行 农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月 08 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 猪价弱势运行，11 月第三方能繁延续去化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价维持弱势，11 月第三方能繁延续去化。（1）月初缩 量拉涨有限，本周猪价窄幅回调。本月初集团场缩量拉涨猪价，但市场接 受度有限，散户大猪顺势出栏，供应压力持续，供大于求格局持续。12 月 5 日猪价 11.19 元/公斤，周环比-0.01 元/公斤。（2）本周屠宰量继续增长。 受降温天气带动，四川地区腌腊、灌肠活动陆续启动，对生猪屠宰量形成 支撑。本周样本屠宰企业日均屠宰量为 17.66 万头，周环比+1.83%。（3） 本周生猪出栏均重继续增长。本周集团出栏节奏收窄后放量，集团出栏均 重小幅增加；散户受制于资金和疫情影响，北方多地散户大猪出栏积极性 偏强，散户出栏均重增幅明显。截至 12 月 4 日当周，行业生猪出栏均重 129.82 公斤，周环比+0.60 公斤。展望后市，养殖已陷入亏损状态，叠加产 能调控政策推进，行业产能去化预计持续，有望推动长期猪价中枢上移， 低成本优质猪企将获得超额收益。根据农业农村部数据，10 月末全国能繁 母猪存栏量降 ...

格隆汇12月8日丨湘佳股份(002982.SZ)公布，2025年11月份销售活禽364.30万只，销售收入8,509.86万 元，销售均价10.72元/公斤，环比变动分别为-6.35%、-9.42%、-5.49%，同比变动分别为-5.39%、 3.77%、1.66%。 ...

湘佳股份（002982）(002982.SZ)披露2025年11月份活禽销售情况，公司2025年11月份销售活禽364.30万 只，销售收入8509.86万元，销售均价10.72元/公斤，环比变动分别为-6.35%、-9.42%、-5.49%，同比变 动分别为-5.39%、3.77%、1.66%。 ...

智通财经APP讯，湘佳股份(002982.SZ)披露2025年11月份活禽销售情况，公司2025年11月份销售活禽 364.30万只，销售收入8509.86万元，销售均价10.72元/公斤，环比变动分别 为-6.35%、-9.42%、-5.49%，同比变动分别为-5.39%、3.77%、1.66%。 ...

农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月 08 日 业 研 究 农林牧渔 猪价弱势运行，11 月第三方能繁延续去化 投资要点： 行 业 定 期 报 告 生猪养殖：猪价维持弱势，11 月第三方能繁延续去化。（1）月初缩 量拉涨有限，本周猪价窄幅回调。本月初集团场缩量拉涨猪价，但市场接 受度有限，散户大猪顺势出栏，供应压力持续，供大于求格局持续。12 月 5 日猪价 11.19 元/公斤，周环比-0.01 元/公斤。（2）本周屠宰量继续增长。 受降温天气带动，四川地区腌腊、灌肠活动陆续启动，对生猪屠宰量形成 支撑。本周样本屠宰企业日均屠宰量为 17.66 万头，周环比+1.83%。（3） 本周生猪出栏均重继续增长。本周集团出栏节奏收窄后放量，集团出栏均 重小幅增加；散户受制于资金和疫情影响，北方多地散户大猪出栏积极性 偏强，散户出栏均重增幅明显。截至 12 月 4 日当周，行业生猪出栏均重 129.82 公斤，周环比+0.60 公斤。展望后市，养殖已陷入亏损状态，叠加产 能调控政策推进，行业产能去化预计持续，有望推动长期猪价中枢上移， 低成本优质猪企将获得超额收益。根据农业农村部数据，10 月末全国能繁 母猪存栏量降至 ...

根据老井报价数据平台，统计结果显示：昨天， 鸡蛋全国均价2.95元/斤，较前日减0.01元/斤，减幅0.34%！ 淘汰鸡均价3.94元/斤，较前日减0.01元/斤，减幅0.25%！ 老井报价新的数据系统，只要正确提交鸡蛋价格信息，就能即时反馈给您全国鸡蛋均价信息，点此进入老井蛋价实时收集系统： http://laojingvip.vip/main/egg_report_form 根据老井报价数据平台，统计结果显示：昨天， 鸡蛋全国均价2.95元/斤，较前日减0.01元/斤，减幅0.34%！对后市看涨的人数占比，由前天的3.6%，增至 昨天的21.97%，报跌养殖单位，由前天总量的84.89%，减至昨天的3.79%，从今天统计的库存情况来看，反映库存有所增加的，由前天17.99%，减至昨天 的15.15%，反映库存减少的，由前天15.11%，增至昨天的15.15%，库存量统计，仅有一天以下（含一天）库存的占比71.32%，较前日稍增（前日 69.93%）。 （来源：老井扯鸡蛋） 来源：老井扯鸡蛋 来源：老井扯鸡蛋 根据老井报价数据平台，统计结果显示：昨天， 鸡蛋全国均价2.95元/斤，较前日减0.01元/斤，减 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：博亚和讯） 2025年11月份祖代更新量为19.7万套，环比下降3.9%，同比增长18.67%；1-11月份祖代更新量为133.12 万套，同比下降9.61%。 1、下半年祖代更新量持续增加 据博亚和讯了解，2025年祖代更新主要为国内自繁和国外进口；2025年上半年祖代更新量为50.11万 套，同比下降37.01%。下半年祖代更新量震荡增长，7-9月份更新量41.81万套，10月份祖代更新量为 20.5万套；11月份19.7万套，环比下降3.9%，同比增长18.67%，其中AA+占比23.86%、利丰占比 27.41%，科宝占比18.78%，SZ901占比12.18%，广明2号占比17.77%。 图：2021-2025年祖代鸡更新量 2025年1-11月份祖代更新量为133.12万套，同比下降9.61%。祖代更新量渠道：法国以及国内自繁。 2025年1-11月祖代更新品种为AA+、Ross、Cobb、利丰、SZ901、WOD188和广明2号。从品种更新量 看，Cobb为36.15万套、AA+为20.52万套、Ross为6.73万套、利丰为25.6万套、SZ901为22.7万套、 WO ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Strongly Outperform the Market" [5][72]. Core Viewpoints - The supply-demand imbalance in the pig farming sector continues, leading to downward pressure on pig prices. As of November 28, the pig price was 11.20 CNY/kg, a decrease of 0.42 CNY/kg week-on-week. The average weight of pigs sold increased to 129.22 kg, up 0.41 kg week-on-week, indicating a potential recovery in prices in the long term due to capacity reduction policies [2][10][30]. - In the beef sector, calf prices have rebounded, and the long-term trend for beef prices is upward. As of November 28, the price for fattened bulls was 25.55 CNY/kg, down 0.12% week-on-week, while calf prices rose to 32.09 CNY/kg, up 0.28% week-on-week. The market is expected to tighten due to a reduction in breeding cows [3][33]. - The poultry sector is experiencing a decrease in the enthusiasm for restocking broiler chicks, with prices slightly adjusting. As of November 28, the price for white feather broilers was 7.19 CNY/kg, up 0.04% week-on-week, while broiler chick prices were 3.47 CNY each, down 0.01 CNY [4][40]. - The agricultural products sector, particularly soybean meal, is seeing price fluctuations. As of November 28, the spot price for soybean meal was 3100 CNY/ton, up 30 CNY/ton week-on-week. The market is expected to continue its oscillating trend due to high domestic inventory levels [4][55]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The supply-demand imbalance persists, leading to a decrease in pig prices. The average price on November 28 was 11.20 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.42 CNY/kg. The average weight of pigs sold increased to 129.22 kg, indicating a potential recovery in prices in the long term due to capacity reduction policies [2][10][30]. - The average profit for self-bred pigs was -147.99 CNY/head, and for purchased piglets, it was -248.82 CNY/head, reflecting ongoing losses in the sector [10]. Beef Industry - Calf prices have shown signs of recovery, with the price for fattened bulls at 25.55 CNY/kg, down 0.12% week-on-week, and calf prices at 32.09 CNY/kg, up 0.28% week-on-week. The market is expected to tighten due to a reduction in breeding cows, leading to a potential upward trend in beef prices in the coming years [3][33]. Poultry Sector - The enthusiasm for restocking broiler chicks has decreased, with broiler prices at 7.19 CNY/kg, up 0.04% week-on-week, and broiler chick prices at 3.47 CNY each, down 0.01 CNY. The ongoing avian influenza outbreak may lead to a contraction in upstream production capacity [4][40][43]. Agricultural Products - The soybean meal market is experiencing price fluctuations, with a spot price of 3100 CNY/ton, up 30 CNY/ton week-on-week. The market is expected to continue its oscillating trend due to high domestic inventory levels and external factors affecting supply [4][55].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Increase" [4] Core Views - The trend of pig reduction continues, suggesting a strategic opportunity for participation in the sector [15][16] - The price of lean meat pigs as of November 28, 2025, is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from the previous month, indicating ongoing industry losses [15][18] - The average profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head from the previous month, while the profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [15][23] - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 39.9 million, and further production capacity reduction is expected due to policy and low prices [15][16] - The mushroom sector shows a sustained price rebound for enoki mushrooms, with strong performance expected from key companies [16] - The seed industry is seeing a clear trend of variety replacement, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales, indicating potential growth for related companies [16] - In poultry farming, seasonal price elasticity opportunities are noted for yellow feathered chickens, while white feathered chickens are affected by avian influenza in Europe [17] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The lean meat pig price is 11.09 CNY/kg, down 9.1% from last month [18] - The average wholesale price of pork is 17.83 CNY/kg, down 1.1% [18] - The profit for self-breeding pigs is -147.99 CNY/head, a decrease of 58.66 CNY/head [23] - The profit for purchased piglets is -248.82 CNY/head, down 69.1 CNY/head [23] Mushroom Sector - Enoki mushroom prices remain strong, confirming a sustained price rebound [16] - The release period for Cordyceps sinensis as a key new product is approaching, with strong performance expected [16] Seed Industry - A clear trend of variety replacement in corn is noted, with transgenic varieties entering commercial sales [16] - Companies like Kangnong Seed Industry and Longping High-Tech are highlighted for potential growth [16] Poultry Farming - The price of meat chicken chicks is 3.47 CNY/chick, down 3.1% from last month [28] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 7.19 CNY/kg, up 1.4% [32] - The average price of chicken products is 8.95 CNY/kg, up 0.6% [32] Agricultural Products - Domestic corn prices increased to 2329.8 CNY/ton, up 4.0% [44] - Domestic wheat prices rose to 2507.28 CNY/ton, up 0.7% [46] - Domestic soybean prices increased to 4014.74 CNY/ton, up 0.4% [57]

Core Viewpoint - The "Pubei Chenpi Cultural Tourism Promotion Week" investment promotion conference successfully attracted nearly 300 entrepreneurs and resulted in the signing of 8 key projects with a total investment of 860 million yuan, highlighting the potential of Pubei's Chenpi industry and its role in regional economic development [2][5][52]. Group 1: Investment and Economic Development - The investment promotion conference showcased Pubei as a significant agricultural production area and a key county for industrial development in Guangxi, emphasizing its role in high-quality economic growth [9][10]. - The Guangxi government has allocated over 3.4 billion yuan in various funds to support infrastructure development for the Chenpi industry park and related projects [15][16]. - The Pubei Chenpi industry has a planting area of 190,000 mu and is projected to achieve an industrial chain output value exceeding 6 billion yuan by 2024 [27][28]. Group 2: Project Signings and Industry Diversification - Eight quality projects were signed at the conference, covering various sectors including Chenpi industry services, trendy toys, eel feed, e-commerce, electronics manufacturing, ecological breeding, and new water purification materials [41][42]. - The successful signing of these projects demonstrates the strong "attraction" capability of the Pubei Chenpi industry and marks a significant step towards diversified industrial development in the region [52][54]. Group 3: Business Environment and Support - Pubei's government officials highlighted the favorable living conditions and efficient administrative support for businesses, including policies for talent housing and children's education [45][46]. - The local government is committed to providing the best services to ensure that businesses can thrive in Pubei, emphasizing a supportive and welcoming business environment [48][49].