Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - The fundamentals of lithium carbonate may be in a situation of both supply and demand increasing, but the inventory is still at a relatively high level. The option market sentiment has turned bullish, with a slight increase in implied volatility. Technically, the 60 - minute MACD shows the double - line above the 0 - axis and the green column converging. The operation suggestion is to conduct short - selling transactions at high prices with a light position and pay attention to controlling risks in trading rhythm [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract is 82,760 yuan/ton, up 1,780 yuan; the net position of the top 20 is - 142,510 lots, down 3,052 lots; the position of the main contract is 390,069 lots, down 5,033 lots; the spread between near and far - month contracts is 820 yuan/ton, up 660 yuan; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt is 24,045 lots, up 430 lots [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 85,200 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 82,900 yuan/ton, down 500 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract is 2,440 yuan/ton, down 2,280 yuan [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) is 980 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite is 8,275 yuan/ton, down 250 yuan; the price of lepidolite (2 - 2.5%) is 2,645 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate is 44,600 tons, up 500 tons; the monthly import volume is 13,845.31 tons, down 3,852.31 tons; the monthly export volume is 366.35 tons, down 63.31 tons; the monthly operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises is 48%, down 4 percentage points; the monthly output of power batteries is 133,800 MWh, up 4,600 MWh [2] 3.5 Downstream and Application Situation - The price of ternary material (523 single - crystal type) in China is 131,000 yuan/ton, up 1,000 yuan; the monthly operating rate of ternary cathode materials is 52%, up 1 percentage point; the price of lithium iron phosphate is 34,300 yuan/ton, unchanged; the monthly operating rate of lithium iron phosphate cathodes is 51%, down 1 percentage point [2] - The monthly production of new - energy vehicles is 1,243,000 units, down 25,000 units; the monthly sales volume is 1,262,000 units, down 67,000 units; the cumulative sales penetration rate is 44.99%, up 0.68 percentage points; the cumulative sales volume is 8,220,000 units, up 2,286,000 units; the monthly export volume is 225,000 units, up 20,000 units; the cumulative export volume is 1.308 million units, up 600,000 units [2] 3.6 Option Situation - The total call position is 159,626 contracts, up 14,286 contracts; the total put position is 146,399 contracts, down 1,225 contracts; the put - call ratio of total positions is 91.71%, down 9.8577 percentage points; the at - the - money IV implied volatility is 0.44%, up 0.0080 percentage points [2] 3.7 Industry News - From August 1 - 17, the retail sales of the national passenger car market were 866,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 2% compared with the same period in August last year and an 8% increase compared with the same period last month. The cumulative retail sales this year were 13.611 million units, a year - on - year increase of 10%. The retail sales of the national passenger car new - energy market were 502,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 9% compared with the same period in August last year and a 12% increase compared with the same period last month. The retail penetration rate of the national passenger car new - energy market was 58.0%. The cumulative retail sales this year were 6.958 million units, a year - on - year increase of 28% [2] - From January - July 2025, the top ten SUV manufacturers in terms of sales sold a total of 5.599 million vehicles, accounting for 67.2% of the total SUV sales. Among these ten enterprises, the sales of Tesla and GAC Toyota decreased to varying degrees compared with the same period last year, while the sales of other enterprises increased to varying degrees [2] - Premier African Minerals announced that its Zulu lithium project has made a major breakthrough, and the plant has moved from the commissioning phase to the refining optimization phase [2] - Sigma Lithium's lithium concentrate production in the second quarter reached 68,368 tons, a year - on - year increase of 38%, exceeding the quarterly target of 67,500 tons; the full - sustaining cost dropped to 594 US dollars/ton, lower than the target value of 660 US dollars [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market is approaching 3800 points, surpassing the opening high on October 8, 2024, indicating potential for further growth [1] - The liquor sector's recent rally appears to have ended, with a high opening followed by a decline, suggesting a need for a pause before continuing upward [1] - The securities sector, a key indicator of the bull market, has shown volatility after a high position, with continued fluctuations around high levels [2] Group 2 - The silicon and lithium material sectors, crucial for the upstream of the new energy industry, are experiencing lackluster performance, with signs of potential decline [4] - The current market conditions do not present clear opportunities for investment in these sectors, emphasizing the importance of adhering to investment principles regardless of market fluctuations [4]

民生证券8月21日发布研报称，给予雅化集团（002497.SZ，最新价：14.04元）推荐评级。评级理由主 要包括：1）业务成本优化，毛利率小幅提升；2）自有矿产能逐步释放；3）锂盐龙头，产能加速扩 张；4）海外矿服业务提供新增长点。风险提示：地缘政治风险，扩产项目进度不及预期。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is strategically investing in lithium brine resources in Argentina, which is expected to enhance its resource value as lithium carbonate prices rise [2] Group 1: Company Strategy - The company is involved in lithium brine projects in Argentina through both controlling and participating stakes, specifically in the JAMA and Solaroz projects [2] - The company anticipates controlling over 10 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) resources from these projects [2] Group 2: Market Conditions - The company is capitalizing on the current low cycle in the lithium market by investing in these brine resources [2] - As lithium carbonate prices increase, the value of the company's lithium resources is also significantly rising, reinforcing its strategic resource value [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Cautiously bullish; Inter - period: None; Inter - commodity: None; Spot - futures: None; Options: None [5] Core View - The limit - down of lithium carbonate futures is mainly affected by news and capital sentiment. Although a lithium salt plant announced its复产, it was within the plan and had limited short - term impact on market supply. The demand side still has certain rigid procurement support. When the futures price drops and the futures discount is large, one can consider buying for hedging [1][3] Summary by Related Content Market Analysis - On August 20, 2025, the main lithium carbonate contract 2511 opened at 85,660 yuan/ton and closed at 80,980 yuan/ton, a - 8.00% change from the previous day's settlement price. The trading volume was 838,879 lots, and the open interest was 395,102 lots, a decrease from the previous trading day's 414,097 lots. The current basis was 4,720 yuan/ton. The number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts was 2,4045 lots, a change of 430 lots from the previous day [1] - Battery - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 84,400 - 87,000 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 82,800 - 84,000 yuan/ton, with no change from the previous day. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 960 US dollars/ton, a - 80 US dollars/ton change from the previous day [1] - In July 2025, China's lithium carbonate imports were 13,800 tons, a 21.8% month - on - month and 42.7% year - on - year decrease. From January to July 2025, the total imports were 131,600 tons, a 0.8% year - on - year increase [2] - In July 2025, China's spodumene imports were 750,700 tons, a 30.3% month - on - month increase. From January to July 2025, the total imports were 4,246,000 tons [2] Strategy - The limit - down of lithium carbonate futures is mainly affected by news and capital sentiment. Jiangte Motor announced that its subsidiary Yinli will resume production next week, which is a normal maintenance resumption with expected low output in the near future. Recently, the impact of mine disturbances and capital sentiment on lithium carbonate is significant, with high market volatility and active speculative funds. When the futures discount is large after the price drop, one can consider buying for hedging [3] Risks - Consumption end fails to meet expectations; Mine end disturbances exceed expectations; Macroeconomic sentiment and open - interest changes have an impact [5]

Core Viewpoint - The overall sentiment in the commodity market has weakened, particularly for lithium carbonate futures, which experienced significant declines due to macroeconomic factors and profit-taking by investors [2][5]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Price Movements - On August 20, lithium carbonate futures opened significantly lower and continued to decline, with the main contract LC2511 closing at the limit down price of 80,980 yuan/ton [2]. - Analysts attribute the decline in lithium carbonate futures to a combination of weakening macroeconomic conditions and profit-taking by investors after a recent price surge above 90,000 yuan/ton [2][3]. - The market sentiment began to adjust on August 19, leading to a broader decline in commodity prices, which further pressured lithium carbonate prices [2][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Despite recent price fluctuations, the supply and demand for lithium carbonate remain in a tight balance, with increased imports of spodumene and rising demand from manufacturers [4][5]. - In July, China imported 750,651 tons of spodumene, a 30.35% increase month-over-month, which helps to offset domestic supply reductions [4]. - The recent downturn in lithium carbonate prices has led to increased purchasing interest from downstream customers, indicating a potential rebound in demand [4][5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while short-term price movements may be influenced by market sentiment, the fundamental supply-demand balance provides a support level for prices, limiting further declines [5][6]. - The current market structure shows a "spot premium over futures" scenario, indicating that future supply constraints may prevent significant price drops [6].

据证券之星公开数据整理，近期雅化集团（002497）发布2025年中报。截至本报告期末，公司营业总收 入34.23亿元，同比下降13.04%，归母净利润1.36亿元，同比上升32.87%。按单季度数据看，第二季度 营业总收入18.86亿元，同比下降9.5%，第二季度归母净利润5330.89万元，同比下降38.9%。本报告期 雅化集团盈利能力上升，毛利率同比增幅18.28%，净利率同比增幅228.5%。 本次财报公布的各项数据指标表现一般。其中，毛利率16.93%，同比增18.28%，净利率2.54%，同比增 228.5%，销售费用、管理费用、财务费用总计3.27亿元，三费占营收比9.56%，同比增22.11%，每股净 资产9.24元，同比增2.59%，每股经营性现金流-0.3元，同比减187.01%，每股收益0.12元，同比增 32.81% | 项目 | 2024年中报 | 2025年中报 | 同比增幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(元) | 39.36 Z | 34.23 Z | -13.04% | | 归母浄利润（元） | 1.02亿 | 1.36 Z | 32. ...

Group 1 - On August 20, the domestic lithium carbonate futures market experienced significant volatility, with the main contract closing at 80,980 yuan/ton, a decline of 8%, and all contracts hitting the limit down [1] - The A-share lithium mining sector also saw a decline, with companies such as Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ), Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ), and Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240.SZ) all reporting drops [1] - The futures market opened sharply lower on August 23, influenced by rumors regarding the transportation of Australian lithium concentrate to China and production disruptions at the Jiangxi mines [3] Group 2 - Jiangte Electric announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Yichun Yinli will resume production soon after a comprehensive equipment overhaul on July 25 [2] - A notable incident involved an investor who shorted lithium carbonate, resulting in a loss of over 16 million yuan within three trading days due to insufficient liquidity and subsequent forced liquidation by the futures company [5][6] - Market sentiment remains pessimistic despite the ongoing demand peak for lithium carbonate, with short-term price fluctuations driven by emotional responses rather than fundamental supply-demand dynamics [7]

Core Viewpoint - Yahua Group's stock price has shown a slight increase, reflecting positive performance in its lithium and civil explosives businesses, with significant revenue growth reported in the first half of 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - As of August 20, 2025, Yahua Group's stock price is 14.18 yuan, up 0.05 yuan from the previous trading day, with a rise of 0.35% [1] - The company reported a revenue of 3.423 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 136 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 32.87% [1] - The civil explosives segment generated a revenue of 1.465 billion yuan, with a net profit of 253 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% and 2.4% respectively [1] - The lithium business achieved a revenue of 1.764 billion yuan, benefiting from the production of lithium concentrate from the Zimbabwe Kamativi lithium mine [1] Group 2: Business Segments - Yahua Group operates in two main business segments: lithium and civil explosives [1] - The company owns lithium mining assets in Sichuan and Zimbabwe, along with three lithium salt production bases [1] - In the civil explosives sector, Yahua Group has a production capacity of over 260,000 tons of explosives and nearly 90 million industrial detonators, positioning it among the industry leaders [1] Group 3: Market Activity - On August 20, 2025, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 74.34 million yuan, accounting for 0.5% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five days, the net outflow of main funds reached 394.22 million yuan, representing 2.63% of the circulating market value [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, the company experienced a revenue decline of over 3% year-on-year due to lower lithium prices compared to earlier in the year [6][9] - The company expects yearly sales volume from Chilean operations to increase by at least 10% versus 2024 [8][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Iodine was the most profitable segment in Q2 with an adjusted gross margin of 57%, contributing over 50% to total company gross profit [9] - Sales volume for the Chile lithium division reached 51,700 metric tons in Q2, similar to Q2 last year, with expectations for Q3 sales to be at least 10% higher than Q2 [32][70] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Strong demand growth for lithium is noted, particularly from the EV sector in China and Europe [6][7] - Prices for lithium carbonate in China have been recovering, with expectations for Q3 prices to be higher than Q2 [32][33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is confident in capturing strong fundamentals in the lithium market while maintaining solid results across all business segments [10] - The strategy remains focused on producing at full capacity and expanding in line with expected market growth [33] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a change in market dynamics with recent price improvements and strong demand growth [6][8] - The company is optimistic about the iodine market, expecting solid fundamentals to continue despite supply constraints [20][51] Other Important Information - The Tijuana refinery is now complete and has delivered its first product on spec, with a ramp-up underway to produce 50,000 metric tons of lithium hydroxide annually [8] - The company is working on the Salar Futuro project, with environmental studies expected to be submitted next year [43][44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Midterm or long-term goals for SPN - The company aims to grow its SPN business by adding services and products while maintaining solid margins [12][14] Question: Expansion of Mount Holland - The expansion decision will not be made in 2025, with ongoing engineering studies and approvals [15][16] Question: Iodine price sustainability - Demand for iodine is expected to grow, but supply constraints may limit growth [18][20] Question: Mt. Holland mine economics - Current production costs are not reflective of long-term projections, but the company remains profitable [39][40] Question: Update on Codelco deal - The process with Codelco is moving positively, with expectations for completion in the coming months [54][66] Question: Current lithium inventory levels - The company expects to have close to 230,000 metric tons of lithium inventory, aligning with projected sales [69][70]