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社会服务行业2024A&2025Q1业绩综述:青山愈显处,韧行见新章
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-19 00:25
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨消费者服务Ⅱ [Table_Title] 社会服务行业 2024A&2025Q1 业绩综述:青山 愈显处,韧行见新章 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年,社会服务行业整体营业收入同比+0.97%,较 2019 年提升 13.71%,酒店、景区、餐 饮等出行链子行业受益于需求韧性、龙头扩张份额提升等,经营修复持续向好,2024 年营收分 别同比+1.4%/+0.9%/+3.2%,2025Q1 进一步改善。各板块利润层面表现分化,社服行业整体 归母净利润同比下降 43.61%,恢复至 2019 年的 50.08%,其中景区/人资/酒店/餐饮/免税/出境 游/教育分别同比+61.49%/+56.11%/-4.67%/-36.59%/-54.84%/-99.55%/减亏。2025Q1,行业整 体营收同比-1.58%,较 2019 年同期提升 23.45%;归母净利润同比-5.9%,系免税等板块拖累。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517020001 SAC:S0490520080013 SFC:BUX176 赵刚 杨会强 马健 ...
社会服务行业2024A、2025Q1业绩综述:青山愈显处,韧行见新章
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-18 15:38
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨消费者服务Ⅱ [Table_Title] 社会服务行业 2024A&2025Q1 业绩综述:青山 愈显处,韧行见新章 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年,社会服务行业整体营业收入同比+0.97%,较 2019 年提升 13.71%,酒店、景区、餐 饮等出行链子行业受益于需求韧性、龙头扩张份额提升等,经营修复持续向好,2024 年营收分 别同比+1.4%/+0.9%/+3.2%,2025Q1 进一步改善。各板块利润层面表现分化,社服行业整体 归母净利润同比下降 43.61%,恢复至 2019 年的 50.08%,其中景区/人资/酒店/餐饮/免税/出境 游/教育分别同比+61.49%/+56.11%/-4.67%/-36.59%/-54.84%/-99.55%/减亏。2025Q1,行业整 体营收同比-1.58%,较 2019 年同期提升 23.45%;归母净利润同比-5.9%,系免税等板块拖累。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517020001 SAC:S0490520080013 SFC:BUX176 赵刚 杨会强 马健 ...
免税概念股尾盘异动 珠免集团冲击涨停
news flash· 2025-05-16 06:46
Core Viewpoint - The news highlights a significant movement in the duty-free stock sector, particularly with Zhu Mian Group reaching its upper limit on trading, indicating strong investor interest and potential growth in this market segment [1] Group 1: Company Movements - Zhu Mian Group is experiencing a surge in stock price, aiming for a trading limit increase [1] - Other companies in the duty-free sector, such as Wangfujing, Hainan Development, Lishang Guochao, China Duty Free Group, Bubugao, and Wushang Group, are also seeing positive stock performance [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The Ministry of Commerce held a national meeting to advance the work on outbound tax refunds, emphasizing the need to enhance the coverage of refund stores [1] - The meeting also focused on increasing the attractiveness of tax refund products, which could lead to higher consumer engagement and spending in the duty-free sector [1]
社会服务行业2024年业绩综述报告:营收增长利润承压,旅游景区业绩稳健
Wanlian Securities· 2025-05-13 12:51
营收增长利润承压,旅游景区业绩稳健 [Table_ReportType] ——社会服务行业 2024 年业绩综述报告[Table_ReportDate] [投资要点: Table_Summary] 社会服务板块全年业绩增收不增利。2024 年上市公司业绩出炉,社会 服务板块增收不增利,营业收入合计 1907.95 亿元,同比增长 6.95%, 在申万一级行业中排名第 3;归母净利润合计 73.66 亿元,同比下降 31.26%,在申万一级行业中排名第 22。 旅游及景区板块:2024 年旅游及景区板块实现营收 354.23 亿元,同比 +15.24%,归母净利润 16.73 亿元,同比+7.19%。五一黄金周居民旅游 热情高涨,旅游市场持续回暖。调休工作日的减少使得更多游客选择拼 假开启早鸟游或节末错峰游,推动长线游目的地表现亮眼,各地创新和 丰富消费场景,以多元供给激发消费潜力、市场活力,为游客带来深度 体验。 3288 酒店餐饮板块:2024 年酒店餐饮板块实现营收 298.53 亿元,同比- 1.49%,归母净利润 15.67 亿元,同比-19.73%。消费承压导致板块业绩 出现波动,全年表现不佳。行业 ...
海南发展免税资产注入困局
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The asset injection of duty-free assets into Hainan Development (002163.SZ) has faced multiple delays, with the latest proposal extending the commitment to two years, raising concerns among minority shareholders about the company's future performance and valuation [1][4][12]. Group 1: Asset Injection Delays - The initial commitment for asset injection was set for May 12, but the proposal to delay was approved at the third extraordinary general meeting [1]. - The previous proposal to delay for three years was rejected, while the new proposal aims for completion within two years, with efforts to expedite the process [1][4]. - The proposal faced significant opposition, with 37.55% of votes against it, indicating ongoing skepticism from minority shareholders [2][12]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Challenges - Hainan Development has struggled financially, reporting a revenue decline from 47 billion in 2019 to 39.12 billion in 2024, with a significant loss of 3.79 billion in 2024, the largest in a decade [14][30]. - The company’s existing business in glass and curtain wall engineering has not sustained growth, leading to a reliance on the anticipated asset injection to support its valuation [15][30]. - The duty-free assets, particularly the Global Consumer (Hainan) Trading Co., have been unprofitable, complicating the injection process [16][19]. Group 3: Strategic Moves and Future Prospects - Hainan Development plans to acquire e-commerce company Hangzhou Woying Technology Co., aiming to enter the consumer sector and enhance its business model [8][9]. - The controlling shareholder has announced a share buyback plan of 100 million to 200 million yuan to boost investor confidence [10][11]. - The company is exploring new business opportunities, including a partnership with Hainan Airport Group to establish a retail project at Sanya Phoenix International Airport [30]. Group 4: Market Environment and Regulatory Factors - The duty-free market in Hainan is facing increased competition, particularly from China Duty Free Group, which has a more extensive network [18]. - The upcoming full closure of Hainan Island is expected to alter tax structures, potentially benefiting duty-free operations and enhancing market competitiveness [24][22]. - Hainan Holdings remains committed to supporting the integration of quality assets and the transition to the consumer sector despite current challenges [20][25].
下周A股决战时刻!美联储议息+通胀数据引爆变盘窗口,三大黄金赛道散户必看
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 09:50
Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to face three significant challenges next week, but there are three major investment opportunities hidden within [1] - The market experienced volatility with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3342 points before a sudden pullback, while the ChiNext Index fell nearly 1% [3] - Technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor and military sectors, faced declines, while high-dividend sectors like banking and electricity performed well [3] Group 2 - Key upcoming events include the Federal Reserve's meeting on May 15 and the release of the U.S. April CPI data, which could impact global markets [3] - The focus remains on technology growth, with specific attention to AI computing power and domestic semiconductor policies, presenting buying opportunities during pullbacks [3] - Consumer recovery is highlighted, with positive data from the May Day holiday, making sectors like tourism, duty-free, and home appliances attractive [3] Group 3 - A balanced position of 50% is recommended, with gradual buying in technology stocks if they drop below the 20-day moving average, while avoiding speculative materials [4] - Defensive sectors should include major cash flow companies like Yangtze Power and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, which offer over 4% dividend yields [4] - Key market levels to watch include the Shanghai Composite Index breaking below 3330 points with low volume, indicating a need to reduce positions, and a breakout above 3360 points suggesting a rally in technology growth stocks [4]
从品类到品质,从品质到品牌
China Securities· 2025-05-09 01:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Outperform the Market" for the industry [3]. Core Insights - The industry fundamentals are expected to remain under pressure in 2024, with most sectors and companies still significantly affected by macroeconomic factors. However, a number of companies are emerging that are successfully navigating the challenges of consumer downgrade by upgrading from categories to quality and then to brand [1][2]. - The report highlights that companies with strong brand attributes are likely to continue outperforming as the market transitions from price-performance to quality-price comparisons [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Duty-Free Sector - The duty-free sales in Hainan are gradually stabilizing, with the implementation of the Hainan closure policy expected to benefit the duty-free sector. The market is seeing improvements in channel and supply chain capabilities, leading to a stable outlook for profitability [2][49]. - Key companies to watch include China Duty Free Group and Wangfujing [2]. 2. Tourism and Gaming - The tourism sector shows strong resilience in demand, becoming a crucial driver for domestic consumption. The recovery in inbound and outbound travel is significant, with a focus on new consumption scenarios and the silver-haired tourism market [2][3]. - Recommended companies include Jiuhua Tourism, Lingnan Holdings, and Sands China [2]. 3. Hotel Industry - The hotel sector is experiencing weak business travel demand, leading to pressure on RevPAR. However, leisure demand remains resilient, and leading companies are enhancing profitability through brand matrix validation and supply chain optimization [3][72]. - Companies to focus on include Huazhu Group, Atour, and Jinjiang Hotels [3]. 4. Restaurant Sector - Leading restaurant companies are demonstrating strong supply chain negotiation and profitability advantages. The overall supply in the restaurant industry is optimizing, with a competitive trend in price-performance [3][7]. - Notable companies include Mixue Ice City, KFC, and Haidilao [3][7]. 5. Cosmetics and Medical Aesthetics - The cosmetics sector is seeing a shift in focus towards profitability, with companies restructuring their product and channel strategies. High-growth companies are expected to achieve both revenue and profit increases [7][23]. - Key players include Juzhibio, Shumei, and Marubi [7][23]. 6. General Retail - The retail sector is undergoing digital upgrades and operational adjustments, with a focus on essential demand and cash flow stability. Companies like Yonghui Supermarket and Multi-Point Intelligence are recommended [8][30]. - The report also highlights the ongoing challenges in the jewelry sector due to rising gold prices [8][30]. 7. Overall Market Performance - The consumer services sector is expected to face challenges, with a projected performance of -8.70% in 2024. However, the beauty and personal care sector is anticipated to recover with a growth of +8.15% in 2025 [11][19].
增持海南发展:控股股东彰显信心,看好自贸港政策红利释放
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 12:49
Core Viewpoint - The capital market is responding positively to the upcoming full closure operation of Hainan Free Trade Port, with Hainan Development's major shareholder announcing a share buyback plan, reflecting confidence in the long-term value of the company and the benefits of the free trade policies [1][2]. Group 1: Share Buyback Plan - Hainan Development's major shareholder, Hainan Provincial Development Holding Co., plans to buy back shares worth between 100 million and 200 million yuan, representing up to 2% of the total share capital over the next six months [1]. - The buyback is seen as a strong endorsement of the company's current value and a demonstration of the shareholder's confidence in the ongoing release of policy dividends from the Hainan Free Trade Port [1][2]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - Hainan Holding's buyback plan aligns with national policies encouraging state-owned enterprises to increase share repurchases to stabilize market expectations and support high-quality development [2]. - The funding for the buyback will come entirely from the company's own resources, highlighting the deep recognition of the long-term value of Hainan-listed companies by state-owned capital [2]. Group 3: Market Potential - The duty-free market in Hainan is expected to grow significantly, with sales projected to exceed 60 billion yuan by 2027, becoming a key driver of economic growth in the region [2]. - Hainan Development is positioned as a platform for the injection of duty-free assets, which is anticipated to provide historical development opportunities as the company aims to capitalize on the policy benefits of the free trade port [2][4]. Group 4: Long-term Confidence - Despite facing short-term operational pressures due to macroeconomic conditions and industry competition, the buyback action serves as a reassuring signal to the market, indicating strong confidence in the company's long-term value [3]. - The integration of duty-free assets is crucial for Hainan Development's strategic transformation, and the buyback is expected to boost confidence among all shareholders, particularly minority shareholders [3][4].
【零售】国补及服务消费表现突出,离岛免税销售额跌幅收窄——2025年劳动节假期零售免税数据点评(姜浩/梁丹辉)
光大证券研究· 2025-05-08 09:13
Core Viewpoint - The overall consumption in China shows steady growth, with specific segments like national subsidy products and service consumption continuing to perform well [2][5]. Group 1: Sales Performance - During the Labor Day holiday in 2025, key retail and catering enterprises in China reported a sales increase of 6.3% compared to the same period last year, although this represents a slight decline from the 6.8% growth seen in 2024 [2]. - The sales of home appliances, automobiles, and communication equipment saw significant year-on-year growth of 15.5%, 13.7%, and 10.5% respectively during the holiday [2]. - The restaurant sector also performed well, with a year-on-year increase of 8.7% in sales for monitored catering enterprises [2]. Group 2: Service Consumption - Travel orders during the Labor Day holiday increased by 30% compared to the same period in 2023, with hotel bookings reaching a historical peak [2]. - Data from Douyin indicated a remarkable growth in accommodation group purchase orders by 79% and hotel scenic area package orders by 116% during the holiday period [2]. Group 3: Inbound and Duty-Free Sales - Inbound tourism spending in Beijing reached 1.13 billion yuan, marking a 48% year-on-year increase [3]. - Shanghai's duty-free sales saw a year-on-year increase of 120%, with the tax refund amount also rising by 130% [3]. Group 4: Duty-Free Shopping Trends - During the Labor Day holiday, duty-free shopping in Hainan amounted to 510 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 7.3%, but the drop was less severe compared to the 15.9% decline during the Spring Festival [4]. - The average spending per person in duty-free shopping increased by 1.1% compared to the previous year, continuing the upward trend observed during the Spring Festival [4]. Group 5: Structural Highlights in Consumption - The national subsidy policy has expanded its coverage and increased subsidy amounts, leading to significant growth in sales of home appliances and other electronic products [5]. - The demand for investment-grade gold products has risen, alongside a growing preference for well-designed and branded gold jewelry [5]. - Emotional consumption is on the rise, with products based on popular IPs, such as blind boxes and figurines, performing exceptionally well [5].
刚刚,利好来了!广东,重磅发布!
券商中国· 2025-05-07 10:45
Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province has released a significant policy aimed at boosting consumption, which includes measures to enhance property income channels, support for employee stock ownership plans, and various initiatives to stimulate consumer spending in sectors like automotive and healthcare [1][2][3]. Group 1: Consumption Enhancement Measures - The plan encourages listed companies to promote employee stock ownership plans and strengthens the market value management of state-owned enterprises to stabilize investor return expectations [1][2]. - It proposes to simplify the process for distributing childcare subsidies and encourages local governments to increase support for families with two or three children [1][2]. - The policy aims to expand automotive consumption by relaxing vehicle purchase restrictions and increasing car purchase quotas in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen [1][3]. Group 2: Real Estate and Housing Policies - The government will utilize its autonomy in real estate regulation to adjust restrictive measures related to purchasing, transferring, and financing properties, aiming to stabilize the real estate market [3]. - There is a commitment to increase the supply of affordable housing and to support the renovation of old residential areas, with a target of starting renovations on at least 600 old communities by 2025 [3]. Group 3: Technological and Health Consumption - The initiative promotes the integration of artificial intelligence in various consumer sectors, including healthcare and education, and aims to enhance remote medical services [4]. - It supports the development of new consumption models, such as the "old for new" policy for consumer goods, which includes subsidies for replacing old appliances [4]. Group 4: Financial Support for Consumption - The policy encourages financial institutions to increase personal consumption loans while ensuring risk control, allowing for higher loan amounts and extended repayment periods for creditworthy customers [5]. - It also promotes the establishment of duty-free shops and tax refund services to enhance international consumer experiences in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen [5]. Group 5: Market Response and Investment Opportunities - Recent data indicates a robust recovery in domestic tourism and spending, with a 6.4% increase in travel and an 8.0% rise in total spending during the holiday period [6]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing policy support for consumption will benefit sectors such as dining, travel, and retail, with a focus on service consumption as a key area for future growth [6][7].