计算机 2025 年 06 月 22 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -22% 0% 22% 43% 65% 86% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 计算机 沪深300 相关研究报告 《巨头陆续入局，稳定币前景可期— 行业点评报告》-2025.6.16 《重视AI应用和稳定币投资机会—行 业周报》-2025.6.15 《周观点：AI 创新持续涌现—行业周 报》-2025.6.8 跨境通上线，重视跨境支付机会 ——行业点评报告 | 陈宝健（分析师） | 刘逍遥（分析师） | | --- | --- | | chenbaojian@kysec.cn | liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520080001 | 证书编号：S0790520090001 | liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520090001 跨境支付通正式上线，内地与香港金融基础设施成功实现互联互通 6 月 20 日上午，中国人民银行与香港金融管理局联合举办内地与香港快速支付 系统互联互通启动仪式。6 月 22 日，跨境支付通正式上线，全国首笔跨境支 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" and the rise of stablecoins are reshaping the cross-border payment landscape, enhancing efficiency and supporting the internationalization of the RMB [11][12] - JD Group is actively pursuing stablecoin licenses globally, aiming to reduce cross-border payment costs by 90% and transaction times to under 10 seconds [41][48] - The U.S. Senate has passed the "GENIUS Act," establishing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, which mandates full backing by high-quality liquid assets [51][52] Summary by Sections Cross-Border Payment Innovations - The "Cross-Border Payment Link" officially launched on June 22, 2025, connecting payment systems between mainland China and Hong Kong, facilitating efficient cross-border transactions [11][12] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are collaborating to enhance cross-border payment services, which will significantly reduce transaction costs and time [22][23] JD Group's Stablecoin Strategy - JD Group plans to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar and U.S. dollar, with a focus on cross-border trade settlements [41][49] - The stablecoin project is currently in a regulatory sandbox in Hong Kong, with expectations to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025 [49][50] U.S. Regulatory Developments - The "GENIUS Act" passed by the U.S. Senate requires stablecoins to be fully backed by liquid assets, with strict auditing and compliance measures for issuers [51][52] - This legislation aims to provide a clear regulatory framework, enhancing the legitimacy of stablecoins and potentially increasing their adoption in everyday transactions [56][57]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector's fundamentals and expected performance relative to the benchmark index [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the launch of the Cross-Border Payment System by the People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, which aims to enhance cross-border payment efficiency and reduce costs [9][12]. - The report emphasizes the growing importance of stablecoins in the financial ecosystem, particularly in cross-border payments, as regulatory frameworks evolve [17][18]. - The report suggests investment opportunities in both stablecoin issuers and cross-border payment service providers, indicating a shift towards integrating traditional finance with Web3 technologies [18]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry comprises 284 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 3,263.3 billion and a circulating market value of 2,874.2 billion [2]. Market Performance - The computer sector experienced a decline of 1.83% in the third week of June 2025, with notable performers including Sifang Jingchuang and Jin Chengzi [19]. Key Developments - The Cross-Border Payment System will officially launch on June 22, 2025, facilitating efficient and secure cross-border transactions between mainland China and Hong Kong [9][12]. - The initial batch of 12 participating institutions includes major banks from both regions, covering three core areas of cross-border payment services [14][12]. Regulatory Environment - The report discusses the recent legislative developments in the U.S. regarding stablecoins, including the passage of the GENIUS Act, which aims to establish a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins [17]. - The report notes that the stablecoin market is projected to exceed 2 trillion by 2028, driven by increasing adoption and regulatory clarity [17]. Investment Recommendations - The report advises focusing on two main categories for investment: 1) issuers and exchanges with strong business models, such as Circle and Coinbase, and 2) cross-border payment service providers and custodial banks, including New Guo Du and Zong An Online [18].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the remarkable success story of Lucy Liu, a 35-year-old Chinese financial entrepreneur who became New Zealand's first female billionaire, with a net worth of 700 million NZD (approximately 3 billion CNY) through her investment in Airwallex, a cross-border payment company [4][10]. Group 1: Investment Journey - Lucy Liu invested 1 million USD in Airwallex at the age of 25, acquiring a 20% stake, which has now yielded over 1200 times return on her investment [6][10]. - Airwallex, co-founded by four Chinese entrepreneurs, has achieved a valuation exceeding 6.2 billion USD (approximately 44.6 billion CNY) after multiple funding rounds, including a recent 300 million USD Series F round [9][10]. - The company has experienced significant growth, with an annual revenue of 720 million USD, representing a 90% year-on-year increase, and is projected to reach 1 billion USD in annual revenue by 2025 [16]. Group 2: Background and Early Career - Lucy Liu was born in Northern China and moved to New Zealand at the age of 12, where she developed an early interest in finance due to her family's background [14]. - She began investing in stocks at 18, achieving a 100% return on her first investment in Minsheng Bank within six months [15]. - After obtaining a master's degree in finance from the University of Melbourne, she worked in various financial roles before co-founding Airwallex in 2015 [6][15]. Group 3: Company Development and Achievements - Airwallex has been recognized as one of the fastest-growing fintech companies globally and was awarded the HR Asia 2023 Best Employer in Asia [4][10]. - The company has successfully navigated challenges in securing funding, initially facing rejections from several venture capital firms before receiving support from Gobi Partners and later from major investors like Sequoia and Mastercard [8][9]. - Liu has played a multifaceted role in the company, contributing to various functions beyond her initial investment, and has been instrumental in its rapid growth and success [16].

2024年9月AH市场经历令人瞩目的反弹后，外资流入中国市场的资金规模迅速提升，2025年DeepSeek再 次点燃中国资产重估行情，进一步整固外资流入态势。从被动投资角度看，美国上市的主要中国ETF也 在近期录得明显流入。 3、特朗普2.0时代"百日新政"后的新变量。回顾"百日新政"，将特朗普的百日执政成果与其上任前宣称 的执政目标进行对比，从总体来看，目前特朗普对于其竞选前的承诺兑现度仍偏低。随着特朗普执政节 奏的推进，关税的落地结果和减税政策的推进成为市场新一轮的关注焦点。展望后续，我们认为围绕两 大核心问题（关税反复性+减支能力有限）的政策博弈仍然激烈，市场波动率或进一步放大。 （一）重磅消息 据央视新闻报道，6月20日上午，中国人民银行与香港金融管理局联合举办内地与香港快速支付系统互 联互通启动仪式。跨境支付通是中央政府支持香港发展和便利民生、推动内地与香港合作的又一项重要 举措，通过内地网上支付跨行清算系统与香港快速支付系统"转数快"直接连接，在遵守两地法律法规的 前提下，支持参与机构为两地居民提供高效、便捷、安全的跨境支付服务。跨境支付通于2025年6月22 日上线运行。 （二）券商最新研判 天 ...

Group 1: Medical Devices and Healthcare - The National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) is set to introduce new measures to support the innovation and development of high-end medical devices, which will promote the application of new technologies, materials, and methods in healthcare [1] Group 2: Technology and Software - Huawei's HarmonyOS 6 was unveiled at the 2025 Developer Conference, with the developer Beta version officially launched, indicating a significant demand for talent in the Harmony ecosystem, which has over 30,000 applications in development and more than 8 million registered developers [2] Group 3: Financial Services - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority launched a cross-border payment system to facilitate efficient and secure payment services between mainland China and Hong Kong, set to go live on June 22, 2025 [3] - The Ministry of Commerce reported that from January to May 2025, foreign direct investment in China amounted to 358.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.2% [5] Group 4: Investment and IPOs - Yushu Technology has completed a C-round financing of approximately 700 million yuan, with a post-financing valuation of about 12 billion yuan, and is actively pursuing an IPO, primarily targeting the A-share market [6] Group 5: Taxation and Revenue - From January to May 2025, the total revenue of the general public budget in China was 96,623 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.3%. The securities transaction stamp duty reached 66.8 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 52.4% [7] Group 6: Market Trends - The U.S. stock market saw gains, with the Nasdaq rising over 0.5%, and Bitcoin-related stocks performing well, indicating a positive market sentiment [8] - Japan's Ministry of Finance plans to reduce the issuance of super-long-term government bonds by 3.2 trillion yen (approximately 220 billion USD), exceeding market expectations [9] - South Korea's KOSPI index rose by 1.48%, surpassing the 3000-point mark for the first time since January 2022, driven by positive news in the AI sector and fiscal stimulus measures [10]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise, driven by significant positive signals from the central bank and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) during the Lujiazui Forum, with the electronic components and consumer electronics sectors leading the gains [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices closed higher, with a total trading volume of 1.19 trillion yuan, particularly in technology sectors such as electronic components, consumer electronics, and semiconductors [4][5]. - The CSRC announced reforms for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market), which may position the technology sector as a main focus for future market movements [2][6]. Group 2: Policy Announcements - The central bank introduced eight major financial opening measures, including the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center, which is expected to positively impact related sectors [6][9]. - The CSRC's reforms include the reintroduction of the fifth set of standards for unprofitable companies on the STAR Market, expanding the scope to include artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy sectors [7][10]. Group 3: Sector Benefits - The reforms are expected to directly benefit sectors such as semiconductor design, manufacturing, AI chip companies, and data centers [8][10]. - The financial opening measures are anticipated to enhance financing convenience for new energy and environmental technology enterprises [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Historical data suggests that significant reform signals during the forum can lead to several months of structural market trends, with a focus on technology stocks [14][26]. - Analysts remain optimistic about the A-share market, indicating that the upward trend is likely to continue, supported by improving market sentiment and liquidity [16][26]. Group 5: Institutional Trends - There has been a notable shift in institutional investment towards emerging industries, with the electronic sector's institutional allocation increasing from 1.44% in 2014 to 7.62% in 2024, marking a significant rise [28][30]. - The technology sector is currently viewed as being in a high cost-performance range, with various indicators suggesting favorable conditions for investment [31][33].

Core Insights - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum highlighted the focus of Chinese financial authorities on cross-border payment systems, emphasizing the need for innovation and efficiency in this area [1][2] Group 1: Digital Currency and Cross-Border Payments - The People's Bank of China announced the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center in Shanghai to promote the internationalization of the digital currency and financial market development [1] - The rise of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and stablecoins is reshaping traditional payment systems, significantly reducing the cross-border payment chain [1][2] - The RMB has become the second-largest trade financing currency and the third-largest payment currency globally, reflecting its increasing international status [2] Group 2: Challenges and Innovations in Cross-Border Payment Systems - Traditional cross-border payment systems face challenges such as low efficiency and high costs, prompting a global call for improvement and diversification [2] - The multilateral central bank digital currency bridge project has shown promising results, with payments processed in 6 to 9 seconds, compared to 2 to 5 days for traditional methods, and nearly halving transaction costs [3] - The interoperability of payment systems is improving, with countries extending operational hours and adopting international messaging standards to enhance cross-border payment efficiency [4] Group 3: Regional Cooperation and Future Trends - The renewal of the bilateral currency swap agreement between the People's Bank of China and the Central Bank of Turkey supports the use of local currencies for cross-border settlements [2] - The trend towards a more efficient, secure, inclusive, and diversified global cross-border payment system is expected to continue [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming 2025 Lujiazui Forum, focusing on financial policies and market opportunities related to financial openness, green finance, and AI finance [3][4][14]. Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the three major indices slightly declining. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.21 trillion, a decrease of 78.7 billion compared to the previous trading day [1]. - Over 3,500 stocks rose, but the number of stocks hitting the daily limit decreased, while the number of stocks hitting the lower limit increased, indicating cautious market sentiment. Defensive sectors like military and gold performed well, while consumer electronics and innovative pharmaceuticals saw corrections [2]. Lujiazui Forum Agenda - The forum will take place from June 18 to 19, 2025, with key speeches from leaders of major financial regulatory bodies and the Shanghai municipal government [3]. - The opening ceremony will focus on "Financial Openness and High-Quality Development in the Context of Global Economic Changes," emphasizing market access and promoting the internationalization of the RMB [6]. - Subsequent sessions will address sustainable capital market development and cooperation between Shanghai and Hong Kong as international financial centers, with discussions on new initiatives expected [7]. Historical Themes and Impacts - The article reviews the core themes of the Lujiazui Forum from 2020 to 2024, highlighting the impact of each year's focus on various sectors: - 2020: Focused on "Shanghai International Financial Center," leading to gains in tech and consumer stocks due to policy support [9]. - 2021: Addressed "China's Financial Reform and Opening Up," boosting new energy sectors [10]. - 2022: Emphasized "Financial Support for Carbon Neutrality," benefiting wind and energy sectors despite market volatility [11]. - 2023: Centered on "New Era, New Finance," with AI and digital economy themes driving performance in computing and cloud sectors [12]. - 2024: Focused on "High-Quality Financial Development," with implications for cross-border cooperation and green finance [13]. 2025 Forum Policy Directions and Market Opportunities - The 2025 forum will focus on financial openness, green finance, AI finance, and capital market reforms, with several sectors expected to benefit: - **Brokerage and Financial Services**: Major brokerages like CITIC Securities and internet brokerages like Eastmoney are likely to benefit from financial openness [14][15]. - **Banking Sector**: Banks such as Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank may see advantages from cross-border business expansions [15]. - **Cross-Border Payment Companies**: Companies like Sifang Jichuang and Hailian Jinhui are positioned to benefit from upgraded cross-border payment policies [16][17]. - **Technology and Hard Science**: Leading companies in the sci-tech sector, such as SMIC and Northern Huachuang, are expected to gain from capital market stability [18][19]. - **Green Finance and New Energy**: Companies like CATL and Longi Green Energy will benefit from policies promoting green finance and carbon market development [21][22]. - **Fintech and AI**: Companies like Ant Group and Tencent Financial Technology may receive more policy support for AI applications in finance [24][25]. - **Insurance and Insurtech**: Insurance firms like China Insurance and ZhongAn Online may benefit from policies supporting the development of the reinsurance market [28][29].

跨境支付行业现状及稳定币的应用探讨 20250616 摘要 跨境支付试点项目满足了中小商家的需求，为他们提供了合规的资金收 付渠道，解决了传统银行外汇结售汇业务难以覆盖的问题。该项目由银 行和外管局启动，首批试点牌照授予快钱、连连、支付宝和通联等机构。 跨境支付行业经历了从 B2C 到 B2B 的演变，早期通过申请牌照开展 B2C 业务，后拓展至 B2B 业务，如义乌小商品市场和阿里巴巴国际站 通过蚂蚁国际申请牌照提供海外账户服务。万里汇、云汇、连连等机构 也开始拓展 B2B 业务。 当前跨境支付行业头部机构包括 PingPong、连连、Worldpay 等，市 场占有率分散，各具特色和优势。PingPong 较早获得国内支付业务许 可证，连连在海外持有大量牌照，蚂蚁国际凭借庞大交易体量稳居前三， XTransfer 专注于 B2B 业务。 蚂蚁国际通过收购 WorldFirst 迅速获得品牌效应和市场认可， WorldFirst 在 2018 年时在中国地区拥有较高市场占有率，并在多个海 外国家和地区有业务分布。连连支付更专注于国内市场，并逐步向欧洲、 澳大利亚、新加坡和日本等地扩展。 Q&A 跨境支付行业 ...