately 3.828 billion RMB, up by 749 million RMB [4]. - Among these events, 19 had financing amounts of 100 million RMB or more, which is an increase of 3 events from the previous week [4]. - There were 33 public exit cases this week, remaining stable compared to last week [4]. Financing Amount Distribution - A total of 80 financing events disclosed their amounts, with the distribution as follows: - 8 events under 5 million RMB (up by 4) - 39 events between 5 million and 10 million RMB (up by 10) - 11 events between 10 million and 50 million RMB (down by 2) - 19 events between 50 million and 100 million RMB (up by 7) - 3 events between 100 million and 500 million RMB (down by 2) - No events above 500 million RMB [5]. Notable Investment Events - **Satellite Operations**: Penghu Wuyu completed nearly 100 million RMB in Series A financing, led by Wuxi Liangxi Kechuang Industry Mother Fund and Wuxi Liangxi Aerospace Investment Fund, to expand its global operations in satellite IoT [7]. - **Organoids**: Chuangxin International raised nearly 100 million RMB in Series B financing, led by Yueke Fund and Donghai Investment, to accelerate the development of organoid technology [7]. - **Resource Recovery**: Zhongwu Industry Operations secured 500 million RMB in Series A financing to enhance its procurement network and improve supply chain efficiency [8]. - **AI Chips**: Blue Core Computing raised over 100 million RMB in equity financing, with participation from multiple investment institutions, focusing on high-performance chip design [8]. Industry Distribution - The financing events spanned 14 industries, with the top five being: - Healthcare: 28 events - Electronics: 25 events - Information Technology: 19 events - Equipment Manufacturing: 14 events - Consumer Goods and Services: 14 events - These five industries accounted for 76.15% of all financing events [12]. Financing Amount by Industry - The top five industries by financing amount were: - Healthcare: 32.07 million RMB (83.76% of total) - Information Technology: Significant contributions from Whale and other major events - Consumer Goods and Services - Electronics - Equipment Manufacturing - The healthcare sector led with a high number of large financing events [14]. Regional Distribution - The top five regions for financing events were: - Jiangsu: 29 events - Guangdong: 22 events - Zhejiang: 22 events - Beijing: 16 events - Shanghai: 9 events - These regions accounted for 75.38% of all financing events [17]. - In terms of financing amount, Zhejiang led with 829.59 million RMB, influenced by significant events [17]. Financing Rounds - The most active financing rounds were Angel and Series A, totaling 74 events, with Series B ranking third at 23 events [22]. - Series A financing accounted for 37.16% of the total financing amount, followed by strategic financing at 16.09% [22]. Investment Institutions - A total of 129 investment institutions participated in financing activities, with notable activity from Beijing Guoguan and Shenzhen Capital Group [25]. Exit Situation - There were 33 public exit cases, with the healthcare sector leading in the number of exits, followed by materials and electronics [30][31].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an overview of the financing events in the primary market, highlighting significant trends, amounts, and sectors involved in recent investments. Financing Overview - As of May 16, 2025, there were 88 financing events reported this week, totaling approximately 3.08 billion RMB, with 16 events exceeding 100 million RMB. There were also 33 public exit cases this week, and 100 institutions participated in primary market investments [3][5]. Financing Amount Distribution - Among the disclosed financing events, 63 occurred this week, with the following distribution: 4 events under 5 million RMB, 29 events between 5 million and 10 million RMB, 13 events between 10 million and 50 million RMB, 12 events between 50 million and 100 million RMB, and 5 events between 100 million and 500 million RMB. No events exceeded 500 million RMB this week [5][6]. Notable Investment Events - Significant financing events included: 1. X Square Robot completed a multi-hundred million RMB Series A round led by Meituan, focusing on the development of general-purpose embodied intelligence robots [6]. 2. Jiangling Semiconductor raised several hundred million RMB in Series B and B+ rounds, aimed at product development and capacity expansion in semiconductor optical measurement [6]. 3. Zhenliang Intelligent secured 250 million RMB in Series A financing, focusing on AI chip development [7]. 4. Karl Power raised nearly 300 million RMB in Series A+ financing for L4 autonomous truck technology [7]. Industry Distribution - The financing events spanned 13 industries, with the top five being equipment manufacturing, electronics, consumer goods and services, information technology, and healthcare. These five sectors accounted for 69.51% of all financing events [11][13]. Financing Amount by Industry - By financing amount, the leading sectors were electronics, equipment manufacturing, automotive, information technology, and modern finance, collectively accounting for 76.17% of the total financing amount. Electronics led with significant contributions from XREAL and Ningxia Superconducting [13]. Robotics Sector Insights - The robotics sector remains vibrant, with companies like X Square Robot and Magic Atom receiving substantial funding. The sector has seen over 200 financing events and more than 20 billion RMB in funding since 2025, supported by policy initiatives and local funds [14]. Regional Distribution - The top five regions for financing events were Shanghai, Jiangsu, Beijing, Guangdong, and Zhejiang, accounting for 68.18% of all events. In terms of financing amount, Shanghai led with 645 million RMB, influenced by significant rounds in semiconductor companies [17][19]. Financing Rounds - The most active financing rounds were angel and Series A, totaling 59 events, with early-stage financing (A rounds and earlier) making up 70.45% of the total events. Series A financing accounted for 47.17% of the total financing amount [21]. Investment Institutions - A total of 100 investment institutions participated this week, with notable activity from institutions like Deep Venture Capital and Shanghai State Investment, each participating three times [25]. Exit Situation - There were 33 public exit cases this week, with the highest number of exits in materials, followed by electronics and equipment manufacturing, which together accounted for 51.52% of all exit cases [30][31].

Group 1: SiC Substrate Market - The global N-type SiC substrate market is projected to experience a revenue decline of 9% in 2024, amounting to $1.04 billion, due to weakened demand in the automotive and industrial sectors, alongside intensified market competition and significant price drops [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Packaging and Testing Market - The combined revenue of the top ten semiconductor packaging and testing companies is expected to reach $41.56 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3% [4] - ASE Holdings and Amkor maintain their leading positions, while companies like JCET and Tianshui Huatian are experiencing double-digit growth, posing strong challenges to the existing market structure [4][5] Group 3: AI Chip Development - The demand for AI servers is accelerating the self-research of ASIC chips among major North American cloud service providers, with new versions expected to be released every 1-2 years [6] - The proportion of AI chips sourced from foreign suppliers like NVIDIA and AMD in the Chinese market is anticipated to decrease from approximately 63% in 2024 to about 42% in 2025, while local suppliers are expected to increase their share to 40% under government policy support [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qualcomm (QCOM.US) with a target price of $178.3, indicating a potential upside of 17.8% from the current price of $151.34 [1][5]. Core Views - Qualcomm's smartphone shipment forecast remains largely unchanged, with minimal impact from current tariffs and limited pre-purchase behavior from customers [1]. - For FY3Q25, Qualcomm expects smartphone revenue to grow by 10% year-over-year, driven by increased shipments of high-end Android phones and rising average selling prices [1]. - Automotive revenue is projected to increase by 20% year-over-year, benefiting from high adoption rates of smart cockpit technology in new energy vehicles in China [1]. - Internet of Things (IoT) revenue is anticipated to grow by 15%, supported by gains in high-end personal computers, industrial IoT growth, and surging demand for edge AI [1]. - Long-term growth potential in non-mobile business segments is significant, with expectations that non-mobile revenue will reach $22 billion by 2029 [1]. - Qualcomm's forward P/E ratio is currently at 12.7x, down from 15x at the beginning of the year, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1]. Financial Performance and Forecast - In FY2Q25, Qualcomm reported revenue of $10.98 billion, a 17% increase year-over-year, but a 6% decrease quarter-over-quarter, exceeding market expectations [2][10]. - Gross margin for FY2Q25 was 55.0%, slightly down from the previous year and quarter, primarily due to changes in product mix [2][10]. - Operating profit and net profit for FY2Q25 were $3.12 billion (up 33% year-over-year) and $2.81 billion (up 21% year-over-year), respectively, both slightly above market expectations [2][10]. - The guidance for FY3Q25 indicates a median revenue of $10.3 billion, representing a 10% year-over-year growth [2]. - The financial projections for FY2025 and FY2026 have been slightly adjusted based on FY2Q25 performance and FY3Q25 outlook [2][11]. Valuation - The report employs a DCF valuation method, assuming a growth rate of 12% for FY2030-FY2034 and a perpetual growth rate of 3%, with a WACC of 13.8% [3]. - The adjusted target price of $178.3 corresponds to a P/E ratio of 17.4x for FY2025 [3].

Group 1 - The company and its chairman invested a total of 2.5 billion yuan in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology, acquiring 11.43% and 2.86% equity respectively, which aligns with the company's strategic plan for emerging industries, particularly in domestic AI chip development [1] - Zhenliang Intelligent, established in 2020, has a net asset of 107 million yuan and a loss of 190 million yuan as of the end of 2024, but has already mass-produced two generations of AI chips, with the latest GPGPU chip expected to be delivered quarterly starting in 2025 [2] - The company reported a 10.5% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 2025, with a net profit growth of 49.4%, indicating stabilization in its main business operations [1][3] Group 2 - The company plans to implement a second employee stock ownership plan involving 10 executives and 110 employees, which is expected to align the interests of core employees and stimulate long-term development [4] - Due to anticipated delays in the recovery of product prices and gross margins, the company has revised down its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2026, projecting EPS of 0.33/0.38/0.42 yuan for 2025-2027 [5] - The company is recognized with a target price of 7.59 yuan based on a 23 times PE ratio for 2025, reflecting an increase from the previous target of 3.71 yuan [5]

Group 1 - Beijing Lier has invested 200 million RMB in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., acquiring 11.43% equity, while Chairman Zhao Wei invested 50 million RMB for 2.86% equity [1][2][3] - Shanghai Zhenliang, founded in 2020, focuses on GPGPU development and manufacturing for AI applications, with a pre-investment valuation of 1.5 billion RMB [2][3] - The company aims to achieve large-scale delivery of its latest GPGPU chips by 2025, having already produced two generations of AI chips [1][2] Group 2 - In 2024, Beijing Lier reported revenue of 6.327 billion RMB, an increase of 11.66%, but net profit decreased by 18.65% to 319 million RMB due to rising raw material costs and declining sales prices [4] - The gross margin for Beijing Lier in 2024 was 14.42%, down from 18.37% the previous year [4] - The company has set ambitious targets, aiming for 7 billion RMB in revenue in 2025, a 10.63% increase, and a net profit of 382 million RMB, a 20% increase [5]