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特朗普带美国重走“大清老路”,给14亿中国人看了出好戏
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 08:55
当世界都在加速奔向清洁能源的未来时,美国却像开错方向的列车,猛地一脚刹车,还试图倒着开回 去。 13日,《南华早报》上的一篇报道,犀利指出美国政府在能源政策上"开倒车"的景象,"美 国从清洁能源领域倒退,正重蹈清朝覆灭前的覆辙。" 美国的能源路线变化,不是悄悄摸摸的微调,而是公开宣布的"掉头",2025年秋天,特朗普政府重新点 燃煤炉子,给传统能源松绑,直接把几十亿美元的资金砸向燃煤电厂。 政策一改过去几年鼓励新能源的方向,开始给煤炭开绿灯,更大的动作,是把原本用来支持清洁能源的 政策彻底推翻,比如终止对电动车的税收减免,把风电和太阳能的优惠政策提前叫停。 特朗普政府不仅公开否定风能太阳能,连电动车补贴都一刀砍掉,转头又把数十亿美元砸进煤炭。 这种操作和当年晚清拆铁路、用马拉火车头的故事,何其相似,问题是美国这场"复古革命",真能赢 吗? 美国能源政策大转弯 面对新兴技术不是迎头赶上,而是选择阻挡,这种路径看着熟悉,也确实危险。 不仅如此,审批规则也变了,风电和光伏项目的审批权被收回到联邦层面,层层加码,项目卡在流程中 迟迟无法启动。 一脚刹车背后,埋下了不少雷 特朗普甚至在社交平台上直接开火,称可再生能源是 ...
广发宏观:有效需求不足凸显,政策加力空间打开
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-15 08:30
Economic Overview - Effective demand remains significantly insufficient, with industrial added value in November increasing by 4.8% year-on-year, slightly down from 4.9% in the previous period[3] - Retail sales growth has notably slowed to 1.3% year-on-year, down from 2.9% previously[3] - Fixed asset investment year-on-year remains stable at approximately -11%, consistent with the previous value of -11.2%[5] Sector Performance - High-tech industry added value rose by 8.4% year-on-year, up from 7.2% previously[4] - Exports showed resilience with a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, recovering from a decline of 1.1%[3] - Real estate sales area decreased by 17.1% year-on-year, an improvement from a 18.6% decline previously, while sales revenue fell by 24.7%, worsening from a 24.1% decline[5] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in November decreased by 11.1% year-on-year, with manufacturing investment down by 4.5% and real estate investment down by 30.1%[5] - The construction area for new projects fell by 27.6% year-on-year, while the area under construction dropped by 40%[5] - The total investment in fixed assets for the first 11 months of the year showed a year-on-year decline of 2.6%, with non-real estate fixed asset investment increasing by 0.8%[5] Policy Implications - The central economic work conference highlighted the need to address the "strong supply and weak demand" contradiction and to stimulate investment and consumption[7] - The potential for policy measures to strengthen demand has opened up following the release of November's economic data[7]
马斯克:建造核聚变反应堆“愚蠢至极”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 08:15
来源:科创板日报 在马斯克最新的太空AI设想中,其计划每年部署100GW的太阳能AI卫星,规模堪比美国全国电力的四 分之一。 他强调,随着计算集群的增长,对电力供应和冷却的综合需求会升级到地面基础设施难以跟上的地步。 为达到每年200GW至300GW的持续算力容量,就需要建造规模庞大且造价昂贵的发电厂,因为一座典 型的核电站的持续发电量约为1GW。 "在太空中,你可以利用持续的太阳能,实际上你不需要电池,因为太空永远阳光充足,而且太阳能电 池板实际上会更便宜,因为你不需要玻璃或框架,冷却也只是辐射冷却。"他解释称。 中信证券指出,由于太空环境中无法接入任何地面电网,而传统化石能源的补给成本极高,因此光伏几 乎成为太空算力卫星使用的唯一高效长期的能源供给形式。此外,太阳能帆板可折叠发射后在轨展开, 易于根据算力需求扩展面积。 就在马斯克为太阳能持续站台之际,特斯拉旗下光伏业务正重整旗鼓。今年10月,特斯拉宣布已开始在 位于纽约州布法罗市的超级工厂生产其自主研发的新型太阳能电池板。首批产品预计将于2026年第一季 度交付。而在去年,公司光伏安装量跌至谷底,一度停止对外公布相关数据。 马斯克指出,太阳本身已是天空中 ...
每日晨报:探底回升,量价齐涨-20251215
Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market showed signs of recovery with both volume and price increasing, as the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.35 points, up 0.41%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13258.33 points, up 0.84% [1][4][9] - Among the 30 sectors tracked, 21 sectors experienced gains, with notable increases in power equipment and new energy, electronics, and defense industries, while retail, building materials, and textiles saw significant declines [1][4][9] - The total trading volume for the A-share market reached 21,190 billion yuan, indicating an increase compared to the previous day [1][4][9] Overseas Market Overview - The US stock market experienced a decline across all major indices, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.51%, the S&P 500 down by 1.07%, and the Nasdaq decreasing by 1.69% [2][4] - Notable declines were observed in major companies such as Caterpillar, which dropped over 4%, and Nvidia, which fell by more than 3% [2][4] News Highlights - The Ministry of Commerce and the People's Bank of China issued a notice to enhance collaboration between commerce and finance to boost consumption, proposing 11 specific measures [3][10][12] - The Chinese economy conference emphasized the need to synchronize growth in residents' income with economic growth by 2026 [3][14] - The successful launch of the Kuaizhou-11 rocket was reported, marking a significant achievement in China's space endeavors [3][15][16] - Projections indicate that China's natural gas production will reach 300 billion cubic meters by 2030, reflecting a shift towards a more balanced energy structure [3][17]
谷歌与 Shizen Energy 在马来西亚签署太阳能协议。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 03:04
谷歌与 Shizen Energy 在马来西亚签署太阳能协议。 ...
纳指跌近400点,科技巨头重挫,闪迪跌超15%,中概股普跌,亿鹏能源跌12%,金银跳水
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-12 23:28
记者丨刘雪莹 编辑丨曾静娇 美东时间周五,美股科技股重挫,中概股普跌。黄金突破4300美元后急跌,白银跳水。加密货 币市场多数下跌,超11万人被爆仓。 三大指数集体收跌,道指跌246点,纳指跌近400点,与标普500指数跌幅均超1%。 W 伦敦金现 SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | 4299.285 | | 昨结 | 4279.210 | 开营 | 4280.457 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | +20.075 +0.47% | | | 总量(kg) 0.00 | 现手 | | O | | 最高价 | 4353.570 | 持 仓 | 0 | | | O | | 最低价 | 4256.845 | 壇 ਦੇ | O | | | 0 | | स्त्रम्य | 王日 | 日K | 園K | 月K | 童家 | | | 臺加 | | | | 均价:-- | 盘口 | | | 4353.570 | | | | 1.74% 卖1 | 4300.345 | O | | | | | | 录1 | 4299.285 | O | | | | | | | 0 ...
协鑫集成:12月12日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-12 11:34
每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——实施城乡居民增收计划、降准降息等工具灵活高效运用、增加普通高中学 位……深度解读中央经济工作会议 (记者 曾健辉) 2025年1至6月份,协鑫集成的营业收入构成为:太阳能行业占比100.0%。 截至发稿,协鑫集成市值为161亿元。 每经AI快讯,协鑫集成(SZ 002506,收盘价:2.75元)12月12日晚间发布公告称,公司第六届第二十 次董事会会议于2025年12月12日在公司会议室召开。会议审议了《关于修订 <董事及高级管理人员薪酬 管理制度> 的议案》等文件。 ...
无视政策逆风,美国Q3太阳能装机大涨20%:开发商抢在税收优惠退坡前“囤积”项目
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-12-12 08:00
Core Insights - The U.S. solar market experienced significant growth in Q3, with developers accelerating project completions to take advantage of tax incentives before they decline [1][3] - The third quarter saw a record installation of 11.7 gigawatts (DC) of solar capacity, marking a 20% year-over-year increase and a substantial 49% quarter-over-quarter increase, making it the third-largest quarterly deployment in industry history [1][3] Group 1: Tax Incentives and Project Deployment - The strong performance in Q3 is attributed to the completion of large utility-scale solar projects, many of which were nearly finished in Q2 and entered the final deployment phase in Q3 [3] - Utility-scale solar installations reached record levels in Q3, driven by developers' urgency to complete projects before the policy deadline [3] - Wood Mackenzie predicts a rush to execute quality projects to meet the legal requirement of starting construction by July 4, 2026, to qualify for investment tax credits (ITC) or production tax credits (PTC) [3] Group 2: Policy Uncertainty and Challenges - Despite the strong Q3 performance, federal permitting freezes pose uncertainties and risks for the industry's future development [5] - The CEO of SEIA highlighted that unless the current government changes its direction, the future of clean, affordable, and reliable solar and storage will remain uncertain, leading to rising energy bills for Americans [5] - The strong recovery in Q3 following the tumultuous OBBBA legislation indicates market resilience, but strict timelines and policy adjustments still cast a shadow over long-term prospects [5] Group 3: Regional Deployment Trends - The geographical distribution of installations reveals a political-economic pattern, with states that voted for Trump leading in solar deployment, indicating a positive attitude towards clean energy infrastructure in these regions [6] - Traditional energy states like Texas, Indiana, and Florida are among the top in new solar installations, reflecting the increasing importance of renewable energy in the U.S. energy landscape, transcending traditional political divides [6]
中央明确推动投资止跌回稳,哪些政策工具可以期待
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 03:56
Group 1: Economic Policy and Investment Strategy - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need to increase central budget investment and optimize the implementation of "two heavy" projects to stabilize investment growth [1][6] - A series of policies, including the issuance of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools and an additional 200 billion yuan in special bonds, aim to support investment in infrastructure and stimulate private investment [1][8] Group 2: Investment Trends and Performance - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 4,089.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7%, with private fixed asset investment down by 4.5% [3] - Real estate investment saw a significant decline of 14.7% year-on-year, which negatively impacted overall investment growth by 3 percentage points [3][4] Group 3: Sectoral Investment Growth - Despite the overall slowdown, certain high-tech sectors experienced rapid investment growth, such as aerospace manufacturing (up 19.7%) and information services (up 32.7%) [4] - Clean energy investments, including solar, wind, nuclear, and hydropower, collectively grew by 10.4% year-on-year [4] Group 4: Private Investment and Policy Support - The government aims to effectively stimulate private investment, which is crucial for growth and employment, with measures to enhance access and support for private enterprises [8][9] - The National Development and Reform Commission plans to improve the effectiveness of policies promoting private investment, including facilitating financing for technology-driven enterprises [9]
锐评|贸易顺差首超万亿美元,靠的不是运气
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 23:24
海关总署公布了今年前11个月的外贸数据,2025年我国货物贸易顺差首次突破1万亿美元大关,创历史 新高。这一数字不仅是量的跨越,更是质的宣言。在外部环境风高浪急、脱钩断链噪音不绝于耳的背景 下,中国外贸非但没有如某些西方观察者预言般"断崖式下跌",反而逆势上扬、稳中有进。 这一历史性成绩的取得,不是偶然的运气,而是全球市场规律与中国产业韧性共同作用的必然结果。 还需要厘清一个常被忽视的事实:顺差数字背后,是一个高度交织的全球产业网络。中国在服务贸易领 域长期存在逆差,在农产品、矿产品等领域也普遍是进口大于出口的净买家。这种有进有出的格局表 明,中国更加深度嵌入了全球价值链,既从中受益,也为世界提供了广阔的市场和稳定的供给。 (二) 如果说几十年前的顺差更多依靠以量取胜的汗水经济,那么今天的突破,则更清晰地标注了中国产业由 大变强的升级轨迹。万亿美元顺差不是单一产品的偶然冲高,而是产业体系能力长期积累后的一次集中 呈现。 细看这份顺差的结构变化,质量和技术含量同步提升,整体附加值持续攀升。以电动汽车、锂电池、太 阳能电池为代表的"新三样",正在从增长亮点走向关键支撑。它们的意义不止在于出口规模的扩张,更 在于中 ...