Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements from Northern Rare Earth and Baotou Steel indicate a significant increase in the price of rare earth concentrate, reflecting a broader trend of rising prices in the rare earth market driven by supply constraints and increased demand [1][2][3]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth expects a substantial increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a net profit of 0.9 billion to 0.96 billion yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of 855 million to 915 million yuan, equating to a growth rate of 1882.54% to 2014.71% [3]. - The company also anticipates a non-net profit of 0.88 billion to 0.94 billion yuan, with an increase of 865 million to 925 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 5538.33% to 5922.76% [3]. - The performance surge is attributed to rising rare earth prices and improved operational efficiency, with the company achieving record production and sales [3]. Market Trends - The price of rare earth concentrate has been on an upward trajectory, with the proposed price for Q3 2025 set at 19,109 yuan per ton, up from 18,825 yuan in Q2 and 18,618 yuan in Q1 of 2025 [2]. - The demand for rare earth elements is expected to grow due to advancements in industries such as robotics and electric vehicles, leading to increased global demand for medium and heavy rare earths [4]. - The Ministry of Commerce has indicated a commitment to maintaining the stability of the global supply chain for rare earths, with ongoing approvals for export licenses contributing to market activity [4]. Industry Outlook - Analysts from Guotou Securities predict that the price of rare earths will continue to rise, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium, due to supply chain concerns following export controls [5]. - The demand for rare earths is expected to remain strong, driven by sectors such as new energy vehicles and wind power, with a potential supply-demand imbalance for praseodymium and neodymium [5]. - The overall market for rare earths is anticipated to experience a tightening supply situation, which could lead to further price increases [5]. Resource Distribution - Rare earth elements are classified into light and heavy categories, with heavy rare earths being rarer and more unevenly distributed, primarily concentrated in China [6]. - China holds over 80% of the global heavy rare earth reserves, with significant deposits located in provinces such as Jiangxi, Fujian, Guangdong, and Yunnan [6].

文 | 青茶 近年来，随着美国与欧盟不断对中国施压，试图通过加征关税和实施制裁来遏制中国的崛起，全球经济格局也经历了深刻的变化。与此同时，中国凭借坚定 的经济政策和灵活多变的外交策略，逐渐在国际舞台上占据了举足轻重的地位。近期，围绕稀土管控以及钢铁反倾销关税的争议引发了全球广泛关注，而中 国与巴基斯坦、孟加拉国的合作也使得印度的战略压力不断加大。那么，中国究竟是如何在这一复杂局势中实现战略突破的呢？ 稀土素有"现代工业粮食"之称，是支撑高科技产业的关键资源，尤其在军事领域及半导体产业中具有无可替代的重要作用。作为全球稀土资源的最大供应 国，中国在这一战略资源的掌控上无疑处于领先地位。近年来，随着中美贸易战的加剧，中国对稀土出口的管控逐步收紧，这引发了美国、日本、欧盟等国 家的深切忧虑，尤其在全球科技竞争日益激烈的背景下，稀土资源的供应问题成为国际政治博弈中的重要筹码。 美国对稀土的依赖几乎无法避免。稀土元素被广泛应用于高科技产品、军事装备及能源领域，尤其是在军事领域，美军的战机、导弹、雷达系统等装备几乎 都离不开稀土元素。然而，美国稀土资源的储备早已接近枯竭，若不能从外部及时获得稀土，将直接影响未来几年美军的 ...

稀土又要涨价了。 7月10日晚间，北方稀土、包钢股份双双公告，拟将2025年第三季度稀土精矿关联交易价格调整为不含税19109元/吨（干量， REO=50%，下同），REO每增减1%、不含税价格增减382.18元/吨。 记者梳理北方稀土、包钢股份此前公告发现，近一年以来，稀土精矿交易价格持续上调。 | 时间 | 拟调整价格(元/吨) | | --- | --- | | 2025年第三季度 | 19109 | | 2025年第二季度 | 18825 | | 2025年第一季度 | 18618 | | 2024年第四季度 | 17782 | | 2024年第三季度 | 16741 | | 2024年第二季度 | 16792 | | 2024年第一季度 | 20737 | 稀土精矿交易价格（不含税） （数据来源：公告） 值得一提的是，就在昨日（7月9日），北方稀土发布业绩预增公告称，经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年半年度实现归母净利 润9亿元到9.6亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加8.55亿元到9.15亿元，同比增长1882.54%至2014.71%。预计2025年半年度实现归母 扣非净利润8.8亿元到9.4亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Multiple listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have released important announcements, highlighting significant developments and performance forecasts that may impact investor decisions [1]. Company Announcements - **Saili Medical**: The therapeutic hypertension vaccine project by its affiliate, Huajiyuan Biotechnology, faces significant uncertainty despite recent market interest in innovative drugs. The company holds a 15.61% stake in Huajiyuan, which reported a revenue of 26,800 yuan and a net loss of 2,382,300 yuan for 2024 [3]. - **Renfu Pharmaceutical**: Shareholder,招商生科, has secured a loan commitment of up to 750 million yuan from招商银行武汉分行 to increase its stake in Renfu Pharmaceutical. The planned share buyback will occur within six months starting from July 3, 2025, with a maximum purchase price of 25.53 yuan per share [4]. - **China Merchants Energy Shipping**: The company has received a new multi-purpose heavy-lift vessel, "Mingshi," as part of its order for four eco-friendly vessels. The fleet now includes 102 operational bulk carriers, with 16 vessels on order for future delivery [5]. - **Shangwei New Materials**: The company announced a significant stock price fluctuation, with a 30% increase over two days. A share transfer agreement was signed, potentially changing the controlling shareholder to Zhiyuan Hengyue, pending shareholder approval [6]. - **Northern Rare Earth**: The trading price for rare earth concentrates has been adjusted to 19,109 yuan per ton for Q3 2025, based on market conditions [7]. - **Baotou Steel**: Similar to Northern Rare Earth, Baotou Steel has proposed an adjustment of the rare earth concentrate trading price to 19,109 yuan per ton for Q3 2025 [9]. - **Shanghai Mechanical & Electrical**: The company received approval from the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission for the transfer of 51.137 million shares from its controlling shareholder, Shanghai Electric, without changing control [10]. Performance Forecasts - **Eyer Communication**: The company expects a net profit of approximately 463 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 121.13%, driven by growth in the IoT sector [12]. - **Tianbao Infrastructure**: The company forecasts a net profit of 90 million to 130 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1581.8% to 2329.27% due to tax recoveries [13]. - **China Shipbuilding**: The expected net profit for the first half of 2025 is between 2.8 billion and 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% due to improved production efficiency and order structure [14]. - **Shanghai Xiba**: The company anticipates a net profit of 99 million to 118 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 136.47% to 181.85%, primarily due to non-recurring income [15]. - **Longyuan Technology**: The expected net profit for the first half of 2025 is between 26 million and 31 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 116.61% to 158.26% [16]. - **Zhengbang Technology**: The company forecasts a net profit of 190 million to 210 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a return to profitability driven by increased pig sales [17][18]. - **Bolong Technology**: The expected net profit for the first half of 2025 is between 22 million and 28 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 123.09% to 183.93% due to successful project deliveries [19]. - **Haitou Shares**: The company anticipates a net profit of approximately 380 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 233.10% due to favorable market conditions [20]. - **Chuangjiang New Materials**: The expected net profit for the first half of 2025 is between 24 million and 29 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 42.35% to 72% [21]. - **Hudian Shares**: The company forecasts a net profit of between 1.65 billion and 1.75 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 44.63% to 53.4% [22]. - **Taiping Bird**: The company expects a net profit of around 77.7 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of approximately 55% due to declining retail performance [23]. - **China Satellite**: The company anticipates a loss of between 21.2 million and 41.2 million yuan for the first half of 2025, attributed to reduced contract fulfillment and increased operational costs [24]. - **ST Yatai**: The company expects a loss of between 12.6 million and 20.9 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to cash flow issues and increased non-recurring expenses [25]. Major Contracts - **Bai Da Group**: The company signed a significant leasing contract for the Hangzhou Department Store, with a rental agreement of 375 million yuan per quarter, increasing by 4.5% every three years [26]. Shareholding Changes - **Baoshui Technology**: A major shareholder plans to reduce their stake by up to 1% through market transactions between August 4 and November 3, 2025 [28].

突破3500点，但市场冲高回落，缩量上涨，接下来市场还能涨吗？我们当下到底应该怎么办？ （原标题：和讯投顾高璐明：突破3500点！要加速了？） 和讯投顾高璐明表示，首先先说观点，我认为到目前为止，本次上涨行情仍然没有结束，而且这位置有 加速的机会。因为一方面我们可以看到，尽管今天市场确实冲高回落，没有给出大家期待的强势的大阳 线，但是今天市场的阳线已经反包了，昨天阴线的实力也就代表着做多力量仍然是比较强的。从这点来 看的话，是有助于推动市场继续展开上涨。 另外第二点，今天市场冲高回落，我们看到量能没有出现明显的放大，也就代表了主力资金没有出现大 举出逃。如果说市场行情想要结束的话，这里面一定是伴随着主力资金在高位开始集体的出货，它才有 可能构成。而今天我们会发现量能反而出现了小幅萎缩，小幅萎缩了只有110亿。从这点又告诉我们， 现在大资金还没有出招，只要大资金还在的话，市场是不可能轻易见高点的。 另外第三点我们会发现啊大金融、银行、保险、证券，包括地产这些权重板块再次开始集体发力了，而 且我们也发现像稀土包括医药板块也继续上涨，也就代表着大的主力资金，它们的权重板块仍然在不断 的去做多，那么这种情况在没有改变 ...

Group 1 - The market is experiencing a significant divergence, with indices reaching new highs while individual stocks are seeing increased instances of decline, indicating a split market sentiment [1] - Despite over 2900 stocks rising and more than 2400 stocks falling today, the overall market remains fragmented, suggesting a selective rally rather than a broad-based one [1] - The current market trend favors large-cap stocks, particularly in sectors like banking, securities, and insurance, which are driving the index higher [1] Group 2 - The banking sector is showing signs of acceleration, while the real estate sector is experiencing unusual movements, indicating potential short-term adjustments ahead [2] - The rare earth sector is also showing positive performance supported by strong earnings, but caution is advised in certain sectors to avoid potential pitfalls [2]

Core Viewpoint - Northern Rare Earth expects significant profit growth in the first half of 2025, with net profit projected to reach between 900 million to 960 million yuan, marking an increase of 1882.54% to 2014.71% compared to the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - From 2021 to the first half of 2024, Northern Rare Earth reported revenues of 14.72 billion yuan, 20.13 billion yuan, 16.48 billion yuan, and 12.99 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 2.036 billion yuan, 3.127 billion yuan, 1.056 billion yuan, and 45.4 million yuan [1] - Annual revenues from 2021 to 2024 were 30.41 billion yuan, 37.26 billion yuan, 33.50 billion yuan, and 32.97 billion yuan, with net profits of 5.130 billion yuan, 5.984 billion yuan, 2.371 billion yuan, and 1.004 billion yuan respectively [2] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 9.287 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61.91%, and net profit of 431 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 727.3% [2] Market Dynamics - The performance of Northern Rare Earth is closely linked to the price trends of rare earth materials, which are essential for various high-tech industries, including electric vehicle batteries and semiconductor manufacturing [2] - China dominates the global rare earth market, accounting for over 60% of global production and 92% of processing, indicating a near-monopoly in the sector [2] - The rare earth prices experienced a significant rise in 2021 due to the explosive growth of the new energy industry, followed by a decline as supply and demand balanced out, and have recently started to recover due to geopolitical tensions and increased sanctions [3]

Core Viewpoint - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co., Ltd. has announced the establishment of a joint venture with Fujian Jinlong Rare Earth Co., Ltd. to build a rare earth separation production line, aiming to enhance the high-quality utilization of rare earth resources [1]. Group 1: Investment and Project Details - The company will invest 153 million yuan in the joint venture, named Northern Jinlong (Baotou) Rare Earth Co., Ltd., which will have an annual production capacity of 5,000 tons of rare earth oxide separation [1]. - The joint venture has passed the anti-monopoly review by the State Administration for Market Regulation and has completed its business registration, obtaining a business license [1]. Group 2: Company Structure and Operations - Northern Jinlong is a limited liability company with a registered capital of 300 million yuan, where the company holds a 51% stake and Jinlong Rare Earth holds 49% [1]. - The company is located in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, and its business scope includes non-ferrous metal processing, rare earth metal smelting, sales of rare earth functional materials, and various consulting services [1].

关于 2025 年第三季度稀土精矿交易价格的公告 证券代码：600111 证券简称：北方稀土 公告编号：2025—042 中国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司 特此公告 中国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司 董 事 会 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 中国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 易定价机制暨 2022 年度执行及 2023 年度预计的议案》。公司与关联 方内蒙古包钢钢联股份有限公司约定，自 2023 年 4 月 1 日起，在稀 土精矿定价公式不变的情况下，每季度首月上旬，公司经理层根据稀 土精矿定价公式计算、调整稀土精矿价格，重新签订稀土精矿供应合 同或补充协议并公告。具体详见公司于 2023 年 3 月 15 日、3 月 31 日在《中国证券报》《上海证券报》《证券时报》及上海证券交易所 网站发布的《北方稀土关于稀土精矿日常关联交易定价机制暨 2022 年度执行及 2023 年度预计的公告》《北方稀土 2023 年第一次临时股 东大会决议公告》等公告。 根据稀土精矿定价方法及 ...

证券代码：600549 证券简称：厦门钨业 公告编号：临-2025-061 厦门钨业股份有限公司 关于控股子公司金龙稀土参股设立合资公司建设 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 厦门钨业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 12 月 30 日召开的 第十届董事会第九次会议审议通过了《关于控股子公司金龙稀土参股设立合资公 司建设 5000 吨氧化稀土分离生产线项目的议案》，董事会同意公司控股子公司 福建省金龙稀土股份有限公司（以下简称"金龙稀土"）出资 14,700 万元与中 国北方稀土（集团）高科技股份有限公司（以下简称"北方稀土"）合资设立北 方金龙（包头）稀土有限公司（以下简称"北方金龙"），并以北方金龙为主体 建设年产 5000 吨氧化稀土分离生产线项目，推动稀土资源高质化利用。具体内 容详见公司于 2024 年 12 月 31 日披露的《关于控股子公司金龙稀土参股设立合 资公司建设 5000 吨氧化稀土分离生产线项目的公告》 （公告编号：临-2024-105）。 股权结构：北方稀土持股 51%、 ...