智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，维持金沙中国(01928)"优于大市"评级。该行预计公司2026- 2027年的净收益为7937/8363百万美元，同比增长6.2%/5.4%，博彩毛收入为7652/8082百万美元，同比增 长6.6%/5.6%，经调整物业EBITDA为2483/2643百万美元(原为2601/2784百万美元)，经调整物业EBITDA 利润率为31.3%/31.6%，公司在澳门的市场份额持续多年第一，拥有规模最大的娱乐场及会展中心，该 行给予公司2026E 12x EV/EBITDA(原为12.5x)，对应市值为1804亿港元，对应股价为22.3港元。 公司博彩毛收入达20.2亿美元，同比提升23.1%，同比增速超行业水平(15%)，环比提升9.9%。其中， VIP/中场/老虎机的博彩毛收入分别为2.8/15.4/2.0亿美元，同比分别变动+155.8%/+12.8%/20.4%。中场业 务中，普通中场/高端中场的博彩毛收入分别为7.51/7.91亿美元，同比分别变动+11.9%/+13.8%，环比分 别变动-0.4%/+1.9%。该行认为，公司博彩毛收入的提升主要受VIP和高端中场 ...

瑞银称，本季度利润率低于预期，主要反映成本增加以及收入结构向利润率较低的高端板块倾斜。管理 层重申其目标，即澳门物业年度EBITDA达到27亿美元，该行认为这将由资产利用率的改善支持。管理 层认为，自第2季度以来营销计划的改进和新设施的推出，促使博彩收入增长走在正确方向，并将在 2026年重点优化促销效率。管理层指出，基础中场板块的人均消费保持停滞，向高端板块的倾斜可能影 响其利润率结构。 瑞银发布研报称，拉斯维加斯金沙(LVS)公布2025年第4季度澳门物业调整后EBITDA为6.08亿美元，同 比增长约6%，若调整贵宾厅的投注率，EBITDA为5.82亿美元，低于市场共识预测的6.28亿美元。该行 予金沙中国(01928)"中性"评级，目标价22.4港元。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Sands China [2][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved net revenue of USD 2.058 billion in Q4 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.2%. Adjusted property EBITDA reached USD 608 million, up 6.5% year-over-year, with an adjusted property EBITDA margin of 29.5% [4][12][15]. - The performance of the company's properties varied, with The Venetian and Plaza showing net revenue increases both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, while The Parisian and Sands underperformed [13][14]. - The company's gaming gross revenue increased significantly to USD 2.02 billion, up 23.1% year-over-year, driven by growth in VIP and premium mass segments [5][14]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 29.5%, down 2.7 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in business structure and rising operating costs [6][15]. - The company's market share improved to 24.4% in Q3 2025, up from 23.7% in Q3 2024, indicating a positive trend in competitive positioning [7]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to generate net revenues of USD 7.937 billion and USD 8.363 billion for FY 2026 and FY 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 6.2% and 5.4% [16]. - Gaming gross revenue is projected to be USD 7.652 billion and USD 8.082 billion for FY 2026 and FY 2027, reflecting year-over-year growth of 6.6% and 5.6% [16]. - Adjusted property EBITDA is forecasted to reach USD 2.483 billion and USD 2.643 billion for FY 2026 and FY 2027, with corresponding margins of 31.3% and 31.6% [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Sands China [2][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved net revenue of USD 2.058 billion in Q4 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.2%. Adjusted property EBITDA reached USD 608 million, up 6.5% year-over-year, with an adjusted property EBITDA margin of 29.5% [4][12]. - The performance of the company's properties varied, with The Venetian and Plaza showing net revenue increases both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, while The Parisian and Sands underperformed [13][14]. - The company's gaming gross revenue increased significantly to USD 2.02 billion, up 23.1% year-over-year, driven by growth in VIP and premium mass segments [5][14]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 29.5%, down 2.7 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in business structure and rising operating costs [6][15]. - The company's market share improved to 24.4% in Q3 2025, up from 23.7% in Q3 2024, indicating a positive trend in competitive positioning [7]. Financial Projections - For FY 2026 and 2027, net revenue is projected to be USD 7.937 billion and USD 8.363 billion, respectively, with gaming gross revenue expected to reach USD 7.652 billion and USD 8.082 billion [16]. - The adjusted property EBITDA is forecasted to be USD 2.483 billion in 2026 and USD 2.643 billion in 2027, with corresponding adjusted property EBITDA margins of 31.3% and 31.6% [16].

Financial Performance - Sands China reported a Q4 2025 EBITDA of $608 million, a 6% year-over-year increase, but 3% below market expectations[5] - The EBITDA margin decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 29.6% due to higher operating costs and a shift in revenue composition[5] - Net revenue for Q4 2025 grew by 16% to $2.057 billion, with all properties except for Sands Macao showing growth[5] Operational Insights - Overall occupancy rate reached 98.5%, up from 96.8% in Q3 2025[5] - VIP business accounted for 14% of total gaming revenue in Q4 2025, up from 7% in Q4 2024[5] - Commission and rebate expenses reached $481 million, representing 23.8% of total gaming revenue, compared to 22.2% in Q3 2025 and 19.9% in Q4 2024[5] Future Outlook - Capital expenditure guidance for 2026 remains at $400 million[5] - Management believes that the 2026 World Cup will not have a significant impact on Macau operations[5] - The focus remains on absolute EBITDA growth, with dividend growth expected to align with cash flow growth[5] Market Context - The report aligns with Citic Securities Wealth Management's views, indicating a consensus on the company's performance outlook[5] - Catalysts for profit recovery include continued growth in mass gaming, dividend restoration, and supportive Chinese policies[6] - Risks include increased competition in Macau, regulatory risks, and tightening controls on cross-border capital flows[7]

智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，予金沙中国(01928)"跑赢大市"评级，目标价22.9港元。2025年第 四季EBITDA同比增长6%至6.08亿美元，当中包括因贵宾厅赢率高于正常水平而带来的2,600万美元正面 影响，但仍较市场及该行预期低3%及10%。EBITDA利润率同比下降2.7个百分点至29.6%，主要由于营 运开支上升，以及高端博彩业务的收入占比增加。展望未来，公司见到促销力度已开始稳定，未来重点 仍集中于扩大EBITDA规模。 ...

消息面，COMEX黄金期货价格最高突破5626美元/盎司，再创历史新高，2026年开年以来累计涨幅已超 27%。 信达期货认为，展望后市，短期来看由于地缘事件的发展不确定性较大，地缘政治风险对金价的即时刺 激可能在后续出现阶段性降温，金价在快速拉升后不排除出现高位震荡甚至技术性回调。但从更宏观的 视角看，相关不确定性并未消除，特朗普政府对外政策风格激进且行动路径复杂，地缘扰动呈现反复出 现且难以定价的特征，这意味着地缘风险仍将以尾部风险的形式持续存在，为金价提供长期风险溢价支 撑。 截至发稿，恒生指数开盘报27627.11点，下跌199.80点，跌幅0.72%。 | 分割 5日 = 5分 15分 30分 00分 国K 国K 用K #K = | 同意位 · 其他 · ■ / : 恒生指数 (HSt) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生酶数 均线 ▼ | 0000 | 27627.11 | 4-199.80 | | | | | 27826.91 | 行情报险 | | | | | | 27500 0 | 成交量 | 6,48亿 最高 | 2762 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong gaming stocks experienced a significant decline, with Sands China dropping over 8%, reaching a new low for the period [1] - Other notable declines include Galaxy Entertainment down over 3%, Wynn Macau down 2.8%, MGM China down 2.5%, Melco International Development down 1.8%, and SJM Holdings down over 1% [1] Group 2 - Sands China announced that its net revenue for Q4 2025 is projected to increase by 16.4% to $2.05 billion compared to Q4 2024, which was $2.37 billion [1] - The adjusted property EBITDA for Q4 2025 is expected to be $608 million, up from $571 million in Q4 2024 [1] - For the full year 2025, the adjusted property EBITDA is projected to be $2.31 billion, slightly down from $2.33 billion in 2024 [1] Group 3 - According to a report by Jefferies, the average daily gaming revenue in Macau for the week ending January 25 was MOP 695 million, reflecting an 18% year-on-year increase but a slight week-on-week decline of 1% [1] - Channel surveys indicate that both mass and VIP gaming revenues have increased by 6% to 8% month-to-date, although the win rate has slightly decreased to between 2.4% and 2.7% [1]

消息面上，金沙中国今早公告，2025年第四季的净收益总额由2024年第四季增加16.4%至20.5亿美元； 净收入为2.13亿美元，而2024年第四季则为2.37亿美元。此外，2025年第四季的经调整物业EBITDA为 6.08亿美元，而2024年第四季则为5.71亿美元；2025年全年的经调整物业EBITDA为23.1亿美元，而2024 年全年则为23.3亿美元，同比微减0.858%。 智通财经APP获悉，金沙中国(01928)重挫逾8%，截至发稿，跌8.23%，报17.29港元，成交额2.65亿港 元。 ...

智通财经APP讯，金沙中国有限公司(01928)发布公告，金沙中国2025年第四季的净收益总额由2024年第 四季增加16.4%至20.5亿美元。金沙中国2025年第四季的净收入为2.13亿美元，而2024年第四季则为2.37 亿美元。 金沙中国2025年的净收益总额由2024年增加5.1%至74.4亿美元。金沙中国2025年的净收入为9.01亿美 元，而2024年则为10.5亿美元。 金沙中国2025年第四季的经调整物业EBITDA为6.08亿美元，而2024年第四季则为5.71亿美元。金沙中 国2025年全年的经调整物业EBITDA为23.1亿美元，而2024年全年则为23.3亿美元。 ...