周度报告—工业硅/多晶硅 估值低位易受扰动，基本面仍待改善 | [T走ab势le_评R级an：k] | 工业硅：震荡/多晶硅：震荡 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025 | 年 | 6 | 月 | 8 | 日 | [★Ta工bl业e_硅Summary] 6 月四川进入丰水期，部分硅厂陆续复产。云南 7 月进入丰水 期，由于电价没有明确给予优惠，因此大部分硅厂仍处于观望 状态。需求端仍无明显起色。盘面快速下跌后，硅厂惜售，期 现手中的货源出货情况较好，但硅厂惜售也导致工厂库存不断 累积，不排除库存压力下部分硅厂仍将降价出货。目前盘面价 格几乎跌破全行业现金成本线，后续关注供给的进一步变化。 ★多晶硅 有 色 金 属 节后现货成交较少，采购方压价情绪强烈，而一线硅料厂仍在 挺价，导致双方处于僵持状态，二三线料厂前期价格有所下 移。6 月硅料排产上调至 9.6 万吨，单月仍有望去库 1 万吨左 右。前期下游备货使得原材料库存变动较大，但备货主力仍为 前期原材料库存较高的几家硅片厂，其余硅片厂无太多原材料 囤货。下 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-06-06 商品情绪好转，需注意空单止盈平仓引发风险 工业硅： 市场分析 2025-06-05，工业硅期货价格偏弱震荡，主力合约2507开于7200元/吨，最后收于7135元/吨，较前一日结算变化（-40） 元/吨，变化（-0.56）%。截止收盘，2505主力合约持仓183965手，2025-06-06仓单总数为61309手，较前一日变化 -494手。 供应端：工业硅现货价格持稳。据SMM数据，昨日华东通氧553#硅在8000-8300（0）元/吨；421#硅在8400-9200 （-50）元/吨，新疆通氧553价格7500-7700（0）元/吨，99硅价格在7500-7700（0）元/吨。 SMM统计6月5日工业硅主要地区社会库存共计58.7万吨，较上周环比减少0.2万吨。其中社会普通仓库13.5万吨， 较上周环比增加0.1万吨，社会交割仓库45.2万吨（含未注册成仓单及现货部分），较上周环比减少0.3万吨。 消费端：据SMM统计，有机硅DMC报价11300-11600（0）元/吨。SMM报道，本周国内DMC报价11300-11600元/ 吨，均价较上周小幅下降50元/吨 ...

Group 1 - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net loss of RMB 263.01 million, with total revenue of RMB 3,198.89 million and operating costs of RMB 3,006.23 million, indicating multiple negative factors have been released [1] - The multi-crystalline silicon supply-demand situation is slowly improving, with the industry expected to remain under pressure in 2025 due to high inventory levels and weak demand [1] - The company’s revenue composition for 2024 shows that multi-crystalline silicon accounts for 37.4%, while wind and solar power station construction and operation account for 35.9% and 11.3% respectively, suggesting that the company's value is severely underestimated when considering its renewable energy assets [1] Group 2 - The company has been given a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 5.66 per share, representing a potential upside of 32% based on a projected 8x PE for 2026 [2]

2025 年 06 月 06 日 商 品 研 究 工业硅：商品情绪改善，关注上行风险 多晶硅：弱势基本面格局依旧 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | Si2507收盘价（元/吨） | 7,135 | -145 | -205 | -1,405 | | | Si2507成交量（手） | 417,845 | -389,089 | -206,996 | 231,053 | | | Si2507持仓量（手） | 183,965 | 3,637 | -42,104 | 17,430 | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | PS2507收盘价（元/吨） | 34,540 | -515 | -560 | - | | | PS2507成交量（手） | 127,429 | -135,318 | -25,843 | - | | | PS2507持仓量（手） | 65,802 | -2,071 | ...

请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 2025年06月06日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-绿色金融与新能源 | 观点与策略 | | --- | | 镍：短线成本托底，预期偏弱压制 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：负反馈与减产博弈，钢价区间震荡 | 2 | | 碳酸锂：基本面疲弱，关注中美关税修复的可能性 | 4 | | 工业硅：商品情绪改善，关注上行风险 | 6 | | 多晶硅：弱势基本面格局依旧 | 6 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 【宏观及行业新闻】 1）印尼政府近期对非税国家收入提出相关调整建议，镍矿、镍铁、镍生铁和镍锍资源税率分别由 10%、 2%、5%和 2%提高至浮动区间 14%-19%、5%-7%、5%-7%和 4.5%-6.5%。印尼能矿部官员表示，印尼总统于 4 月 11 日正式签署镍产品特许权使用费新政，政府令分别为 PP No.18（2025）和 PP No.19（2025），并 表示该政策将于 4 月 26 日正式实施。 商 品 研 究 2025 年 6 月 6 日 镍：短线成本托底，预期偏弱压制 不锈钢：负反馈与减产博弈，钢价区间震荡 张再宇 投 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daqo Energy (688303) addresses industry concerns and outlines measures to cope with competitive pressures and price wars in the silicon material sector [1] Group 1: Company Response to Industry Developments - Daqo Energy acknowledges rumors of six leading silicon material companies collaborating to acquire additional production capacity, emphasizing the industry's commitment to healthy development [1] - The company is actively supporting various exploration plans proposed by regulatory bodies and industry associations, prioritizing shareholder interests [1] Group 2: Strategic Measures to Address Competition - The company plans to maintain financial stability, holding approximately 12.9 billion yuan in cash and a debt-to-asset ratio of 8.3% as of Q1 2025, enhancing its risk resilience [1] - Daqo Energy aims to deepen cost reduction and efficiency improvements through a collaborative approach of "technology + management + digitalization," establishing a digital system to foster an "innovation-driven cost reduction" cycle [1] - The company is committed to technological leadership, focusing on "technology-driven + digital empowerment + global layout," enhancing industry-academic-research cooperation to build long-term competitive advantages [1] Group 3: Production and Market Outlook - Daqo Energy forecasts a significant adjustment in the crystalline silicon industry, with production expected to be between 25,000 to 28,000 tons in Q2 and a total output of 110,000 to 140,000 tons by 2025 [1] - The company has a clear strategy for vertical integration and horizontal expansion, controlling upstream raw materials and expanding into semiconductor-grade polysilicon [1] - Daqo Energy is planning a 150,000 tons/year high-purity industrial silicon powder line in Inner Mongolia, with current maintenance of existing facilities [1] Group 4: Market Strategy and Future Plans - The company is in the verification phase for semiconductor-grade polysilicon products, with plans to be determined based on results [1] - While polysilicon futures serve as a supplement to spot sales, the company continues to prioritize spot sales, adjusting production models according to market conditions [1] - Daqo Energy is evaluating investment opportunities in the overseas silicon material market but currently has no specific plans for overseas capacity expansion [1]

Core Viewpoint - Daqo Energy is actively engaging in industry discussions and exploring solutions to challenges in the photovoltaic sector, emphasizing a commitment to shareholder interests and industry health [1] Financial Stability - The company maintains a robust financial position with a total cash reserve of approximately 12.9 billion and a low debt-to-asset ratio of 8.3% as of Q1 2025, enhancing its risk resilience [1] Cost Management - Daqo Energy is focused on deepening cost reduction and efficiency improvements through a multi-faceted approach, including technological advancements and digital management systems to strengthen cost advantages [2] Long-term Competitiveness - The company aims to build long-term competitive advantages by emphasizing technology leadership, digital empowerment, and global expansion, while also investing in research and development [2] Supply Chain Strategy - Daqo Energy is pursuing an integrated strategy that extends upstream to raw materials for polysilicon and horizontally into the semiconductor polysilicon sector, ensuring quality and cost control [3] Industrial Silicon Operations - The company has planned a production capacity of 150,000 tons per year for high-purity industrial silicon in Inner Mongolia, with current operations under maintenance due to market price fluctuations [3] Futures Business - Daqo Energy views polysilicon futures as a beneficial complement to its spot production and sales, primarily focusing on meeting customer demand through spot sales [4] Overseas Market Considerations - The company is closely monitoring the overseas silicon material market, evaluating potential investments based on various geopolitical and economic factors, but currently has no specific plans for overseas expansion [4]

、复制、如引用、 | 然橡胶产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月5日 | | | | 超带動 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品中 | 6月4日 | 6月3日 | 活失 | 派鉄帽 | के य | | 云南国营会乱胶(SCRWF):上海 | 13400 | 13350 | 50 | 0.37% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -255 | -100 | -155 | -155.00% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 13600 | 13500 | 100 | 0.74% | | | 非标价差 | -રેર | 50 | -105 | -210.00% | | | 品种 | 6月4日 | 6月2日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 44.55 | 45.95 | -1.40 | -3.05% | 泰铢/公斤 | | 胶水：国际市场:F ...

知识图强,求实奉献,客户至上,合作共赢 | 然橡胶产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年6月5日 | | | | 超带動 | Z0021810 | | 现货价格及基差 | | | | | | | 品中 | 6月4日 | 6月3日 | 活失 | 派鉄帽 | के य | | 云南国营会乱胶(SCRWF):上海 | 13400 | 13350 | 50 | 0.37% | | | 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) | -255 | -100 | -155 | -155.00% | 元/吨 | | 泰标混合胶报价 | 13600 | 13500 | 100 | 0.74% | | | 非标价差 | -રેર | 50 | -105 | -210.00% | | | 品种 | 6月4日 | 6月2日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 | 44.55 | 45.95 | -1.40 | -3.05% | 泰铢/公斤 | ...

工业硅日报 工业硅&多晶硅日报（2025 年 6 月 5 日） 二、日度数据监测 | | 分项 | | 2025/6/3 | 2025/6/4 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 工业硅 | | | | | | 期货结算价（元/吨） | 主力 | 7075 | 7175 | 100 | | | | 近月 | 7075 | 7175 | 100 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(华东) | 8150 | 8100 | -50 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(黄埔港) | 8200 | 8150 | -50 | | | 不通氧553#现货价格 | 不通氧553#硅(天津港) | 8000 | 7950 | -50 | | | （元/吨） | 不通氧553#硅(昆明) | 8350 | 8300 | -50 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(四川) | 8150 | 8100 | -50 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(上海) | 8550 | 8500 | -50 | | | | 通氧553#硅(华东) | 8200 | 8150 | -50 ...