4月28日，获政策力挺，离境退税相关上市公司股价均表现活跃。 截至发稿前，在A股市场，百联股份（600827.SH）涨1.32%，众信旅游（002707.SZ）涨3.46%，中国中免（601888.SH）等跟涨。 港股方面，相关概念股也同步冲高。中国中免（01880.HK）上涨1.97%，美兰空港（00357.HK）涨1.91%。 消息面上，在离境退税政策实施10周年之际，该政策迎来了全面革新。 4月27日，商务部会同财政部、文化和旅游部等六部门印发《进一步优化离境退税政策扩大入境消费的通知》。《通知》针对退税商店偏少、退税便利度有 待进一步提升等问题，政策从推动退税商店增量扩容、丰富退税商品供给、提升离境退税服务水平三大方面提出8项举措。 《通知》指出，将离境退税起退点从500元下调至200元，现金退税限额由1万元人民币上调至2万元；鼓励各地在大型商圈、步行街等境外旅客聚集地增设退 税商店；强调要增加老字号产品、国货潮品等中国特色优质产品供应。 此外，"即买即退"服务也是此次政策升级的一大亮点。《通知》指出将离境退税"即买即退"服务措施推广至全国，让旅客在购物现场就可以领取退税款。 近年来，随着我国过境免签 ...

核电板块走高，南方路机、华银电力涨停，融发核电、中广核技、南风股份等冲高。 4月28日，A股早盘弱势震荡，截至9:32，沪指跌0.32%，深证成指跌0.23%，创业板指跌0.27%。 盘面上，核电、可控核聚变等板块走高，南方路机、华银电力涨停；旅游、免税店板块走强，众信旅游 涨超6%；跨境电商概念股持续活跃，东贝集团4连板；电力板块反复活跃，华银电力3连板。下跌方 面，房地产、医药、汽车产业链等板块跌幅居前。 展望后市，招商证券指出，后续A股整体下行风险可控，叠加后续随着业绩披露期结束，再度进入业绩 真空期，以及在经济整体稳定，流动性充裕背景下，市场风险偏好有望持续提升。 热门板块 1、核电板块走高 点评：消息面上，国常会核准10台核电新机组，拉动投资超2000亿元。中信证券研报称，国务院常务会 议决定核准浙江三门三期工程等核电项目，核电产业发展高景气延续。我国核能领域持续发展，三四代 核裂机组相继落地，核聚变装置加速发展，建议关注产业链核心价值量环节。 2、免税店板块走强 免税店板块走强，众信旅游涨超6%，凯撒旅业、府井、中国中免、南宁百货纷纷跟涨。 点评：消息面上，六部门发文优化离境退税政策，下调离境退税 ...

A股免税店板块盘初活跃，众信旅游涨超6%，凯撒旅业涨超4%，百联股份、南宁百货涨超3%，王府 井、中国中免纷纷高开。消息面上，商务部等6部门发布关于进一步优化离境退税政策扩大入境消费的 通知，将现金退税限额上调至20000元人民币。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights significant personnel changes within the Huafa Group and its subsidiaries, Gree Real Estate and Huafa Co., aimed at strategic realignment and operational efficiency [1][2][3] - Gree Real Estate has been transitioning from real estate development to duty-free operations, with a focus on leveraging its acquisition of a 51% stake in Zhuhai Duty-Free to reverse its ongoing losses [2][4] - The new management team at Huafa Co. is expected to drive internal innovation, focusing on refined operations and financial management to address recent performance declines [6][7] Group 2 - Gree Real Estate reported a cumulative net profit loss exceeding 4 billion yuan from 2022 to the third quarter of 2024, indicating the urgency of its transformation efforts [3][5] - The new leadership at Huafa Co. includes experienced executives with backgrounds in urban development and financial management, which may enhance the company's operational capabilities [6][7] - The strategic shift aims to delineate business boundaries between Gree Real Estate and Huafa Co., with Gree focusing on duty-free and non-real estate sectors while Huafa concentrates on core urban markets [3][4]

特别值得注意的是，在最近的一次重要会议上，"持续稳定和活跃资本市场"被提上议程。这里的"活跃"二字，犹如一阵春风，预示着市场活力的新一轮释 放。对于许多资深股民而言，他们深知市场的规则——它是由政策引导的，而在这个过程中，政策往往有着不达目的誓不罢休的决心。因此，与新手股民相 比，这些老手们心中的担忧要少得多，反而对未来的走势抱有更大的期待和信心。 即便大盘仍在3300点前徘徊，众多股民的心中却燃起了一丝谨慎的乐观。它就像在一场马拉松比赛中，虽然终点线看起来还有一段距离，但沿途的风景已经 让人感到心旷神怡。实际上，在市场的角落里，不少个股已悄然弥补了自关税风波以来留下的缺口，仿佛那些曾经的跌宕起伏从未发生过。 在5年前的转折点出现是券商股突然崛起，在光大证券大涨的影响下，诸如三一重工、五粮液、中国中免等核心资产股开始了牛市进程。在这个过程中，券 商股是必不可少的点，因为它的启动往往都是"摔杯为号"的特征。 现在，如果想要大盘突破当前在3300点的困扰，应该也需要券商股的破局才行。好在的是，近几个交易日，券商股有点"山雨欲来风满楼"的意味，几次在盘 中异动。只不过，由于受到长时间熊市思维的束缚，每次异动都会被抛 ...

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Core Insights - Chengdu's social retail sales reached 273.27 billion yuan in Q1, marking a 6.0% year-on-year increase, which is 2.7 percentage points faster than the previous year's overall growth [2] - The growth in consumption is attributed to multiple initiatives, including the "trade-in for new" policy, streamlined tax refund processes for outbound travelers, and the introduction of new retail experiences [2][7] Consumption Market - Restaurant revenue was 35.75 billion yuan, growing by 4.3%, while retail sales of goods reached 237.52 billion yuan, increasing by 6.2% [2] - Notable growth in specific categories included telecommunications equipment (197.2%), sports and entertainment products (22.2%), and food and beverage (15.5%) [2] Tax Refund and International Consumption - The "immediate buy and refund" scheme has become a highlight, with tax refund sales and amounts increasing by 270% year-on-year, accounting for 41.4% of the total for 2024 [3] - The number of foreign travelers utilizing tax refunds grew by 225%, with transaction volumes increasing by 206% [3] New Store Openings and Events - Chengdu welcomed 148 new stores and hosted over 50 premiere events in Q1, contributing to a vibrant consumption atmosphere [4][5] - The "FA@Chengdu" initiative aims to enhance the city's consumption and market vitality through a three-year action plan [4] Consumer Incentives - The "trade-in for new" policy has generated over 17 billion yuan in consumer activity in Q1, with increased subsidies and operational convenience [7][8] - The combination of various subsidies has led to significant participation in the trade-in program, with 80% of sales in certain categories coming from subsidized products [8] Future Outlook - Chengdu plans to activate spring consumption potential through a series of events and activities from early April to the end of May, engaging over 10,000 merchants across 23 districts [6]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of duty-free concept stocks, particularly China Duty Free Group (CDFG), has shown significant volatility amid the ongoing trade war, with initial gains followed by a decline as market sentiment fluctuated [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - In early April, CDFG's stock surged, with a notable increase of 7.45% on April 8, followed by a limit-up on April 9 and a further rise of 4.99% on April 10, reaching a recent high [1]. - However, following these gains, CDFG's stock price experienced a decline over several trading days, reflecting investor uncertainty regarding the impact of the trade war on duty-free operators [1][2]. - Prior to the trade war, CDFG's performance was poor, with a projected revenue of 56.474 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 16.38%, and a net profit of 4.267 billion yuan, down 36.44% [2][4]. Group 2: Impact of Trade War - The trade war has led to increased tariffs, with the U.S. imposing a 34% tariff on imports from China, which initially raised concerns about the duty-free market [6][7]. - Despite these concerns, duty-free operators reported that their businesses were not affected by the tariffs, as the duty-free policy remains unchanged, allowing them to attract consumers despite the trade tensions [8][9]. - The duty-free market has been viewed as a potential beneficiary of the trade war, as the tax differential between imported goods and duty-free products may enhance sales for operators like CDFG [7][10]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - CDFG's revenue from Hainan reached 28.892 billion yuan in 2024, while the company also benefited from a significant increase in airport duty-free sales, with Beijing airport sales growing over 115% [10][11]. - The company has established a strong supply chain with over 430 suppliers and 1,400 brands, enhancing its bargaining power and cost advantages [10][11]. - There is potential for growth in the Hainan duty-free market, with experts suggesting that the average spending of tourists could increase significantly, indicating a larger market opportunity [12].

Core Viewpoint - The phenomenon of "ice and fire" is evident in China Duty Free Group (China Duty Free), where a new tax refund policy boosts stock prices despite ongoing declines in company performance and valuation [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The State Taxation Administration announced the nationwide implementation of the "immediate purchase and refund" tax refund policy, which simplifies the refund process and stimulates inbound tourism potential [1][7]. - The new policy allows foreign tourists to experience tax refunds more directly, potentially increasing their willingness to spend [8]. - Historical data from Japan indicates that similar tax refund policies significantly enhance inbound tourist spending, suggesting a positive outlook for the Chinese market [7]. Group 2: Company Performance - In 2024, China Duty Free is projected to see a revenue decline of 16.38% to 56.474 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 36.44% to 4.267 billion yuan, indicating significant performance pressure [3][4]. - The company's sales from duty-free goods decreased by 12.58% to approximately 38.666 billion yuan, while taxable goods sales fell by 23.49% to about 17.095 billion yuan, reflecting a contraction in online business due to competition [3][4]. - The Hainan region, a core market for the company, experienced a revenue decline of 27.13%, significantly impacting overall performance [3][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite an increase in market share in Hainan, the overall market contraction means that this gain did not translate into revenue growth [4]. - The competitive landscape has intensified with the opening of new duty-free stores, reducing the company's monopoly advantage [4][10]. - The company's profit margins are under pressure due to increased discounting and rising operational costs, with a notable 76.9% drop in net profit in the fourth quarter [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The recovery of the Hainan market is expected to rely on policy stimuli, such as increased tax refund limits, and will face challenges from international competition post-border closure [6]. - The overall trend of policy support and consumer recovery suggests a potential for sustained recovery in the duty-free market [10]. - China Duty Free holds an 81.74% market share in the domestic duty-free market, positioning it well to benefit from the anticipated growth in inbound tourism [8][10].

Group 1 - The Hainan Free Trade Port (FTP) is set to enhance its openness with the implementation of a zero tariff policy for most goods post-closure in 2025, which will significantly lower import costs [1][3] - The establishment of a comprehensive policy system characterized by "zero tariffs, low tax rates, simplified tax systems" is nearly complete, with key policies expected to be introduced within the year [1][3] - The upcoming policies will likely result in a much shorter list of restricted import/export goods compared to other regions in China, potentially reducing the number of taxable items by more than half [1][3] Group 2 - The Hainan FTP aims to become a global hub for cross-regional manufacturing and value-added processing, particularly benefiting ASEAN enterprises through relaxed origin rules [2] - Major investments are being made in sectors like marine wind power and commercial satellite systems, with companies expecting reduced production costs and increased competitiveness post-closure [3] - The tourism, modern services, high-tech industries, and tropical agriculture sectors are identified as key growth areas, with significant benefits anticipated from the integration of the FTP's system and industry advantages [3] Group 3 - The Hainan FTP is expected to strengthen connections with both domestic and international markets, facilitating foreign investment into China and enabling Chinese companies to expand globally [4] - Companies are positioning Hainan as a critical hub for regional economic influence, with plans for international operations and logistics to enhance global outreach [4] - The FTP is seen as a frontline for China's unilateral opening, particularly towards ASEAN and the Middle East, leveraging its geographical advantages [4]