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高盛:黄金明年目标价还有上调风险!最大动力来自美国散户
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-12-11 13:09
尽管Costco金条和美国造币厂金币销售在社交媒体上引起了热议,但报告指出,与黄金ETF资金流入相 比,美国实物黄金需求微不足道——今年迄今仅11至15吨,而ETF净买入约400吨。 美国私人投资者对黄金的低配置与主要机构和市场人士的建议形成鲜明对比,包括花旗、瑞银、摩根士 丹利、贝莱德和桥水创始人瑞·达利欧(Ray Dalio),他们都建议投资者在投资组合中增加黄金,比例 应为中高个位数百分比。 高盛表示,尽管黄金今年创下历史新高,但美国私人投资者的黄金持仓很低,这意味着金价可能还有更 大上涨空间。 尽管黄金价格屡创新高,但美国私人投资组合中的黄金配置几乎没有变化。根据高盛周三发布的分析, 自2000年代中期黄金ETF推出以来,黄金ETF在私人非现金金融投资组合中的占比仍比2012年峰值低6 个基点(0.06个百分点)。 高盛分析师写道,美国私人投资者的黄金配置如此之低的原因很简单:"过去十年,其投资组合增长速 度超过了黄金价格和交易量的增长。" 尽管黄金价格在2025年飙升至新的历史高点,但高盛分析显示,这轮涨势并未转化为美国投资者实际持 有量的显著增加。 截至第二季度,黄金ETF仅占美国私人非现金金融投 ...
正通汽车(01728.HK)与国贸财务订三年金融服务协议
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 12:41
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zhengtong Automobile (01728.HK) has entered into a new financial services agreement with Guomao Finance, which will provide various financial services starting from January 1, 2026, for a duration of three years [1] - The new agreement includes deposit services, payment and settlement services, and other financial services that do not require the group to deposit or custody assets [1] - The existing financial services agreement will continue until its expiration on December 31, 2025 [1]
美债企稳静待联储购债启动 市场聚焦30年期国债拍卖
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 12:00
Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury market is stabilizing after experiencing its largest increase in three weeks, with investors preparing for the Federal Reserve's monthly $40 billion Treasury bill purchase program [1] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond remains steady at 4.14%, while the two-year bond yield stabilized after a significant drop, following the Fed's decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5%-3.75% [1] - Jefferies Group's Chief Economist and Strategist Mohit Kumar emphasized the importance of balance sheet expansion, noting that the Fed's purchasing operations will have a stimulative effect as the Treasury shifts its issuance towards Treasury bills and short-term bonds [1] Group 2 - The U.S. Labor Department is set to release initial jobless claims data, with economists expecting an increase from 191,000 to 220,000 [4] - The U.S. Treasury plans to complete its weekly debt issuance by selling $22 billion in 30-year bonds, following a previous auction that saw widening tail spreads, which pushed yields higher [4] - Other markets, including Eurozone and UK bonds, are generally stable, while Japanese bonds rose due to strong demand in a 20-year bond auction, attracting investors with higher yields [4]
德城区国企改革深化:三措并举,区属国企资产总额突破230亿
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-12-11 11:42
Core Viewpoint - The deepening of state-owned enterprise (SOE) reform is crucial for adapting to China's modernization, optimizing state capital layout, and enhancing the quality and efficiency of the state economy [3] Group 1: SOE Reform Initiatives - The government of Decheng has set the goal of "enhancing core functions and improving core competitiveness" as part of the SOE reform, focusing on stimulating enterprise vitality and enhancing competitiveness [3] - The "three-year action plan for SOE reform" and the "deepening and enhancing action for SOE reform" are being implemented to achieve high-quality development of district-level state-owned enterprises [3] Group 2: Resource Allocation Reform - The reform includes resource allocation through classification and integration, aiming to activate development momentum and optimize the layout of state capital [3] - By November 2025, five district-level state-owned enterprises are expected to have total assets of 23.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7%, achieving a classification of "production-oriented services" and "life-oriented services" [3] - Key enterprises include Jiuda Holdings focusing on urban development, Derun Company on the Grand Canal, and others enhancing their respective sectors [3] Group 3: Governance and Operational Mechanism Reform - The reform aims to establish a modern enterprise system, completing the supervisory board reform and enhancing personnel management within district-level SOEs [4] - A governance structure characterized by "defined rights and responsibilities, transparency, coordinated operation, and effective checks and balances" is being constructed [4] - The management system is being improved with a dynamic adjustment mechanism for personnel and strict implementation of management requirements [4] Group 4: Institutional Support Reform - A comprehensive institutional support system is being built to ensure the stable development of SOEs, including optimizing incentive and punishment mechanisms [4] - Over 30 institutional documents related to major management, transparent procurement, and investment supervision have been issued during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4] - The establishment of a "smart state-owned assets" management platform and compliance management system aims to enhance decision-making quality and prevent operational risks [4]
德州创新不动产带押过户“双零模式”,涉及抵押金额14.78亿
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-12-11 10:58
齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 李梦晴 12月11日,德州市举行德州市"不动产统一登记十年"主题新闻发布会,介绍德州市不动产统一登记工作 的有关情况,并回答记者提问。 数字赋能服务,实现全流程闭环管理。市自然资源局联合银联商务、司法行政、公积金共同搭建"带押 过户综合监管服务平台",群众可直接通过"德州市带押过户"微信小程序搜索房源、签订合同,相关业 务部门通过平台实时掌握办理进度,及时查看各环节受理和办结时间。买卖双方应用"公证签"小程序实 现了业务线上办理。通过"带押过户"数据赋能,强化房源、客户、资金、协议、报表、交易六方面管 理,实现"带押过户"流程透明化、管理精细化、监管自动化、交易可视化。 坚持便民利企,实现三个"全覆盖"。一是项目类型全覆盖。实现住宅类、商业类、工业类项目"带押过 户"类型全覆盖,全市累计办理住宅类1873笔、工业类35笔、商业类39笔。二是业务模式全覆盖。实现 新旧抵押权转换、抵押权变更、交易和抵押双预告登记模式全覆盖,企业、群众可根据实际自主选择。 同时,打通跨行办理业务堵点,畅通跨行带押过户办理渠道,累计办理跨行业务341件,涉及抵押金额 1.84亿元。三是市域范围全覆盖。各县市区同步 ...
惠誉:预计2026年美国杠杆融资违约率下降
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 10:24
本文由 AI 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 【惠誉预计2026年美国杠杆融资违约率下降】12月11日,惠誉评级分析师在报告中称,随着美联储持续 降息,美国杠杆融资领域违约率预计2026年将下滑。分析师指出,"更为宽松的货币政策"会缓解高负债 发行人高额利息支出压力。他们预计,2026年底美国杠杆贷款违约率介于4.5%至5.0%,高收益债违约 率在2.5%至3.0%之间。 ...
中央经济工作会议在北京举行 习近平发表重要讲话
国家能源局· 2025-12-11 10:12
Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of high-quality development and the need for a proactive macroeconomic policy to address current economic challenges and ensure stable growth in 2026 [3][5]. Summary by Sections Economic Situation and Achievements - The year has been extraordinary, with the leadership successfully navigating challenges and achieving significant accomplishments, including the completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and a strong start towards the second centenary goal [3][4]. Key Insights for Economic Work - New understandings of economic work include the need to fully tap economic potential, balance policy support with reform innovation, and focus on both material and human investment [4][5]. Policy Directions for 2026 - The conference outlined that economic work should focus on stability and quality improvement, with an emphasis on proactive fiscal and monetary policies, maintaining a reasonable fiscal deficit, and ensuring the stability of the RMB exchange rate [6][7]. Major Tasks for Economic Work - Key tasks include: 1. Strengthening domestic demand and enhancing the domestic market [7][8]. 2. Accelerating innovation and nurturing new growth drivers [8][9]. 3. Promoting reforms to enhance high-quality development [9][10]. 4. Expanding openness and fostering win-win cooperation [10][11]. 5. Coordinating development to promote urban-rural integration [11][12]. 6. Leading green transformation and addressing environmental challenges [10][11]. 7. Prioritizing people's livelihoods and improving social welfare [11][12]. 8. Stabilizing key areas and managing risks effectively [11][12]. Leadership and Implementation - The conference stressed the importance of unified leadership and the need for local governments to adapt central policies to their specific contexts, ensuring effective implementation of economic strategies [12][13].
信达国际控股(00111.HK)获授1亿港元无承诺循环贷款融资
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 09:45
格隆汇12月11日丨信达国际控股(00111.HK)宣布,于2025年12月11日,公司作为借款人确认接纳由一间 香港持牌银行发出日期为2025年12月5日之融资函件,据此(其中包括),银行同意根据融资函件之条款 及条件向公司提供1亿港元(或等值美元、人民币或获银行同意之其他货币)的无承诺循环贷款融资,到 期日由公司接纳融资函件当日起计12个月(以银行不时审查为准)。融资函件订明(其中包括)对公司控股 股东之特定履约责任。 ...
香港第一金平台:美联储利率决议如期降息25基点 利多金银上涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 09:44
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has unexpectedly lowered interest rates by 25 basis points and announced a plan to purchase $40 billion in government bonds over the next 30 days, indicating a significant expansion of its balance sheet [3][4]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates aligns with market expectations, reflecting a dovish stance from Chairman Jerome Powell, who highlighted risks in the labor market and inflation [3][4]. - Powell noted that recent job growth may have been overstated by 60,000 positions, indicating a faster-than-expected cooling in the labor market [3]. - The Fed's long-term interest rates show no signs of inflation concerns, reinforcing the dovish sentiment [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcement, the spot gold price surged to approximately $4,240 per ounce, reflecting immediate market reactions to the dovish comments [4]. - Despite the positive outlook for gold and silver due to the rate cut, caution is advised as the cut was expected and not a surprise, suggesting limited potential for a sustained rally in gold prices [4]. Group 3: Upcoming Economic Data - Key upcoming data includes the U.S. non-farm payrolls on the 16th and the November CPI on the 18th, which are critical for assessing future Fed rate decisions [5]. - The market is likely to remain cautious ahead of these data releases, as stronger-than-expected results could negatively impact gold bulls [5]. Group 4: Trading Strategies - Recommended trading strategies include buying on dips for both gold and silver, with specific price targets and stop-loss levels outlined for optimal trading [7]. - Technical indicators suggest potential short-term upward movements in both gold and silver prices, but traders should remain vigilant for possible corrections [5][7].
信达国际控股获授1亿港元的无承诺循环贷款融资
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 09:43
Core Viewpoint - The company, Cinda International Holdings (00111), has accepted a financing letter from a licensed bank in Hong Kong, confirming a non-committed revolving loan facility of HKD 100 million, which is equivalent to other currencies as agreed by the bank [1] Group 1 - The financing letter was issued on December 5, 2025, and the company confirmed acceptance on December 11, 2025 [1] - The loan facility is set to mature 12 months from the date of acceptance, subject to the bank's periodic review [1] - The loan amount can be provided in HKD or equivalent amounts in USD, RMB, or other currencies as agreed by the bank [1]